ADMConsumer Defensive · Farm ProductsThe 11 Wall Street analysts covering Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $83 — +2.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 91 of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (92): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Accruals (49): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (6): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ADM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +2.9% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | $77 → $75 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | UBS | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 17 Aug 2026 | UBS | Reiterates | Buy | $95 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $85 → $90 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | $60 → $79 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 20 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $58 → $60 |
| 20 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 15 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $90 → $95 |
| 15 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 May 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 6 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 6 Apr 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 24 Mar 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 19 Feb 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
ADM appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. returned +31.9% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Cheaper than 82% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 45% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 8% of US stocks
Higher than 52% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. has a market value of $38.6B and an enterprise value of $47.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $82.1B. The latest quarter grew 7.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.8B, a 2.2% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.7B, after $1.1B of capital spending.
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. spent $1.0B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 22.0×; forward P/E: 14.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.59%, paying out 56% of earnings.
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. employs 40,798 people — $2.0M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| ADMArcher-Daniels-Midland Co. | $38.6B | 91 |
| BGBunge Global SA | $20.0B | 41 |
| TSNTyson Foods, Inc. | $19.6B | 52 |
| SFDSmithfield Foods, Inc. | $7.3B | 36 |
| CALMCal-Maine Foods, Inc. | $3.0B | 25 |
| SYYSysco Corp.* | $39.0B | 74 |
| ELThe Estée Lauder Companies, Inc.* | $38.0B | 90 |
* Nearest Consumer Defensive names by size — few farm products companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Seeking Alpha ranked all 69 S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats by its 9F Quality Scores and grouped them by valuation, identifying 12 as undervalued, 18 as fairly valued, and 39 as overvalued. The excerpt does not state ADM’s ranking or valuation group.
Why it matters — ADM watchers may note the article’s broad comparison of Dividend Aristocrats, but the excerpt provides no specific assessment of ADM.
ADM, through ADM Cares, is expanding its partnership with Concern Worldwide US in Kenya’s Tana River County. In its fourth phase, the LEAF program is reaching 17,500 smallholder farmers and is expected to indirectly benefit more than 100,000 people.
Why it matters — The expansion highlights ADM’s corporate social investment efforts focused on supporting smallholder farmers and climate resilience in Kenya.
Archer Daniels Midland closed at $80.51 in the most recent trading session, down 2.54% from the previous trading day. The headline reports that ADM stock declined while the market improved.
Why it matters — ADM watchers may note the stock’s session decline against the market’s improvement.
Seeking Alpha reports that Schwab US Dividend Equity ETF outperformed SPY year to date, with strong returns from holdings including DINO, APA and TXN contributing to performance. Eight SCHD constituents announced dividend increases averaging 5.73%.
Why it matters — The item describes performance and dividend trends among SCHD holdings, but does not mention ADM specifically, so its direct relevance to ADM watchers is limited.
A Zacks Investment Research headline describes Archer Daniels Midland as a top-ranked value stock and points readers to Zacks Style Scores as a way to identify stocks for an investment portfolio.
Why it matters — ADM watchers may note the article’s favorable value-stock framing and its reference to Zacks’ stock-ranking approach.
The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. have a median 12-month price target of $83, with estimates ranging from $60 to $95. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 11 analysts covering Archer-Daniels-Midland Co., 1 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. 91 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 24 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 24 Oct 2026, Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. ranks 91 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +2.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. 91 out of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ADM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $60 to $95 over the next 12 months.
Archer-Daniels-Midland Co. returned +31.9% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company is a global agricultural processing and nutrition company focused on connecting crops to end markets through sourcing, transporting, storing, and transforming farm commodities. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company operates across human and animal nutrition, agricultural supply chain management, and bio-based products, serving customers in food, beverage, feed, fuel, and industrial markets.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 23 Oct 2026): "The Dividend Aristocrats Ranked By Quality Scores (October 2026)". Seeking Alpha ranked all 69 S&P 500 Dividend Aristocrats by its 9F Quality Scores and grouped them by valuation, identifying 12 as undervalued, 18 as fairly valued, and 39 as overvalued. The excerpt does not state ADM’s ranking or valuation group.
Archer-Daniels-Midland Company is a global agricultural processing and nutrition company focused on connecting crops to end markets through sourcing, transporting, storing, and transforming farm commodities. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company operates across human and animal nutrition, agricultural supply chain management, and bio-based products, serving customers in food, beverage, feed, fuel, and industrial markets. Its current business segments include Ag Services and Oilseeds, Carbohydrate Solutions, and Nutrition, with activities ranging from oilseed crushing and grain merchandising to corn and wheat processing, ingredients, and specialty nutrition solutions. The company also provides transportation and logistics capabilities that support the movement of agricultural raw materials across regions and industries. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, Archer-Daniels-Midland Company plays a central role in the global food and ingredients system by converting crops into essential products used by consumers and businesses worldwide.
CEO Mr. Juan Ricardo Luciano · 40,798 employees · United States · https://www.adm.com
