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ASLEASLEIndustrials · Airports & Air Services

ASLE Stock Forecast: AerSale Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$5.43
+1.12% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering AerSale Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $7.25 — +33.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 13 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$259.2M
Ticker Nerd rank
13 / 100
Median analyst target
$7.25
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$70.9M−33.9% y/y
Operating income−$4.8M
Net income−$5.6M
Free cash flow−$8.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.7%
1M
−5.2%
YTD
−23.6%
1Y
−38.2%
From 52W high
−38.4%
From 52W low
+1.1%
$5.37
$8.82
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

ASLE stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores AerSale Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
13 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
64
Quality
45
Volatility
42
Issuance
42
Accruals
31
Value
29
Revisions
27
Momentum
17
Growth
10

Size (64): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Growth (10): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

ASLE stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ASLE, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5.00$6.00$7.00$8.00$9.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ASLEHigh $7.50Median $7.25Low $7.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
0 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $7.00Median $7.25High $7.50

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +33.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$8.00 → $7.00
10 Nov 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$7.00 → $6.00
10 Nov 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
15 Oct 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
7 Aug 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
11 July 2025Truist SecuritiesDowngradeHold—
8 May 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
7 Mar 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
18 Oct 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
9 Aug 2024StifelMaintainsBuy—
8 Aug 2024RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
8 Aug 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
11 Mar 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
8 Mar 2024RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
8 Mar 2024StifelMaintainsBuy—
9 Nov 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
9 Aug 2023RBC CapitalDowngradeSector Perform—
26 May 2023RBC CapitalReiteratesOutperform—
10 May 2023RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
10 May 2023StifelMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ASLE appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

ASLE vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, AerSale Corp. returned −38.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

ASLE vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26ASLES&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

ASLE analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−76.7%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

AerSale Corp. (ASLE) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
30.7×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.9×

Cheaper than 73% of US stocks

Price / book
0.6×

Cheaper than 83% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
18.2×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−33.9%

Higher than 8% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−33.9%

Higher than 15% of US stocks

Gross margin
22.9%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Operating margin
−6.7%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Net margin
−1.2%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−0.9%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.2%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

AerSale Corp. (ASLE) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • AerSale Corp. has a market value of $259.2M and an enterprise value of $426.6M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $303.7M. The latest quarter shrank 33.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$3.7M, a −1.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.08.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$40.2M.

  • AerSale Corp. spent $0.0 on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 47.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 30.7×; forward P/E: 20.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • AerSale Corp. employs 704 people — $431K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

ASLE vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAirports & Air Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
ASLEAerSale Corp.$259.2M
13
UPWheels Up Experience, Inc.$134.0M
15
CAAPCorporacion America Airports SA$4.0B
72
OFLXOmega Flex, Inc.*$258.2M
48
SMHISeacor Marine Holdings, Inc.*$256.9M
42
AIAIAIAI Holdings Corp.*$261.8M
1
TBITrueBlue, Inc.*$262.0M
73

* Nearest Industrials names by size — few airports & air services companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own AerSale Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest ASLE news & analysis

AerSale: MRO Growth Must Overcome Poor Execution

Seeking Alpha · 9 Aug 2026negative

Seeking Alpha views AerSale as a high-risk buy, lowering its price target after Q2 results showed sharply lower revenue and EBITDA due to absent flight equipment sales and underutilized MRO capacity.

Why it matters — ASLE watchers would care because the article highlights execution and timing risks tied to the company's pivot to recurring lease and MRO revenue, with margin improvement and cash conversion identified as essential for future performance.

AerSale Corporation (ASLE) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

AerSale Corporation held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and the transcript of that call was made available on Seeking Alpha. The item indicates the earnings call took place and its transcript is now published.

Why it matters — A watcher of AerSale would want to review the earnings call transcript for direct commentary on the company's quarterly results and outlook.

Companies scoff at airlines' cheapest business class tickets. 'The real value is flexibility'

CNBC · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Companies are evaluating airlines' new restrictive business- and premium-economy tickets, weighing whether to allow corporate travelers to book them. This follows an earlier corporate move to block basic economy tickets due to their lack of change flexibility.

Why it matters — AerSale Corp. watchers would care because corporate travel policies and airline fare structures can influence demand for aircraft and related services.

AerSale Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 6 Aug 2026neutral

AerSale reported second-quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA that declined from the year-ago period, mainly because it recorded no flight equipment sales during the quarter. Management said it expects a stronger second half as it monetizes inventory, expands leasing activity, and increases utilization at its maintenance facilities.

Why it matters — This update matters to ASLE watchers because it explains the quarterly revenue decline and outlines management's expected drivers for a stronger second half.

AerSale® Announces Date for Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Conference Call

GlobeNewsWire · 24 July 2026neutral

AerSale Corporation announced it will release its second quarter 2026 earnings results on Thursday, August 6, 2026, after market close, and will host a conference call that same day at 4:30 pm Eastern Time.

Why it matters — ASLE watchers will learn the company's second-quarter financial performance and management's commentary during the scheduled conference call.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about ASLE stock

What is the ASLE stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering AerSale Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $7.25, with estimates ranging from $7 to $7.5. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is ASLE stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering AerSale Corp., 0 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks AerSale Corp. 13 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank ASLE?

As at 12 Sept 2026, AerSale Corp. ranks 13 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (64 of 100).

Will ASLE stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +33.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks AerSale Corp. 13 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the ASLE stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering AerSale Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ASLE are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $7 to $7.5 over the next 12 months.

How has ASLE stock performed over the past year?

AerSale Corp. returned -38.2% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does AerSale Corp. do?

AerSale Corporation is a global aviation aftermarket company that provides products and services for commercial aircraft, engines, and components. AerSale Corporation supports passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, government and defense customers, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul providers with solutions that help manage the lifecycle of aircraft assets.

What is the latest news on ASLE?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 9 Aug 2026): "AerSale: MRO Growth Must Overcome Poor Execution". Seeking Alpha views AerSale as a high-risk buy, lowering its price target after Q2 results showed sharply lower revenue and EBITDA due to absent flight equipment sales and underutilized MRO capacity.

Company

About AerSale Corp.

AerSale Corporation is a global aviation aftermarket company that provides products and services for commercial aircraft, engines, and components. AerSale Corporation supports passenger and cargo airlines, leasing companies, original equipment manufacturers, government and defense customers, and maintenance, repair, and overhaul providers with solutions that help manage the lifecycle of aircraft assets. Its offerings include the sale and lease of aircraft and engines, used serviceable materials, component disassembly, heavy maintenance, modifications, and engineered solutions for aircraft systems. The company also delivers technical operations services such as component MRO, end-of-life teardown, and aircraft conversions, including passenger-to-freighter work. AerSale Corporation serves a broad mix of commercial, defense, and government aviation markets, making it an important participant in the global aftermarket ecosystem.

CEO Mr. Nicolas Finazzo · 704 employees · United States · https://www.aersale.com