AWRUtilities · Utilities - Regulated WaterThe 3 Wall Street analysts covering American States Water Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $84 — -4.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 83 of 100 as at 8 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores American States Water Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (86): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Accruals (44): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (28): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AWR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −4.8% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 June 2026 | Freedom Broker | Initiates | Hold | $77 |
| 8 May 2025 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 3 Feb 2025 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 7 Jan 2025 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Underweight | — |
| 11 Dec 2024 | B of A Securities | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 31 July 2024 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 9 May 2024 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 23 Feb 2024 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 28 June 2023 | UBS | Upgrade | Neutral | — |
| 28 June 2023 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Underweight | — |
| 12 May 2023 | Wells Fargo | Upgrade | Equal-Weight | — |
| 5 Jan 2023 | Seaport Global | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 30 Nov 2022 | UBS | Initiates | Sell | — |
| 9 Nov 2022 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 31 Oct 2022 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 20 Oct 2022 | Wells Fargo | Downgrade | Underweight | — |
| 3 Aug 2022 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 18 July 2022 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 15 Mar 2022 | Barclays | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 24 Feb 2022 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. AWR appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 9 Sept 2026, American States Water Co. returned +23.1% against +18.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Cheaper than 32% of US stocks
Cheaper than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 88% of US stocks
Higher than 90% of US stocks
Higher than 83% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 55% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
American States Water Co. has a market value of $3.5B and an enterprise value of $4.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $697.5M. The latest quarter grew 11.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $143.1M, a 20.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.65.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $20.7M, after $215.9M of capital spending.
American States Water Co. spent $78.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 24.2×; forward P/E: 23.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.47%, paying out 55% of earnings.
American States Water Co. employs 900 people — $775K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own American States Water Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
American States Water (AWR) reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 4.7% since that earnings announcement. The article examines what could come next for the company's shares.
Why it matters — AWR watchers would care because the stock's 4.7% gain since its last earnings report signals how the market has responded to the company's most recent results.
Dividend Kings outperformed the S&P 500 year-to-date, posting a 14.98% total return versus SPY's 12.89%. Dividend growth among Kings accelerated, with the average rate rising to 4.12% and several notable increases announced.
Why it matters — As a Dividend King, American States Water Co. sits within a group that is outperforming the S&P 500 and seeing accelerating dividend growth, providing relevant context for its dividend-focused investors.
Zacks Investment Research published an analysis noting that American States Water Co. (AWR) has a 72-year dividend growth streak, supported by stronger cash flow and regulated growth opportunities.
Why it matters — AWR watchers would care because the article highlights the company's long history of dividend growth and the fundamentals that could sustain future payouts.
American States Water Co. (AWR) was included in a 24/7 Wall Street article highlighting five "Strong Buy" Dividend Aristocrats that posted strong Q2 earnings, with the author suggesting investors consider them before September.
Why it matters — AWR watchers would care because the article reinforces AWR's status as a Dividend Aristocrat with strong quarterly results, which may influence investor perception of the stock's reliability and passive-income potential.
The article notes that investors seeking defensive companies paying substantial dividends are drawn to Dividend Kings, and reports that five such stocks impressed in Q2 earnings, positioning them as summer bargains.
Why it matters — American States Water Co. is a Dividend King, so this piece highlights the defensive dividend-paying characteristics and strong earnings performance relevant to that group of stocks.
The 3 Wall Street analysts covering American States Water Co. have a median 12-month price target of $84, with estimates ranging from $79 to $89. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 3 analysts covering American States Water Co., 0 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks American States Water Co. 83 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 8 Sept 2026, American States Water Co. ranks 83 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (86 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies -4.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks American States Water Co. 83 out of 100 as at 8 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering American States Water Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AWR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $79 to $89 over the next 12 months.
American States Water Co. returned +23.1% over the 12 months to 9 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
American States Water Company is a water and electricity utility company that provides essential infrastructure services to residential, commercial, industrial, and military customers. Through its Water, Electric, and Contracted Services segments, the company purchases, produces, distributes, and sells water, distributes electricity, and delivers water and wastewater operations and maintenance services at military installations.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 4 Sept 2026): "Why Is American States Water (AWR) Up 4.7% Since Last Earnings Report?". American States Water (AWR) reported earnings 30 days ago, and its stock has risen 4.7% since that earnings announcement. The article examines what could come next for the company's shares.
American States Water Company is a water and electricity utility company that provides essential infrastructure services to residential, commercial, industrial, and military customers. Through its Water, Electric, and Contracted Services segments, the company purchases, produces, distributes, and sells water, distributes electricity, and delivers water and wastewater operations and maintenance services at military installations. Its utility operations serve communities in California, while its contracted services business supports government facilities across the United States. American States Water Company plays a specialized role in the utilities sector by combining regulated local service with long-term infrastructure support for public-sector customers. The company is headquartered in San Dimas, California, and focuses on dependable water and power delivery through its operating subsidiaries, including Golden State Water Company, Bear Valley Electric Service, Inc., and American States Utility Services, Inc.
CEO Mr. Robert J. Sprowls C.M.A. · 900 employees · United States · https://www.aswater.com
