TICKERNERD
Menu
BAERBAERIndustrials · Security & Protection Services

BAER Stock Forecast: Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$1.23
+6.96% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $4 — +225.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 15 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$71.8M
Ticker Nerd rank
15 / 100
Median analyst target
$4.00
Analysts covering
3
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.6%
1M
−34.9%
YTD
−32.8%
1Y
−34.9%
From 52W high
−62.4%
From 52W low
+7.0%
$1.15
$3.27
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BAER stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
15 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
79
Revisions
48
Accruals
45
Quality
45
Momentum
22
Value
21
Volatility
15
Issuance
12
Growth
7

Size (79): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Growth (7): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BAER stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BAER, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$1.00$2.00$3.00$4.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BAERHigh $4.00Median $4.00Low $3.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says3 analysts
3 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $3.00Median $4.00High $4.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +225.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Aug 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy$4.50 → $4.00
20 May 2026Lake StreetInitiatesBuy$4.50
20 May 2026Lake StreetInitiatesBuy—
9 Mar 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
25 Nov 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
28 May 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
17 Mar 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
15 Jan 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
13 Nov 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
13 Aug 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
2 July 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
24 June 2024Canaccord GenuityInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BAER appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

BAER analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
36.6×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 80% of US stocks

Price / book
2.0×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
38.3×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−0.8%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−0.8%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Gross margin
37.1%

Higher than 46% of US stocks

Operating margin
19.6%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Net margin
−10.8%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−32.4%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.7%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Dividend yield
39.0%

Higher than 96% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

BAER vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSecurity & Protection Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BAERBridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.$71.8M
15
SPCBSuperCom Ltd.$71.7M
30
CIGLConcorde International Group Ltd.$97.4M
21
SNTSenstar Technologies Corp.$40.8M
3
KSCPKnightscope, Inc.$33.5M
12
NLNLI Holdings, Inc.$316.1M
50
CIXCompX International, Inc.$394.8M
79

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BAER news & analysis

Bridger Aerospace Expands Super Scooper Fleet as Wildfire Contracts Extend

MarketBeat · 12 Aug 2026positive

Bridger Aerospace CEO Sam Davis said during a Canaccord Genuity-hosted discussion that the company is expanding its aerial firefighting fleet and pursuing longer-term government contracts as wildfire activity extends further into the year.

Why it matters — A BAER watcher would care because fleet expansion and longer-term government contracts could signal sustained demand for the company's firefighting services as wildfire seasons lengthen.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published the transcript of Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call. The transcript covers the company's second-quarter 2026 results and management's discussion of the quarter.

Why it matters — BAER watchers can review management's commentary on the company's Q2 2026 performance directly from the earnings call transcript.

Bridger Aerospace to Participate in Fireside Chat at the Canaccord Genuity 46th Annual Growth Conference

GlobeNewsWire · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. announced it will participate in a fireside chat at the Canaccord Genuity 46th Annual Growth Conference. The company's participation was communicated via a news release from GlobeNewsWire.

Why it matters — A BAER watcher would care because the company's appearance at a major investor conference provides an opportunity for management to present its business to the investment community.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) Reports Q2 Loss, Misses Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026negative

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) reported a Q2 loss of $0.13 per share, compared with the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a $0.01 loss and a $0.12 loss per share in the same period a year ago. The company also missed revenue estimates.

Why it matters — BAER watchers would care because the company's quarterly loss came in wider than analysts anticipated and revenue fell short of consensus estimates.

Bridger Aerospace Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 6 Aug 2026positive

Bridger Aerospace Group reported second-quarter revenue that was essentially unchanged from the prior year, while reiterating its full-year outlook. The company pointed to increasing wildfire activity, longer-duration government task orders, and expansion into aircraft modification and intelligence services.

Why it matters — A BAER watcher would care because the reiterated outlook and cited drivers—rising wildfire activity, longer task orders, and new business lines—signal the company's anticipated trajectory for the rest of the year.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BAER stock

What is the BAER stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $4, with estimates ranging from $3 to $4. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BAER stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. 15 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BAER?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ranks 15 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (79 of 100).

Will BAER stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +225.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. 15 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BAER stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BAER are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3 to $4 over the next 12 months.

How has BAER stock performed over the past year?

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. returned -34.9% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. do?

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is an aerial firefighting and aerospace services company that provides wildfire surveillance, suppression, and management services primarily to federal and state government agencies, including the United States Forest Service, across the United States.

What is the latest news on BAER?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 12 Aug 2026): "Bridger Aerospace Expands Super Scooper Fleet as Wildfire Contracts Extend". Bridger Aerospace CEO Sam Davis said during a Canaccord Genuity-hosted discussion that the company is expanding its aerial firefighting fleet and pursuing longer-term government contracts as wildfire activity extends further into the year.

Company

About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is an aerial firefighting and aerospace services company that provides wildfire surveillance, suppression, and management services primarily to federal and state government agencies, including the United States Forest Service, across the United States. The company deploys specialized Super Scooper aircraft, such as the Viking CL-415EAF, to rapidly drop large volumes of water directly on wildfires as part of its Fire Suppression offerings. Its Aerial Surveillance segment utilizes manned aircraft for real-time monitoring, infrared imagery, tactical coordination with incident commanders, and support for ground crews through advanced data and communication tools. Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. also offers maintenance, repair, and overhaul services, including airframe modifications and integration solutions for government and commercial clients. Headquartered in Belgrade, Montana, at the Bozeman Yellowstone International Airport, the company employs next-generation technology and sustainable firefighting methods to protect lives, property, and habitats threatened by wildfires, addressing a critical need in wildfire management.

CEO Mr. Sam Davis · 235 employees · United States · https://www.bridgeraerospace.com