ALTOBasic Materials · Specialty ChemicalsThe 2 Wall Street analysts covering Alto Ingredients, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $9 — +105.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 99 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Alto Ingredients, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (98): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Revisions (48): Analysts have, on balance, been cutting their forecasts.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ALTO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +105.9% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 May 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Maintains | Buy | $5.50 → $10 |
| 6 Mar 2025 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2024 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 7 May 2024 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 12 Mar 2024 | Craig-Hallum | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Mar 2024 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 6 Nov 2023 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Aug 2023 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 7 Feb 2023 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 29 Jan 2021 | Guggenheim | Initiates | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ALTO appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 87% of US stocks
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 58% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 7% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 61% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Alto Ingredients, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Alto Ingredients' renewable fuel exports have declined as Middle East disruption raises freight costs, though stronger premiums and U.S. ethanol demand have softened the impact on the company.
Why it matters — ALTO watchers would care because export challenges could weigh on the company's growth outlook even as domestic demand and premiums provide some offset.
Zacks reports that Alto Ingredients delivered stronger second-quarter profitability, though the near-term outlook is clouded by export headwinds, rising costs, and downward estimate revisions.
Why it matters — ALTO watchers would care because the report balances improved earnings against persistent risks that could affect the company's near-term performance.
Alto Ingredients' 45Z tax credits are contributing to its earnings as the company works to expand eligible production and lower carbon intensity, according to Zacks Investment Research.
Why it matters — A watcher of ALTO would care because the 45Z tax credits represent a potential earnings driver tied to the company's expansion and carbon-intensity reduction efforts.
Alto Ingredients reported strong second-quarter results with better-than-expected profitability and solid cash generation, though performance was tempered by headwinds in its high-margin export business and hedging losses. Shares fell more than 15% in recent sessions, likely due to the company establishing a $50 million at-the-market offering.
Why it matters — The company delivered a strong quarter despite export and hedging headwinds, while the recent share decline tied to the new ATM offering is notable for ALTO watchers.
Alto Ingredients' second-quarter results showed an extended operating recovery, supported by stronger margins, lower corn costs, and tax-credit gains. The report highlights the company's EBITDA surge as evidence of this continued improvement.
Why it matters — A watch of Alto Ingredients would take note of the operating recovery driven by margin improvement and input cost relief in the second quarter.
The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Alto Ingredients, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $9, with estimates ranging from $8 to $10. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 2 analysts covering Alto Ingredients, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Alto Ingredients, Inc. 99 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 22 Aug 2026, Alto Ingredients, Inc. ranks 99 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (98 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +105.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Alto Ingredients, Inc. 99 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Alto Ingredients, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ALTO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $8 to $10 over the next 12 months.
Alto Ingredients, Inc. returned +324.3% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Alto Ingredients Inc. is a leading producer and distributor of specialty alcohols, renewable fuels, and essential ingredients.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 17 Aug 2026): "Can Alto Ingredients' Export Challenges Weigh on Growth Outlook?". Alto Ingredients' renewable fuel exports have declined as Middle East disruption raises freight costs, though stronger premiums and U.S. ethanol demand have softened the impact on the company.
Alto Ingredients Inc. is a leading producer and distributor of specialty alcohols, renewable fuels, and essential ingredients. The company operates through three main segments: Marketing and Distribution, which handles marketing and merchant trading of company-produced alcohols, essential ingredients, and third-party fuel-grade ethanol; Pekin Campus Production, focused on producing and selling alcohols and essential ingredients at its Pekin, Illinois facility; and Western Production, covering renewable fuel and essential ingredients from two western U.S. facilities. Alto Ingredients Inc. serves diverse markets including Health, Home & Beauty; Food & Beverage; Industry & Agriculture; Essential Ingredients; and Renewable Fuels, supplying customers such as food and beverage companies, consumer products manufacturers, and distributors. Its products enhance everyday goods like cleaning solutions, pharmaceuticals, high-protein feeds, pet food, and low-carbon ethanol fuel. Founded in 2003 and headquartered in Pekin, Illinois, Alto Ingredients Inc. leverages its ethanol production capabilities across five U.S. facilities to meet demand in these key sectors.
CEO Mr. Bryon T. McGregor · 393 employees · United States · https://www.altoingredients.com