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AAP Stock Forecast 2025-2026
$34.42
Current Price
$1.96B
Market Cap
Buy 2
Hold 23
Sell 3
Wall St Analyst Ratings
Distance to AAP Price Targets
+88.8%
To High Target of $65.00
+16.2%
To Median Target of $40.00
-62.2%
To Low Target of $13.00
AAP Price Momentum
+11.5%
1 Week Change
+11.5%
1 Month Change
-53.5%
1 Year Change
-27.2%
Year-to-Date Change
-55.4%
From 52W High of $77.13
+19.1%
From 52W Low of $28.89
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Latest AAP Stock Price Targets & Analyst Predictions
Based on our analysis of 34 Wall Street analysts, AAP has a neutral consensus with a median price target of $40.00 (ranging from $13.00 to $65.00). The overall analyst rating is Hold (5.9/10). Currently trading at $34.42, the median forecast implies a 16.2% upside. This outlook is supported by 2 Buy, 23 Hold, and 3 Sell ratings.
The most optimistic forecast comes from Seth Basham at Wedbush, projecting a 88.8% upside.
Please note that analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates subject to substantial market, economic, and company-specific risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual stock performance may materially differ from these projections. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
AAP Analyst Ratings
2
Buy
23
Hold
3
Sell
AAP Price Target Range
Low
$13.00
Average
$40.00
High
$65.00
Current: $34.42
Latest AAP Stock Forecasts by Analyst
These are the latest 20 analyst ratings and price targets for AAP.
| Date | Firm | Analyst | Rating | Change | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2025 | Evercore ISI Group | Greg Melich | In-Line | Maintains | $35.00 |
| Mar 3, 2025 | Wedbush | Seth Basham | Outperform | Reiterates | $55.00 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Citigroup | Steven Zaccone | Neutral | Maintains | $40.00 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | RBC Capital | Steven Shemesh | Sector Perform | Maintains | $44.00 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Truist Securities | Scott Ciccarelli | Hold | Maintains | $34.00 |
| Feb 27, 2025 | BMO Capital | Tristan Thomas-Martin | Market Perform | Maintains | $40.00 |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Citigroup | Steven Zaccone | Neutral | Maintains | $47.00 |
| Jan 9, 2025 | Barclays | Seth Sigman | Equal-Weight | Maintains | $54.00 |
| Jan 6, 2025 | Wells Fargo | Zachary Fadem | Equal-Weight | Maintains | $45.00 |
| Dec 13, 2024 | BMO Capital | Tristan Thomas-Martin | Market Perform | Initiates | $45.00 |
| Nov 20, 2024 | Evercore ISI Group | Greg Melich | In-Line | Maintains | $45.00 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Kate McShane | Neutral | Maintains | $43.00 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | RBC Capital | Steven Shemesh | Sector Perform | Maintains | $50.00 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | DA Davidson | Michael Baker | Neutral | Maintains | $45.00 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Wedbush | Seth Basham | Outperform | Reiterates | $55.00 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | UBS | Michael Lasser | Neutral | Maintains | $44.00 |
| Nov 15, 2024 | Truist Securities | Scott Ciccarelli | Hold | Maintains | $39.00 |
| Nov 11, 2024 | UBS | Neutral | Maintains | $0.00 | |
| Nov 11, 2024 | RBC Capital | Steven Shemesh | Sector Perform | Maintains | $46.00 |
| Nov 7, 2024 | Truist Securities | Scott Ciccarelli | Hold | Maintains | $41.00 |
Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP) Competitors
The following stocks are similar to Advance Auto based on their market capitalization and industry sector. These similar stocks potentially provide investors with alternative investment opportunities within the same market segment.
Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP) Financial Data
Advance Auto Parts Inc. has a market capitalization of $1.96B with a P/E ratio of 49.7x. The company generates $9.09B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a -3.7% profit margin.
Revenue growth is -0.9% quarter-over-quarter, while maintaining an operating margin of -4.0% and return on equity of -25.0%.
Valuation Metrics
Market Cap
$1.96B
Enterprise Value
$4.23B
P/E Ratio
49.7x
PEG Ratio
12.2x
Price/Sales
0.2x
Growth & Margins
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Gross Margin
+17.4%
Operating Margin
-4.0%
Net Margin
-3.7%
EPS Growth
-10.0%
Financial Health
Cash/Price Ratio
+90.8%
Current Ratio
1.3x
Debt/Equity
191.2x
ROE
-25.0%
ROA
+0.1%
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Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP) Business Model
About Advance Auto Parts Inc.
What They Do
Provides automotive aftermarket parts and services.
Business Model
The company operates a vast network of retail stores and distribution centers across North America, catering to both professional installers and do-it-yourself consumers. It generates revenue through the sale of a wide range of automotive parts, accessories, and maintenance items, ensuring customers have access to necessary components for vehicle upkeep.
Additional Information
Advance Auto Parts is a significant player in the automotive supply chain, supporting both individual customers and automotive businesses. Its strategic locations and distribution efficiency are essential for maintaining vehicle performance, contributing to the broader automotive economy.
Company Information
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Auto Parts
Employees
33,200
CEO
Mr. Shane M. O'Kelly
Country
United States
IPO Year
2001
Website
shop.advanceautoparts.comAdvance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP) Latest News & Analysis
Featured Analysis
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Zacks Investment Research
Cisco Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Up Y/Y, Shares Rise
CSCO's third-quarter fiscal 2025 results benefit from strong revenue growth and rising sales of security and networking solutions.
May 15, 2025
By Nilanshi Mukherjee
Analyst Blog
Analysts Estimate Advance Auto Parts (AAP) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) doesn't possess the right combination of the two key ingredients for a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. Get prepared with the key expectations.
May 15, 2025
By Zacks Equity Research
Tale of the Tape
2 Auto Stocks to Consider for a Rebound: AAP, F
While both companies have faced headwinds in recent years, Advance Auto Parts (AAP) and Ford (F) stock could be in store for a sharp rebound at some point.
May 14, 2025
By Shaun Pruitt
Investment Ideas
Latest News
Analysts Estimate Advance Auto Parts (AAP) to Report a Decline in Earnings: What to Look Out for
1 day ago
Quick Summary
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) may struggle to exceed earnings expectations in its upcoming report due to lacking key factors for a potential earnings beat.
Why It Matters
Advance Auto Parts may underperform in its earnings report, signaling potential stock price declines and affecting investor sentiment and confidence in the company's future performance.
Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment:
Negative
Quick Summary
The Russell 2000 index, a key small-cap stock benchmark, has increased by approximately 3.8% this week, signaling a positive trend for small-cap investors.
Why It Matters
The Russell 2000's 3.8% rise signals strong performance in small-cap stocks, indicating potential growth opportunities and market confidence that can attract investor interest.
Source: MarketBeat
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Quick Summary
Advance Auto Parts (AAP) and Ford (F) stocks may experience a significant rebound in the future, despite recent challenges faced by both companies.
Why It Matters
Potential for a rebound in Advance Auto Parts and Ford stocks signals possible growth opportunities, attracting investors looking for undervalued assets or turnaround stories.
Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment:
Positive
Advance Auto Parts Announces Date for First Quarter 2025 Earnings Release and Conference Call
15 days ago
Quick Summary
Advance Auto Parts, Inc. (NYSE: AAP) will report Q1 financial results on May 22, 2025, before market open, with a conference call at 8:00 a.m. ET. Webcast available on the Investor Relations site.
Why It Matters
Advance Auto Parts' upcoming Q1 earnings report and conference call will provide key financial insights, affecting stock performance and investor sentiment in the automotive aftermarket sector.
Source: Business Wire
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Quick Summary
Zacks emphasizes its Rank system, focusing on earnings estimates and revisions to identify strong stocks, while also monitoring value, growth, and momentum trends.
Why It Matters
The Zacks Rank system highlights stocks with favorable earnings estimates, guiding investors toward potentially profitable opportunities based on current market trends.
Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment:
Positive
Quick Summary
Auto part retailers AZO, GPC, and AAP are expected to gain from increased demand for replacement parts and ongoing expansion initiatives.
Why It Matters
Rising demand for replacement parts and expansion efforts signal potential revenue growth for auto part retailers like AZO, GPC, and AAP, influencing their stock performance positively.
Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment:
Positive
Frequently Asked Questions About AAP Stock
What is Advance Auto Parts Inc.'s (AAP) stock forecast for 2025?
Based on our analysis of 34 Wall Street analysts, Advance Auto Parts Inc. (AAP) has a median price target of $40.00. The highest price target is $65.00 and the lowest is $13.00.
Is AAP stock a good investment in 2025?
According to current analyst ratings, AAP has 2 Buy ratings, 23 Hold ratings, and 3 Sell ratings. The stock is currently trading at $34.42. Always conduct your own research and consider your investment goals before making investment decisions.
What is the long-term price prediction for AAP stock?
Wall Street analysts predict AAP stock could reach $40.00 in the next 12 months. This represents a 16.2% increase from the current price of $34.42. Please note that this is a projection by Wall Street analysts and not a guarantee.
What is Advance Auto Parts Inc.'s business model?
The company operates a vast network of retail stores and distribution centers across North America, catering to both professional installers and do-it-yourself consumers. It generates revenue through the sale of a wide range of automotive parts, accessories, and maintenance items, ensuring customers have access to necessary components for vehicle upkeep.
What is the highest forecasted price for AAP Advance Auto Parts Inc.?
The highest price target for AAP is $65.00 from Seth Basham at Wedbush, which represents a 88.8% increase from the current price of $34.42.
What is the lowest forecasted price for AAP Advance Auto Parts Inc.?
The lowest price target for AAP is $13.00 from at , which represents a -62.2% decrease from the current price of $34.42.
What is the overall AAP consensus from analysts for Advance Auto Parts Inc.?
The overall analyst consensus for AAP is neutral. Out of 34 Wall Street analysts, 2 rate it as Buy, 23 as Hold, and 3 as Sell, with a median price target of $40.00.
How accurate are AAP stock price projections?
Stock price projections, including those for Advance Auto Parts Inc., are based on various factors including financial models, market conditions, and analyst forecasts. While these predictions provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.
Important Disclaimer
The information provided by Ticker Nerd is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analyst ratings and price forecasts are sourced from Wall St analysts and other experts. These projections are speculative and do not guarantee future stock performance.
Last updated: May 16, 2025 4:49 PM UTC