BLBDBLBDIndustrials · Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery

BLBD Stock Forecast: Blue Bird Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 6 Aug 2026
$66
−14.19% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Bird Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $86 — +29.5% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 72 of 100 as at 6 Aug 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$2.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
72 / 100
Median analyst target
$86
Analysts covering
8
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−11.5%
1M
−15.3%
YTD
+40.4%
1Y
+49.5%
From 52W high
−19.0%
From 52W low
+49.5%
$44
$82
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BLBD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Blue Bird Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Aug 2026
72 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
100
Growth
83
Value
82
Momentum
82
Volatility
62
Issuance
47
Revisions
44
Size
36
Accruals
13

Quality (100): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (13): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Blue Bird Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

BLBD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BLBD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80$90$100Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BLBDHigh $94Median $86Low $73

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says8 analysts
7 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $73Median $86High $94

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +29.5% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
20 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$75$85
25 June 2026Roth CapitalAssumesBuy$94
1 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
7 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight
7 May 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy
7 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy
6 Feb 2026Freedom BrokerMaintainsBuy
5 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight
5 Feb 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy
5 Feb 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy
25 Nov 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
25 Nov 2025BTIGReiteratesBuy
25 Nov 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
25 Nov 2025NeedhamReiteratesBuy
20 Nov 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
3 Nov 2025NeedhamMaintainsBuy
16 Sept 2025BTIGMaintainsBuy
7 Aug 2025NeedhamMaintainsBuy
27 May 2025NeedhamReiteratesBuy
8 May 2025BarclaysMaintainsOverweight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

BLBD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+8.0%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Blue Bird Corp. (BLBD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.9×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.4×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

Price / book
8.2×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.7×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−1.7%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
12.5%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Gross margin
20.0%

Higher than 22% of US stocks

Operating margin
11.0%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Net margin
8.9%

Higher than 68% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
54.5%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Return on assets
18.0%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

BLBD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFarm & Heavy Construction Machinery
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BLBDBlue Bird Corp.$2.1B
72
ALGAlamo Group, Inc.$2.0B
41
LNNLindsay Corp.$1.2B
55
ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.$1.0B
47
AEBIAebi Schmidt Holding AG$1.0B
16
HYHyster-Yale, Inc.$655.1M
30
AGCOAGCO Corp.$7.1B
70
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BLBD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest BLBD news & analysis

Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Blue Bird Corporation's Q3 2026 earnings call transcript was published on Seeking Alpha, documenting the company's quarterly earnings discussion with management.

Why it matters — BLBD watchers would care because the transcript provides direct insight into management's commentary and context around the company's most recent quarterly results.

Blue Bird (BLBD) Q3 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Aug 2026positive

Blue Bird reported quarterly earnings of $1.28 per share for Q3, topping the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.22 per share and exceeding the $1.19 per share earned in the same quarter a year ago.

Why it matters — The earnings beat the analyst consensus and improved year over year, signalling a stronger-than-expected quarter for shareholders and those tracking Blue Bird's performance.

Blue Bird Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 5 Aug 2026positive

Blue Bird Corp. reported fiscal 2026 third-quarter revenue of $517 million and adjusted EBITDA of $71 million, exceeding its guidance across all metrics. The company also raised its full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook.

Why it matters — The earnings beat and upward revision to the full-year outlook signal stronger-than-expected operational performance for the school-bus manufacturer.

Blue Bird Reports Fiscal 2026 Third Quarter Results

Business Wire · 5 Aug 2026positive

Blue Bird Corporation announced its fiscal 2026 third quarter financial results for the period ended June 27, 2026. Unit sales rose by 1,058 to 3,525 for the quarter (7,808 for the nine months, up 916), and revenue increased $119.1 million to $517.2 million for the quarter ($1,202.9 million for the nine months, up $132.1 million).

Why it matters — The reported year-over-year gains in unit sales and revenue indicate growth in Blue Bird's core school bus business during the fiscal 2026 third quarter.

Blue Bird Enters Definitive Agreement with Ford to Expand Commercial Stripped Chassis Operations

Business Wire · 5 Aug 2026positive

Blue Bird Corporation announced a definitive agreement with Ford Motor Company to design, manufacture, and sell the next generation of F-53/F-59 commercial stripped chassis, expanding its commercial vehicle presence beyond its school bus business.

Why it matters — The agreement extends Blue Bird's operations into a new commercial stripped chassis segment through a partnership with Ford, broadening its product portfolio and potential market reach.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BLBD stock

What is the BLBD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Bird Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $86, with estimates ranging from $73 to $94. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BLBD stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Blue Bird Corp., 7 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Blue Bird Corp. 72 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BLBD?

As at 6 Aug 2026, Blue Bird Corp. ranks 72 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (100 of 100).

Will BLBD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +29.5% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Blue Bird Corp. 72 out of 100 as at 6 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BLBD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Blue Bird Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BLBD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $73 to $94 over the next 12 months.

How has BLBD stock performed over the past year?

Blue Bird Corp. returned +49.5% over the 12 months to 6 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Blue Bird Corp. do?

Blue Bird Corporation is a leading manufacturer in the school bus industry, specializing in the design and production of a range of buses tailored to meet the needs of educational institutions and transportation services across North America. The company offers a variety of models, including Type A, C, and D buses, which cater to different capacities and usages.

What is the latest news on BLBD?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 6 Aug 2026): "Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Blue Bird Corporation's Q3 2026 earnings call transcript was published on Seeking Alpha, documenting the company's quarterly earnings discussion with management.

Company

About Blue Bird Corp.

Blue Bird Corporation is a leading manufacturer in the school bus industry, specializing in the design and production of a range of buses tailored to meet the needs of educational institutions and transportation services across North America. The company offers a variety of models, including Type A, C, and D buses, which cater to different capacities and usages. Known for its emphasis on safety, Blue Bird incorporates advanced safety features and technologies to ensure the secure transportation of students. The corporation contributes significantly to the public and private educational sectors by providing essential vehicles for daily school commutes. Established in 1927, Blue Bird has consistently focused on innovation and sustainability, integrating alternative fuel options such as propane and electric drivetrains into its product lineup. This makes it a crucial player in the growing trend toward eco-friendly school transportation solutions, reinforcing its role in the broader push towards sustainable automotive practices. With headquarters in Fort Valley, Georgia, Blue Bird Corporation remains pivotal in shaping the future of student transportation and fostering advancements in bus safety standards.

CEO Mr. John Wyskiel · 2,008 employees · United States · https://www.blue-bird.com