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COP Stock Forecast: Conocophillips Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Sept 2026
$137
−0.50% on the day

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Conocophillips hold a median 12-month price target of $146 — +6.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 77 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$165.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
77 / 100
Median analyst target
$146
Analysts covering
27
Revenue$19.2B+36.8% y/y
Operating income$6.0B
Net income$3.9B
Free cash flow$4.4B
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.8%
1M
+8.5%
YTD
+49.2%
1Y
+52.5%
From 52W high
−0.5%
From 52W low
+64.5%
$83
$137
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

COP stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Conocophillips on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
77 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
87
Issuance
83
Momentum
81
Accruals
78
Revisions
66
Quality
61
Value
58
Growth
56
Size
2

Volatility (87): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (56): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Size (2): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

COP stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on COP, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$80$100$120$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26COPHigh $189Median $146Low $126

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says27 analysts
19 Buy8 Hold0 Sell
Low $126Median $146High $189

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +6.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 8 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$153 → $169
3 Sept 2026Seaport GlobalInitiatesNeutral—
19 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2026Argus ResearchMaintainsBuy$136 → $153
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
19 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$147 → $151
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight—
17 Aug 2026BarclaysMaintainsOverweight$155 → $150
12 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
12 Aug 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$143 → $153
11 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
11 Aug 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$155 → $161
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$115 → $130
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$183 → $189
7 Aug 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive$152 → $155
21 July 2026SusquehannaMaintainsPositive—
8 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
8 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold$128 → $115

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. COP appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

COP vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Sept 2026, Conocophillips returned +52.5% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

COP vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150160Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26COPS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

COP analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.1%
Analysts raising
14
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Conocophillips (COP) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.3×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.6×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Price / book
2.5×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
6.7×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
35.5%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
99.4%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Gross margin
36.7%

Higher than 45% of US stocks

Operating margin
31.5%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Net margin
14.4%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
14.2%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Return on assets
7.5%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.4%

Higher than 53% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Conocophillips (COP) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Conocophillips has a market value of $165.0B and an enterprise value of $180.6B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $63.3B. The latest quarter grew 35.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $9.3B, a 14.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $7.56.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $10.1B, after $11.9B of capital spending.

  • Conocophillips spent $5.4B on share buybacks and $4.1B on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 1.2B.

  • Trailing P/E: 18.3×; forward P/E: 14.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.44%, paying out 44% of earnings.

  • Conocophillips employs 9,600 people — $6.6M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

COP vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
COPConocophillips$165.0B
77
EOGEOG Resources, Inc.$80.0B
76
OXYOccidental Petroleum Corp.$60.6B
74
DVNDevon Energy Corp.$57.9B
40
FANGDiamondback Energy, Inc.$57.4B
67
EQTEQT Corp.$33.8B
52
TPLTexas Pacific Land Corp.$25.4B
66

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Conocophillips — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest COP news & analysis

Why ConocoPhillips (COP) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights ConocoPhillips as a top momentum stock for the long term, using its Style Scores system to help investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style. The piece points to the company's strong momentum characteristics as a key reason for investor attention.

Why it matters — A positive momentum rating from a prominent research service signals that ConocoPhillips may hold favorable long-term characteristics worth monitoring for investors tracking the stock.

Here are the stocks to favor in the fourth quarter — and those you should avoid

Market Watch · 10 Sept 2026neutral

Market Watch reports that as the fourth quarter approaches, large-cap stocks tend to outperform small caps. The article suggests investors favor large caps over small caps during this period.

Why it matters — ConocoPhillips is a large-cap energy stock, so the article's observation about large caps outperforming small caps near year's end is directly relevant to COP shareholders.

Why ConocoPhillips (COP) is a Top Growth Stock for the Long-Term

Zacks Investment Research · 2 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research highlights ConocoPhillips as a top growth stock for the long term, using its Style Scores system to identify top-rated stocks based on investing style. The report points to ConocoPhillips as one such stock that investors may want to take advantage of.

Why it matters — A Zacks research note identifying ConocoPhillips as a top long-term growth stock could draw attention to the company's favorable investing-style metrics.

Energy ETFs to Watch as US-Venezuela Sign Historic Oil Deal

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Sept 2026neutral

The U.S. and Venezuela signed a historic oil deal that could drive long-term investment in Venezuela's oil infrastructure. Zacks notes that energy ETFs could benefit from this development.

Why it matters — A U.S.-Venezuela oil deal opening up investment in Venezuela's oil infrastructure could affect the broader oil and gas sector in which ConocoPhillips operates.

Trump Presses Refiners on Gas Prices Tuesday — and He's Been Buying Their Stocks

Benzinga · 1 Sept 2026neutral

President Trump plans to meet with oil refinery and distributor executives on Tuesday to press for lower consumer gas prices. The meeting places oil companies in a bind between cutting prices to satisfy the president or protecting the profits expected by shareholders.

Why it matters — A COP watcher would care because the meeting signals potential political and policy pressure on the oil industry to reduce prices, which could weigh on sector profitability expectations.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about COP stock

What is the COP stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 27 Wall Street analysts covering Conocophillips have a median 12-month price target of $146, with estimates ranging from $126 to $189. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is COP stock a buy right now?

Of the 27 analysts covering Conocophillips, 19 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Conocophillips 77 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank COP?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Conocophillips ranks 77 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (87 of 100).

Will COP stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 27 analysts implies +6.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Conocophillips 77 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the COP stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Conocophillips publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for COP are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $126 to $189 over the next 12 months.

How has COP stock performed over the past year?

Conocophillips returned +52.5% over the 12 months to 14 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Conocophillips do?

ConocoPhillips is a global oil and gas exploration and production company focused on finding, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company operates a diversified portfolio of assets across major producing regions, supplying energy products used in transportation, heating, power generation, and industrial activity.

What is the latest news on COP?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 14 Sept 2026): "Why ConocoPhillips (COP) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term". Zacks Investment Research highlights ConocoPhillips as a top momentum stock for the long term, using its Style Scores system to help investors identify top-rated stocks based on investing style. The piece points to the company's strong momentum characteristics as a key reason for investor attention.

Company

About Conocophillips.

ConocoPhillips is a global oil and gas exploration and production company focused on finding, developing, and producing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids. The company operates a diversified portfolio of assets across major producing regions, supplying energy products used in transportation, heating, power generation, and industrial activity. Its business centers on upstream operations, including conventional and unconventional resource development, field optimization, and reservoir management, supported by trading and marketing functions that help move production into global markets. ConocoPhillips serves a broad customer base through long-term energy demand across multiple geographies and commodity cycles. Headquartered in Houston, Texas, ConocoPhillips plays a significant role in the international energy market as a large independent producer with operations spanning North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific, and the Middle East.

CEO Mr. Andrew M. O'Brien · 9,600 employees · United States · https://www.conocophillips.com