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CMCCMCIndustrials · Metal Fabrication

CMC Stock Forecast: Commercial Metals Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$66
+0.14% on the day

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Commercial Metals Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $78 — +17.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 62 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$7.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
62/ 100
Median analyst target
$78
Analysts covering
12
Revenue$2.5B+22.9% y/y
Operating income$232.8M
Net income$173.0M
Free cash flow$76.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 May 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.6%
1M
+4.9%
YTD
−2.8%
1Y
+19.0%
From 52W high
−19.3%
From 52W low
+19.0%
$56
$82
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CMC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Commercial Metals Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026
62/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
97
Value
90
Volatility
76
Quality
64
Momentum
59
Revisions
48
Issuance
40
Accruals
29
Size
18

Growth (97): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (29): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (18): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

CMC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CMC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$50$60$70$80$90Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CMCHigh $85Median $78Low $70

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says12 analysts
8 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $70Median $78High $85

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +17.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
20 Oct 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$80 → $72
19 Oct 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$75 → $73
19 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$88 → $84
9 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$83 → $80
9 Oct 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
6 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight$80 → $68
6 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
9 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
9 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsOverweight$86 → $83
7 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight$75 → $80
7 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsEqual-Weight—
6 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform$77 → $80
6 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$84 → $78
9 July 2026B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
7 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$85 → $75
7 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
29 June 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform—
26 June 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
22 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

CMC appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

CMC vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Commercial Metals Co. returned +19.0% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CMC vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CMCS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CMC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−2.2%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Commercial Metals Co. (CMC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.2×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.8×

Cheaper than 73% of US stocks

Price / book
1.5×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.0×

Cheaper than 45% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
25.7%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
40.0%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Gross margin
18.3%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Operating margin
8.8%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
7.0%

Higher than 64% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.8%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.2%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.2%

Higher than 73% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Commercial Metals Co. (CMC) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Commercial Metals Co. has a market value of $7.3B and an enterprise value of $10.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $8.9B. The latest quarter grew 25.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $595.1M, a 6.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.31.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 May 2026: $405.0M, after $513.2M of capital spending.

  • Commercial Metals Co. spent $126.1M on share buybacks and $82.3M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 May 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 110.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.2×; forward P/E: 9.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.21%, paying out 13% of earnings.

  • Commercial Metals Co. employs 13,670 people — $647K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 May 2026 · market figures as at 3 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CMC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelMetal Fabrication
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CMCCommercial Metals Co.$7.3B62
ESABESAB Corp.$4.6B18
MLIMueller Industries, Inc.$12.3B74
CRSCarpenter Technology Corp.$14.7B61
GPGIGPGI, Inc.$3.4B11
WORWorthington Enterprises, Inc.$3.2B81
ATIATI, Inc.$24.6B85

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Commercial Metals Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CMC news & analysis

Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week October 25

Seeking Alpha · 24 Oct 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, including companies that changed dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Why it matters — The excerpt does not specify whether Commercial Metals Co. is included or describe any CMC dividend change, so it provides no company-specific dividend update for CMC watchers.

Commercial Metals: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term Investors

The Motley Fool · 19 Oct 2026positive

Commercial Metals generated $1.4 billion in core EBITDA for fiscal 2026. The company expects capital expenditures to decline by nearly $200 million in fiscal 2027.

Why it matters — The EBITDA result and planned reduction in capital expenditures offer CMC watchers updates on the company’s operating performance and spending plans.

Commercial Metals (CMC) is a Top-Ranked Value Stock: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 19 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlighted Commercial Metals as a top-ranked value stock and described its Style Scores as a way for investors to identify stocks rated for their investing style.

Why it matters — CMC watchers may note the article’s value-stock ranking and the Zacks framework behind it.

Here's Why Commercial Metals (CMC) is a Strong Growth Stock

Zacks Investment Research · 16 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights its Zacks Style Scores, a feature of Zacks Premium, as a tool for identifying stocks across value, growth, and momentum styles. The headline characterizes Commercial Metals as a strong growth stock.

Why it matters — CMC watchers may note the article’s growth-oriented characterization and its reliance on Zacks’ Style Scores.

Commercial Metals Company (CMC) Q4 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 15 Oct 2026neutral

Commercial Metals Company held its fiscal 2026 fourth-quarter earnings call on October 15, 2026. The excerpt lists company executives and analysts participating but provides no earnings results or discussion details.

Why it matters — CMC watchers should note that an earnings call took place, though this excerpt contains no information about the company's performance or outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CMC stock

What is the CMC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 12 Wall Street analysts covering Commercial Metals Co. have a median 12-month price target of $78, with estimates ranging from $70 to $85. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CMC stock a buy right now?

Of the 12 analysts covering Commercial Metals Co., 8 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Commercial Metals Co. 62 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CMC?

As at 3 Nov 2026, Commercial Metals Co. ranks 62 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (97 of 100).

Will CMC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 12 analysts implies +17.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Commercial Metals Co. 62 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CMC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Commercial Metals Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CMC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $70 to $85 over the next 12 months.

How has CMC stock performed over the past year?

Commercial Metals Co. returned +19.0% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Commercial Metals Co. do?

Commercial Metals Company is a steel and metals manufacturing and recycling company based in Irving, Texas. Commercial Metals Company produces rebar, structural steel, and other construction-related metal products used in infrastructure, commercial buildings, and industrial projects.

What is the latest news on CMC?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 24 Oct 2026): "Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week October 25". Seeking Alpha published a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, including companies that changed dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Company

About Commercial Metals Co.

Commercial Metals Company is a steel and metals manufacturing and recycling company based in Irving, Texas. Commercial Metals Company produces rebar, structural steel, and other construction-related metal products used in infrastructure, commercial buildings, and industrial projects. The company also operates metal recycling, fabrication, and processing businesses that supply raw materials and finished goods to a wide range of customers. Its operations are organized across North America, Europe, and emerging businesses, supporting the flow of steel and scrap metal through integrated production and recycling networks. Commercial Metals Company serves contractors, fabricators, distributors, and industrial buyers, with a strong focus on early-stage construction and foundational materials that are essential to modern building and infrastructure markets.

CEO Mr. Peter R. Matt · 13,670 employees · United States · https://www.cmc.com