RDWIndustrials · Aerospace & Defense

RDW Stock Forecast: Redwire Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$14
+2.88% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Redwire Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +10.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 38 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$3.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
38 / 100
Median analyst target
$15
Analysts covering
8
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.1%
1M
+39.4%
YTD
+78.7%
1Y
+49.4%
From 52W high
−47.6%
From 52W low
+168.4%
$5
$26
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

RDW stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Redwire Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
38 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
88
Revisions
72
Accruals
62
Issuance
60
Size
30
Quality
25
Value
24
Momentum
17
Volatility
13

Growth (88): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Volatility (13): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

RDW stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on RDW, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26RDWHigh $20Median $15Low $7

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says8 analysts
5 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Low $7Median $15High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +10.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$14$15
5 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$9.00$14
1 June 2026JefferiesDowngradeHold$13$24
1 June 2026JefferiesDowngradeHold
11 May 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy
9 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy
6 Mar 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy
2 Mar 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy
23 Dec 2025HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy
19 Dec 2025KeybancInitiatesSector Weight
10 Dec 2025Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight
19 Nov 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform
12 Nov 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy
7 Nov 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
5 Nov 2025Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight
15 Oct 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold
10 Oct 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform
18 Aug 2025B of A SecuritiesInitiatesUnderperform
11 Aug 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy
8 Aug 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. RDW appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

RDW analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
7
Fundamentals

Redwire Corp. (RDW) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−6.0×

Cheaper than 90% of US stocks

Price / sales
8.0×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Price / book
2.1×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−24.0×

Cheaper than 90% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
89.6%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
89.6%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Gross margin
27.8%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Operating margin
−18.9%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Net margin
−57.3%

Higher than 9% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−18.2%

Higher than 31% of US stocks

Return on assets
−6.1%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

RDW vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
RDWRedwire Corp.$3.4B
38
DCODucommun, Inc.$3.1B
73
AADXApplied Aerospace & Defense, Inc.$3.1B
4
ATROAstronics Corp.$4.0B
83
VVXV2X, Inc.$2.6B
94
AVEXAEVEX Corp.$2.6B
11
VOYGVoyager Technologies, Inc.$2.6B
5

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Redwire Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest RDW news & analysis

Better Space Stock: Redwire or Kratos Defense?

The Motley Fool · 16 Aug 2026positive

The Motley Fool compared Redwire and Kratos Defense as space stocks, noting both supply systems that keep satellites powered, connected, and operational. The article suggests Redwire's broader hardware portfolio and emerging in-space manufacturing strategy may offer more compelling long-term upside.

Why it matters — Redwire watchers would care because the piece highlights Redwire's wider hardware portfolio and in-space manufacturing strategy as a potentially more compelling long-term opportunity than a comparable space supplier.

Ondas Drops 7% After Earnings. Is Their Post-Earnings Drop Impacting Other Drone Stocks?

24/7 Wall Street · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Ondas Holdings shares dropped 8% after reporting second-quarter results. The article speculates whether the decline is affecting other drone stocks.

Why it matters — As a fellow company in the drone and defense technology space, RDW watchers may monitor sector-wide sentiment shifts triggered by peer earnings reactions.

Redwire and Kanematsu Announce Strategic Collaboration to Drive Innovation and Deliver Next-Generation Space Solutions for Japan's Space Sector

Business Wire · 12 Aug 2026positive

Redwire announced it has signed a teaming agreement with Kanematsu Corporation, making Kanematsu its strategic commercial partner in Japan. The collaboration combines Redwire's space technologies with Kanematsu's market expertise to support the growth of Japan's space sector.

Why it matters — RDW watchers would care because the agreement could expand Redwire's market reach and presence in Japan's growing space industry.

Could This Mid-Cap Space Stock Become the Next SpaceX?

The Motley Fool · 11 Aug 2026negative

The Motley Fool reports that Redwire has drawn attention ahead of SpaceX's debut, but notes its business model is fundamentally different from SpaceX's and that the company could face more challenges over the next few years.

Why it matters — A Redwire watcher would care because the article highlights structural differences from SpaceX and potential headwinds the company may encounter in the coming years.

Is Redwire Stock a Buy After Its Bold Defense Pivot?

The Motley Fool · 11 Aug 2026neutral

Redwire has built a fast-growing defense business that may help fund its long-term space ambitions. The piece examines repeat drone orders, improving margins, a record backlog, and ongoing dilution risk that are shaping the company's investment thesis.

Why it matters — RDW watchers would care because the company's defense segment growth and record backlog could reshape its long-term financial outlook, while dilution risk remains a key factor to monitor.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about RDW stock

What is the RDW stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Redwire Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $7 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is RDW stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Redwire Corp., 5 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Redwire Corp. 38 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank RDW?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Redwire Corp. ranks 38 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (88 of 100).

Will RDW stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +10.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Redwire Corp. 38 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the RDW stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Redwire Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for RDW are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has RDW stock performed over the past year?

Redwire Corp. returned +49.4% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Redwire Corp. do?

Redwire Corporation is an aerospace and defense technology company specializing in mission-critical space infrastructure and components. Headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, it focuses on providing advanced technologies that support government, commercial, and civil space missions.

What is the latest news on RDW?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 16 Aug 2026): "Better Space Stock: Redwire or Kratos Defense?". The Motley Fool compared Redwire and Kratos Defense as space stocks, noting both supply systems that keep satellites powered, connected, and operational. The article suggests Redwire's broader hardware portfolio and emerging in-space manufacturing strategy may offer more compelling long-term upside.

Company

About Redwire Corp.

Redwire Corporation is an aerospace and defense technology company specializing in mission-critical space infrastructure and components. Headquartered in Jacksonville, Florida, it focuses on providing advanced technologies that support government, commercial, and civil space missions. Redwire Corporation delivers products and services such as spacecraft components, deployable structures, avionics, and power solutions designed to operate reliably in demanding orbital environments. The company is also active in emerging areas like in-space manufacturing, microgravity research platforms, and advanced sensors that enable surveillance, communication, and scientific applications. Its offerings are integrated into satellite systems, space stations, and other orbital platforms, helping customers address complex technical and operational challenges. By supplying high-reliability hardware and engineering expertise, Redwire Corporation plays a significant role in the broader space ecosystem, serving space agencies, defense organizations, and commercial space operators seeking to expand on-orbit capabilities and infrastructure.

CEO Mr. Peter Anthony Cannito Jr. · 1,410 employees · United States · https://www.rdw.com