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CENX Stock Forecast: Century Aluminum Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$34
−2.74% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Century Aluminum Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $55 — +63.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 56 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$3.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
56/ 100
Median analyst target
$55
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$752.1M+19.7% y/y
Operating income$211.6M
Net income$243.8M
Free cash flow$108.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+7.3%
1M
−6.3%
YTD
−14.0%
1Y
+13.7%
From 52W high
−51.0%
From 52W low
+28.7%
$26
$69
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CENX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Century Aluminum Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
56/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
97
Growth
94
Value
85
Issuance
58
Momentum
56
Revisions
32
Size
28
Volatility
19
Accruals
15

Quality (97): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (15): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

CENX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CENX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$30$40$50$60$70$80Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CENXHigh $79Median $55Low $40

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
4 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $40Median $55High $79

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +63.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Oct 2026BarclaysInitiatesEqual-Weight$40
8 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$60 → $55
18 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$83 → $79
18 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
11 Aug 2026UBSInitiatesBuy—
7 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$86 → $74
7 July 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
8 May 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
16 Apr 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
7 Apr 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
12 Mar 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
24 Feb 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
3 Feb 2026B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
13 Jan 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
23 Dec 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
7 Nov 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
7 Nov 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
23 Oct 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
8 Oct 2025Wells FargoInitiatesOverweight—
9 Sept 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

CENX appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

CENX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Century Aluminum Co. returned +13.7% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CENX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CENXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CENX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.3%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Century Aluminum Co. (CENX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
5.8×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.3×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

Price / book
2.4×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.5×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
19.7%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
19.7%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Gross margin
30.3%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Operating margin
28.1%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Net margin
22.6%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
51.7%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Return on assets
10.2%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.6%

Higher than 66% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Century Aluminum Co. (CENX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Century Aluminum Co. has a market value of $3.3B and an enterprise value of $3.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.7B. The latest quarter grew 19.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $570.0M, a 21.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.79.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $151.2M.

  • Shares outstanding: 99.0M.

  • Trailing P/E: 5.8×; forward P/E: 3.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.59%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Century Aluminum Co. employs 2,906 people — $918K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CENX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAluminum
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CENXCentury Aluminum Co.$3.3B56
CSTMConstellium SE$3.1B94
KALUKaiser Aluminum Corp.$1.9B78
AAAlcoa Corp.$10.3B44
KNFKnife River Corp.*$3.3B18
ASHAshland, Inc.*$3.4B83
TGBTrekor Metals Ltd.*$3.2B—

* Nearest Basic Materials names by size — few aluminum companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Century Aluminum Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CENX news & analysis

Riverwater Partners Sustainable Value Strategy Q3 2026 Portfolio Update

Seeking Alpha · 27 Oct 2026neutral

Riverwater Partners’ Sustainable Value Strategy trailed the Russell 2500 Value Index in the third quarter of 2026. New positions included Lineage, Birkenstock, Matador Resources, KBR and ICON; InterDigital, Stevanato Group and Exelixis were among its top contributors.

Why it matters — The excerpt does not mention Century Aluminum, so it offers no company-specific information for CENX watchers.

Century Aluminum Sets Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Announcement

GlobeNewsWire · 23 Oct 2026neutral

Century Aluminum will report its third-quarter 2026 earnings after market close on Thursday, November 5, 2026. The company said it will issue the news release through GlobeNewswire.

Why it matters — CENX watchers can note the scheduled date for the company’s third-quarter earnings announcement.

Low-carbon copper and aluminium products

Reuters · 19 Oct 2026neutral

A pricing agency for sustainable metals linked to the London Metal Exchange published its first premiums in recent weeks for copper and aluminium.

Why it matters — The new aluminium premiums may be relevant to CENX watchers tracking pricing for lower-carbon metal products.

Century Aluminum: More Production Could Make Earnings More Durable

Seeking Alpha · 16 Sept 2026positive

Century Aluminum reported Q2 profitability driven by higher aluminum prices, regional premiums, rising gross margins, and government credit support, following ramp-ups at Mt. Holly and Grundartangi. The company expects Q3 EBITDA to remain near Q2 levels as increased production offsets cost pressures, though execution risks remain at those facilities.

Why it matters — CENX watchers would care because expanded production capacity and expected sustained EBITDA could make the company's earnings more durable despite ongoing operational risks.

U.S. Steel Stocks Nucor, Steel Dynamics: Big Winners As Canada Trade Talks Collapse?

Investors Business Daily · 22 Aug 2026neutral

The article reports that U.S. steel stocks Nucor and Steel Dynamics tumbled last week on the prospect of lower steel tariffs, amid reports that Canada trade talks collapsed. The piece frames steel companies as potential beneficiaries of the tariff situation.

Why it matters — CENX watchers monitor tariff and trade developments because changes in steel and aluminum trade policy can affect the broader metals sector and competitive conditions.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CENX stock

What is the CENX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Century Aluminum Co. have a median 12-month price target of $55, with estimates ranging from $40 to $79. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CENX stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Century Aluminum Co., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Century Aluminum Co. 56 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CENX?

As at 31 Oct 2026, Century Aluminum Co. ranks 56 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (97 of 100).

Will CENX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +63.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Century Aluminum Co. 56 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CENX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Century Aluminum Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CENX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $40 to $79 over the next 12 months.

How has CENX stock performed over the past year?

Century Aluminum Co. returned +13.7% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Century Aluminum Co. do?

Century Aluminum Company is a primary aluminum producer that supplies the metal used in industrial, commercial, and infrastructure applications. Century Aluminum Company produces standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products, with operations centered on aluminum reduction facilities, or smelters, in the United States and Iceland.

What is the latest news on CENX?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 27 Oct 2026): "Riverwater Partners Sustainable Value Strategy Q3 2026 Portfolio Update". Riverwater Partners’ Sustainable Value Strategy trailed the Russell 2500 Value Index in the third quarter of 2026. New positions included Lineage, Birkenstock, Matador Resources, KBR and ICON; InterDigital, Stevanato Group and Exelixis were among its top contributors.

Company

About Century Aluminum Co.

Century Aluminum Company is a primary aluminum producer that supplies the metal used in industrial, commercial, and infrastructure applications. Century Aluminum Company produces standard-grade and value-added primary aluminum products, with operations centered on aluminum reduction facilities, or smelters, in the United States and Iceland. The company also supports its production chain through a carbon anode facility in the Netherlands and bauxite mining and alumina refining activities in Jamaica. Its product mix includes aluminum forms used in casting, extrusion, and other downstream manufacturing processes, making it a key supplier to sectors that rely on lightweight, durable metal inputs. Headquartered in Chicago, Illinois, and founded in 1995, Century Aluminum Company plays a significant role in the primary aluminum market by providing material essential to transportation, construction, packaging, and industrial manufacturing.

CEO Mr. Jesse E. Gary J.D. · 2,906 employees · United States · https://centuryaluminum.com