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HLPHLPBasic Materials · Steel

HLP Stock Forecast: Hongli Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 22 Oct 2026
$3.05
+6.27% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 36 of 100 as at 21 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$228.0M
Ticker Nerd rank
36/ 100
Median analyst target
—
Analysts covering
—
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.7%
1M
+52.5%
YTD
+193.3%
1Y
+125.9%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+611.0%
$0.43
$3.05
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HLP stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Hongli Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 21 Oct 2026
36/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
96
Momentum
94
Size
66
Volatility
34
Issuance
28
Value
28
Revisions
25
Accruals
24
Quality
23

Growth (96): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Quality (23): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HLP stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HLP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$0.00$0.50$1.00$1.50$2.00$2.50$3.00$3.50Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HLP

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

HLP appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.
  • The AI build-out, every Wednesday: how AI stocks did, part by part.

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Performance

HLP vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 22 Oct 2026, Hongli Group, Inc. returned +125.9% against +15.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HLP vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
50100150200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HLPS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HLP analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

Hongli Group, Inc. (HLP) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
101.7×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Price / sales
11.6×

Cheaper than 12% of US stocks

Price / book
3.9×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
73.2×

Cheaper than 3% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
40.2%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
4500.2%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
11.5%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Net margin
9.9%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
3.5%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.2%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Hongli Group, Inc. (HLP) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Hongli Group, Inc. has a market value of $228.0M and an enterprise value of $237.7M.

  • Shares outstanding: 73.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 101.7×.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Hongli Group, Inc. employs 167 people.

market figures as at 23 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HLP vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSteel
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HLPHongli Group, Inc.$228.0M36
FRDFriedman Industries, Inc.$299.1M53
ZKINZK International Group Co., Ltd.$109.1M9
ASTLAlgoma Steel Group, Inc.$454.3M—
LUDLuda Technology Group Ltd.$84.9M1
MTUSMetallus, Inc.$860.5M78
NWPXNWPX Infrastructure, Inc.$954.7M99

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Hongli Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HLP news & analysis

Hongli Group Provides Strategic Update on Proposed Advanced Battery Collaboration as Xell Energy Achieves Drone Customer Design Wins

PRNewsWire · 13 Oct 2026positive

Hongli Group provided an update on its proposed strategic collaboration with Xell Energy. Xell has completed product development and customer evaluation of battery packs using advanced cells with energy density of up to 420 Wh/kg, and achieved drone customer design wins.

Why it matters — The update concerns HLP’s proposed move into clean energy through a potential collaboration with Xell Energy and reports progress in battery development and customer adoption.

Hongli Group Inc. Announces Appointment of Mr. Michael W.

PRNewsWire · 5 Oct 2026neutral

Hongli Group Inc., a Nasdaq-listed cold roll formed steel profile manufacturer, announced a leadership transition within its Board of Directors effective September 29, 2026, with the appointment of Mr. Michael W. as detailed in a PRNewswire release dated October 5, 2026.

Why it matters — A change in board leadership is a corporate governance development that HLP watchers may track for its potential impact on company direction.

Hongli Group Inc. Announces Compliance with Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Requirement

PRNewsWire · 12 Aug 2026positive

Hongli Group Inc. announced that on August 7, 2026, it received a letter from Nasdaq confirming the company has regained compliance with the minimum bid price requirement of $1.00 per share. Nasdaq reached this determination after the closing bid price of the company's Class A ordinary shares was at or above $1.00 for 10 consecutive business days from July 24 to August 6, 2026.

Why it matters — The Nasdaq compliance confirmation removes a potential continued-listing concern for Hongli Group's shares on The Nasdaq Capital Market.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HLP stock

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HLP?

As at 21 Oct 2026, Hongli Group, Inc. ranks 36 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (96 of 100).

What is the HLP stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Hongli Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HLP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has HLP stock performed over the past year?

Hongli Group, Inc. returned +125.9% over the 12 months to 22 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Hongli Group, Inc. do?

Hongli Group Inc. is a holding company that operates through subsidiaries focused on the design, production, deep processing, and sale of custom-made steel profiles for machinery and equipment.

What is the latest news on HLP?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 13 Oct 2026): "Hongli Group Provides Strategic Update on Proposed Advanced Battery Collaboration as Xell Energy Achieves Drone Customer Design Wins". Hongli Group provided an update on its proposed strategic collaboration with Xell Energy. Xell has completed product development and customer evaluation of battery packs using advanced cells with energy density of up to 420 Wh/kg, and achieved drone customer design wins.

Company

About Hongli Group, Inc.

Hongli Group Inc. is a holding company that operates through subsidiaries focused on the design, production, deep processing, and sale of custom-made steel profiles for machinery and equipment. Its product line includes cold roll formed steel profiles and related fabricated components used in industries such as mining and excavation, construction, agriculture, and transportation. The company also supplies specialized assemblies and shaped steel products that support industrial and heavy equipment applications. Hongli Group Inc. serves customers in domestic and international markets, with operations centered in China. Its business is positioned within the metal fabrication and producer manufacturing segments, making it a supplier of engineered steel products for a range of industrial uses.

CEO Mr. Jie Liu · 167 employees · China · https://hongliprofile.com