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AMRC Stock Forecast: Ameresco, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$21
−3.72% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Ameresco, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $42 — +96.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 38 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
38 / 100
Median analyst target
$42
Analysts covering
12
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−23.4%
1M
−7.6%
YTD
−27.1%
1Y
−6.0%
From 52W high
−50.6%
From 52W low
+15.4%
$19
$43
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AMRC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ameresco, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
38 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
82
Growth
69
Momentum
51
Value
46
Size
44
Issuance
38
Quality
25
Accruals
21
Volatility
18

Revisions (82): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (18): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

AMRC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AMRC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$30$40$50$60Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26AMRCHigh $62Median $42Low $32

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says12 analysts
8 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $32Median $42High $62

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +96.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 4 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
18 Aug 2026BairdDowngradeNeutral$36 → $32
5 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
5 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$28 → $32
4 Aug 2026BNP ParibasUpgradeOutperform$34 → $40
4 Aug 2026BNP ParibasUpgradeOutperform—
4 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
4 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$59 → $62
19 May 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$41 → $45
19 May 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
6 May 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
5 May 2026BairdMaintainsOutperform—
13 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
11 Mar 2026StifelReiteratesBuy—
4 Mar 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
3 Mar 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
3 Dec 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral—
14 Nov 2025StifelMaintainsBuy—
3 Nov 2025Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy—
31 Oct 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
25 Sept 2025JefferiesUpgradeBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AMRC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

AMRC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+12.0%
Analysts raising
8
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
40.3×

Cheaper than 19% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

Price / book
0.9×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
14.5×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.1%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−24.5%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Gross margin
17.7%

Higher than 18% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.5%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Net margin
1.4%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
4.3%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.9%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

AMRC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEngineering & Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AMRCAmeresco, Inc.$1.1B
38
WLDNWilldan Group, Inc.$1.3B
64
BWMNBowman Consulting Group Ltd.$746.0M
64
ITGITG, Inc.$624.9M
2
CDNLCardinal Infrastructure Group, Inc.$2.1B
13
PHOEPhoenix Asia Holdings Ltd.$483.0M
9
BBCPConcrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.$470.8M
97

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ameresco, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AMRC news & analysis

Ameresco: A $1.5 Billion AI Power Backlog Changes The Story

Seeking Alpha · 23 Aug 2026positive

A Seeking Alpha report rates Ameresco (AMRC) a Buy, citing a $1.5 billion awarded data center backlog that exceeds its roughly $2 billion annual revenue base. The report notes the stock trades at a discount to historical averages amid market skepticism about converting awarded backlog into contracted revenue, while leverage stands at about $1.82 billion in net debt, cash flow remains negative, and interest expense is substantial.

Why it matters — AMRC watchers would care because the potential large AI/data center backlog could reshape the company's growth outlook, even as high leverage and negative cash flow cast uncertainty over converting those awards into revenue.

Ameresco Announces Departure of Chief Financial Officer

Business Wire · 19 Aug 2026negative

Ameresco announced that Mark Chiplock will resign as Chief Financial Officer effective September 25, 2026, to accept a CFO position at a private equity-owned company in a different industry. The company acknowledged his contributions and the financial team he built and mentored.

Why it matters — AMRC watchers would care because the company is losing a key executive and will need to address CFO succession as the departure takes effect.

Wall Street Analysts Predict a 54.26% Upside in Ameresco (AMRC): Here's What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026positive

A Zacks Investment Research article reports that the consensus price target for Ameresco (AMRC) implies a 54.3% upside potential. It notes that while this metric is often unreliable, an upward trend in earnings estimate revisions could signal near-term upside for the stock.

Why it matters — AMRC watchers would care because the article points to a possible 54.3% upside per analyst consensus and a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions for the stock.

Why This Niche Energy Stock Delivered A Major Price Surge Post Earnings

Investors Business Daily · 4 Aug 2026positive

Ameresco (AMRC) shares surged after the company reported its second-quarter earnings. The stock had been struggling before the report but is now rallying.

Why it matters — The major post-earnings price surge marks a notable turnaround for AMRC watchers after the stock had been mired in weakness ahead of the results.

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 4 Aug 2026neutral

Ameresco, Inc. (AMRC) held its Q2 2026 earnings conference call, with the transcript published by Seeking Alpha. The call covered the company's financial results and operational updates for the second quarter of 2026.

Why it matters — Earnings call transcripts provide AMRC watchers with direct insight into management's discussion of quarterly performance and forward-looking commentary.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AMRC stock

What is the AMRC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Ameresco, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $42, with estimates ranging from $32 to $62. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AMRC stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Ameresco, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ameresco, Inc. 38 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AMRC?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Ameresco, Inc. ranks 38 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (82 of 100).

Will AMRC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +96.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ameresco, Inc. 38 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AMRC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Ameresco, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AMRC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $32 to $62 over the next 12 months.

How has AMRC stock performed over the past year?

Ameresco, Inc. returned -6.0% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Ameresco, Inc. do?

Ameresco Inc. is an energy infrastructure solutions provider and cleantech integrator headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts, founded in 2000.

What is the latest news on AMRC?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 23 Aug 2026): "Ameresco: A $1.5 Billion AI Power Backlog Changes The Story". A Seeking Alpha report rates Ameresco (AMRC) a Buy, citing a $1.5 billion awarded data center backlog that exceeds its roughly $2 billion annual revenue base. The report notes the stock trades at a discount to historical averages amid market skepticism about converting awarded backlog into contracted revenue, while leverage stands at about $1.82 billion in net debt, cash flow remains negative, and interest expense is substantial.

Company

About Ameresco, Inc.

Ameresco Inc. is an energy infrastructure solutions provider and cleantech integrator headquartered in Framingham, Massachusetts, founded in 2000. The company focuses on helping public and private sector customers improve energy efficiency, modernize infrastructure, and adopt renewable energy across North America, Europe, and select international markets. Ameresco designs and delivers comprehensive projects that include facility energy infrastructure upgrades, smart energy management systems, and asset sustainability services for government agencies, utilities, educational institutions, healthcare providers, housing authorities, transportation entities, and commercial and industrial clients. A core part of its business is developing, constructing, owning, and operating distributed energy resources such as solar installations, battery energy storage systems, microgrids, and renewable natural gas and other biogas facilities, often paired with tailored financing structures. Through these offerings, Ameresco plays a significant role in the clean energy and infrastructure markets by addressing cost reduction, energy resilience, and decarbonization needs for organizations navigating the global energy transition.

CEO Mr. George P. Sakellaris P.E. · 1,601 employees · United States · https://www.ameresco.com