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AA Stock Forecast 2026-2027
$46.85
Current Price
$12.95B
Market Cap
Buy 8
Hold 4
Sell 1
Wall St Analyst Ratings
Distance to AA Price Targets
+147.6%
To High Target of $116.00
+58.0%
To Median Target of $74.00
+8.9%
To Low Target of $51.00
AA Price Momentum
-3.8%
1 Week Change
-21.1%
1 Month Change
+54.5%
1 Year Change
-11.8%
Year-to-Date Change
-44.5%
From 52W High of $84.38
+66.7%
From 52W Low of $28.11
📊 TOP ANALYST CALLS
Did AA Make This Month's Elite Buy List?
We don't follow just any analyst — only the top 3% with a proven track record make our cut. See if Alcoa is one of their latest high-conviction picks.
Latest AA Stock Price Targets & Analyst Predictions
Based on our analysis of 8 Wall Street analysts, AA has a bullish consensus with a median price target of $74.00 (ranging from $51.00 to $116.00). The overall analyst rating is Strong Buy (8.3/10). Currently trading at $46.85, the median forecast implies a 58.0% upside. This outlook is supported by 8 Buy, 4 Hold, and 1 Sell ratings.
Conversely, the most conservative target is provided by Lawson Winder at B of A Securities, suggesting a 8.9% upside.
Please note that analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates subject to substantial market, economic, and company-specific risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual stock performance may materially differ from these projections. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
AA Analyst Ratings
8
Buy
4
Hold
1
Sell
AA Price Target Range
Low
$51.00
Average
$74.00
High
$116.00
Current: $46.85
Latest AA Stock Forecasts by Analyst
These are the latest 20 analyst ratings and price targets for AA.
| Date | Firm | Analyst | Rating | Change | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 9, 2026 | JP Morgan | Bill Peterson | Neutral | Maintains | $55.00 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | B of A Securities | Lawson Winder | Underperform | Maintains | $51.00 |
| Jul 9, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Timna Tanners | Overweight | Maintains | $72.00 |
| Jul 8, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Carlos De Alba | Equal-Weight | Downgrade | $53.00 |
| Jul 7, 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Nick Giles | Buy | Maintains | $80.00 |
| Jul 1, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Reiterates | $N/A | |
| Jun 30, 2026 | UBS | Buy | Maintains | $N/A | |
| Jun 25, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Maintains | $N/A | |
| May 22, 2026 | UBS | Buy | Upgrade | $N/A | |
| May 7, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Overweight | Upgrade | $N/A | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | JP Morgan | Neutral | Maintains | $N/A | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | BMO Capital | Market Perform | Maintains | $N/A | |
| Apr 9, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Overweight | Upgrade | $N/A | |
| Apr 7, 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Buy | Maintains | $N/A | |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Citigroup | Buy | Maintains | $N/A | |
| Mar 13, 2026 | JP Morgan | Neutral | Upgrade | $N/A | |
| Mar 12, 2026 | UBS | Neutral | Maintains | $N/A | |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Freedom Broker | Buy | Maintains | $N/A | |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Equal-Weight | Downgrade | $N/A | |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Equal-Weight | Maintains | $N/A |
Alcoa Corporation (AA) Competitors
The following stocks are similar to Alcoa based on their market capitalization and industry sector. These similar stocks potentially provide investors with alternative investment opportunities within the same market segment.
Alcoa Corporation (AA) Financial Data
Alcoa Corporation has a market capitalization of $12.95B with a P/E ratio of 12.5x. The company generates $12.65B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a 8.2% profit margin.
Revenue growth is -5.2% quarter-over-quarter, while maintaining an operating margin of +13.9% and return on equity of +15.4%.
Valuation Metrics
Market Cap
$12.95B
Enterprise Value
$14.12B
P/E Ratio
12.5x
PEG Ratio
-0.6x
Price/Sales
1.0x
Growth & Margins
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Gross Margin
+21.3%
Operating Margin
+13.9%
Net Margin
+8.2%
EPS Growth
-22.4%
Financial Health
Cash/Price Ratio
+10.9%
Current Ratio
1.5x
Debt/Equity
37.0x
ROE
+15.4%
ROA
+4.2%
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Alcoa Corporation (AA) Business Model
About Alcoa Corporation
What They Do
Produces aluminum and alumina materials.
Business Model
Alcoa operates a vertically integrated business model, focusing on bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum smelting. The company generates revenue by supplying raw materials and primary aluminum products to industrial customers globally, catering to various sectors including transportation, construction, and packaging.
Additional Information
Founded in 1886 and headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, Alcoa is a key player in the aluminum value chain, ensuring reliable sourcing of lightweight, corrosion-resistant metals for different applications.
Company Information
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Aluminum
Employees
14,900
CEO
Mr. William F. Oplinger
Country
United States
IPO Year
1962
Website
www.alcoa.comAlcoa Corporation (AA) Latest News & Analysis
Featured Analysis
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Zacks Investment Research
Alcoa (AA) Q2 Earnings: Taking a Look at Key Metrics Versus Estimates
The headline numbers for Alcoa (AA) give insight into how the company performed in the quarter ended June 2026, but it may be worthwhile to compare some of its key metrics to Wall Street estimates and the year-ago actuals.
Jul 16, 2026
By Zacks Equity Research
Fundamental Analysis
Alcoa Gears Up to Post Q2 Earnings: What Lies Ahead for the Stock?
AA heads into Q2 earnings with revenues and EPS seen surging year over year as aluminum demand and smelter restarts offset pressure in alumina.
Jul 14, 2026
By Zacks Equity Research
Analyst Blog
CSTM's Packaging & Automotive Strength Seems Firm: More Upside Ahead?
Constellium's Packaging & Automotive Rolled Products unit posts 24% higher Q1 2026 revenues as aluminum prices stayed strong despite weaker shipments.
Jul 07, 2026
By Zacks Equity Research
Analyst Blog
Latest News
Quick Summary
Alcoa Corp will establish a gallium plant at its Wagerup refinery in Western Australia, supported by Australian, Japanese, and U.S. governments and industry partners.
Why It Matters
Alcoa's gallium plant investment indicates growth in sustainable materials, supported by government backing, enhancing its competitive edge and potential revenue streams.
Source: Reuters
Market Sentiment:
Positive
Quick Summary
Alcoa Corp (NYSE:AA) will release its earnings report on Thursday, July 16, after market close.
Why It Matters
Alcoa's earnings report can influence stock price, reflect industry health, and impact aluminum market dynamics, affecting investor sentiment and trading strategies.
Source: Schaeffers Research
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Alcoa Earnings Are Imminent; These Most Accurate Analysts Revise Forecasts Ahead Of Earnings Call
4 days ago
Quick Summary
Alcoa Corporation (NYSE:AA) is set to release its Q2 earnings report on July 16, after market close.
Why It Matters
Alcoa's upcoming earnings report can influence stock performance, reveal financial health, and impact market sentiment in the aluminum sector, affecting investor decisions.
Source: Benzinga
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Arctic Fox Announces Name Change
3 days ago
Quick Summary
Arctic Fox Lithium Corp. will change its name to NiobiumX Mining Inc. and its ticker symbol to NIOX, effective July 17, 2026, to reflect its expanded mineral portfolio.
Why It Matters
Arctic Fox Lithium's name change to NiobiumX Mining reflects a shift in focus to niobium, potentially impacting its market positioning and attracting new investors interested in diverse minerals.
Source: Accesswire
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Quick Summary
Analysts suggest examining Alcoa's key metrics for a deeper understanding of its potential performance in Q2 2026, beyond just revenue and earnings estimates.
Why It Matters
Analyzing Alcoa's key metrics beyond earnings estimates provides a clearer view of its operational efficiency and growth potential, influencing investment decisions and stock valuation.
Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Quick Summary
AA expects Q2 earnings to show significant year-over-year increases in revenue and EPS, driven by strong aluminum demand and smelter restarts, despite alumina pressure.
Why It Matters
Surging revenues and EPS indicate strong performance, driven by aluminum demand. Positive earnings projections can boost investor confidence and stock value.
Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment:
Positive
Frequently Asked Questions About AA Stock
What is Alcoa Corporation's (AA) stock forecast for 2027?
Based on our analysis of 8 Wall Street analysts, Alcoa Corporation (AA) has a median price target of $74.00. The highest price target is $116.00 and the lowest is $51.00.
Is AA stock a good investment in 2027?
According to current analyst ratings, AA has 8 Buy ratings, 4 Hold ratings, and 1 Sell ratings. The stock is currently trading at $46.85. Always conduct your own research and consider your investment goals before making investment decisions.
What is the long-term price prediction for AA stock?
Wall Street analysts predict AA stock could reach $74.00 in the next 12 months. This represents a 58.0% increase from the current price of $46.85. Please note that this is a projection by Wall Street analysts and not a guarantee.
What is Alcoa Corporation's business model?
Alcoa operates a vertically integrated business model, focusing on bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum smelting. The company generates revenue by supplying raw materials and primary aluminum products to industrial customers globally, catering to various sectors including transportation, construction, and packaging.
What is the highest forecasted price for AA Alcoa Corporation?
The highest price target for AA is $116.00 from at , which represents a 147.6% increase from the current price of $46.85.
What is the lowest forecasted price for AA Alcoa Corporation?
The lowest price target for AA is $51.00 from Lawson Winder at B of A Securities, which represents a 8.9% increase from the current price of $46.85.
What is the overall AA consensus from analysts for Alcoa Corporation?
The overall analyst consensus for AA is bullish. Out of 8 Wall Street analysts, 8 rate it as Buy, 4 as Hold, and 1 as Sell, with a median price target of $74.00.
How accurate are AA stock price projections?
Stock price projections, including those for Alcoa Corporation, are based on various factors including financial models, market conditions, and analyst forecasts. While these predictions provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.
Important Disclaimer
The information provided by Ticker Nerd is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analyst ratings and price forecasts are sourced from Wall St analysts and other experts. These projections are speculative and do not guarantee future stock performance.
Last updated: July 17, 2026 2:00 AM UTC