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CENX Stock Forecast: Century Aluminum Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 7 Oct 2026
$36
−3.09% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Century Aluminum Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $66 — +83.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
62 / 100
Median analyst target
$66
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$752.1M+19.7% y/y
Operating income$211.6M
Net income$243.8M
Free cash flow$108.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.1%
1M
−23.0%
YTD
−8.0%
1Y
+28.3%
From 52W high
−47.6%
From 52W low
+37.6%
$26
$69
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CENX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Century Aluminum Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Oct 2026
62 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
97
Growth
94
Value
84
Momentum
73
Issuance
57
Revisions
34
Size
27
Volatility
22
Accruals
15

Quality (97): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (15): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CENX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CENX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$30$40$50$60$70$80Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CENXHigh $79Median $66Low $55

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
4 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $55Median $66High $79

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +83.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
18 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$83 → $79
11 Aug 2026UBSInitiatesBuy—
7 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$86 → $74
7 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
8 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
16 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
7 Apr 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
12 Mar 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
24 Feb 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
3 Feb 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
13 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
23 Dec 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
7 Nov 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
7 Nov 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
23 Oct 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
8 Oct 2025Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight—
9 Sept 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
8 Aug 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
8 Aug 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
24 Feb 2025BMO CapitalUpgradeOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CENX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

CENX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 7 Oct 2026, Century Aluminum Co. returned +28.3% against +17.7% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CENX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200250Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CENXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CENX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−6.3%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Century Aluminum Co. (CENX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.4×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.4×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / book
2.6×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.2×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
19.7%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
19.7%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Gross margin
30.3%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Operating margin
28.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
22.6%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
51.7%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Return on assets
10.2%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.5%

Higher than 66% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Century Aluminum Co. (CENX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Century Aluminum Co. has a market value of $3.7B and an enterprise value of $3.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.7B. The latest quarter grew 19.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $570.0M, a 21.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.79.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $151.2M.

  • Shares outstanding: 99.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 6.4×; forward P/E: 3.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.54%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Century Aluminum Co. employs 2,906 people — $918K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 6 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CENX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAluminum
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CENXCentury Aluminum Co.$3.7B
62
CSTMConstellium SE$3.5B
98
KALUKaiser Aluminum Corp.$2.5B
96
AAAlcoa Corp.$11.4B
43
AVNTAvient Corp.*$3.8B
95
CBTCabot Corp.*$4.1B
87
ASHAshland, Inc.*$3.2B
88

* Nearest Basic Materials names by size — few aluminum companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Century Aluminum Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CENX news & analysis

Century Aluminum: More Production Could Make Earnings More Durable

Seeking Alpha · 16 Sept 2026positive

Century Aluminum reported Q2 profitability driven by higher aluminum prices, regional premiums, rising gross margins, and government credit support, following ramp-ups at Mt. Holly and Grundartangi. The company expects Q3 EBITDA to remain near Q2 levels as increased production offsets cost pressures, though execution risks remain at those facilities.

Why it matters — CENX watchers would care because expanded production capacity and expected sustained EBITDA could make the company's earnings more durable despite ongoing operational risks.

U.S. Steel Stocks Nucor, Steel Dynamics: Big Winners As Canada Trade Talks Collapse?

Investors Business Daily · 22 Aug 2026neutral

The article reports that U.S. steel stocks Nucor and Steel Dynamics tumbled last week on the prospect of lower steel tariffs, amid reports that Canada trade talks collapsed. The piece frames steel companies as potential beneficiaries of the tariff situation.

Why it matters — CENX watchers monitor tariff and trade developments because changes in steel and aluminum trade policy can affect the broader metals sector and competitive conditions.

Century Aluminum Q2 Earnings Lag Estimates, Sales Rise Y/Y

Zacks Investment Research · 13 Aug 2026positive

Century Aluminum Co. reported second-quarter earnings that fell short of estimates, though sales rose year over year. The company posted a sharp profit increase as higher aluminum prices and shipments drove EBITDA to $326.9 million, despite a sales miss.

Why it matters — CENX watchers would care because the quarter reflects higher aluminum prices and strong shipment volumes boosting profitability even as earnings lagged analyst expectations.

CENX Q2 Earnings Call Focuses on Full Capacity and Oklahoma

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026positive

During its Q2 earnings call, Century Aluminum emphasized that its smelters are operating at full capacity, noted strong U.S. demand, and reported progress on its Oklahoma project as it aims for a year-end investment decision.

Why it matters — The update signals operational strength and a potential catalyst for future growth with the Oklahoma project nearing a key decision point.

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) held its second-quarter 2026 earnings call, and the full transcript of that call was published via Seeking Alpha. The excerpt confirms only that the earnings call took place and that a transcript of it is available, with no further details provided.

Why it matters — A CENX watcher would care because the Q2 2026 earnings call transcript offers the company's own commentary on its latest quarterly results and outlook, serving as a key reference for investors following the aluminum producer.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CENX stock

What is the CENX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Century Aluminum Co. have a median 12-month price target of $66, with estimates ranging from $55 to $79. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CENX stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Century Aluminum Co., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Century Aluminum Co. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CENX?

As at 6 Oct 2026, Century Aluminum Co. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (97 of 100).

Will CENX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +83.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Century Aluminum Co. 62 out of 100 as at 6 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CENX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Century Aluminum Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CENX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $55 to $79 over the next 12 months.

How has CENX stock performed over the past year?

Century Aluminum Co. returned +28.3% over the 12 months to 7 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Century Aluminum Co. do?

Century Aluminum Company is a primary aluminum producer that supplies the metal used in industrial, commercial, and infrastructure applications. Century Aluminum Company produces standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products, with operations centered on aluminum reduction facilities, or smelters, in the United States and Iceland.

What is the latest news on CENX?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 16 Sept 2026): "Century Aluminum: More Production Could Make Earnings More Durable". Century Aluminum reported Q2 profitability driven by higher aluminum prices, regional premiums, rising gross margins, and government credit support, following ramp-ups at Mt. Holly and Grundartangi. The company expects Q3 EBITDA to remain near Q2 levels as increased production offsets cost pressures, though execution risks remain at those facilities.

Company

About Century Aluminum Co.

Century Aluminum Company is a primary aluminum producer that supplies the metal used in industrial, commercial, and infrastructure applications. Century Aluminum Company produces standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products, with operations centered on aluminum reduction facilities, or smelters, in the United States and Iceland. The company also supports its production chain through a carbon anode facility in the Netherlands and bauxite mining and alumina refining activities in Jamaica. Its product mix includes aluminum forms used in casting, extrusion, and other downstream manufacturing processes, making it a key supplier to sectors that rely on lightweight, durable metal inputs. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, and founded in 1995, Century Aluminum Company plays a significant role in the primary aluminum market by providing material essential to transportation, construction, packaging, and industrial manufacturing.

CEO Mr. Jesse E. Gary J.D. · 2,906 employees · United States · https://centuryaluminum.com