ASLEIndustrials · Airports & Air ServicesThe 2 Wall Street analysts covering AerSale Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $7.25 — +47.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 17 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AerSale Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Size (65): Smaller than most of the companies we track.
Growth (10): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ASLE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +47.4% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | $8.00 → $7.00 |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | $7.00 → $6.00 |
| 10 Nov 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 15 Oct 2025 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 7 Aug 2025 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 11 July 2025 | Truist Securities | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 8 May 2025 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 7 Mar 2025 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 18 Oct 2024 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Aug 2024 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Aug 2024 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 8 Aug 2024 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 11 Mar 2024 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Mar 2024 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Sector Perform | — |
| 8 Mar 2024 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Nov 2023 | Truist Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Aug 2023 | RBC Capital | Downgrade | Sector Perform | — |
| 26 May 2023 | RBC Capital | Reiterates | Outperform | — |
| 10 May 2023 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 10 May 2023 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ASLE appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, AerSale Corp. returned −38.0% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Cheaper than 74% of US stocks
Cheaper than 83% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 8% of US stocks
Higher than 15% of US stocks
Higher than 25% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 28% of US stocks
Higher than 43% of US stocks
Higher than 44% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
AerSale Corp. has a market value of $237.2M and an enterprise value of $404.7M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $303.7M. The latest quarter shrank 33.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$3.7M, a −1.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.08.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$40.2M.
AerSale Corp. spent $0.0 on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 30.7×; forward P/E: 18.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
AerSale Corp. employs 704 people — $431K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| ASLEAerSale Corp. | $237.2M | 17 |
| UPWheels Up Experience, Inc. | $140.9M | 15 |
| SOARVolato Group, Inc. | $16.4M | 28 |
| CAAPCorporacion America Airports SA | $4.0B | 73 |
| SMHISeacor Marine Holdings, Inc.* | $233.1M | 46 |
| EAFGrafTech International Ltd.* | $230.9M | 21 |
| LTBRLightbridge Corp.* | $225.1M | 5 |
* Nearest Industrials names by size — few airports & air services companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AerSale Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
AerSale announced it leased a Boeing 757-200PCF freighter to Romanian-based Mister Air Transport, which will manage the aircraft’s freighter operations for significant shareholder AerCommerce.
Why it matters — The lease adds a specific aircraft placement to AerSale’s aftermarket commercial aircraft business.
AerSale Corporation announced the lease of a Boeing 757-200PCF freighter aircraft to Jupiter Jet, a Kazakhstan-based cargo airline expanding its regional and international freight operations. The announcement was made on September 16, 2026.
Why it matters — The lease demonstrates AerSale's continued activity in converting and leasing freighter aircraft to expanding cargo operators, which is relevant to its aftermarket business.
Seeking Alpha views AerSale as a high-risk buy, lowering its price target after Q2 results showed sharply lower revenue and EBITDA due to absent flight equipment sales and underutilized MRO capacity.
Why it matters — ASLE watchers would care because the article highlights execution and timing risks tied to the company's pivot to recurring lease and MRO revenue, with margin improvement and cash conversion identified as essential for future performance.
AerSale Corporation held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and the transcript of that call was made available on Seeking Alpha. The item indicates the earnings call took place and its transcript is now published.
Why it matters — A watcher of AerSale would want to review the earnings call transcript for direct commentary on the company's quarterly results and outlook.
Companies are evaluating airlines' new restrictive business- and premium-economy tickets, weighing whether to allow corporate travelers to book them. This follows an earlier corporate move to block basic economy tickets due to their lack of change flexibility.
Why it matters — AerSale Corp. watchers would care because corporate travel policies and airline fare structures can influence demand for aircraft and related services.
The 2 Wall Street analysts covering AerSale Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $7.25, with estimates ranging from $7 to $7.5. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 2 analysts covering AerSale Corp., 0 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AerSale Corp. 17 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Oct 2026, AerSale Corp. ranks 17 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (65 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +47.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AerSale Corp. 17 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering AerSale Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ASLE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $7.5 over the next 12 months.
AerSale Corp. returned -38.0% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
AerSale Corporation is a global aviation aftermarket company that provides products and services for commercial aircraft, engines, and components. AerSale Corporation supports passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, government and defense customers, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul providers with solutions that help manage the lifecycle of aircraft assets.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 6 Oct 2026): "AerSale® Leases 757-200PCF Freighter to Mister Air for Its Specialized Cargo Network". AerSale announced it leased a Boeing 757-200PCF freighter to Romanian-based Mister Air Transport, which will manage the aircraft’s freighter operations for significant shareholder AerCommerce.
AerSale Corporation is a global aviation aftermarket company that provides products and services for commercial aircraft, engines, and components. AerSale Corporation supports passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, government and defense customers, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul providers with solutions that help manage the lifecycle of aircraft assets. Its offerings include the sale and lease of aircraft and engines, used serviceable materials, component disassembly, heavy maintenance, modifications, and engineered solutions for aircraft systems. The company also delivers technical operations services such as component MRO, end-of-life teardown, and aircraft conversions, including passenger-to-freighter work. AerSale Corporation serves a broad mix of commercial, defense, and government aviation markets, making it an important participant in the global aftermarket ecosystem.
CEO Mr. Nicolas Finazzo · 704 employees · United States · https://www.aersale.com
