CVLGIndustrials · TruckingThe 5 Wall Street analysts covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $50 — +61.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 24 of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Momentum (75): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.
Issuance (6): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CVLG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +61.7% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2026 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | $43 → $42 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Baird | Initiates | Outperform | $50 |
| 20 Aug 2026 | Baird | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | $60 → $54 |
| 15 July 2026 | Citizens | Initiates | Market Outperform | $60 |
| 15 July 2026 | Citizens | Initiates | Market Outperform | — |
| 8 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Initiates | Overweight | $60 |
| 8 July 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 24 Jan 2025 | Stephens & Co. | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 25 Oct 2024 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 July 2024 | TD Cowen | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 Jan 2024 | TD Cowen | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 23 Jan 2024 | Vertical Research | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 28 July 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 May 2023 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 10 Jan 2023 | Wolfe Research | Upgrade | Peer Perform | — |
| 24 Oct 2022 | Stephens & Co. | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 14 Apr 2022 | Cowen & Co. | Downgrade | Market Perform | — |
| 5 Apr 2022 | Wolfe Research | Maintains | Underperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
CVLG appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 30 Oct 2026, Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. returned +57.6% against +12.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 1% of US stocks
Cheaper than 78% of US stocks
Cheaper than 45% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 57% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 48% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 47% of US stocks
Higher than 70% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. has a market value of $784.7M and an enterprise value of $1.1B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B. The latest quarter grew 19.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $3.8M, a 0.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.11.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$37.9M.
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. spent $7.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 3092.0×; forward P/E: 11.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.91%, paying out 2800% of earnings.
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. employs 2,900 people — $425K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Covenant Logistics Group’s Q3 2026 earnings call, held October 30, 2026, with company executives and research analysts participating.
Why it matters — The transcript provides CVLG watchers with the company’s quarterly call discussion and a record of management’s participation.
Covenant Logistics Group reported third-quarter freight revenue of $315.1 million, up 17.2% year over year. The company said the increase was driven primarily by brokerage assets acquired in the fourth quarter of 2025 and now operated as Star Logistics Solutions within its Managed Freight segment.
Why it matters — The update highlights the contribution of acquired brokerage assets to CVLG’s reported freight revenue growth.
Covenant Logistics Group announced its financial and operating results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. The company said it will hold a conference call to discuss the quarter at 10:00 a.m. Eastern Time on October 30, 2026.
Why it matters — CVLG watchers can review the company’s quarterly results and hear management discuss them on the scheduled call.
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. announced it will release its third quarter earnings after 4:00 p.m. Eastern time on Thursday, October 29, 2026, and will hold a live conference call to discuss the results on Friday, October 30, 2026, at 10:00 a.m. Eastern time. Dial-in, audio replay, and investor website details were also provided.
Why it matters — This announcement informs CVLG watchers of the specific dates and logistics for the upcoming third quarter earnings release and conference call.
Covenant Logistics Group CFO Tripp Grant presented the company's strategy centered on higher-return freight, diversified operations, and disciplined capital allocation during a presentation hosted by Three Part Advisors, as freight-market conditions improve.
Why it matters — The presentation outlines Covenant Logistics' strategic direction and priorities as freight markets recover, giving investors insight into the company's growth plans.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $50, with estimates ranging from $42 to $56. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. 24 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 31 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 31 Oct 2026, Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. ranks 24 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (75 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +61.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. 24 out of 100 as at 31 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CVLG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $42 to $56 over the next 12 months.
Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. returned +57.6% over the 12 months to 30 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Covenant Logistics Group Inc. is a transportation and logistics company that provides truckload shipping and supply chain services across the United States and Canada.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 30 Oct 2026): "Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Covenant Logistics Group’s Q3 2026 earnings call, held October 30, 2026, with company executives and research analysts participating.
Covenant Logistics Group Inc. is a transportation and logistics company that provides truckload shipping and supply chain services across the United States and Canada. Covenant Logistics Group Inc. serves customers through expedited freight, dedicated fleet operations, managed freight brokerage, and warehousing solutions, supporting shippers that need reliable delivery, capacity management, and outsourced logistics support. Its service mix includes temperature-controlled trucking, regional delivery, long-haul team driving, and asset-light transportation management, allowing it to address a wide range of freight needs for industries that depend on time-sensitive and consistent distribution. The company operates through subsidiaries that expand its reach across freight movement and warehouse operations, making it a diversified participant in the North American logistics market. Headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee, Covenant Logistics Group Inc. focuses on connecting freight capacity with customer supply chain requirements through both asset-based and brokerage-driven services.
CEO Mr. David Ray Parker · 2,900 employees · United States · https://www.covenantlogistics.com
