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AADX Stock Forecast: Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$13
+0.47% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $25 — +92.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 4 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$2.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
4 / 100
Median analyst target
$25
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$167.3M
Operating income−$96.2M
Net income−$154.0M
Free cash flow−$24.6M
Quarterly, 4 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.6%
1M
−28.3%
From high
−46.5%
From low
+10.6%
$12
$24
Range since 3 June 2026, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AADX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
4 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
72
Size
34
Revisions
33
Growth
20
Value
17
Accruals
8
Volatility
6
Quality
6
Momentum
2

Issuance (72): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Momentum (2): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AADX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AADX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, since 3 June 2026Adjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25$30Jul 26Aug 26Sep 26AADXHigh $30Median $25Low $23

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
7 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $23Median $25High $30

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +92.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
15 Sept 2026GuggenheimInitiatesBuy$30
14 Aug 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
14 Aug 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$24 → $23
13 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$23 → $24
13 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
29 June 2026B of A SecuritiesInitiatesBuy$24
29 June 2026B of A SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
29 June 2026BairdInitiatesOutperform—
29 June 2026BairdInitiatesOutperform$30
29 June 2026Morgan StanleyInitiatesEqual-Weight$23
29 June 2026Morgan StanleyInitiatesEqual-Weight—
29 June 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesOutperform—
29 June 2026RBC CapitalInitiatesOutperform$24
29 June 2026StifelInitiatesBuy—
29 June 2026StifelInitiatesBuy$24

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AADX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AADX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

AADX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Jul 26Aug 26Sep 26AADXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AADX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−44.5×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.8×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / book
2.7×

Cheaper than 36% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−142.6×

Cheaper than 97% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
47.4%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
—
Gross margin
22.2%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Operating margin
−57.5%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Net margin
−30.2%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−30.7%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Return on assets
−4.9%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. (AADX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. has a market value of $2.2B and an enterprise value of $2.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $543.8M. The latest quarter grew 47.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$244.8M, a −45.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.57.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$124.4M.

  • Shares outstanding: 172.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: −44.5×; forward P/E: 31.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. employs 1,542 people — $353K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 20 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AADX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AADXApplied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.$2.2B
4
VOYGVoyager Technologies, Inc.$2.1B
7
VVXV2X, Inc.$2.4B
92
AVEXAEVEX Corp.$1.9B
13
DCODucommun, Inc.$2.5B
72
RDWRedwire Corp.$2.6B
47
ATROAstronics Corp.$2.8B
84

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AADX news & analysis

Applied Aerospace & Defense: A Much Healthier Proposition

Seeking Alpha · 6 Sept 2026positive

Applied Aerospace & Defense shares have fallen 35% since their IPO, bringing its valuation to below 3x sales and roughly 14–15x EBITDA. The company reports improving earnings visibility, a growing $1.13 billion backlog, and second-half guidance implying strong sequential revenue growth and potential upside in adjusted EBITDA versus consensus.

Why it matters — AADX watchers would care because the article points to improving earnings visibility and a growing backlog at lower post-IPO valuations, which could reassess the company's financial health.

Baron Small Cap Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 2 Sept 2026neutral

Baron Small Cap Fund reported a 12.57% gain for the second quarter, trailing the Russell 2000 Growth Index's 25.71% return. The Fund noted Vertiv's strong quarterly results and raised guidance, while Planet Fitness underperformed after lowering its full-year guidance.

Why it matters — AADX watchers may track this fund's portfolio activity since its holdings could include aerospace and defense companies relevant to the sector.

Applied Aerospace & Defense Appoints Elizabeth Robertson as Executive Vice President of Business Development

Business Wire · 1 Sept 2026positive

Applied Aerospace & Defense announced that Elizabeth Robertson has joined the company as executive vice president of business development, where she will lead enterprise growth, new program capture, and strategic customer relationships across its core Space & Launch Systems and defense markets.

Why it matters — AADX watchers would care because a proven growth executive taking charge of business development could strengthen the company's market positioning and customer relationships in its key space and defense sectors.

Implied Volatility Surging for Applied Aerospace & Defense Stock Options

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that implied volatility is surging for Applied Aerospace & Defense (AADX) stock options, drawing attention to recent movements in the options market. The article notes that investors should pay close attention to AADX based on this options activity.

Why it matters — An AADX watcher would care because rising implied volatility in the options market can signal changing investor expectations and heightened market attention around the stock.

Why Applied Aerospace & Defense Was Sliding This Week

The Motley Fool · 14 Aug 2026negative

Applied Aerospace & Defense shares slid this week following its first earnings report as a publicly traded company. Despite the decline, all three of its business units reported increased revenue.

Why it matters — AADX watchers would care because the company's first post-IPO earnings report triggered a weekly share-price decline even as all three business segments delivered revenue growth.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AADX stock

What is the AADX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $25, with estimates ranging from $23 to $30. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AADX stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. 4 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AADX?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. ranks 4 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (72 of 100).

Will AADX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +92.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. 4 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AADX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AADX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $23 to $30 over the next 12 months.

What does Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. do?

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. is a defense and aerospace manufacturing company that designs, engineers, and produces integrated subsystems for space, launch, aviation, and precision defense applications.

What is the latest news on AADX?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 6 Sept 2026): "Applied Aerospace & Defense: A Much Healthier Proposition". Applied Aerospace & Defense shares have fallen 35% since their IPO, bringing its valuation to below 3x sales and roughly 14–15x EBITDA. The company reports improving earnings visibility, a growing $1.13 billion backlog, and second-half guidance implying strong sequential revenue growth and potential upside in adjusted EBITDA versus consensus.

Company

About Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.

Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. is a defense and aerospace manufacturing company that designs, engineers, and produces integrated subsystems for space, launch, aviation, and precision defense applications. The company focuses on mission-critical hardware built for extreme operating environments, combining advanced engineering, fabrication, assembly, inspection, qualification, and testing capabilities. Its products and solutions support space vehicle structures, satellite assemblies, propulsion-related components, airborne systems, and other specialized platforms used across defense and space technology markets. Applied Aerospace & Defense, Inc. serves customers in sectors that require high-reliability, complex components and vertically integrated manufacturing expertise, making it an important supplier within the aerospace and defense industrial base. Based in Huntsville, Alabama, the company operates across multiple segments that address space and launch systems, defense aviation and airborne systems, and precision strike and C5ISR-related programs.

CEO Mr. James William Ferguson III · 1,542 employees · United States · https://applied-ad.com