AMBAAMBATechnology · Semiconductor Equipment & Materials

AMBA Stock Forecast: Ambarella, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$63
−5.59% on the day

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Ambarella, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $96 — +51.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 53 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
53 / 100
Median analyst target
$96
Analysts covering
14
Revenue$100.4M+16.9% y/y
Operating income−$19.4M
Net income−$18.1M
Free cash flow−$29.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−10.9%
1M
−23.3%
YTD
−10.5%
1Y
−20.1%
From 52W high
−33.6%
From 52W low
+30.3%
$49
$96
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AMBA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ambarella, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
53 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
73
Revisions
70
Accruals
68
Momentum
51
Value
50
Quality
47
Volatility
43
Issuance
33
Size
31

Growth (73): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Issuance (33): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (31): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AMBA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AMBA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$60$80$100$120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AMBAHigh $120Median $96Low $80

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says14 analysts
7 Buy7 Hold0 Sell
Low $80Median $96High $120

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +51.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
29 May 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral$72$96
29 May 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$115$120
29 May 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$80$110
26 May 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy$115
23 Mar 2026RosenblattMaintainsBuy
26 Nov 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral
26 Nov 2025NeedhamReiteratesBuy
26 Nov 2025RosenblattMaintainsBuy
26 Nov 2025StifelReiteratesBuy
24 Nov 2025RosenblattMaintainsBuy
29 Aug 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral
29 Aug 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight
29 Aug 2025NeedhamMaintainsBuy
29 Aug 2025Northland Capital MarketsMaintainsOutperform
29 Aug 2025OppenheimerMaintainsPerform
29 Aug 2025RosenblattMaintainsBuy
29 Aug 2025StifelMaintainsBuy
22 July 2025SusquehannaMaintainsPositive
30 May 2025NeedhamMaintainsBuy
30 May 2025RosenblattMaintainsBuy

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AMBA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

AMBA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Ambarella, Inc. returned −20.1% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AMBA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AMBAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AMBA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+5.2%
Analysts raising
8
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−38.1×

Cheaper than 98% of US stocks

Price / sales
7.3×

Cheaper than 18% of US stocks

Price / book
4.9×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−43.2×

Cheaper than 93% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
16.9%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
16.9%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Gross margin
58.4%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Operating margin
−19.3%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Net margin
−17.2%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−11.8%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Return on assets
−6.4%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Ambarella, Inc. has a market value of $3.0B and an enterprise value of $2.7B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $405.2M. The latest quarter grew 16.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$69.6M, a −17.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.61.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026: $18.2M, after $14.9M of capital spending.

  • Ambarella, Inc. spent $2.4M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 Apr 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 43.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: −38.1×; forward P/E: 59.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Ambarella, Inc. employs 959 people $423K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 Apr 2026 · market figures as at 2 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AMBA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSemiconductor Equipment & Materials
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AMBAAmbarella, Inc.$3.0B
53
UCTTUltra Clean Holdings, Inc.$3.0B
39
VECOVeeco Instruments, Inc.$2.6B
45
IPGPIPG Photonics Corp.$3.2B
53
AEHRAehr Test Systems$2.5B
14
ACLSAxcelis Technologies, Inc.$3.4B
72
AXTIAXT, Inc.$3.7B
32

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ambarella, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AMBA news & analysis

Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 3 Sept 2026neutral

The transcript of Ambarella, Inc.'s Q2 2027 earnings call was published on Seeking Alpha, covering the company's financial results and management commentary for the quarter.

Why it matters — AMBA watchers would care because the earnings call transcript provides management's direct discussion of the quarter's performance and business outlook.

Ambarella (AMBA) Q2 Earnings and Revenues Surpass Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Sept 2026positive

Ambarella reported quarterly earnings of $0.18 per share, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.16 per share. This compares to earnings of $0.15 per share in the same quarter a year ago.

Why it matters — The earnings beat the consensus estimate and improved year over year, which is a notable signal for investors tracking Ambarella's financial performance.

Ambarella Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 3 Sept 2026positive

Ambarella reported fiscal second-quarter revenue of $108.1 million, up 7.7% sequentially and 13.2% year over year, driven by record AI revenue and continued demand from automotive and IoT customers. The company posted non-GAAP diluted EPS of $0.18 on non-GAAP net income of $8.2 million.

Why it matters — The record AI revenue and double-digit year-over-year growth signal strengthening demand across Ambarella's core automotive and IoT markets.

Ambarella Shares Sink After Q2 Print: What to Know

Benzinga · 3 Sept 2026negative

Ambarella reported its fiscal 2027 second-quarter results after Thursday's market close, beating analyst estimates but leaving investors unsatisfied, causing the company's shares to sink. The report details the specific figures behind the disappointing reaction.

Why it matters — This earnings report is a key indicator of the company's recent financial performance and explains why its stock declined despite beating expectations.

Chipmaker Ambarella Posts Mixed Fiscal Q2 Earnings Report

Investors Business Daily · 3 Sept 2026positive

Ambarella narrowly beat analyst estimates for its fiscal second quarter and matched expectations with its sales forecast for fiscal Q3. The company's stock rose following the mixed earnings report.

Why it matters — The results provide AMBA watchers with a snapshot of the company's recent financial performance and near-term outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AMBA stock

What is the AMBA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 14 Wall Street analysts covering Ambarella, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $96, with estimates ranging from $80 to $120. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AMBA stock a buy right now?

Of the 14 analysts covering Ambarella, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 7 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ambarella, Inc. 53 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AMBA?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Ambarella, Inc. ranks 53 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (73 of 100).

Will AMBA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 14 analysts implies +51.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ambarella, Inc. 53 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AMBA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Ambarella, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AMBA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $80 to $120 over the next 12 months.

How has AMBA stock performed over the past year?

Ambarella, Inc. returned -20.1% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Ambarella, Inc. do?

Ambarella Inc. is a semiconductor company that develops low-power system-on-chip solutions and software for edge artificial intelligence applications.

What is the latest news on AMBA?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 3 Sept 2026): "Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) Q2 2027 Earnings Call Transcript". The transcript of Ambarella, Inc.'s Q2 2027 earnings call was published on Seeking Alpha, covering the company's financial results and management commentary for the quarter.

Company

About Ambarella, Inc.

Ambarella Inc. is a semiconductor company that develops low-power system-on-chip solutions and software for edge artificial intelligence applications. The company focuses on processing visual data at the device level, supporting functions such as video capture, image analysis, object detection, and intelligent automation. Its product portfolio includes AI-driven processors, video and image processing chips, and related software tools designed for use in systems that need efficient, real-time decision-making. Ambarella serves markets including automotive, video security, robotics, and industrial automation, where compact, power-efficient semiconductors are essential for advanced sensing and local analytics. Based in Santa Clara, California, Ambarella plays a notable role in the market for edge AI and computer vision hardware, supplying technology that enables smarter electronic systems across connected devices and embedded platforms.

CEO Dr. Feng-Ming Wang Ph.D. · 959 employees · United States · https://www.ambarella.com