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AA Stock Forecast 2026-2027
$66.53
Current Price
$17.55B
Market Cap
Buy 8
Hold 4
Sell 2
Wall St Analyst Ratings
Distance to AA Price Targets
+38.3%
To High Target of $92.00
+12.7%
To Median Target of $75.00
-36.9%
To Low Target of $42.00
AA Price Momentum
-7.4%
1 Week Change
+17.9%
1 Month Change
+185.5%
1 Year Change
+25.2%
Year-to-Date Change
-12.1%
From 52W High of $75.70
+193.3%
From 52W Low of $22.68
📊 TOP ANALYST CALLS
Did AA Make This Month's Elite Buy List?
We don't follow just any analyst — only the top 3% with a proven track record make our cut. See if Alcoa is one of their latest high-conviction picks.
Latest AA Stock Price Targets & Analyst Predictions
Based on our analysis of 26 Wall Street analysts, AA has a bullish consensus with a median price target of $75.00 (ranging from $42.00 to $92.00). The overall analyst rating is Buy (7.9/10). Currently trading at $66.53, the median forecast implies a 12.7% upside. This outlook is supported by 8 Buy, 4 Hold, and 2 Sell ratings.
Conversely, the most conservative target is provided by Alexander Hacking at Citigroup, suggesting a 36.9% downside.
Please note that analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates subject to substantial market, economic, and company-specific risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual stock performance may materially differ from these projections. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.
AA Analyst Ratings
8
Buy
4
Hold
2
Sell
AA Price Target Range
Low
$42.00
Average
$75.00
High
$92.00
Current: $66.53
Latest AA Stock Forecasts by Analyst
These are the latest 20 analyst ratings and price targets for AA.
| Date | Firm | Analyst | Rating | Change | Price Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Carlos De Alba | Overweight | Upgrade | $80.00 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | JP Morgan | Bill Peterson | Neutral | Maintains | $70.00 |
| Apr 9, 2026 | BMO Capital | Katja Jancic | Market Perform | Maintains | $75.00 |
| Apr 7, 2026 | B. Riley Securities | Nick Giles | Buy | Maintains | $96.00 |
| Mar 16, 2026 | Citigroup | Alexander Hacking | Buy | Maintains | $76.00 |
| Mar 13, 2026 | JP Morgan | Bill Peterson | Neutral | Upgrade | $68.00 |
| Mar 12, 2026 | UBS | Daniel Major | Neutral | Maintains | $70.00 |
| Jan 30, 2026 | Freedom Broker | Buy | Maintains | $N/A | |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Carlos De Alba | Equal-Weight | Downgrade | $64.00 |
| Jan 23, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Timna Tanners | Equal-Weight | Maintains | $64.00 |
| Jan 13, 2026 | Wells Fargo | Timna Tanners | Equal-Weight | Downgrade | $71.00 |
| Jan 8, 2026 | JP Morgan | Bill Peterson | Underweight | Downgrade | $50.00 |
| Dec 23, 2025 | Wells Fargo | Timna Tanners | Overweight | Maintains | $58.00 |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Citigroup | Alexander Hacking | Buy | Maintains | $54.00 |
| Dec 12, 2025 | UBS | Daniel Major | Neutral | Maintains | $48.00 |
| Dec 5, 2025 | JP Morgan | Bill Peterson | Neutral | Maintains | $45.00 |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Freedom Broker | Buy | Maintains | $N/A | |
| Oct 23, 2025 | BMO Capital | Katja Jancic | Market Perform | Maintains | $37.00 |
| Oct 23, 2025 | JP Morgan | Bill Peterson | Neutral | Maintains | $35.00 |
| Oct 17, 2025 | HSBC | Buy | Maintains | $41.00 |
Alcoa Corporation (AA) Competitors
The following stocks are similar to Alcoa based on their market capitalization and industry sector. These similar stocks potentially provide investors with alternative investment opportunities within the same market segment.
Alcoa Corporation (AA) Financial Data
Alcoa Corporation has a market capitalization of $17.55B with a P/E ratio of 15.0x. The company generates $12.65B in trailing twelve-month revenue with a 8.2% profit margin.
Revenue growth is -5.2% quarter-over-quarter, while maintaining an operating margin of +13.3% and return on equity of +15.4%.
Valuation Metrics
Market Cap
$17.55B
Enterprise Value
$18.56B
P/E Ratio
15.0x
PEG Ratio
1.3x
Price/Sales
1.4x
Growth & Margins
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.2%
Gross Margin
+16.7%
Operating Margin
+13.3%
Net Margin
+8.2%
EPS Growth
-22.4%
Financial Health
Cash/Price Ratio
+7.7%
Current Ratio
1.5x
Debt/Equity
37.0x
ROE
+15.4%
ROA
+4.2%
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Alcoa Corporation (AA) Business Model
About Alcoa Corporation
What They Do
Vertically integrated aluminum production and mining.
Business Model
The company operates a vertically integrated business model, engaging in bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum smelting. It generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of aluminum and alumina, with profits closely linked to commodity prices, making its performance cyclical within the basic materials sector.
Additional Information
Alcoa is the largest bauxite miner and alumina refiner globally and has a rich history of innovation, including the Hall-Héroult smelting process. The company has undergone strategic changes, such as the spin-off of its engineered products segment in 2016 and the acquisition of the remaining 40% of AWAC in 2024. Its operations support key industries like automotive and aerospace, focusing on increasing demand for lightweight materials.
Company Information
Sector
Basic Materials
Industry
Aluminum
Employees
14,900
CEO
Mr. William F. Oplinger
Country
United States
IPO Year
1962
Website
www.alcoa.comAlcoa Corporation (AA) Latest News & Analysis
Featured Analysis
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Alcoa (AA) Q1 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimates
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Latest News
Alcoa Profit, Sales Fall on Lower Shipments
4 days ago
Quick Summary
The aluminum company anticipates a $15 million negative impact on its adjusted earnings due to the ongoing conflict in Iran.
Why It Matters
The expected $15 million earnings hit due to the Iran conflict signals potential revenue decline, affecting stock performance and investor sentiment towards the aluminum company.
Source: WSJ
Market Sentiment:
Negative
Quick Summary
Alcoa CEO William Oplinger discussed Q1 2026 results and Q2 outlook on 'Closing Bell Overtime,' highlighting the impact of the Iran conflict on the aluminum industry.
Why It Matters
Alcoa's Q1 results and outlook impact aluminum prices and industry health, while the Iran conflict could disrupt supply chains, affecting market stability and investment decisions.
Source: CNBC Television
Market Sentiment:
Positive
Quick Summary
Alcoa Corp. (NYSE: AA) reported Q1 results, missing analyst expectations for both revenue and earnings.
Why It Matters
Alcoa's earnings miss may signal operational challenges, potentially impacting stock performance and investor confidence in the company's future profitability.
Source: Benzinga
Market Sentiment:
Negative
Quick Summary
Alcoa's Q1 2026 earnings missed expectations, with both revenue and profit falling short. Despite this, the market remains optimistic about future performance.
Why It Matters
Alcoa's Q1 2026 earnings miss indicates current challenges, but market optimism suggests potential recovery, impacting stock performance and future valuations.
Source: MarketBeat
Market Sentiment:
Negative
Quick Summary
Alcoa Corporation (AA) held its Q1 2026 earnings call, discussing financial performance and operational updates. Further details can be accessed in the transcript.
Why It Matters
Alcoa's Q1 2026 earnings reveal financial performance and outlook, impacting stock valuation, market sentiment, and investment decisions in the materials sector.
Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Quick Summary
Alcoa Corporation reported Q1 2026 revenue of $3.193 billion, with a net income of $425 million and EPS of $1.60, reflecting improved profitability due to higher aluminum prices.
Why It Matters
Alcoa's improved profitability and higher aluminum prices indicate stronger financial health, potentially boosting investor confidence and affecting stock performance.
Source: Business Wire
Market Sentiment:
Neutral
Frequently Asked Questions About AA Stock
What is Alcoa Corporation's (AA) stock forecast for 2026?
Based on our analysis of 26 Wall Street analysts, Alcoa Corporation (AA) has a median price target of $75.00. The highest price target is $92.00 and the lowest is $42.00.
Is AA stock a good investment in 2026?
According to current analyst ratings, AA has 8 Buy ratings, 4 Hold ratings, and 2 Sell ratings. The stock is currently trading at $66.53. Always conduct your own research and consider your investment goals before making investment decisions.
What is the long-term price prediction for AA stock?
Wall Street analysts predict AA stock could reach $75.00 in the next 12 months. This represents a 12.7% increase from the current price of $66.53. Please note that this is a projection by Wall Street analysts and not a guarantee.
What is Alcoa Corporation's business model?
The company operates a vertically integrated business model, engaging in bauxite mining, alumina refining, and aluminum smelting. It generates revenue primarily through the production and sale of aluminum and alumina, with profits closely linked to commodity prices, making its performance cyclical within the basic materials sector.
What is the highest forecasted price for AA Alcoa Corporation?
The highest price target for AA is $92.00 from at , which represents a 38.3% increase from the current price of $66.53.
What is the lowest forecasted price for AA Alcoa Corporation?
The lowest price target for AA is $42.00 from Alexander Hacking at Citigroup, which represents a -36.9% decrease from the current price of $66.53.
What is the overall AA consensus from analysts for Alcoa Corporation?
The overall analyst consensus for AA is bullish. Out of 26 Wall Street analysts, 8 rate it as Buy, 4 as Hold, and 2 as Sell, with a median price target of $75.00.
How accurate are AA stock price projections?
Stock price projections, including those for Alcoa Corporation, are based on various factors including financial models, market conditions, and analyst forecasts. While these predictions provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.
Important Disclaimer
The information provided by Ticker Nerd is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analyst ratings and price forecasts are sourced from Wall St analysts and other experts. These projections are speculative and do not guarantee future stock performance.
Last updated: April 21, 2026 2:00 AM UTC