ALABTechnology · SemiconductorsThe 26 Wall Street analysts covering Astera Labs, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $425 — +24.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 42 of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Astera Labs, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (100): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Volatility (7): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (5): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALAB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug 2026 | Northland Capital Markets | Upgrade | Outperform | $350 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Evercore ISI Group | Maintains | Outperform | $297 → $452 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Jefferies | Maintains | Buy | $270 → $450 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Overweight | $335 → $382 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | $260 → $425 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 5 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $425 → $500 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $425 → $375 |
| 5 Aug 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | $230 → $275 |
| 31 July 2026 | Susquehanna | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 20 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $200 → $325 |
| 20 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 13 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | $225 → $425 |
| 13 July 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 29 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALAB appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, Astera Labs, Inc. returned +51.8% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 4% of US stocks
Cheaper than 6% of US stocks
Cheaper than 3% of US stocks
Cheaper than 1% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 86% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 85% of US stocks
Higher than 93% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Astera Labs, Inc. has a market value of $59.4B and an enterprise value of $65.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter grew 104.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $369.5M, a 30.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.02.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $276.7M.
Trailing P/E: 168.6×; forward P/E: 53.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Astera Labs, Inc. employs 756 people — $1.6M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Astera Labs, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) closed at $342.21 in the latest trading session, down 1.39% from the prior day.
Why it matters — ALAB watchers may note the stock's daily decline despite the market gains referenced in the headline.
Astera Labs expanded its PCIe portfolio with Aries 7, advancing its AI connectivity push amid surging demand and competition from Marvell and Credo.
Why it matters — ALAB watchers may note the portfolio expansion as the company competes in AI connectivity against Marvell and Credo.
Marvell Technology outlined a projected fiscal 2031 revenue range of $70 billion to $90 billion at its Oct. 6 Investor Day. The excerpt says investors have so far appeared willing to bet on the company achieving its growth goal.
Why it matters — The article concerns ambitions in the semiconductor industry, but the excerpt provides no specific information about Astera Labs.
The article compares Micron and Astera Labs as AI infrastructure companies, saying Micron supplies AI racks while Astera connects them. It notes both are expanding into each other’s areas and contrasts Micron’s perceived safety with Astera’s potential runway.
Why it matters — The comparison highlights Astera’s role in AI infrastructure and its expansion into territory shared with Micron.
Astera Labs announced Aries 7, a PCIe 7 signal-conditioning portfolio spanning copper and optical interconnects. The portfolio includes retimers, redrivers, cable modules, optical drivers, and optical transimpedance amplifiers for connectivity in AI systems.
Why it matters — ALAB watchers may note the announcement expands the company’s stated portfolio of connectivity products for AI systems.
The 26 Wall Street analysts covering Astera Labs, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $425, with estimates ranging from $190 to $500. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 26 analysts covering Astera Labs, Inc., 19 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Astera Labs, Inc. 42 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 10 Oct 2026, Astera Labs, Inc. ranks 42 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (100 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 26 analysts implies +24.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Astera Labs, Inc. 42 out of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Astera Labs, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALAB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $190 to $500 over the next 12 months.
Astera Labs, Inc. returned +51.8% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Astera Labs, Inc. is a semiconductor company focused on connectivity solutions for cloud and AI infrastructure.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 9 Oct 2026): "Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note". Astera Labs, Inc. (ALAB) closed at $342.21 in the latest trading session, down 1.39% from the prior day.
Astera Labs, Inc. is a semiconductor company focused on connectivity solutions for cloud and AI infrastructure. The company develops hardware and software that help data centers move information between processors, memory, storage, and networking systems with greater speed, reliability, and scalability. Its product portfolio includes PCIe, CXL, Ethernet, UALink, and NVLink Fusion-based solutions, along with system management software designed for rack-scale AI environments. Astera Labs serves hyperscale cloud operators, AI infrastructure providers, and other data center customers that need high-performance connectivity to support modern accelerated computing workloads. The company’s offerings are central to the data movement layer of AI and cloud platforms, where bandwidth, latency, and interoperability are critical. Headquartered in San Jose, California, Astera Labs is positioned as a specialist supplier within the semiconductor industry, serving markets tied to enterprise computing, cloud services, and AI infrastructure.
CEO Mr. Jitendra Mohan · 756 employees · United States · https://www.asteralabs.com
