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AA Stock Forecast: Alcoa Corporation Price Predictions for 2025

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$26.44

+1.39 (5.55%)

AA Stock Forecast 2025-2026

$26.44
Current Price
$6.49B
Market Cap
14 Ratings
Buy 9
Hold 4
Sell 1
Wall St Analyst Ratings

Distance to AA Price Targets

+96.7%
To High Target of $52.00
+32.4%
To Median Target of $35.00
-5.4%
To Low Target of $25.00

AA Price Momentum

+13.4%
1 Week Change
-21.6%
1 Month Change
-26.4%
1 Year Change
-30.0%
Year-to-Date Change
-44.7%
From 52W High of $47.77
+22.8%
From 52W Low of $21.53
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Latest AA Stock Price Targets & Analyst Predictions

Based on our analysis of 24 Wall Street analysts, AA has a bullish consensus with a median price target of $35.00 (ranging from $25.00 to $52.00). The overall analyst rating is Strong Buy (8.3/10). Currently trading at $26.44, the median forecast implies a 32.4% upside. This outlook is supported by 9 Buy, 4 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings.

The most optimistic forecast comes from Carlos De Alba at Morgan Stanley, projecting a 96.7% upside. Conversely, the most conservative target is provided by Bill Peterson at JP Morgan, suggesting a 5.4% downside.

Please note that analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates subject to substantial market, economic, and company-specific risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual stock performance may materially differ from these projections. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

AA Analyst Ratings

9
Buy
4
Hold
1
Sell

AA Price Target Range

Low
$25.00
Average
$35.00
High
$52.00
Current: $26.44

Latest AA Stock Forecasts by Analyst

These are the latest 20 analyst ratings and price targets for AA.

Date Firm Analyst Rating Change Price Target
Apr 17, 2025 JP Morgan Bill Peterson Neutral Maintains $25.00
Apr 15, 2025 UBS Curt Woodworth Buy Maintains $32.00
Apr 10, 2025 JP Morgan Bill Peterson Neutral Maintains $28.00
Apr 8, 2025 B of A Securities Lawson Winder Underperform Downgrade $26.00
Mar 27, 2025 UBS Curt Woodworth Buy Maintains $47.00
Jan 28, 2025 Morgan Stanley Carlos De Alba Overweight Maintains $51.00
Jan 16, 2025 JP Morgan Bill Peterson Neutral Maintains $40.00
Jan 6, 2025 Jefferies Chris LaFemina Buy Maintains $45.00
Oct 23, 2024 Argus Research David Coleman Buy Upgrade $0.00
Oct 18, 2024 Morgan Stanley Carlos De Alba Overweight Maintains $49.00
Oct 17, 2024 BMO Capital Katja Jancic Market Perform Maintains $45.00
Oct 17, 2024 B. Riley Securities Lucas Pipes Buy Upgrade $50.00
Oct 17, 2024 JP Morgan Bill Peterson Neutral Maintains $39.00
Oct 15, 2024 UBS Curt Woodworth Buy Maintains $50.00
Sep 25, 2024 JP Morgan Bill Peterson Neutral Reinstates $36.00
Sep 19, 2024 UBS Curt Woodworth Buy Maintains $40.00
Sep 17, 2024 B. Riley Securities Lucas Pipes Neutral Maintains $41.00
Sep 4, 2024 Wolfe Research Timna Tanners Outperform Upgrade $36.00
Aug 12, 2024 UBS Curt Woodworth Buy Upgrade $35.00
Aug 2, 2024 Wolfe Research Timna Tanners Peer Perform Upgrade $0.00

Alcoa Corporation (AA) Competitors

The following stocks are similar to Alcoa based on their market capitalization and industry sector. These similar stocks potentially provide investors with alternative investment opportunities within the same market segment.

Alcoa Corporation (AA) Financial Data

Alcoa Corporation has a market capitalization of $6.49B with a P/E ratio of 6.7x. The company generates $12.66B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a 6.8% profit margin.

Revenue growth is +29.6% quarter-over-quarter, while maintaining an operating margin of +20.8% and return on equity of +15.4%.

Valuation Metrics

Market Cap $6.49B
Enterprise Value $7.89B
P/E Ratio 6.7x
PEG Ratio 7.9x
Price/Sales 0.5x

Growth & Margins

Revenue Growth (YoY) +29.6%
Gross Margin +22.1%
Operating Margin +20.8%
Net Margin +6.8%
EPS Growth +34.3%

Financial Health

Cash/Price Ratio +17.6%
Current Ratio 1.7x
Debt/Equity 45.5x
ROE +15.4%
ROA +7.2%
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Alcoa Corporation logo

Alcoa Corporation (AA) Business Model

About Alcoa Corporation

What They Do

Global producer of aluminum and related products.

Business Model

Alcoa Corporation generates revenue through the production and sale of aluminum, which involves mining bauxite, refining alumina, and smelting aluminum products. The company operates a comprehensive supply chain that enhances efficiency and maintains its competitive edge in various industries, including automotive and aerospace.

Additional Information

Alcoa is committed to sustainable practices, focusing on reducing carbon emissions and improving recycling efforts. Its innovations in aluminum solutions support lightweighting applications, making the company a key player in enhancing fuel efficiency and performance in transportation sectors. With a strong global presence, Alcoa is one of the largest aluminum producers, contributing significantly to both primary and fabricated aluminum markets.

Company Information

Sector

Basic Materials

Industry

Aluminum

Employees

13,900

CEO

Mr. William F. Oplinger

Country

United States

IPO Year

1962

Alcoa Corporation (AA) Latest News & Analysis

Latest News

AA stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Alcoa Corp. (NYSE: AA) reported Q1 earnings with revenue of $3.37 billion, below the $3.58 billion expected by analysts. The stock fell approximately 3% following the report.

Why It Matters

Alcoa's earnings beat expectations, but missed revenue forecasts, leading to a stock drop. This signals potential concerns about demand and future growth, affecting investor sentiment.

Source: MarketBeat
Market Sentiment: Positive
AA stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Alcoa's stock is down ~75% from its ATH. Q1 2025 shows strong net income of $548M and adjusted net income of $568M, despite a 3% revenue dip. The company refinanced $1B in debt.

Why It Matters

Alcoa's strong Q1 2025 results and reduced debt enhance financial stability, potentially positioning the company for recovery amidst ongoing economic challenges, impacting investor sentiment positively.

Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment: Negative
AA stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Alcoa CEO William Oplinger discussed quarterly results, tariff impacts, and full-year guidance on 'Closing Bell Overtime.'

Why It Matters

Alcoa's quarterly results and full-year guidance, along with tariff impacts, directly affect aluminum prices and investor sentiment, influencing stock performance and sector outlook.

Source: CNBC Television
Market Sentiment: Positive
AA stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Alcoa Corporation will hold its Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call on April 16, 2025, at 5:00 PM ET, featuring key executives and analysts from major financial firms.

Why It Matters

Alcoa's Q1 2025 earnings call indicates upcoming financial performance insights, crucial for assessing investment potential and market trends in the aluminum sector.

Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment: Neutral
AA stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Alcoa Corporation (NYSE: AA) reported Q1 2025 results with revenue of $3.37B, up from $2.60B YoY. Net income was $548M, reflecting sequential growth in key financial metrics.

Why It Matters

Alcoa's strong Q1 2025 results, with rising net income and adjusted EBITDA, signal operational stability and growth potential, influencing investor sentiment and stock performance.

Source: Business Wire
Market Sentiment: Neutral
AA stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Alcoa (AA) reported its quarterly results for March 2025, highlighting key metrics that can be compared to Wall Street estimates and the same period last year.

Why It Matters

Alcoa's quarterly performance against Wall Street estimates and past results indicates its financial health and growth trajectory, impacting investor sentiment and stock valuation.

Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment: Positive

Frequently Asked Questions About AA Stock

What is Alcoa Corporation's (AA) stock forecast for 2025?

Based on our analysis of 24 Wall Street analysts, Alcoa Corporation (AA) has a median price target of $35.00. The highest price target is $52.00 and the lowest is $25.00.

Is AA stock a good investment in 2025?

According to current analyst ratings, AA has 9 Buy ratings, 4 Hold ratings, and 1 Sell ratings. The stock is currently trading at $26.44. Always conduct your own research and consider your investment goals before making investment decisions.

What is the long-term price prediction for AA stock?

Wall Street analysts predict AA stock could reach $35.00 in the next 12 months. This represents a 32.4% increase from the current price of $26.44. Please note that this is a projection by Wall Street analysts and not a guarantee.

What is Alcoa Corporation's business model?

Alcoa Corporation generates revenue through the production and sale of aluminum, which involves mining bauxite, refining alumina, and smelting aluminum products. The company operates a comprehensive supply chain that enhances efficiency and maintains its competitive edge in various industries, including automotive and aerospace.

What is the highest forecasted price for AA Alcoa Corporation?

The highest price target for AA is $52.00 from Carlos De Alba at Morgan Stanley, which represents a 96.7% increase from the current price of $26.44.

What is the lowest forecasted price for AA Alcoa Corporation?

The lowest price target for AA is $25.00 from Bill Peterson at JP Morgan, which represents a -5.4% decrease from the current price of $26.44.

What is the overall AA consensus from analysts for Alcoa Corporation?

The overall analyst consensus for AA is bullish. Out of 24 Wall Street analysts, 9 rate it as Buy, 4 as Hold, and 1 as Sell, with a median price target of $35.00.

How accurate are AA stock price projections?

Stock price projections, including those for Alcoa Corporation, are based on various factors including financial models, market conditions, and analyst forecasts. While these predictions provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.

Important Disclaimer

The information provided by Ticker Nerd is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analyst ratings and price forecasts are sourced from Wall St analysts and other experts. These projections are speculative and do not guarantee future stock performance.

Last updated: April 25, 2025 2:00 AM UTC
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