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ARWARWTechnology · Electronics & Computer Distribution

ARW Stock Forecast: Arrow Electronics, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 9 Sept 2026
$215
−1.23% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Arrow Electronics, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $245 — +14.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 96 of 100 as at 8 Sept 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$11.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
96 / 100
Median analyst target
$245
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$10.0B+31.8% y/y
Operating income$401.5M
Net income$272.8M
Free cash flow$297.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.2%
1M
+5.5%
YTD
+94.9%
1Y
+70.1%
From 52W high
−8.6%
From 52W low
+110.8%
$102
$235
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ARW stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Arrow Electronics, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Sept 2026
96 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
98
Growth
97
Issuance
94
Momentum
91
Value
86
Volatility
61
Quality
58
Accruals
30
Size
15

Revisions (98): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (30): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (15): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ARW stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ARW, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$150$200$250Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ARWHigh $250Median $245Low $200

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
2 Buy1 Hold1 Sell
Low $200Median $245High $250

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
7 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$260 → $250
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight$175 → $200
20 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight$165 → $175
20 July 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
4 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$240 → $260
4 June 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
13 May 2026B of A SecuritiesUpgradeNeutral—
8 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
8 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
13 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
6 Feb 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
6 Feb 2026Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
31 Oct 2025Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
9 June 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform—
7 Feb 2025B of A SecuritiesDowngradeUnderperform—
7 Feb 2025Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
13 Jan 2025Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
1 Nov 2024Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—
1 Nov 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
2 Aug 2024Raymond JamesMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ARW appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ARW vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 9 Sept 2026, Arrow Electronics, Inc. returned +70.1% against +18.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ARW vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ARWS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ARW analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+9.3%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.7×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.3×

Cheaper than 89% of US stocks

Price / book
1.6×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.8×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
31.8%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
45.3%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Gross margin
11.3%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Operating margin
4.0%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Net margin
2.3%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.0%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.7%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Arrow Electronics, Inc. (ARW) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Arrow Electronics, Inc. has a market value of $11.0B and an enterprise value of $13.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $35.9B. The latest quarter grew 31.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $811.7M, a 2.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $15.65.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $825.5M.

  • Arrow Electronics, Inc. spent $126.7M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 51.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 13.7×; forward P/E: 9.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.05%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Arrow Electronics, Inc. employs 22,230 people — $1.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 10 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ARW vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelElectronics & Computer Distribution
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ARWArrow Electronics, Inc.$11.0B
96
AVTAvnet, Inc.$7.6B
85
SNXTD SYNNEX Corp.$20.8B
87
NSITInsight Enterprises, Inc.$4.6B
88
CNXNPC Connection, Inc.$2.1B
89
SCSCScanSource, Inc.$1.2B
99
SANMSanmina Corp.*$11.2B
78

* Nearest Technology names by size — few electronics & computer distribution companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Arrow Electronics, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ARW news & analysis

All You Need to Know About Arrow Electronics (ARW) Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026positive

Arrow Electronics (ARW) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The rating indicates potential for the stock to move higher in the near term.

Why it matters — A Zacks upgrade to Strong Buy signals improved earnings expectations that an Arrow Electronics watcher would want to track for near-term stock movement.

3 Stocks to Add to Your Portfolio After Recent Broker Rating Upgrades

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Arrow Electronics alongside Concentra Group and QuinStreet after recent broker rating upgrades, pairing Arrow's upgraded rating with strong projected earnings growth as a stock to consider for portfolios.

Why it matters — An ARW watcher would find this relevant because the broker rating upgrade signals improved analyst sentiment toward the company's earnings outlook.

Why Arrow Electronics (ARW) is a Top Value Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Arrow Electronics (ARW) as a top value stock for the long term, based on its Style Scores system that helps investors identify top-rated stocks by investing style.

Why it matters — This matters to Arrow Electronics watchers because the stock has been singled out as a strong long-term value pick by a widely followed research service.

Arrow Electronics broadens HPE offerings, adding complete HPE Networking portfolio in North America and EMEA

Business Wire · 2 Sept 2026positive

Arrow Electronics announced it has been awarded distribution rights for the HPE Networking product portfolio across North America and select EMEA countries. This expands Arrow's ability to offer channel partners the complete HPE portfolio, including HPE Aruba Networking and HPE Juniper Networking solutions spanning campus, data center, and cloud offerings.

Why it matters — ARW watchers would care because this broadens Arrow's product lineup and strengthens its channel partner relationships with a more comprehensive networking portfolio.

4 Value Stocks to Buy as Inflation Concerns Keep Markets Cautious

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026neutral

In a Zacks article, Avnet, a peer of Arrow Electronics, is highlighted as a value pick for investors seeking fundamentally strong companies at reasonable valuations amid cautious markets driven by inflation concerns. Arrow Electronics itself is not mentioned in the item.

Why it matters — Arrow watchers may note the article's focus on peer Avnet as a value stock, offering sector context on how distribution companies are viewed during inflation-driven market caution, though it does not address Arrow directly.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ARW stock

What is the ARW stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Arrow Electronics, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $245, with estimates ranging from $200 to $250. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ARW stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Arrow Electronics, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Arrow Electronics, Inc. 96 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ARW?

As at 8 Sept 2026, Arrow Electronics, Inc. ranks 96 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (98 of 100).

Will ARW stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +14.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Arrow Electronics, Inc. 96 out of 100 as at 8 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ARW stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Arrow Electronics, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ARW are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $200 to $250 over the next 12 months.

How has ARW stock performed over the past year?

Arrow Electronics, Inc. returned +70.1% over the 12 months to 9 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Arrow Electronics, Inc. do?

Arrow Electronics Inc. is a global technology distributor and solutions provider that sources, engineers, and supplies electronic components and enterprise computing products to industrial and commercial customers.

What is the latest news on ARW?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 8 Sept 2026): "All You Need to Know About Arrow Electronics (ARW) Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy". Arrow Electronics (ARW) has been upgraded to a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The rating indicates potential for the stock to move higher in the near term.

Company

About Arrow Electronics, Inc.

Arrow Electronics Inc. is a global technology distributor and solutions provider that sources, engineers, and supplies electronic components and enterprise computing products to industrial and commercial customers. The company serves manufacturers, service providers, original equipment manufacturers, value-added resellers, managed service providers, and contract manufacturers across major regions worldwide. Its Global Components segment distributes semiconductors, interconnects, passive and electromechanical parts, and related computing and memory products, while its Global Enterprise Computing Solutions segment provides datacenter, cloud, security, analytics, integration, logistics, and training services. Arrow Electronics supports customers in industries such as automotive, communications, aerospace, defense, computing, and healthcare, helping them build, integrate, and deploy technology solutions for a broad range of applications.

CEO Mr. William F. Austen · 22,230 employees · United States · https://www.arrow.com