WMGCommunication Services · EntertainmentThe 17 Wall Street analysts covering Warner Music Group Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $39 — +52.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Warner Music Group Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (97): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Momentum (39): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.
Size (13): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on WMG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +52.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 May 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $37 → $43 |
| 8 May 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | $34 → $36 |
| 8 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $40 → $43 |
| 8 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $40 → $42 |
| 21 Apr 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Guggenheim | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | Scotiabank | Upgrade | Sector Outperform | — |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 18 Dec 2025 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 11 Dec 2025 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Nov 2025 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 30 Oct 2025 | Bernstein | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 14 Oct 2025 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 8 Oct 2025 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 Oct 2025 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 10 Sept 2025 | Tigress Financial | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Sept 2025 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Aug 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 8 Aug 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Aug 2025 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. WMG appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Cheaper than 56% of US stocks
Cheaper than 5% of US stocks
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 87% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Warner Music Group Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Seeking Alpha published a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, highlighting companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.
Why it matters — WMG watchers monitoring dividend trends can use this report to track WMG's status relative to other dividend-paying companies in the market.
Warner Music Group has doubled revenue and nearly tripled EBITDA since its IPO, yet its stock price remains flat due to multiple contraction. Growth is driven by robust streaming revenues, improved pricing, and new per-subscriber minimum contracts, notably with Apple, while AI presents both licensing opportunities and execution risks.
Why it matters — WMG watchers would care because the piece highlights the disconnect between the company's strong fundamental growth and its flat stock price, while flagging AI as both a monetization opportunity and a risk to artist relations.
The article discusses Warner Music Group's fiscal Q3 (ended June 2026) earnings, noting that while the reported revenue and profit headline figures reflect how the business performed, it is also worth examining key metrics against Wall Street estimates and year-ago values for full context.
Why it matters — The piece highlights that WMG watchers should look beyond headline earnings to see how the company's underlying key metrics compare with analyst expectations and prior-year results.
Warner Music Group reported fiscal third-quarter revenue growth and margin expansion, citing subscription price increases, streaming-market-share progress, cost reductions, and strong cash-flow generation.
Why it matters — The company-reported figures point to improving financial performance for WMG across revenue, margins, and cash flow.
Warner Music Group Corp. released the transcript of its Q3 2026 earnings call, published by Seeking Alpha. The item indicates the company held its third-quarter earnings call for fiscal 2026.
Why it matters — A WMG watcher would care because the earnings call transcript is a primary source of the company's latest quarterly financial results and management commentary on its business for the 2026 fiscal year.
The 17 Wall Street analysts covering Warner Music Group Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $39, with estimates ranging from $23 to $46. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 17 analysts covering Warner Music Group Corp., 13 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Warner Music Group Corp. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 13 Aug 2026, Warner Music Group Corp. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 17 analysts implies +52.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Warner Music Group Corp. 62 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Warner Music Group Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for WMG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $23 to $46 over the next 12 months.
Warner Music Group Corp. returned -18.5% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Warner Music Group is a music entertainment company operating through two primary segments: Recorded Music and Music Publishing. In its Recorded Music segment, the company discovers and develops recording artists, handling marketing, promotion, distribution, and licensing of their music, while also monetizing its catalog through compilations and reissues.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 14 Aug 2026): "Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16". Seeking Alpha published a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, highlighting companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.
Warner Music Group is a music entertainment company operating through two primary segments: Recorded Music and Music Publishing. In its Recorded Music segment, the company discovers and develops recording artists, handling marketing, promotion, distribution, and licensing of their music, while also monetizing its catalog through compilations and reissues. The Music Publishing segment manages songwriter and publisher rights. Warner Music Group serves a global market across the United States, United Kingdom, Germany, and internationally, generating revenue through digital streaming, physical sales, artist services, expanded rights, licensing, and performance royalties. The company distributes its content through digital service providers, direct partnerships, and traditional retail channels. Its iconic labels include Atlantic, Parlophone, and Warner Records, representing some of the world's leading recording artists. As a publicly traded entity, Warner Music Group provides investors exposure to the evolving music industry, which increasingly relies on digital platforms and subscription-based streaming models for revenue generation.
CEO Mr. Robert Kyncl · 5,500 employees · United States · https://www.wmg.com