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AWR Stock Forecast: American States Water Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$89
+2.00% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering American States Water Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $84 — -5.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 89 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$3.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
89/ 100
Median analyst target
$84
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$181.3M+11.2% y/y
Operating income$64.0M
Net income$43.3M
Free cash flow−$3.6M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.9%
1M
+7.0%
YTD
+24.7%
1Y
+22.0%
From 52W high
−2.7%
From 52W low
+28.9%
$69
$91
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

AWR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores American States Water Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
89/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
89
Quality
84
Revisions
82
Volatility
75
Issuance
69
Growth
69
Value
66
Accruals
45
Size
28

Momentum (89): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Accruals (45): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (28): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

AWR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on AWR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$70$75$80$85$90Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AWRHigh $89Median $84Low $79

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
0 Buy2 Hold1 Sell
Low $79Median $84High $89

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −5.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
30 June 2026Freedom BrokerInitiatesHold$77
8 May 2025Wells FargoUpgradeEqual-Weight—
3 Feb 2025B of A SecuritiesDowngradeUnderperform—
7 Jan 2025Wells FargoDowngradeUnderweight—
11 Dec 2024B of A SecuritiesInitiatesNeutral—
31 July 2024Wells FargoUpgradeEqual-Weight—
9 May 2024Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
23 Feb 2024Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
28 June 2023UBSUpgradeNeutral—
28 June 2023Wells FargoDowngradeUnderweight—
12 May 2023Wells FargoUpgradeEqual-Weight—
5 Jan 2023Seaport GlobalDowngradeNeutral—
30 Nov 2022UBSInitiatesSell—
9 Nov 2022Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
31 Oct 2022Wells FargoMaintainsUnderweight—
20 Oct 2022Wells FargoDowngradeUnderweight—
3 Aug 2022Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
18 July 2022BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
15 Mar 2022BarclaysMaintainsUnderweight—
24 Feb 2022Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

AWR appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

AWR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, American States Water Co. returned +22.0% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

AWR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26AWRS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

AWR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.8%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

American States Water Co. (AWR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.0×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.0×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Price / book
3.1×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
15.7×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
11.2%

Higher than 56% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
28.4%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Gross margin
75.9%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Operating margin
35.8%

Higher than 90% of US stocks

Net margin
20.5%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.7%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.3%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.5%

Higher than 83% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

American States Water Co. (AWR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • American States Water Co. has a market value of $3.5B and an enterprise value of $4.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $697.5M. The latest quarter grew 11.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $143.1M, a 20.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $3.65.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $20.7M, after $215.9M of capital spending.

  • American States Water Co. spent $78.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 39.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 24.0×; forward P/E: 23.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.51%, paying out 55% of earnings.

  • American States Water Co. employs 900 people — $775K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 5 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

AWR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelUtilities - Regulated Water
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
AWRAmerican States Water Co.$3.5B89
CWTCalifornia Water Service Group$3.1B37
HTOH2O America$3.0B26
MSEXMiddlesex Water Co.$1.1B50
WTRGEssential Utilities, Inc.$12.8B30
YORWThe York Water Co.$515.2M63
CWCOConsolidated Water Co. Ltd.$436.4M79

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own American States Water Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest AWR news & analysis

American States Water Company Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 4 Nov 2026neutral

American States Water reported GAAP basic and diluted earnings per share of $1.06 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, consistent with the same period in 2025. The company said results were affected by an unfavorable year-over-year change in investment results amid volatile market conditions.

Why it matters — AWR watchers may note that quarterly per-share earnings were unchanged from a year earlier, while investment results weighed unfavorably on the period.

What's in Store for These 4 Utility Stocks This Earnings Season?

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Nov 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research highlights ATO, ES, SWX and AWR as utilities preparing to report earnings, with infrastructure investment, customer growth, rate hikes and cost pressures shaping sector performance.

Why it matters — AWR watchers may find the earnings-season context relevant because the item identifies factors affecting utility-sector performance, including those surrounding AWR.

American States Water to Release Q3 Earnings: Here's What to Expect

Zacks Investment Research · 3 Nov 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research says American States Water's Q3 earnings may have benefited from higher water rates, infrastructure investment recovery and construction activity, while rising costs may have weighed on profits.

Why it matters — AWR watchers may care about how potential revenue and recovery drivers compare with cost pressures in the Q3 earnings outlook.

These 4 Boring Dividend Stocks Get Paid Every Time America Turns on the Tap

24/7 Wall Street · 29 Oct 2026neutral

A 24/7 Wall Street article discusses four water utilities that have raised dividends for decades, noting that regulators control rate increases at these legal monopolies. It asks which company best protects dividend income.

Why it matters — AWR watchers may find the article relevant because it focuses on dividend histories and the regulated water-utility business, though the excerpt does not identify AWR or compare the companies.

American States Water Company Announces Regular Common Dividends

Business Wire · 28 Oct 2026positive

American States Water’s board approved a quarterly common dividend of $0.5455 per share on October 26, 2026. The company said this would be its 362nd consecutive dividend payment.

Why it matters — AWR watchers may note the declared dividend and the company’s stated history of annual dividend payments and increases.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about AWR stock

What is the AWR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering American States Water Co. have a median 12-month price target of $84, with estimates ranging from $79 to $89. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is AWR stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering American States Water Co., 0 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks American States Water Co. 89 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank AWR?

As at 4 Nov 2026, American States Water Co. ranks 89 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (89 of 100).

Will AWR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies -5.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks American States Water Co. 89 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the AWR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering American States Water Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for AWR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $79 to $89 over the next 12 months.

How has AWR stock performed over the past year?

American States Water Co. returned +22.0% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does American States Water Co. do?

American States Water Company is a water and electricity utility company that provides essential infrastructure services to residential, commercial, industrial, and military customers. Through its Water, Electric, and Contracted Services segments, the company purchases, produces, distributes, and sells water, distributes electricity, and delivers water and wastewater operations and maintenance services at military installations.

What is the latest news on AWR?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 4 Nov 2026): "American States Water Company Announces Third Quarter 2026 Results". American States Water reported GAAP basic and diluted earnings per share of $1.06 for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, consistent with the same period in 2025. The company said results were affected by an unfavorable year-over-year change in investment results amid volatile market conditions.

Company

About American States Water Co.

American States Water Company is a water and electricity utility company that provides essential infrastructure services to residential, commercial, industrial, and military customers. Through its Water, Electric, and Contracted Services segments, the company purchases, produces, distributes, and sells water, distributes electricity, and delivers water and wastewater operations and maintenance services at military installations. Its utility operations serve communities in California, while its contracted services business supports government facilities across the United States. American States Water Company plays a specialized role in the utilities sector by combining regulated local service with long-term infrastructure support for public-sector customers. The company is headquartered in San Dimas, California, and focuses on dependable water and power delivery through its operating subsidiaries, including Golden State Water Company, Bear Valley Electric Service, Inc., and American States Utility Services, Inc.

CEO Mr. Robert J. Sprowls C.M.A. · 900 employees · United States · https://www.aswater.com