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BLBD Stock Forecast: Blue Bird Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Sept 2026
$61
−1.41% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Bird Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $90 — +47.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 70 of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$2.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
70 / 100
Median analyst target
$90
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$517.2M+29.9% y/y
Operating income$62.7M
Net income$185.3M
Free cash flow$21.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.0%
1M
−4.8%
YTD
+29.3%
1Y
+4.4%
From 52W high
−25.4%
From 52W low
+30.5%
$47
$82
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BLBD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Blue Bird Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 17 Sept 2026
70 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
99
Value
86
Growth
83
Volatility
66
Momentum
56
Revisions
55
Issuance
45
Size
36
Accruals
12

Quality (99): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (12): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BLBD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BLBD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$40$50$60$70$80$90$100Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BLBDHigh $95Median $90Low $82

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
8 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $82Median $90High $95

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +47.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Aug 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy$80 → $95
6 Aug 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy$86 → $91
6 Aug 2026NeedhamReiteratesBuy$86
20 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$75 → $85
20 July 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
25 June 2026Roth CapitalAssumesBuy$94
1 June 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
7 May 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
7 May 2026BTIGMaintainsBuy—
7 May 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
6 Feb 2026Freedom BrokerMaintainsBuy—
5 Feb 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
5 Feb 2026BTIGReiteratesBuy—
5 Feb 2026NeedhamMaintainsBuy—
25 Nov 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
25 Nov 2025BTIGReiteratesBuy—
25 Nov 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
25 Nov 2025NeedhamReiteratesBuy—
20 Nov 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
3 Nov 2025NeedhamMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BLBD appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

BLBD vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 17 Sept 2026, Blue Bird Corp. returned +4.4% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BLBD vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26BLBDS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BLBD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−2.3%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Blue Bird Corp. (BLBD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.4×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.2×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / book
3.0×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
9.4×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
29.9%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
408.2%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Gross margin
20.0%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Operating margin
12.1%

Higher than 67% of US stocks

Net margin
17.5%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
64.3%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Return on assets
13.6%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Blue Bird Corp. (BLBD) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Blue Bird Corp. has a market value of $2.0B and an enterprise value of $2.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B. The latest quarter grew 29.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $281.8M, a 17.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $8.22.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $153.1M.

  • Blue Bird Corp. spent $30.4M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 31.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 7.4×; forward P/E: 12.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Blue Bird Corp. employs 2,008 people — $803K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 16 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BLBD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelFarm & Heavy Construction Machinery
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BLBDBlue Bird Corp.$2.0B
70
ALGAlamo Group, Inc.$2.0B
48
LNNLindsay Corp.$1.2B
56
ASTEAstec Industries, Inc.$937.2M
42
AEBIAebi Schmidt Holding AG$927.0M
24
MTWThe Manitowoc Co., Inc.$775.0M
92
HYHyster-Yale, Inc.$590.4M
33

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Blue Bird Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest BLBD news & analysis

Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About Blue Bird (BLBD): Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research reports that Wall Street analysts are taking an optimistic view of Blue Bird (BLBD), with the article examining how investors use sell-side analyst recommendations when making Buy, Sell, or Hold decisions and whether such rating-change reports truly affect a stock's price.

Why it matters — A BLBD watcher would care because the piece highlights the positive stance of Wall Street analysts toward the company, a factor commonly weighed in investment decisions.

Blue Bird: A Meltdown Worth Buy Upgrade - Expanded TAM To Commercial Markets

Seeking Alpha · 25 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha highlights Blue Bird's multi-year profitable growth tailwinds from an aging school bus fleet, robust backlog trends with order intake outpacing industry averages, and the Micro Bird acquisition and Ford partnership expanding its addressable market into commercial/RV end markets while supporting raised long-term targets.

Why it matters — A BLBD watcher would care because this item identifies structural demand drivers and an expanded addressable market that underpin the company's raised long-term growth targets.

Blue Bird: An Unexpected Chance To Buy A Long-Term Compounder

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha rated Blue Bird Corporation a buy following a 17% pullback, citing DCF-based fair value of $77–81 per share and potential upside of 18–24%. The company reported strong Q3 results with $517M revenue beating expectations, adjusted EPS meeting estimates, and raised FY26 EBITDA guidance to $245–250M, though risks include EPA Clean School Bus Program uncertainty and margin dilution from Micro Bird.

Why it matters — A BLBD watcher would care because the article highlights strong Q3 results and raised FY26 guidance while flagging specific near-term risks to the company's outlook.

BLBD vs. FSS: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research compares Blue Bird (BLBD) with Federal Signal (FSS), both in the Automotive - Domestic sector, asking which stock offers better value for value investors. The article presents a side-by-side evaluation of the two companies without reaching a stated conclusion in the excerpt.

Why it matters — BLBD watchers would care because the piece highlights how the company measures up against a sector peer from a value-investing standpoint.

Wall Street Analysts Think Blue Bird (BLBD) Is a Good Investment: Is It?

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026positive

The article discusses the recommendations of Wall Street (sell-side) analysts regarding Blue Bird (BLBD), noting that investors often rely on such analyst opinions when deciding whether to buy, sell, or hold a stock. It highlights that media reports about analysts changing their ratings can affect a stock's price.

Why it matters — A BLBD watcher would care because analyst ratings and rating changes are frequently used by investors and can influence the stock's price movement.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BLBD stock

What is the BLBD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Bird Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $90, with estimates ranging from $82 to $95. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BLBD stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Blue Bird Corp., 8 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Blue Bird Corp. 70 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BLBD?

As at 17 Sept 2026, Blue Bird Corp. ranks 70 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (99 of 100).

Will BLBD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +47.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Blue Bird Corp. 70 out of 100 as at 17 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BLBD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Blue Bird Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BLBD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $82 to $95 over the next 12 months.

How has BLBD stock performed over the past year?

Blue Bird Corp. returned +4.4% over the 12 months to 17 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Blue Bird Corp. do?

Blue Bird Corporation is a school bus manufacturer that designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells buses and related parts for student transportation. The company serves customers across the United States, Canada, and international markets through its Bus and Parts segments.

What is the latest news on BLBD?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 10 Sept 2026): "Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About Blue Bird (BLBD): Should You Buy?". Zacks Investment Research reports that Wall Street analysts are taking an optimistic view of Blue Bird (BLBD), with the article examining how investors use sell-side analyst recommendations when making Buy, Sell, or Hold decisions and whether such rating-change reports truly affect a stock's price.

Company

About Blue Bird Corp.

Blue Bird Corporation is a school bus manufacturer that designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells buses and related parts for student transportation. The company serves customers across the United States, Canada, and international markets through its Bus and Parts segments. Its product lineup includes Type C and Type D school buses, specialty configurations for activity and special-needs transport, and vehicles powered by propane, gasoline, compressed natural gas, diesel, and electric systems. Blue Bird also supplies replacement parts and related support offerings to dealers and fleet operators. The company plays a central role in the student transportation market, with a focus on safety, durability, and alternative-fuel mobility solutions.

CEO Mr. John Wyskiel · 2,008 employees · United States · https://www.blue-bird.com