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CVLG Stock Forecast: Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 8 Oct 2026
$33
+0.09% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $50 — +52.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 54 of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$829.3M
Ticker Nerd rank
54 / 100
Median analyst target
$50
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$332.9M+9.9% y/y
Operating income$9.1M
Net income$8.5M
Free cash flow−$44.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−1.1%
1M
−7.2%
YTD
+49.3%
1Y
+49.8%
From 52W high
−34.3%
From 52W low
+82.7%
$18
$50
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CVLG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 8 Oct 2026
54 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
81
Accruals
80
Volatility
62
Value
48
Size
46
Revisions
46
Issuance
46
Quality
44
Growth
36

Momentum (81): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Growth (36): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

CVLG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CVLG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$30$40$50$60Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CVLGHigh $60Median $50Low $42

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
4 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $42Median $50High $60

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +52.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
5 Oct 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$43 → $42
20 Aug 2026BairdInitiatesOutperform$50
20 Aug 2026BairdInitiatesOutperform—
31 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
31 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$60 → $54
15 July 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Outperform$60
15 July 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Outperform—
8 July 2026Stephens & Co.InitiatesOverweight$60
8 July 2026Stephens & Co.InitiatesOverweight—
24 Jan 2025Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight—
25 Oct 2024TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
26 July 2024TD CowenMaintainsBuy—
25 Jan 2024TD CowenUpgradeOutperform—
23 Jan 2024Vertical ResearchInitiatesBuy—
28 July 2023Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
1 May 2023Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
10 Jan 2023Wolfe ResearchUpgradePeer Perform—
24 Oct 2022Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight—
14 Apr 2022Cowen & Co.DowngradeMarket Perform—
5 Apr 2022Wolfe ResearchMaintainsUnderperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CVLG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

CVLG vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 8 Oct 2026, Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. returned +49.8% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CVLG vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26CVLGS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CVLG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−0.2%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
3237.5×

Cheaper than 1% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 77% of US stocks

Price / book
2.0×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.2×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.9%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−13.3%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Gross margin
13.4%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.8%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Net margin
0.3%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
0.2%

Higher than 44% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.1%

Higher than 51% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.9%

Higher than 69% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. has a market value of $829.3M and an enterprise value of $1.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter grew 9.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $3.8M, a 0.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.11.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$37.9M.

  • Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. spent $7.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 25.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 3237.5×; forward P/E: 11.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.86%, paying out 2800% of earnings.

  • Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. employs 2,900 people — $425K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 8 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CVLG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTrucking
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CVLGCovenant Logistics Group, Inc.$829.3M
54
HTLDHeartland Express, Inc.$879.0M
64
MRTNMarten Transport Ltd.$1.0B
54
ULHUniversal Logistics Holdings, Inc.$457.1M
87
WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.$2.0B
53
PAMTPAMT Corp.$262.5M
36
ARCBArcBest Corp.$2.9B
93

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CVLG news & analysis

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. Announces Timing of Third Quarter Earnings Release and Conference Call

GlobeNewsWire · 2 Oct 2026neutral

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. announced it will release its third quarter earnings after 4:00 p.m. Eastern time on Thursday, October 29, 2026, and will hold a live conference call to discuss the results on Friday, October 30, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. Dial-in, audio replay, and investor website details were also provided.

Why it matters — This announcement informs CVLG watchers of the specific dates and logistics for the upcoming third quarter earnings release and conference call.

Covenant Logistics Eyes Higher-Return Growth as Freight Markets Recover

MarketBeat · 29 Aug 2026positive

Covenant Logistics Group CFO Tripp Grant presented the company's strategy centered on higher-return freight, diversified operations, and disciplined capital allocation during a presentation hosted by Three Part Advisors, as freight-market conditions improve.

Why it matters — The presentation outlines Covenant Logistics' strategic direction and priorities as freight markets recover, giving investors insight into the company's growth plans.

Implied Volatility Surging for Covenant Logistics Group Stock Options

Zacks Investment Research · 20 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that implied volatility is surging for Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG) stock options. The article advises investors to pay close attention to CVLG stock given recent movements in the options market.

Why it matters — A CVLG watcher would care because elevated implied volatility in the options market signals increased investor attention and uncertainty around the stock's near-term price movements.

Covenant Logistics Group Announces Quarterly Cash Dividend

GlobeNewsWire · 17 Aug 2026positive

Covenant Logistics Group announced that its board of directors declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.07 per share of Class A and Class B common stock. The dividend is payable to stockholders of record on September 4, 2026, and is expected to be paid on September 25, 2026.

Why it matters — This announcement confirms the company's continued return of capital to shareholders through a regular quarterly dividend.

Is Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG) a Great Value Stock Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article discussing whether Covenant Logistics Group (CVLG) qualifies as a value stock. The piece highlights the firm's Zacks Rank system, which focuses on earnings estimates and estimate revisions, while also considering value, growth, and momentum trends.

Why it matters — CVLG watchers would care because the article evaluates the company through Zacks' stock-ranking methodology, which could influence investor perception of its value characteristics.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CVLG stock

What is the CVLG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $50, with estimates ranging from $42 to $60. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CVLG stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. 54 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 8 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CVLG?

As at 8 Oct 2026, Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. ranks 54 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (81 of 100).

Will CVLG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +52.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. 54 out of 100 as at 8 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CVLG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CVLG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $42 to $60 over the next 12 months.

How has CVLG stock performed over the past year?

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. returned +49.8% over the 12 months to 8 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. do?

Covenant Logistics Group Inc. is a transportation and logistics company that provides truckload shipping and supply chain services across the United States and Canada.

What is the latest news on CVLG?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 2 Oct 2026): "Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. Announces Timing of Third Quarter Earnings Release and Conference Call". Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. announced it will release its third quarter earnings after 4:00 p.m. Eastern time on Thursday, October 29, 2026, and will hold a live conference call to discuss the results on Friday, October 30, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. Dial-in, audio replay, and investor website details were also provided.

Company

About Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

Covenant Logistics Group Inc. is a transportation and logistics company that provides truckload shipping and supply chain services across the United States and Canada. Covenant Logistics Group Inc. serves customers through expedited freight, dedicated fleet operations, managed freight brokerage, and warehousing solutions, supporting shippers that need reliable delivery, capacity management, and outsourced logistics support. Its service mix includes temperature-controlled trucking, regional delivery, long-haul team driving, and asset-light transportation management, allowing it to address a wide range of freight needs for industries that depend on time-sensitive and consistent distribution. The company operates through subsidiaries that expand its reach across freight movement and warehouse operations, making it a diversified participant in the North American logistics market. Headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee, Covenant Logistics Group Inc. focuses on connecting freight capacity with customer supply chain requirements through both asset-based and brokerage-driven services.

CEO Mr. David Ray Parker · 2,900 employees · United States · https://www.covenantlogistics.com