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COP Stock Forecast: Conocophillips Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 5 Oct 2026
$128
+1.30% on the day

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Conocophillips hold a median 12-month price target of $146 — +13.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 84 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$152.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
84 / 100
Median analyst target
$146
Analysts covering
28
Revenue$19.2B+36.8% y/y
Operating income$6.0B
Net income$3.9B
Free cash flow$4.4B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.9%
1M
−4.4%
YTD
+40.2%
1Y
+40.6%
From 52W high
−9.1%
From 52W low
+54.6%
$83
$141
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

COP stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Conocophillips on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Oct 2026
84 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
85
Volatility
84
Issuance
83
Accruals
78
Momentum
77
Quality
62
Value
58
Growth
56
Size
2

Revisions (85): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Growth (56): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

COP stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on COP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26COPHigh $189Median $146Low $126

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says28 analysts
19 Buy9 Hold0 Sell
Low $126Median $146High $189

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$153 → $169
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
19 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$136 → $153
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$147 → $151
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$155 → $150
12 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
12 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$143 → $153
11 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$155 → $161
11 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$115 → $130
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$183 → $189
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$152 → $155
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
8 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. COP appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

COP vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 5 Oct 2026, Conocophillips returned +40.6% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

COP vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26COPS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

COP analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+5.6%
Analysts raising
14
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Conocophillips (COP) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
16.8×

Cheaper than 42% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.4×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

Price / book
2.3×

Cheaper than 39% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.3×

Cheaper than 50% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
35.5%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
99.4%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Gross margin
36.7%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Operating margin
31.5%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
14.4%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.2%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.5%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.7%

Higher than 72% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Conocophillips (COP) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Conocophillips has a market value of $152.3B and an enterprise value of $167.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $63.3B. The latest quarter grew 35.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $9.3B, a 14.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.56.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $10.1B, after $11.9B of capital spending.

  • Conocophillips spent $5.4B on share buybacks and $4.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.2B.

  • Trailing P/E: 16.8×; forward P/E: 13.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.65%, paying out 44% of earnings.

  • Conocophillips employs 9,600 people — $6.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 4 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

COP vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
COPConocophillips$152.3B
84
EOGEOG Resources, Inc.$76.7B
83
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corp.$57.2B
78
DVNDevon Energy Corp.$54.9B
47
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.$51.7B
71
EQTEQT Corp.$31.4B
58
TPLTexas Pacific Land Corp.$23.5B
71

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Conocophillips — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest COP news & analysis

ConocoPhillips Signs Long-Term LNG Supply Deal With Venture Global

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Oct 2026positive

ConocoPhillips has signed a long-term agreement with Venture Global to purchase 1 million tons of LNG annually for 20 years, with deliveries starting in 2030. The deal expands COP's LNG portfolio as part of its strategic supply efforts.

Why it matters — This multi-decade LNG supply agreement secures a reliable, long-term source of LNG, strengthening ConocoPhillips' portfolio and positioning it for future natural gas demand.

ConocoPhillips' Chairman Says Oil's Price Floor Is Rising to $70 a Barrel. Here's What That Means for Oil Stocks.

The Motley Fool · 5 Oct 2026positive

ConocoPhillips' chairman stated that the floor for oil prices is rising to $70 a barrel, partly because the prior outlook had been much lower until the Iran war. Rebuilding global oil supply could take years, suggesting sustained higher prices.

Why it matters — A higher oil price floor could support ConocoPhillips' revenues and cash flows, making its upstream production more valuable for investors.

ConocoPhillips sees oil price floor rising to $70 a barrel, chairman says

Reuters · 5 Oct 2026neutral

At the Energy Intelligence conference in London, ConocoPhillips Chairman Ryan Lance said he expects the oil price floor to rise to around $70 per barrel, with a mid-cycle price of $65-$70 per barrel for the US West Texas Intermediate crude benchmark.

Why it matters — For COP watchers, the chairman's outlook on the oil price floor and mid-cycle WTI range signals the company's expectations for the market conditions shaping its future planning.

ConocoPhillips (COP) Outpaces Stock Market Gains: What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Oct 2026neutral

ConocoPhillips (COP) closed the most recent trading day at $127.06, up 1.53% from the previous session, according to Zacks Investment Research. The stock outpaced broader market gains during the period.

Why it matters — The share price movement indicates how ConocoPhillips is performing relative to the broader market, which is relevant for investors tracking the stock's recent trading activity.

ConocoPhillips signs 20-year LNG deal with Venture Global

Reuters · 1 Oct 2026positive

Venture Global and ConocoPhillips announced a 20-year liquefied natural gas supply agreement on Thursday, under which ConocoPhillips will purchase 1 million tonnes of LNG per year beginning in 2030.

Why it matters — The long-term LNG supply deal secures a stable, decade-spanning outlet for ConocoPhillips that adds certainty to its future production and sales commitments.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about COP stock

What is the COP stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 28 Wall Street analysts covering Conocophillips have a median 12-month price target of $146, with estimates ranging from $126 to $189. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is COP stock a buy right now?

Of the 28 analysts covering Conocophillips, 19 rate it a Buy, 9 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Conocophillips 84 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank COP?

As at 3 Oct 2026, Conocophillips ranks 84 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (85 of 100).

Will COP stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 28 analysts implies +13.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Conocophillips 84 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the COP stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Conocophillips publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for COP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $126 to $189 over the next 12 months.

How has COP stock performed over the past year?

Conocophillips returned +40.6% over the 12 months to 5 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Conocophillips do?

ConocoPhillips is a global oil and gas exploration and production company focused on finding, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company operates a diversified portfolio of assets across major producing regions, supplying energy products used in transportation, heating, power generation, and industrial activity.

What is the latest news on COP?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 5 Oct 2026): "ConocoPhillips Signs Long-Term LNG Supply Deal With Venture Global". ConocoPhillips has signed a long-term agreement with Venture Global to purchase 1 million tons of LNG annually for 20 years, with deliveries starting in 2030. The deal expands COP's LNG portfolio as part of its strategic supply efforts.

Company

About Conocophillips.

ConocoPhillips is a global oil and gas exploration and production company focused on finding, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company operates a diversified portfolio of assets across major producing regions, supplying energy products used in transportation, heating, power generation, and industrial activity. Its business centers on upstream operations, including conventional and unconventional resource development, field optimization, and reservoir management, supported by trading and marketing functions that help move production into global markets. ConocoPhillips serves a broad customer base through long-term energy demand across multiple geographies and commodity cycles. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, ConocoPhillips plays a significant role in the international energy market as a large independent producer with operations spanning North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East.

CEO Mr. Andrew M. O'Brien · 9,600 employees · United States · https://www.conocophillips.com