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CMCCMCIndustrials · Metal Fabrication

CMC Stock Forecast: Commercial Metals Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$65
−3.87% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Commercial Metals Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $80 — +24.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 63 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$7.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
63 / 100
Median analyst target
$80
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$2.5B+22.9% y/y
Operating income$232.8M
Net income$173.0M
Free cash flow$76.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 May 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.0%
1M
−9.1%
YTD
−6.0%
1Y
+9.4%
From 52W high
−22.0%
From 52W low
+17.9%
$55
$83
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CMC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Commercial Metals Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
63 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
97
Value
92
Volatility
69
Quality
62
Momentum
58
Revisions
54
Issuance
40
Accruals
29
Size
19

Growth (97): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (29): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (19): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CMC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CMC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$60$70$80$90Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CMCHigh $88Median $80Low $75

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
8 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $75Median $80High $88

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
9 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$86 → $83
7 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$75 → $80
7 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$77 → $80
6 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$84 → $78
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
7 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$85 → $75
7 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
29 June 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
26 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
4 June 2026Wells FargoDowngradeEqual-Weight—
1 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
22 May 2026BarclaysInitiatesEqual-Weight—
14 May 2026UBSUpgradeBuy—
14 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
27 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
27 Mar 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
2 Mar 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CMC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

CMC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Commercial Metals Co. returned +9.4% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CMC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CMCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CMC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.6%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

Commercial Metals Co. (CMC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.2×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.9×

Cheaper than 71% of US stocks

Price / book
1.6×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.5×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
22.9%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
108.1%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Gross margin
18.3%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Operating margin
9.5%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Net margin
6.7%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.8%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.3%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.2%

Higher than 28% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Commercial Metals Co. (CMC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Commercial Metals Co. has a market value of $7.1B and an enterprise value of $10.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $8.9B. The latest quarter grew 22.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $595.1M, a 6.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.31.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $405.0M, after $513.2M of capital spending.

  • Commercial Metals Co. spent $126.1M on share buybacks and $82.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 110.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.2×; forward P/E: 8.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.24%, paying out 14% of earnings.

  • Commercial Metals Co. employs 12,690 people — $697K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 May 2026 · market figures as at 19 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CMC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelMetal Fabrication
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CMCCommercial Metals Co.$7.1B
63
ESABESAB Corp.$4.0B
18
MLIMueller Industries, Inc.$13.3B
91
GPGIGPGI, Inc.$3.5B
13
WORWorthington Enterprises, Inc.$2.8B
70
CRSCarpenter Technology Corp.$20.3B
73
PRLBProto Labs, Inc.$2.1B
95

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Commercial Metals Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CMC news & analysis

Will TAG Program Drive Commercial Metals' Next Phase of Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research discusses Commercial Metals Co.'s TAG program, which targets higher margins, cash flow, and return on invested capital. The program is expected to deliver gross EBITDA benefits exceeding $350 million by fiscal 2027.

Why it matters — CMC watchers would care because the TAG program signals the company's focus on improving profitability and capital efficiency in the coming years.

Can Commercial Metals Sustain Its Strong Core EBITDA Growth Momentum?

Zacks Investment Research · 31 Aug 2026positive

Commercial Metals Co. reported a year-over-year surge in core EBITDA during the first nine months of fiscal 2026, supported by acquisitions, margin expansion, and benefits from its TAG Program. The company is assessing whether it can sustain this strong earnings growth momentum.

Why it matters — A CMC watcher would care because sustained core EBITDA growth signals the company's profitability drivers, including acquisitions and its TAG Program, are producing durable financial results.

Here's Why Commercial Metals (CMC) is a Strong Value Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Commercial Metals Co. (CMC) as a strong value stock, noting that the Zacks Style Scores feature makes identifying strong stocks easier for investors.

Why it matters — CMC watchers would care because a positive assessment from a research service like Zacks can influence investor perception and interest in the stock.

Here's Why Commercial Metals (CMC) is a Strong Momentum Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights Commercial Metals (CMC) as a strong momentum stock, noting that its Zacks Style Scores can help investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style. The piece points to why investors should take advantage of this momentum designation.

Why it matters — A momentum-style rating from Zacks could signal that CMC is exhibiting positive price and earnings trends, which may be of interest to those tracking the company's market performance.

CMC Named to Newsweek's America's Greatest Companies 2026 List

PRNewsWire · 27 Aug 2026positive

CMC announced it has been named to Newsweek's America's Greatest Companies 2026 list. The annual ranking, developed with Plant-A Insights Group, recognizes 650 U.S. companies based on financial leadership, innovation, performance as an employer and sustainability.

Why it matters — The recognition signals that CMC has been evaluated favorably on financial leadership, innovation, employer performance and sustainability, which could enhance its standing with investors and observers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CMC stock

What is the CMC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Commercial Metals Co. have a median 12-month price target of $80, with estimates ranging from $75 to $88. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CMC stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Commercial Metals Co., 8 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Commercial Metals Co. 63 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CMC?

As at 19 Sept 2026, Commercial Metals Co. ranks 63 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (97 of 100).

Will CMC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +24.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Commercial Metals Co. 63 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CMC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Commercial Metals Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CMC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $75 to $88 over the next 12 months.

How has CMC stock performed over the past year?

Commercial Metals Co. returned +9.4% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Commercial Metals Co. do?

Commercial Metals Company is a steel and metals manufacturing and recycling company based in Irving, Texas. Commercial Metals Company produces rebar, structural steel, and other construction-related metal products used in infrastructure, commercial buildings, and industrial projects.

What is the latest news on CMC?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 18 Sept 2026): "Will TAG Program Drive Commercial Metals' Next Phase of Growth?". Zacks Investment Research discusses Commercial Metals Co.'s TAG program, which targets higher margins, cash flow, and return on invested capital. The program is expected to deliver gross EBITDA benefits exceeding $350 million by fiscal 2027.

Company

About Commercial Metals Co.

Commercial Metals Company is a steel and metals manufacturing and recycling company based in Irving, Texas. Commercial Metals Company produces rebar, structural steel, and other construction-related metal products used in infrastructure, commercial buildings, and industrial projects. The company also operates metal recycling, fabrication, and processing businesses that supply raw materials and finished goods to a wide range of customers. Its operations are organized across North America, Europe, and emerging businesses, supporting the flow of steel and scrap metal through integrated production and recycling networks. Commercial Metals Company serves contractors, fabricators, distributors, and industrial buyers, with a strong focus on early-stage construction and foundational materials that are essential to modern building and infrastructure markets.

CEO Mr. Peter R. Matt · 12,690 employees · United States · https://www.cmc.com