TICKERNERD
Menu
BAERBAERIndustrials · Security & Protection Services

BAER Stock Forecast: Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$1.05
+0.48% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $4 — +282.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 13 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$61.5M
Ticker Nerd rank
13 / 100
Median analyst target
$4.00
Analysts covering
3
Revenue$30.5M−0.8% y/y
Operating income$6.0M
Net income−$498K
Free cash flow−$18.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.1%
1M
−19.6%
YTD
−42.9%
1Y
−45.3%
From 52W high
−68.0%
From 52W low
+0.5%
$1.04
$3.27
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BAER stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
13 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
80
Revisions
48
Accruals
46
Quality
42
Value
21
Momentum
14
Volatility
13
Issuance
12
Growth
7

Size (80): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Growth (7): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BAER stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BAER, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$1.00$2.00$3.00$4.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BAERHigh $4.00Median $4.00Low $3.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts
3 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $3.00Median $4.00High $4.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +282.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$4.50 → $4.00
20 May 2026Lake StreetInitiatesBuy$4.50
20 May 2026Lake StreetInitiatesBuy—
9 Mar 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
25 Nov 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
28 May 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
17 Mar 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
15 Jan 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
13 Nov 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
13 Aug 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
2 July 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
24 June 2024Canaccord GenuityInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BAER appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

BAER vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. returned −45.3% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BAER vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
406080100120140160180Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BAERS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BAER analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
36.6×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

Price / book
1.7×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
37.8×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−0.8%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−0.8%

Higher than 35% of US stocks

Gross margin
37.1%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Operating margin
19.6%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
−10.8%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−32.4%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.7%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Dividend yield
45.9%

Higher than 96% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $61.5M and an enterprise value of $742.7M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $115.4M. The latest quarter shrank 0.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$12.4M, a −10.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.85.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$90.5M, after $1.4M of capital spending.

  • Shares outstanding: 58.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 36.6×; forward P/E: −4.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 45.93%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. employs 235 people — $491K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 12 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BAER vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSecurity & Protection Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BAERBridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.$61.5M
13
SPCBSuperCom Ltd.$62.6M
22
SNTSenstar Technologies Corp.$38.5M
5
CIGLConcorde International Group Ltd.$99.9M
21
GFAIGuardforce AI Co., Ltd.$11.3M
16
NLNLI Holdings, Inc.$342.5M
48
CIXCompX International, Inc.$439.8M
73

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BAER news & analysis

Bridger Aerospace and OroraTech Advance Integration of Space-Based Data into IGNIS for Centralized Wildfire Intelligence

GlobeNewsWire · 3 Sept 2026positive

Bridger Aerospace announced a partnership with OroraTech USA to integrate OroraTech's space-based wildfire detection, mapping, and fire spread simulation capabilities into Bridger's IGNIS mobile-first wildfire operations software platform, which provides situational awareness to state, federal, county, and municipal wildfire agencies.

Why it matters — A BAER watcher would care because integrating space-based thermal intelligence into IGNIS expands the capabilities and appeal of Bridger's technology platform for wildfire agencies.

Bridger Aerospace Expands Super Scooper Fleet as Wildfire Contracts Extend

MarketBeat · 12 Aug 2026positive

Bridger Aerospace CEO Sam Davis said during a Canaccord Genuity-hosted discussion that the company is expanding its aerial firefighting fleet and pursuing longer-term government contracts as wildfire activity extends further into the year.

Why it matters — A BAER watcher would care because fleet expansion and longer-term government contracts could signal sustained demand for the company's firefighting services as wildfire seasons lengthen.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call. The transcript covers the company's second-quarter 2026 results and management's discussion of the quarter.

Why it matters — BAER watchers can review management's commentary on the company's Q2 2026 performance directly from the earnings call transcript.

Bridger Aerospace to Participate in Fireside Chat at the Canaccord Genuity 46th Annual Growth Conference

GlobeNewsWire · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. announced it will participate in a fireside chat at the Canaccord Genuity 46th Annual Growth Conference. The company's participation was communicated via a news release from GlobeNewsWire.

Why it matters — A BAER watcher would care because the company's appearance at a major investor conference provides an opportunity for management to present its business to the investment community.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) Reports Q2 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026negative

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) reported a Q2 loss of $0.13 per share, compared with the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $0.01 loss and a $0.12 loss per share in the same period a year ago. The company also missed revenue estimates.

Why it matters — BAER watchers would care because the company's quarterly loss came in wider than analysts anticipated and revenue fell short of consensus estimates.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BAER stock

What is the BAER stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $4, with estimates ranging from $3 to $4. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BAER stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. 13 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BAER?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ranks 13 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (80 of 100).

Will BAER stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +282.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. 13 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BAER stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BAER are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3 to $4 over the next 12 months.

How has BAER stock performed over the past year?

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. returned -45.3% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. do?

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is an aerial wildfire management and specialty aviation services company focused on wildfire surveillance, relief, suppression, and firefighting support.

What is the latest news on BAER?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 3 Sept 2026): "Bridger Aerospace and OroraTech Advance Integration of Space-Based Data into IGNIS for Centralized Wildfire Intelligence". Bridger Aerospace announced a partnership with OroraTech USA to integrate OroraTech's space-based wildfire detection, mapping, and fire spread simulation capabilities into Bridger's IGNIS mobile-first wildfire operations software platform, which provides situational awareness to state, federal, county, and municipal wildfire agencies.

Company

About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is an aerial wildfire management and specialty aviation services company focused on wildfire surveillance, relief, suppression, and firefighting support. Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. serves federal and state government agencies, including the United States Forest Service, by deploying specialized aircraft and mission crews for fire detection, water dropping, tactical coordination, and incident support. The company also provides maintenance, repair, and overhaul services, along with airframe modification and integration solutions for governmental and commercial customers. Its operations center on direct wildfire response and aviation support, making it a specialized provider within the public-safety and emergency-response market.

CEO Mr. Sam Davis · 235 employees · United States · https://www.bridgeraerospace.com