WMGCommunication Services · EntertainmentThe 16 Wall Street analysts covering Warner Music Group Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $39 — +42.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 60 of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Warner Music Group Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (96): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Momentum (40): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WMG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +42.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $37 → $43 |
| 8 May 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $34 → $36 |
| 8 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $40 → $43 |
| 8 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $40 → $42 |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Scotiabank | Upgrade | Sector Outperform | — |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 18 Dec 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 11 Dec 2025 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Nov 2025 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Oct 2025 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 14 Oct 2025 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 8 Oct 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 Oct 2025 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 Sept 2025 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Sept 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Aug 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 Aug 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Aug 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. WMG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 24 Sept 2026, Warner Music Group Corp. returned −16.2% against +17.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Cheaper than 53% of US stocks
Cheaper than 6% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Warner Music Group Corp. has a market value of $14.2B and an enterprise value of $18.7B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $7.3B. The latest quarter grew 10.4% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $665.0M, a 9.1% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.26.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $288.0M, after $103.0M of capital spending.
Warner Music Group Corp. spent $61.0M on share buybacks and $400.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 21.7×; forward P/E: 13.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.97%, paying out 61% of earnings.
Warner Music Group Corp. employs 5,500 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Warner Music Group Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
AI music startup Suno launched a suite of AI models in partnership with Warner Music Group and BMG that allow users to generate new music inspired by licensed music from participating artists' catalogs.
Why it matters — The partnership gives WMG a commercial AI music offering that leverages its licensed catalog, positioning the label within the emerging AI-generated music space.
Sony Music and Warner Music's publishing divisions have sued Anthropic in California federal court, alleging the company used their copyrighted song compositions without permission to train its Claude AI models.
Why it matters — The lawsuit highlights ongoing legal risks for major music publishers like WMG as artists and rights holders seek to hold AI companies accountable for using copyrighted works in model training.
Seeking Alpha published a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, highlighting companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.
Why it matters — WMG watchers monitoring dividend trends can use this report to track WMG's status relative to other dividend-paying companies in the market.
Warner Music Group has doubled revenue and nearly tripled EBITDA since its IPO, yet its stock price remains flat due to multiple contraction. Growth is driven by robust streaming revenues, improved pricing, and new per-subscriber minimum contracts, notably with Apple, while AI presents both licensing opportunities and execution risks.
Why it matters — WMG watchers would care because the piece highlights the disconnect between the company's strong fundamental growth and its flat stock price, while flagging AI as both a monetization opportunity and a risk to artist relations.
The article discusses Warner Music Group's fiscal Q3 (ended June 2026) earnings, noting that while the reported revenue and profit headline figures reflect how the business performed, it is also worth examining key metrics against Wall Street estimates and year-ago values for full context.
Why it matters — The piece highlights that WMG watchers should look beyond headline earnings to see how the company's underlying key metrics compare with analyst expectations and prior-year results.
The 16 Wall Street analysts covering Warner Music Group Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $39, with estimates ranging from $30 to $46. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 16 analysts covering Warner Music Group Corp., 13 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Warner Music Group Corp. 60 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 23 Sept 2026, Warner Music Group Corp. ranks 60 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (96 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 16 analysts implies +42.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Warner Music Group Corp. 60 out of 100 as at 23 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Warner Music Group Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WMG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $30 to $46 over the next 12 months.
Warner Music Group Corp. returned -16.2% over the 12 months to 24 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Warner Music Group Corp. is a global music entertainment company that creates, markets, and distributes recorded music and music publishing services worldwide.
The most recent item we track (Reuters, 9 Sept 2026): "Suno releases new AI music models in partnership with Warner Music, BMG". AI music startup Suno launched a suite of AI models in partnership with Warner Music Group and BMG that allow users to generate new music inspired by licensed music from participating artists' catalogs.
Warner Music Group Corp. is a global music entertainment company that creates, markets, and distributes recorded music and music publishing services worldwide. The company operates through two main segments: Recorded Music, which supports artist development, label marketing, distribution, and licensing, and Music Publishing, which manages copyrights and earns revenue from the use of musical compositions. Warner Music Group’s portfolio includes well-known labels such as Atlantic Records, Warner Records, Elektra Records, and Parlophone Records, along with Warner Chappell Music, one of the industry’s major publishing businesses. The company also supports independent music distribution and artist services through brands like ADA and WMX. Based in New York, Warner Music Group plays a central role in connecting artists, songwriters, and audiences across streaming, physical, and digital music channels.
CEO Mr. Robert Kyncl · 5,500 employees · United States · https://www.wmg.com
