BLBDIndustrials · Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryThe 8 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Bird Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $90 — +59.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 66 of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Blue Bird Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Quality (100): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.
Accruals (12): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BLBD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +59.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Aug 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | $80 → $95 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | $86 → $91 |
| 6 Aug 2026 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy | $86 |
| 20 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | $75 → $85 |
| 20 July 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 25 June 2026 | Roth Capital | Assumes | Buy | $94 |
| 1 June 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 May 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 May 2026 | BTIG | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 May 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Freedom Broker | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Barclays | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 5 Feb 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 5 Feb 2026 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 Nov 2025 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 Nov 2025 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 25 Nov 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Needham | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 20 Nov 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Nov 2025 | Needham | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. BLBD appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 12 Oct 2026, Blue Bird Corp. returned +2.6% against +20.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 63% of US stocks
Cheaper than 64% of US stocks
Cheaper than 34% of US stocks
Cheaper than 42% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 80% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Blue Bird Corp. has a market value of $1.9B and an enterprise value of $1.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.6B. The latest quarter grew 29.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $281.8M, a 17.5% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $8.22.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $153.1M.
Blue Bird Corp. spent $30.4M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 6.7×; forward P/E: 12.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Blue Bird Corp. employs 2,008 people — $803K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Blue Bird Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Blue Bird (BLBD) closed at $55.84 in the latest trading session, down 2.35% from the previous day. The headline says the decline was larger than the market’s.
Why it matters — BLBD watchers may note the stock’s latest session decline and its relative performance versus the market.
Blue Bird closed a new $600 million senior secured credit facility, replacing its existing $250 million facilities and extending maturity from November 2028 to September 2031. The agreement includes a $300 million revolving credit facility and a $300 million delayed draw term loan facility.
Why it matters — The refinancing updates the company’s credit facilities and extends their maturity to 2031.
Zacks Equity Research highlighted Abercrombie & Fitch as its Bull of the Day and Blue Bird as its Bear of the Day in an October 5, 2026 report. The analysis also covered Walmart, Target, and Dollar General.
Why it matters — Blue Bird watchers would care because the company was singled out as the Bear of the Day by a prominent research outlet, reflecting a bearish view of the stock.
Zacks Investment Research has named Blue Bird (BLBD) its "Bear of the Day," noting that a large jump in oil prices should be helping alternative fuel adoption instead of hurting it. The item highlights a contrary market dynamic affecting the company.
Why it matters — This piece flags a bearish view from a research firm, which BLBD watchers may consider when assessing the company's outlook amid rising oil prices and alternative fuel adoption.
Blue Bird Corp. shares closed at $56.36 in the latest trading day, a decline of 1.09% from the prior close, a drop steeper than that of the broader market.
Why it matters — BLBD watchers would care because the stock underperformed the wider market in the session, reflecting its recent trading weakness.
The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Blue Bird Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $90, with estimates ranging from $82 to $95. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 8 analysts covering Blue Bird Corp., 8 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Blue Bird Corp. 66 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Oct 2026, Blue Bird Corp. ranks 66 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (100 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +59.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Blue Bird Corp. 66 out of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Blue Bird Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BLBD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $82 to $95 over the next 12 months.
Blue Bird Corp. returned +2.6% over the 12 months to 12 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Blue Bird Corporation is a school bus manufacturer that designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells buses and related parts for student transportation. The company serves customers across the United States, Canada, and international markets through its Bus and Parts segments.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 7 Oct 2026): "Blue Bird (BLBD) Registers a Bigger Fall Than the Market: Important Facts to Note". Blue Bird (BLBD) closed at $55.84 in the latest trading session, down 2.35% from the previous day. The headline says the decline was larger than the market’s.
Blue Bird Corporation is a school bus manufacturer that designs, engineers, manufactures, and sells buses and related parts for student transportation. The company serves customers across the United States, Canada, and international markets through its Bus and Parts segments. Its product lineup includes Type C and Type D school buses, specialty configurations for activity and special-needs transport, and vehicles powered by propane, gasoline, compressed natural gas, diesel, and electric systems. Blue Bird also supplies replacement parts and related support offerings to dealers and fleet operators. The company plays a central role in the student transportation market, with a focus on safety, durability, and alternative-fuel mobility solutions.
CEO Mr. John Wyskiel · 2,008 employees · United States · https://www.blue-bird.com
