CVLGCVLGIndustrials · Trucking

CVLG Stock Forecast: Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$35
−0.68% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $54 — +53.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 78 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$894.1M
Ticker Nerd rank
78 / 100
Median analyst target
$54
Analysts covering
4
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−21.5%
1M
−19.7%
YTD
+60.7%
1Y
+53.2%
From 52W high
−29.3%
From 52W low
+96.7%
$18
$50
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

CVLG stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
78 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
90
Momentum
89
Issuance
89
Volatility
61
Value
58
Quality
51
Revisions
47
Size
46
Growth
37

Accruals (90): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Growth (37): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

CVLG stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CVLG, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$30$40$50$60Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26CVLGHigh $60Median $54Low $43

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says4 analysts
3 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $43Median $54High $60

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +53.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$60$54
15 July 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Outperform$60
15 July 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Outperform
8 July 2026Stephens & Co.InitiatesOverweight$60
8 July 2026Stephens & Co.InitiatesOverweight
24 Jan 2025Stephens & Co.ReiteratesOverweight
25 Oct 2024TD CowenMaintainsBuy
26 July 2024TD CowenMaintainsBuy
25 Jan 2024TD CowenUpgradeOutperform
23 Jan 2024Vertical ResearchInitiatesBuy
28 July 2023Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight
1 May 2023Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight
10 Jan 2023Wolfe ResearchUpgradePeer Perform
24 Oct 2022Stephens & Co.MaintainsEqual-Weight
14 Apr 2022Cowen & Co.DowngradeMarket Perform
5 Apr 2022Wolfe ResearchMaintainsUnderperform
6 Jan 2022Wolfe ResearchDowngradeUnderperform
22 May 2020Stephens & Co.UpgradeOverweight
21 May 2020StifelUpgradeBuy
30 Oct 2019Stifel NicolausDowngradeHold

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

CVLG analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.8%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
710.4×

Cheaper than 1% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.7×

Cheaper than 76% of US stocks

Price / book
2.2×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.2×

Cheaper than 38% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
9.9%

Higher than 54% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−13.3%

Higher than 23% of US stocks

Gross margin
12.5%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.7%

Higher than 53% of US stocks

Net margin
0.3%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
1.8%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.7%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.8%

Higher than 17% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

CVLG vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelTrucking
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
CVLGCovenant Logistics Group, Inc.$894.1M
78
HTLDHeartland Express, Inc.$947.2M
78
MRTNMarten Transport Ltd.$1.2B
67
WERNWerner Enterprises, Inc.$2.2B
68
ULHUniversal Logistics Holdings, Inc.$352.3M
46
PAMTPAMT Corp.$337.5M
31
ARCBArcBest Corp.$3.2B
93
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. CVLG appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest CVLG news & analysis

Covenant Logistics Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 31 July 2026negative

Covenant Logistics Group reported higher second-quarter freight revenue but lower adjusted operating income, as rising costs for insurance, maintenance, and brokerage capacity outweighed improvements in rates and revenue quality.

Why it matters — The miss on operating income despite higher revenue signals that cost pressures are currently offsetting the company's progress on pricing and revenue mix.

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (CVLG) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 31 July 2026neutral

Covenant Logistics Group held its Q2 2026 earnings call, with the transcript published by Seeking Alpha detailing the company's financial results and management commentary for the quarter.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides investors and analysts with direct insight into Covenant's quarterly performance and management's outlook.

Covenant Logistics Group Announces Second Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Results

GlobeNewsWire · 29 July 2026neutral

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. (NYSE: CVLG) announced its financial and operating results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026, via a press release on July 29, 2026.

Why it matters — A CVLG watcher would care because the quarterly results provide a snapshot of the company's recent financial health and operational performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CVLG stock

What is the CVLG stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $54, with estimates ranging from $43 to $60. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CVLG stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc., 3 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. 78 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CVLG?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. ranks 78 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (90 of 100).

Will CVLG stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +53.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. 78 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CVLG stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CVLG are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $43 to $60 over the next 12 months.

How has CVLG stock performed over the past year?

Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. returned +53.2% over the 12 months to 3 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Covenant Logistics Group, Inc. do?

Covenant Logistics Group Inc. is a transportation and logistics service provider primarily serving the truckload freight market in North America.

What is the latest news on CVLG?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 31 July 2026): "Covenant Logistics Group Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Covenant Logistics Group reported higher second-quarter freight revenue but lower adjusted operating income, as rising costs for insurance, maintenance, and brokerage capacity outweighed improvements in rates and revenue quality.

Company

About Covenant Logistics Group, Inc.

Covenant Logistics Group Inc. is a transportation and logistics service provider primarily serving the truckload freight market in North America. The company specializes in offering transportation solutions that include expedited services, dedicated services, warehousing, and brokerage services. Its expedited services ensure time-sensitive deliveries, catering particularly to the needs of industries requiring fast transit times. Covenant's dedicated services offer customized logistics solutions, integrating into the customer's supply chain to optimize efficiency. Furthermore, their comprehensive brokerage services connect shippers to additional capacity by partnering with third-party carriers. This diversification allows them to support various industries, including retail, manufacturing, and distribution. Covenant Logistics aims to enhance its market position through advanced technology integration, offering customers enhanced shipment visibility and efficiency. Headquartered in Chattanooga, Tennessee, the company plays a crucial role in ensuring the flow of goods across the sprawling network of North American transport routes, thus contributing significantly to the economic vitality of the regions it serves.

CEO Mr. David Ray Parker · 2,900 employees · United States · https://www.covenantlogistics.com