ASTLBasic Materials · SteelTicker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 8 of 100 as at 1 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Algoma Steel Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (96): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Growth (3): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on ASTL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 June 2023 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | $16 → $14 |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. ASTL appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Algoma Steel Group, Inc. returned +36.1% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 40% of US stocks
Cheaper than 89% of US stocks
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Cheaper than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 5% of US stocks
Higher than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 2% of US stocks
Higher than 17% of US stocks
Higher than 8% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Algoma Steel Group, Inc. has a market value of $439.5M and an enterprise value of $1.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.5B. The latest quarter shrank 54.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$1.1B, a −71.6% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−10.16.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$365.4M.
Algoma Steel Group, Inc. spent $0.0 on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 17.8×; forward P/E: −17.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 4.79%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Algoma Steel Group, Inc. employs 2,400 people — $643K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Algoma Steel Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided guidance for its third quarter ended September 30, 2026, in an announcement released on October 1, 2026. The company noted that all amounts are in Canadian dollars.
Why it matters — ASTL watchers would monitor this guidance to gauge the company's expected performance for the recently completed quarter.
Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided an update on the previously announced unplanned outage at its Lake Superior Power (LSP) generating facility in Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario. The company is a leading Canadian producer of steel plate and hot-rolled sheet products.
Why it matters — An unplanned outage at its power generating facility could affect Algoma's operations or costs, making the status of the upgrade relevant to shareholders tracking the company.
Algoma Steel announced an unplanned outage at its Lake Superior Power generating facility after one turbine unit detected an abnormal condition and was automatically taken offline. The company stated that the remaining LSP units were not affected.
Why it matters — Because the Lake Superior Power facility supplies power supporting Algoma's steel production, an unplanned outage of one of its turbines could carry operational implications, even though the other units remained in service.
Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Algoma Steel Group Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call.
Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides detailed management commentary on the company's quarterly financial performance and operational outlook.
Algoma Steel Group reported positive adjusted EBITDA in its fiscal second quarter of 2026, even as it continues transitioning to electric arc furnace steelmaking. The company faces headwinds including lower shipment volumes and planned operational work heading into the third quarter.
Why it matters — ASTL watchers would note that the positive adjusted EBITDA signals financial stability during the company's costly transition to EAF steelmaking, while the shipment and operational headwinds suggest near-term earnings pressure.
Of the 3 analysts covering Algoma Steel Group, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Algoma Steel Group, Inc. 8 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 1 Oct 2026, Algoma Steel Group, Inc. ranks 8 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (96 of 100).
No analyst covering Algoma Steel Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for ASTL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.
Algoma Steel Group, Inc. returned +36.1% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Algoma Steel Group Inc. Common Shares represent equity ownership in Algoma Steel Group Inc., a North American steel producer headquartered in Sault Ste.
The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 1 Oct 2026): "Algoma Steel Group Inc. Provides Guidance for the Third Quarter 2026". Algoma Steel Group Inc. provided guidance for its third quarter ended September 30, 2026, in an announcement released on October 1, 2026. The company noted that all amounts are in Canadian dollars.
Algoma Steel Group Inc. Common Shares represent equity ownership in Algoma Steel Group Inc., a North American steel producer headquartered in Sault Ste. Marie, Ontario. The company focuses on the production of hot-rolled and cold-rolled steel products, including sheet and plate, serving customers across construction, manufacturing, energy, infrastructure, and distribution channels. Algoma Steel Group Inc. operates as a fully integrated steelmaker with electric arc furnace and rolling mill capabilities, using scrap and direct reduced iron as key inputs in its production process. Its common shares provide exposure to a business centered on essential steel materials used in industrial and commercial applications. Algoma Steel Group Inc. is a publicly traded issuer in the Canadian and U.S. markets, and its share class is a standard common equity instrument within the basic materials sector.
CEO Mr. Rajat Marwah · 2,400 employees · Canada · https://algoma.com
