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BAER Stock Forecast: Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$1.96
+1.03% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $4.5 — +129.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 21 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$111.8M
Ticker Nerd rank
21 / 100
Median analyst target
$4.50
Analysts covering
3
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.8%
1M
0.0%
YTD
+7.1%
1Y
+10.7%
From 52W high
−40.1%
From 52W low
+21.7%
$1.61
$3.27
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BAER stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
21 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
74
Accruals
57
Quality
55
Revisions
44
Momentum
29
Growth
28
Value
21
Issuance
13
Volatility
13

Size (74): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Volatility (13): The share price moves around a lot.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

BAER stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BAER, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$1.00$2.00$3.00$4.00$5.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BAERHigh $4.50Median $4.50Low $3.35

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says3 analysts
3 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $3.35Median $4.50High $4.50

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +129.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
20 May 2026Lake StreetInitiatesBuy$4.50
20 May 2026Lake StreetInitiatesBuy—
9 Mar 2026Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
25 Nov 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
28 May 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
17 Mar 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
15 Jan 2025Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
13 Nov 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
13 Aug 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
2 July 2024Canaccord GenuityMaintainsBuy—
24 June 2024Canaccord GenuityInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

BAER analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. (BAER) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
36.6×

Cheaper than 22% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.0×

Cheaper than 70% of US stocks

Price / book
3.3×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
48.1×

Cheaper than 5% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−45.6%

Higher than 6% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−45.6%

Higher than 11% of US stocks

Gross margin
−100.3%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Operating margin
−296.2%

Higher than 10% of US stocks

Net margin
−10.0%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−31.6%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.1%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Dividend yield
23.7%

Higher than 95% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

BAER vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelSecurity & Protection Services
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BAERBridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.$111.8M
21
CIGLConcorde International Group Ltd.$138.8M
20
SPCBSuperCom Ltd.$47.6M
40
NLNLI Holdings, Inc.$280.5M
44
SNTSenstar Technologies Corp.$38.0M
3
CIXCompX International, Inc.$348.7M
70
KSCPKnightscope, Inc.$33.0M
12
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BAER appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest BAER news & analysis

Bridger Aerospace Awarded $58 Million Contract with Texas A&M Forest Service to Build State Wildfire Aviation Surveillance Program

GlobeNewsWire · 27 July 2026positive

Bridger Aerospace announced it was awarded a $58 million contract with the Texas A&M Forest Service to build a state wildfire aviation surveillance program, covering the acquisition, modification, and delivery of three King Air 360 multi-mission aircraft.

Why it matters — The contract represents a significant new government customer win for Bridger Aerospace, expanding its wildfire surveillance operations into Texas.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BAER stock

What is the BAER stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $4.5, with estimates ranging from $3.35 to $4.5. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BAER stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. 21 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BAER?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. ranks 21 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (74 of 100).

Will BAER stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +129.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. 21 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BAER stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BAER are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3.35 to $4.5 over the next 12 months.

How has BAER stock performed over the past year?

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. returned +10.7% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. do?

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is an aerial firefighting and aerospace services company that provides wildfire surveillance, suppression, and management services primarily to federal and state government agencies, including the United States Forest Service, across the United States.

What is the latest news on BAER?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 27 July 2026): "Bridger Aerospace Awarded $58 Million Contract with Texas A&M Forest Service to Build State Wildfire Aviation Surveillance Program". Bridger Aerospace announced it was awarded a $58 million contract with the Texas A&M Forest Service to build a state wildfire aviation surveillance program, covering the acquisition, modification, and delivery of three King Air 360 multi-mission aircraft.

Company

About Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc.

Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. is an aerial firefighting and aerospace services company that provides wildfire surveillance, suppression, and management services primarily to federal and state government agencies, including the United States Forest Service, across the United States. The company deploys specialized Super Scooper aircraft, such as the Viking CL-415EAF, to rapidly drop large volumes of water directly on wildfires as part of its Fire Suppression offerings. Its Aerial Surveillance segment utilizes manned aircraft for real-time monitoring, infrared imagery, tactical coordination with incident commanders, and support for ground crews through advanced data and communication tools. Bridger Aerospace Group Holdings, Inc. also offers maintenance, repair, and overhaul services, including airframe modifications and integration solutions for government and commercial clients. Headquartered in Belgrade, Montana, at the Bozeman Yellowstone International Airport, the company employs next-generation technology and sustainable firefighting methods to protect lives, property, and habitats threatened by wildfires, addressing a critical need in wildfire management.

CEO Mr. Sam Davis · 235 employees · United States · https://www.bridgeraerospace.com