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AAP Stock Forecast: Advance Auto Parts, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$57
−1.41% on the day

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Advance Auto Parts, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $61 — +7.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 57 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.4B
Ticker Nerd rank
57 / 100
Median analyst target
$61
Analysts covering
25
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.2%
1M
+2.1%
YTD
+46.0%
1Y
+1.5%
From 52W high
−10.1%
From 52W low
+48.1%
$38
$63
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AAP stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Advance Auto Parts, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
57 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
83
Revisions
76
Volatility
60
Value
56
Quality
55
Accruals
45
Momentum
45
Issuance
34
Size
29

Growth (83): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Issuance (34): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (29): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AAP stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AAP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AAPHigh $70Median $61Low $35

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says25 analysts
2 Buy20 Hold3 Sell
Low $35Median $61High $70

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +7.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 9 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
13 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$60 → $57
13 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$65 → $67
4 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line—
4 Aug 2026Evercore ISI GroupMaintainsIn-Line$70 → $65
26 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral—
26 May 2026MizuhoMaintainsNeutral$54 → $58
22 May 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$60 → $65
22 May 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
22 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$57 → $60
22 May 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
22 May 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
22 May 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell$49 → $54
22 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 May 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight$60 → $65
22 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$62 → $65
22 May 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
22 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$55 → $62
22 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
22 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$50 → $60

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AAP appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

AAP analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+5.9%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (AAP) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
50.5×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.4×

Cheaper than 86% of US stocks

Price / book
1.5×

Cheaper than 56% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.7×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
1.2%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
0.0%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
3.8%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Net margin
0.5%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
3.1%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.7%

Higher than 57% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.8%

Higher than 42% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

AAP vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Parts
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AAPAdvance Auto Parts, Inc.$3.4B
57
DANDana, Inc.$3.3B
75
VGNTVersigent Plc$3.3B
1
QSQuantumScape Corp.$3.7B
35
VCVisteon Corp.$2.9B
68
PHINPHINIA, Inc.$2.8B
88
ATMUAtmus Filtration Technologies, Inc.$4.2B
67

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Advance Auto Parts, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AAP news & analysis

Advance Auto Parts vs. Joby Aviation: Which Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool · 14 Aug 2026neutral

The Motley Fool published a comparison of Advance Auto Parts and Joby Aviation as potential 2026 investment options. The article notes that Advance Auto Parts is executing a major restructuring plan to streamline its supply chain and focus on core retail operations, while Joby Aviation is advancing toward commercializing electric air taxi services with backing from global partners.

Why it matters — For Advance Auto Parts watchers, this highlights the company's ongoing restructuring efforts to streamline its supply chain and refocus on core retail operations.

Advance Auto Parts (AAP) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that Advance Auto Parts (AAP) has the right combination of two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming earnings report. The item notes earnings are expected to grow and highlights key expectations for the release.

Why it matters — AAP watchers would care because the item suggests the company is positioned for a favourable upcoming earnings report.

Advance Auto Parts vs. Lucid: Which Auto Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool · 12 Aug 2026neutral

A Motley Fool article compares Advance Auto Parts and Lucid Group as potential auto stock investments for 2026. It highlights AAP's extensive distribution network serving professional garages and DIY customers, while noting Lucid's aggressive scaling of luxury EV production backed by Saudi Arabian investment.

Why it matters — AAP watchers would care because the piece frames the company's distribution reach and customer base as a core point of comparison in evaluating its investment outlook.

Advance Auto Parts vs. Corning: Which Consumer Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?

The Motley Fool · 11 Aug 2026neutral

The Motley Fool compared Advance Auto Parts with Corning as potential consumer-stock investments in 2026. The piece notes that Advance Auto Parts is concentrating on its core blended-box model and professional sales to drive a business turnaround, while Corning is expanding into high-growth areas like optical communications and data center infrastructure.

Why it matters — AAP watchers would care because the article highlights the company's strategy of focusing on its blended-box model and professional sales to support its ongoing turnaround efforts.

Here's Why Advance Auto Parts (AAP) is a Strong Value Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Advance Auto Parts (AAP) as a strong value stock, referencing the Zacks Style Scores as a tool for picking market-beating stocks. The report suggests AAP merits attention for its value characteristics.

Why it matters — A positive value-stock designation from Zacks could draw investor attention to AAP's valuation profile.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AAP stock

What is the AAP stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 25 Wall Street analysts covering Advance Auto Parts, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $61, with estimates ranging from $35 to $70. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AAP stock a buy right now?

Of the 25 analysts covering Advance Auto Parts, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 20 a Hold and 3 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Advance Auto Parts, Inc. 57 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AAP?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Advance Auto Parts, Inc. ranks 57 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (83 of 100).

Will AAP stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 25 analysts implies +7.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Advance Auto Parts, Inc. 57 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AAP stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Advance Auto Parts, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AAP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $35 to $70 over the next 12 months.

How has AAP stock performed over the past year?

Advance Auto Parts, Inc. returned +1.5% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Advance Auto Parts, Inc. do?

Advance Auto Parts Inc. is a specialty automotive aftermarket parts retailer and distributor serving both professional repair shops and do‑it‑yourself vehicle owners across North America.

What is the latest news on AAP?

The most recent item we track (The Motley Fool, 14 Aug 2026): "Advance Auto Parts vs. Joby Aviation: Which Stock Is a Better Buy in 2026?". The Motley Fool published a comparison of Advance Auto Parts and Joby Aviation as potential 2026 investment options. The article notes that Advance Auto Parts is executing a major restructuring plan to streamline its supply chain and focus on core retail operations, while Joby Aviation is advancing toward commercializing electric air taxi services with backing from global partners.

Company

About Advance Auto Parts, Inc.

Advance Auto Parts Inc. is a specialty automotive aftermarket parts retailer and distributor serving both professional repair shops and do‑it‑yourself vehicle owners across North America. The company offers a broad assortment of replacement parts, batteries, accessories, motor oil, tools, and maintenance items for domestic and imported cars, light trucks, and commercial vehicles. Through its Advance Auto Parts, Carquest, Worldpac, and independent partner networks, it supports customers with extensive parts availability and delivery capabilities, emphasizing rapid fulfillment and coverage for a wide range of vehicle makes and models. The business plays a key role in the automotive maintenance and repair ecosystem by helping extend vehicle life cycles and support everyday transportation needs. Advance Auto Parts Inc., founded in 1929 and headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina, operates through store, branch, and distribution center locations, as well as digital channels, serving retail consumers, commercial garages, and other automotive professionals.

CEO Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly · 28,274 employees · United States · https://shop.advanceautoparts.com