CNCKFinancial Services · Capital Markets

CNCK Stock Forecast: Coincheck Group NV Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 5 Oct 2026

$1.42

0.00% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Coincheck Group NV hold a median 12-month price target of $3.11 — +118.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 3 of 100 as at 5 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap

$272.0M

Ticker Nerd rank

3 / 100

Median analyst target

$3.11

Analysts covering

Revenue$114.3B+36.1% y/y

Operating income−$1.4B

Net income−$1.2B

Free cash flow−$1.5B

Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown

Total return, dividends reinvested

−6.6%

−27.9%

YTD

−43.7%

−69.5%

From 52W high

−82.0%

From 52W low

+1.4%

$1.40

$7.88

52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

CNCK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Coincheck Group NV on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 5 Oct 2026

3 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size

Revisions

Momentum

Volatility

Growth

Value

Issuance

Accruals

Quality

Size (63): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Quality (2): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CNCK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CNCK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts

1 Buy2 Hold0 Sell

Low $2.50Median $3.11High $3.71

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +118.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Target
13 May 2026	Cantor Fitzgerald	Maintains	Neutral	$2.70 → $2.50
6 Jan 2026	Compass Point	Initiates	Buy	—
8 Aug 2025	Cantor Fitzgerald	Downgrade	Neutral	—
23 July 2025	Keybanc	Initiates	Sector Weight	—
19 Feb 2025	Cantor Fitzgerald	Initiates	Overweight	—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CNCK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Performance

CNCK vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 5 Oct 2026, Coincheck Group NV returned −69.5% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CNCK vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CNCK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year

Analysts raising

Analysts cutting

Fundamentals

Coincheck Group NV (CNCK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: 206.0×
Price / sales: 0.0×
Price / book: 1.2×
EV / EBITDA: 7.9×

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): 36.1%
Earnings growth (YoY): 36.1%
Gross margin: 2.6%
Operating margin: −1.2%
Net margin: −0.3%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: −8.0%
Return on assets: −1.0%
Dividend yield: 0.0%

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Coincheck Group NV (CNCK) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

Coincheck Group NV has a market value of $272.0M and an enterprise value of −$81.4M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $510.6B. The latest quarter grew 36.1% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$1.6B, a −0.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−8.84.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$3.7B, after $1.0B of capital spending.
Shares outstanding: 191.8M.
Trailing P/E: 206.0×; forward P/E: 286.0× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
Coincheck Group NV employs 303 people — $1.7B of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 5 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CNCK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelCapital Markets

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
CNCKCoincheck Group NV	$272.0M	3
SLNHSoluna Holdings, Inc.	$251.9M	19
FUFUBitFuFu, Inc.	$248.9M	20
AUCATIF Holdings Ltd.	$187.0M	18
SVIASilvia, Inc.	$404.9M	1
USDEStablecoinX, Inc.	$406.7M	16
NAKANakamoto, Inc.	$174.9M	20

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Coincheck Group NV — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CNCK news & analysis

Coincheck Group N.V. Announces Mr.

Business Wire · 17 Sept 2026neutral

Coincheck Group N.V. announced that Takashi Oyagi is resigning as Executive Director and Executive Chairperson of the Board of Directors, effective September 17, 2026. He will not stand for re-election at the upcoming annual general meeting on September 25, 2026, and the board has appointed Satoshi Hasuo, the Company's Chief Stakeholder Officer, to a board role.

Why it matters — The immediate departure of the Executive Chairperson represents a notable leadership change for Coincheck Group N.V. ahead of its annual general meeting, which shareholders and CNCK watchers would want to monitor.

Coincheck Group and DFNS Announce Strategic Partnership to Bring Institutional-Grade Digital Asset Custody to Japan

Business Wire · 31 Aug 2026positive

Coincheck Group N.V. announced a strategic partnership with DFNS, a wallet infrastructure provider for institutional finance, focused on digital asset wallet technology and custody services in Japan. The two companies plan to collaborate on deployment of these services.

Why it matters — The partnership could expand Coincheck's institutional-grade custody and wallet offerings in Japan, potentially broadening its digital asset services.

Coincheck Group Eyes Japan's Institutional Crypto Boom With New Infrastructure Push

MarketBeat · 12 Aug 2026positive

Coincheck Group CEO Pascal St-Jean said during a KeyBanc discussion that the company is positioning its business around institutional crypto infrastructure, execution and asset management, as regulatory developments in Japan and other markets broaden access to digital assets.

Why it matters — The announcement signals Coincheck's strategic direction toward institutional crypto services, which could shape its growth prospects as regulatory access to digital assets expands in Japan and other markets.

Coincheck Group N.V. To Participate at the KeyBanc Capital Markets Technology Leadership Forum

Business Wire · 7 Aug 2026neutral

Coincheck Group N.V. announced that CEO Pascal St-Jean and CFO Jason Sandberg will participate in a fireside chat at the KeyBanc Capital Markets Technology Leadership Forum in Park City, Utah on August 11 at 10:00 a.m. MT. A live webcast of the chat will be available.

Why it matters — A CNCK watcher would care because the company's top executives are presenting at a major technology conference, providing visibility into the firm's digital asset services and outlook for investors and industry participants.

Coincheck Group Q1 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 7 Aug 2026positive

Coincheck Group reported first-quarter fiscal 2027 revenue growth, driven by institutional transaction activity and a full-quarter contribution from its 3iQ asset-management business. Management outlined plans to expand Crypto-as-a-Service partnerships, institutional asset-management offerings, and custody capabilities.

Why it matters — The revenue growth and outlined expansion plans signal that Coincheck is deepening its institutional footprint, which could be a key driver of future performance for the crypto-trading platform.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CNCK stock

What is the CNCK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Coincheck Group NV have a median 12-month price target of $3.11, with estimates ranging from $2.5 to $3.71. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CNCK stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Coincheck Group NV, 1 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Coincheck Group NV 3 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CNCK?

As at 5 Oct 2026, Coincheck Group NV ranks 3 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (63 of 100).

Will CNCK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +118.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Coincheck Group NV 3 out of 100 as at 5 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CNCK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Coincheck Group NV publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CNCK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $2.5 to $3.71 over the next 12 months.

How has CNCK stock performed over the past year?

Coincheck Group NV returned -69.5% over the 12 months to 5 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Coincheck Group NV do?

Coincheck Group N.V. is a digital finance and crypto asset services company focused on serving retail and institutional clients.

What is the latest news on CNCK?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 17 Sept 2026): "Coincheck Group N.V. Announces Mr.". Coincheck Group N.V. announced that Takashi Oyagi is resigning as Executive Director and Executive Chairperson of the Board of Directors, effective September 17, 2026. He will not stand for re-election at the upcoming annual general meeting on September 25, 2026, and the board has appointed Satoshi Hasuo, the Company's Chief Stakeholder Officer, to a board role.

Company

About Coincheck Group NV.

Coincheck Group N.V. is a digital finance and crypto asset services company focused on serving retail and institutional clients. Coincheck Group N.V. operates Coincheck, one of Japan’s leading cryptocurrency exchange platforms, where users can buy, sell, and trade major digital assets such as Bitcoin and Ethereum. The company also provides custody, settlement, staking, and asset management services, supporting a broader set of digital asset activities beyond spot trading. In addition, it operates an NFT marketplace and develops digital asset infrastructure for on-chain finance use cases. Headquartered in Amsterdam, the Netherlands, Coincheck Group N.V. plays a significant role in Japan’s crypto market by combining consumer trading access with institutional-grade services and infrastructure.

CEO Mr. Pascal St. Jean · 303 employees · Netherlands · https://www.coincheckgroup.com