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WMG Stock Forecast: Warner Music Group Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$30
+4.20% on the day

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering Warner Music Group Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $39 — +32.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$14.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
62 / 100
Median analyst target
$39
Analysts covering
17
Revenue$1.9B+10.4% y/y
Operating income$312.0M
Net income$200.0M
Free cash flow$66.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.8%
1M
+18.6%
YTD
−1.8%
1Y
−8.5%
From 52W high
−13.9%
From 52W low
+26.6%
$23
$34
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

WMG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Warner Music Group Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
62 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
96
Volatility
95
Revisions
75
Quality
63
Accruals
49
Momentum
44
Value
44
Issuance
40
Size
12

Growth (96): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Issuance (40): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (12): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

WMG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WMG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40$45Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26WMGHigh $46Median $39Low $23

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says17 analysts
13 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $23Median $39High $46

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +32.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 May 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsOutperform$37 → $43
8 May 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy$34 → $36
8 May 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$40 → $43
8 May 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$40 → $42
21 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
31 Mar 2026GuggenheimMaintainsBuy—
13 Feb 2026ScotiabankUpgradeSector Outperform—
21 Jan 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
18 Dec 2025Morgan StanleyUpgradeOverweight—
11 Dec 2025JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
21 Nov 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
30 Oct 2025BernsteinMaintainsOutperform—
14 Oct 2025Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
8 Oct 2025JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
1 Oct 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
10 Sept 2025Tigress FinancialMaintainsBuy—
9 Sept 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
12 Aug 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
8 Aug 2025UBSMaintainsBuy—
8 Aug 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. WMG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

WMG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Warner Music Group Corp. returned −8.5% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

WMG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26WMGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

WMG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−3.2%
Analysts raising
4
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.4×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.0×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Price / book
17.1×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.5×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
10.4%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
10.4%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Gross margin
45.8%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Operating margin
16.7%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Net margin
9.2%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
70.1%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.7%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.9%

Higher than 62% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Warner Music Group Corp. (WMG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Warner Music Group Corp. has a market value of $14.6B and an enterprise value of $19.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $7.3B. The latest quarter grew 10.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $665.0M, a 9.1% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.26.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $288.0M, after $103.0M of capital spending.

  • Warner Music Group Corp. spent $61.0M on share buybacks and $400.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 523.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 22.4×; forward P/E: 14.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.86%, paying out 61% of earnings.

  • Warner Music Group Corp. employs 5,500 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 2 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

WMG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEntertainment
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
WMGWarner Music Group Corp.$14.6B
62
NWSANews Corp.$17.4B
84
PSKYParamount Skydance Corp.$12.3B
20
SIRISiriusXM Holdings, Inc.$10.0B
80
ROKURoku, Inc.$23.3B
89
LLYVKLiberty Live Holdings, Inc.$9.3B
4
MSGSMadison Square Garden Sports Corp.$9.3B
68

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Warner Music Group Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest WMG news & analysis

Sony, Warner Music sue Anthropic over songs used in AI training

Reuters · 31 Aug 2026negative

Sony Music and Warner Music's publishing divisions have sued Anthropic in California federal court, alleging the company used their copyrighted song compositions without permission to train its Claude AI models.

Why it matters — The lawsuit highlights ongoing legal risks for major music publishers like WMG as artists and rights holders seek to hold AI companies accountable for using copyrighted works in model training.

Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, highlighting companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Why it matters — WMG watchers monitoring dividend trends can use this report to track WMG's status relative to other dividend-paying companies in the market.

Warner Music Q3: A High-Quality Compounder At A Much Better Price

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Warner Music Group has doubled revenue and nearly tripled EBITDA since its IPO, yet its stock price remains flat due to multiple contraction. Growth is driven by robust streaming revenues, improved pricing, and new per-subscriber minimum contracts, notably with Apple, while AI presents both licensing opportunities and execution risks.

Why it matters — WMG watchers would care because the piece highlights the disconnect between the company's strong fundamental growth and its flat stock price, while flagging AI as both a monetization opportunity and a risk to artist relations.

Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Warner Music Group (WMG) Q3 Earnings

Zacks Investment Research · 6 Aug 2026neutral

The article discusses Warner Music Group's fiscal Q3 (ended June 2026) earnings, noting that while the reported revenue and profit headline figures reflect how the business performed, it is also worth examining key metrics against Wall Street estimates and year-ago values for full context.

Why it matters — The piece highlights that WMG watchers should look beyond headline earnings to see how the company's underlying key metrics compare with analyst expectations and prior-year results.

Warner Music Group Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 6 Aug 2026positive

Warner Music Group reported fiscal third-quarter revenue growth and margin expansion, citing subscription price increases, streaming-market-share progress, cost reductions, and strong cash-flow generation.

Why it matters — The company-reported figures point to improving financial performance for WMG across revenue, margins, and cash flow.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about WMG stock

What is the WMG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 17 Wall Street analysts covering Warner Music Group Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $39, with estimates ranging from $23 to $46. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is WMG stock a buy right now?

Of the 17 analysts covering Warner Music Group Corp., 13 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Warner Music Group Corp. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank WMG?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Warner Music Group Corp. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (96 of 100).

Will WMG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 17 analysts implies +32.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Warner Music Group Corp. 62 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the WMG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Warner Music Group Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WMG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $23 to $46 over the next 12 months.

How has WMG stock performed over the past year?

Warner Music Group Corp. returned -8.5% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Warner Music Group Corp. do?

Warner Music Group Corp. is a global music entertainment company that creates, markets, and distributes recorded music and music publishing services worldwide.

What is the latest news on WMG?

The most recent item we track (Reuters, 31 Aug 2026): "Sony, Warner Music sue Anthropic over songs used in AI training". Sony Music and Warner Music's publishing divisions have sued Anthropic in California federal court, alleging the company used their copyrighted song compositions without permission to train its Claude AI models.

Company

About Warner Music Group Corp.

Warner Music Group Corp. is a global music entertainment company that creates, markets, and distributes recorded music and music publishing services worldwide. The company operates through two main segments: Recorded Music, which supports artist development, label marketing, distribution, and licensing, and Music Publishing, which manages copyrights and earns revenue from the use of musical compositions. Warner Music Group’s portfolio includes well-known labels such as Atlantic Records, Warner Records, Elektra Records, and Parlophone Records, along with Warner Chappell Music, one of the industry’s major publishing businesses. The company also supports independent music distribution and artist services through brands like ADA and WMX. Based in New York, Warner Music Group plays a central role in connecting artists, songwriters, and audiences across streaming, physical, and digital music channels.

CEO Mr. Robert Kyncl · 5,500 employees · United States · https://www.wmg.com