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GEVO Stock Forecast: Gevo, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 23 Oct 2026
$1.16
+1.75% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Gevo, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $2.5 — +115.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$274.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
56/ 100
Median analyst target
$2.50
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$46.5M+7.1% y/y
Operating income$4.1M
Net income−$176.3M
Free cash flow−$20.8M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.9%
1M
−20.0%
YTD
−42.0%
1Y
−51.9%
From 52W high
−58.3%
From 52W low
+4.5%
$1.11
$2.78
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GEVO stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Gevo, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Oct 2026
56/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
91
Revisions
86
Size
62
Issuance
60
Momentum
40
Quality
40
Volatility
33
Value
27
Growth
24

Accruals (91): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Growth (24): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GEVO stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GEVO, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$0.00$5.00$10.00$15.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GEVOHigh $14.00Median $2.50Low $1.70

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
2 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $1.70Median $2.50High $14.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +115.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
22 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$2.25 → $2.00
16 Apr 2026Northland Capital MarketsMaintainsOutperform—
31 Dec 2025Northland Capital MarketsReiteratesOutperform—
17 Sept 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
30 May 2025HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
2 Apr 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
28 Mar 2025HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
10 Mar 2025HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
4 Feb 2025HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
13 Nov 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
22 Oct 2024UBSMaintainsNeutral—
18 Oct 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
13 Sept 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
12 Aug 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
3 May 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
10 Apr 2024UBSMaintainsNeutral—
8 Mar 2024HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy—
13 Dec 2023UBSMaintainsNeutral—
27 Nov 2023StifelMaintainsBuy—
22 Aug 2023StifelMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

GEVO appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

GEVO vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Gevo, Inc. returned −51.9% against +14.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GEVO vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GEVOS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GEVO analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−8.0×

Cheaper than 92% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.5×

Cheaper than 58% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 71% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−16.5×

Cheaper than 89% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
7.1%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
7.1%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Gross margin
57.2%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Operating margin
−76.8%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Net margin
−119.9%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−55.5%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Return on assets
−5.2%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Gevo, Inc. has a market value of $274.4M and an enterprise value of $386.1M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $177.5M. The latest quarter grew 7.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$211.2M, a −119.0% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$56.7M.

  • Shares outstanding: 247.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: −8.0×; forward P/E: 18.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Gevo, Inc. employs 151 people — $1.2M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 22 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GEVO vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSpecialty Chemicals
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GEVOGevo, Inc.$274.4M56
ALTOAlto Ingredients, Inc.$277.7M100
MNTKMontauk Renewables, Inc.$293.0M60
OECOrion SA$303.2M58
FFFutureFuel Corp.$241.8M39
ASPIASP Isotopes, Inc.$320.4M5
HDSNHudson Technologies, Inc.$230.5M56

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Gevo, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GEVO news & analysis

Gevo Provides Business Update, Anticipates Carbon Business to Deliver Over $50 Million of Revenue in 2026

GlobeNewsWire · 22 Oct 2026positive

Gevo said its carbon business is anticipated to deliver over $50 million in revenue in 2026, excluding U.S. federal incentives such as the Section 45Z credit. The company also said a planned 2028 expansion of Gevo North Dakota could approximately double carbon-business revenue and other revenue streams from the site.

Why it matters — The update outlines Gevo’s stated expectations for carbon-business revenue and the potential contribution of its planned North Dakota expansion.

Gevo Announces First Multi-Year Carbon Removal Credits Supply Agreement Through CEEZER

GlobeNewsWire · 14 Oct 2026positive

Gevo announced its first multi-year carbon removal credits supply agreement through CEEZER, providing for three years of durable carbon removals from Gevo North Dakota to a leading global enterprise software company.

Why it matters — The agreement marks a multi-year customer arrangement for carbon removals from Gevo North Dakota.

Gevo Announces Sell Out of Substantially All its 2026 Section 45Z Tax Credits

GlobeNewsWire · 1 Oct 2026positive

Gevo announced it has sold substantially all of the Section 45Z tax credits generated by its 2026 ethanol and renewable natural gas (RNG) facilities, totaling $70 million worth of credits. The announcement was made on October 1, 2026.

Why it matters — This monetization of nearly all of its 2026 Section 45Z tax credits provides Gevo with a significant, concrete revenue stream from its existing operations.

Gevo Sees Carbon Credits, 45Z Incentives Driving $60M EBITDA Outlook

MarketBeat · 23 Sept 2026positive

Gevo CEO Paul Bloom said during a Water Tower Research conference session that the company is positioning its North Dakota ethanol and carbon sequestration operations as the core of a broader low-carbon fuels and carbon-management business. He sees carbon credits and 45Z incentives driving the company's $60 million EBITDA outlook.

Why it matters — Gevo watchers would care because the company is framing its existing North Dakota operations as central to growth in low-carbon fuels and carbon management, with carbon credits and 45Z incentives underpinning its near-term EBITDA expectations.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GEVO stock

What is the GEVO stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Gevo, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $2.5, with estimates ranging from $1.7 to $14. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GEVO stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Gevo, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Gevo, Inc. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GEVO?

As at 22 Oct 2026, Gevo, Inc. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (91 of 100).

Will GEVO stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +115.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Gevo, Inc. 56 out of 100 as at 22 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GEVO stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Gevo, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GEVO are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $1.7 to $14 over the next 12 months.

How has GEVO stock performed over the past year?

Gevo, Inc. returned -51.9% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Gevo, Inc. do?

Gevo Inc. is a renewable chemicals and advanced biofuels company focused on developing and commercializing low-carbon alternatives to petroleum-based products.

What is the latest news on GEVO?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 22 Oct 2026): "Gevo Provides Business Update, Anticipates Carbon Business to Deliver Over $50 Million of Revenue in 2026". Gevo said its carbon business is anticipated to deliver over $50 million in revenue in 2026, excluding U.S. federal incentives such as the Section 45Z credit. The company also said a planned 2028 expansion of Gevo North Dakota could approximately double carbon-business revenue and other revenue streams from the site.

Company

About Gevo, Inc.

Gevo Inc. is a renewable chemicals and advanced biofuels company focused on developing and commercializing low-carbon alternatives to petroleum-based products. The company produces and works with sustainable aviation fuel, renewable gasoline, diesel, and renewable natural gas, along with specialty chemicals and materials used in industrial applications. Its business also includes isobutanol-based products and related hydrocarbon derivatives that serve as building blocks for fuels, plastics, and other chemical markets. Gevo’s operations are organized around renewable fuels, carbon abatement, and integrated production activities that support transportation, aviation, and industrial customers seeking cleaner feedstocks. Headquartered in Englewood, Colorado, Gevo plays a role in the transition toward bio-based energy and chemical solutions by converting renewable inputs into drop-in products designed to work within existing fuel and manufacturing systems.

CEO Dr. Paul D. Bloom · 151 employees · United States · https://gevo.com