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COP Stock Forecast: ConocoPhillips Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 30 Oct 2026
$154
+2.68% on the day

The 30 Wall Street analysts covering ConocoPhillips hold a median 12-month price target of $150 — -2.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 87 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$185.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
87/ 100
Median analyst target
$150
Analysts covering
30
Revenue$19.2B+36.8% y/y
Operating income$6.0B
Net income$3.9B
Free cash flow$4.4B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+2.2%
1M
+23.1%
YTD
+68.2%
1Y
+80.2%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+85.5%
$83
$154
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

COP stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores ConocoPhillips on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 31 Oct 2026
87/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
92
Momentum
92
Issuance
83
Volatility
83
Accruals
79
Quality
61
Value
53
Growth
53
Size
1

Revisions (92): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Growth (53): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (1): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

COP stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on COP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26COPHigh $189Median $150Low $126

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says30 analysts
19 Buy10 Hold1 Sell
Low $126Median $150High $189

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −2.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 Oct 2026Piper SandlerAssumesNeutral$157
20 Oct 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$161 → $175
15 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
15 Oct 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$151 → $159
7 Oct 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
7 Oct 2026JefferiesMaintainsBuy$159 → $174
7 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$130 → $136
7 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
14 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$153 → $169
14 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
19 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$136 → $153
19 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$147 → $151
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$155 → $150
12 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
12 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$143 → $153

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

COP appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
  • The AI build-out map, free: every AI company we track, part by part, and one part in full with each verdict.

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The AI build-out map
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Performance

COP vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, ConocoPhillips returned +80.2% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

COP vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100120140160180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26COPS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

COP analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+19.9%
Analysts raising
12
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

ConocoPhillips (COP) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
20.4×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.9×

Cheaper than 41% of US stocks

Price / book
2.8×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
7.5×

Cheaper than 47% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
35.5%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
99.4%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Gross margin
36.7%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Operating margin
31.5%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
14.4%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.2%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.5%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.2%

Higher than 80% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

ConocoPhillips (COP) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • ConocoPhillips has a market value of $185.0B and an enterprise value of $200.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $63.3B. The latest quarter grew 35.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $9.3B, a 14.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.56.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $10.1B, after $11.9B of capital spending.

  • ConocoPhillips spent $5.4B on share buybacks and $4.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.2B.

  • Trailing P/E: 20.4×; forward P/E: 14.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.18%, paying out 44% of earnings.

  • ConocoPhillips employs 9,600 people — $6.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

COP vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
COPConocoPhillips$185.0B87
EOGEOG Resources, Inc.$89.8B91
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corp.$63.1B86
DVNDevon Energy Corp.$60.1B57
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.$59.4B76
EQTEQT Corp.$34.6B52
TPLTexas Pacific Land Corp.$22.9B73

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own ConocoPhillips — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest COP news & analysis

Emerson Among 14 Dividend Growth Companies To Announce Annual Dividend Increases In First Half Of November

Seeking Alpha · 1 Nov 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha reports Emerson is expected to announce a 6.3–8.1% dividend increase, extending its dividend growth streak to 70 years. The article also notes anticipated increases from other long-term dividend payers, including some projected to exceed 10%.

Why it matters — The item concerns dividend increases at companies other than ConocoPhillips, so it provides no company-specific update for COP watchers.

ConocoPhillips: Drilling Toward Greater Returns

Seeking Alpha · 31 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha rates ConocoPhillips a buy ahead of Q3 earnings, citing production growth, cost management, and a 15.42% trailing-twelve-month free cash flow margin. The article also highlights the company’s plan to return 45% of cash from operations to shareholders in 2026 and its expanding LNG portfolio and international assets.

Why it matters — The article points to cash generation, planned shareholder returns, and business diversification as factors COP watchers may consider.

Stay Ahead of Market Uncertainty With BP, XOM, COP and E

Zacks Investment Research · 30 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research names BP, ExxonMobil, ConocoPhillips and Eni as low-beta stock picks amid market volatility, citing oil prices, upstream growth prospects and investments.

Why it matters — The item highlights ConocoPhillips among companies characterized as lower-beta picks, with its upstream prospects and investments cited as support.

ConocoPhillips (COP) Earnings Expected to Grow: Should You Buy?

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research says ConocoPhillips has two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report and outlines key expectations.

Why it matters — COP watchers may find the stated earnings-beat rationale and report expectations relevant ahead of the upcoming results.

ConocoPhillips to Report Q3 Earnings: What's in the Cards?

Zacks Investment Research · 29 Oct 2026positive

ConocoPhillips is preparing to report Q3 earnings. The excerpt cites higher oil prices, estimates for strong profit and revenue growth, and positive indicators pointing to a potential earnings beat.

Why it matters — COP watchers may follow the report to see how these indicators compare with the company’s Q3 results.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about COP stock

What is the COP stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 30 Wall Street analysts covering ConocoPhillips have a median 12-month price target of $150, with estimates ranging from $126 to $189. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is COP stock a buy right now?

Of the 30 analysts covering ConocoPhillips, 19 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks ConocoPhillips 87 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank COP?

As at 31 Oct 2026, ConocoPhillips ranks 87 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (92 of 100).

Will COP stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 30 analysts implies -2.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks ConocoPhillips 87 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the COP stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering ConocoPhillips publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for COP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $126 to $189 over the next 12 months.

How has COP stock performed over the past year?

ConocoPhillips returned +80.2% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does ConocoPhillips do?

ConocoPhillips is a global oil and gas exploration and production company focused on finding, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company operates a diversified portfolio of assets across major producing regions, supplying energy products used in transportation, heating, power generation, and industrial activity.

What is the latest news on COP?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 1 Nov 2026): "Emerson Among 14 Dividend Growth Companies To Announce Annual Dividend Increases In First Half Of November". Seeking Alpha reports Emerson is expected to announce a 6.3–8.1% dividend increase, extending its dividend growth streak to 70 years. The article also notes anticipated increases from other long-term dividend payers, including some projected to exceed 10%.

Company

About ConocoPhillips.

ConocoPhillips is a global oil and gas exploration and production company focused on finding, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company operates a diversified portfolio of assets across major producing regions, supplying energy products used in transportation, heating, power generation, and industrial activity. Its business centers on upstream operations, including conventional and unconventional resource development, field optimization, and reservoir management, supported by trading and marketing functions that help move production into global markets. ConocoPhillips serves a broad customer base through long-term energy demand across multiple geographies and commodity cycles. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, ConocoPhillips plays a significant role in the international energy market as a large independent producer with operations spanning North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East.

CEO Mr. Andrew M. O'Brien · 9,600 employees · United States · https://www.conocophillips.com