CYDConsumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers

CYD Stock Forecast: China Yuchai International Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026

$22

−3.06% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering China Yuchai International Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $61 — +181.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 34 of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap

$832.9M

Ticker Nerd rank

34/ 100

Median analyst target

$61

Analysts covering

Total return, dividends reinvested

−10.4%

−32.7%

YTD

−38.2%

−38.4%

From 52W high

−63.3%

From 52W low

0.0%

$22

$59

52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

CYD stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores China Yuchai International Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Nov 2026

34/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance

Growth

Size

Revisions

Momentum

Volatility

Quality

Accruals

Value

Issuance (97): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Value (10): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

CYD stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on CYD, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says3 analysts

3 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

Low $43Median $61High $67

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +181.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Target
6 Jan 2026	UBS	Initiates	Buy	$60
6 Jan 2026	UBS	Initiates	Buy	—
13 Aug 2012	Piper Sandler	Maintains	Neutral	—
13 Aug 2012	PiperJaffray	Maintains	Neutral	—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

CYD appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Data centre power
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Performance

CYD vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, China Yuchai International Ltd. returned −38.4% against +12.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

CYD vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

CYD analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingThis fiscal year

EPS revision, 90 days

+7.3%

Analysts raising

Analysts cutting

Fundamentals

China Yuchai International Ltd. (CYD) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: 8.0×
Price / sales: 0.0×
Price / book: 0.6×
EV / EBITDA: −2.6×

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): 6.2%
Earnings growth (YoY): 53.3%
Gross margin: 14.5%
Operating margin: 6.7%
Net margin: 2.8%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: 4.2%
Return on assets: 1.7%
Dividend yield: 15.7%

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

China Yuchai International Ltd. (CYD) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

China Yuchai International Ltd. has a market value of $832.9M and an enterprise value of −$4.9B.
Shares outstanding: 37.5M.
Trailing P/E: 8.0×; forward P/E: 5.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 15.68%, paying out 0% of earnings.
China Yuchai International Ltd. employs 9,189 people.

market figures as at 3 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

CYD vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAuto Manufacturers

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
CYDChina Yuchai International Ltd.	$832.9M	34
LCIDLucid Group, Inc.	$1.2B	6
VFSVinFast Auto Ltd.	$7.5B	21
GGRGogoro, Inc.	$43.6M	80
FWRGFirst Watch Restaurant Group, Inc.*	$841.1M	34
PLOWDouglas Dynamics, Inc.*	$844.7M	78
BLMNBloomin' Brands, Inc.*	$875.8M	94

* Nearest Consumer Cyclical names by size — few auto manufacturers companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own China Yuchai International Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest CYD news & analysis

China Yuchai: A Second Buying Opportunity, But A Different Investment Thesis

Seeking Alpha · 28 Oct 2026neutral

The article says CYD shares more than tripled after an initial thesis centered on valuation, cash, and resilient fundamentals, then retraced to their original levels. It describes the investment debate as shifting from cyclical recovery to engines, distributed power generation, and data-center infrastructure.

Why it matters — CYD watchers may care that the article frames the company’s prospects around these newer business opportunities rather than primarily cyclical recovery.

Yuchai Strengthens African Continent Coverage

PRNewsWire · 27 Oct 2026positive

Yuchai Chairman Li Hanyang led a delegation on market visits across East, West and North Africa. The visits aimed to assess local demand, strengthen key partnerships and explore business opportunities.

Why it matters — The visits reflect Yuchai’s efforts to develop market relationships and opportunities across Africa.

China Yuchai International: Worth A Bet Despite The Recent Decline

Seeking Alpha · 26 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha notes that CYD’s recent selloff erased its year-to-date gains and argues that the oil crisis risk may not justify a valuation below net cash. The article cites the company’s income statement and balance sheet and potential ways to counter a diesel crisis as supporting factors.

Why it matters — CYD watchers may find the discussion relevant to how the article weighs recent share weakness and oil-related risks against the company’s financial position.

Yuchai and Guangxi Zhenye Form New Joint Venture

PRNewsWire · 20 Oct 2026positive

China Yuchai International said its wholly owned subsidiary, Yuchai Foundry, and Guangxi Zhenye New Materials have established a joint venture, Guangxi Aobei Technology Company Ltd.

Why it matters — The joint venture is a new business development involving a wholly owned China Yuchai subsidiary.

New Strong Sell Stocks for October 8th

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Oct 2026negative

Zacks Investment Research added China Yuchai International Ltd. (CYD), along with AVNW and CIA, to its Zacks Rank #5 (Strong Sell) List on October 8, 2026.

Why it matters — CYD watchers may note the company’s inclusion on Zacks’ Strong Sell list.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about CYD stock

What is the CYD stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering China Yuchai International Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $61, with estimates ranging from $43 to $67. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is CYD stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering China Yuchai International Ltd., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks China Yuchai International Ltd. 34 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank CYD?

As at 3 Nov 2026, China Yuchai International Ltd. ranks 34 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (97 of 100).

Will CYD stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +181.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks China Yuchai International Ltd. 34 out of 100 as at 3 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the CYD stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering China Yuchai International Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for CYD are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $43 to $67 over the next 12 months.

How has CYD stock performed over the past year?

China Yuchai International Ltd. returned -38.4% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does China Yuchai International Ltd. do?

China Yuchai International Ltd. is a holding company focused on engines and powertrain solutions for commercial and industrial applications.

What is the latest news on CYD?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 28 Oct 2026): "China Yuchai: A Second Buying Opportunity, But A Different Investment Thesis". The article says CYD shares more than tripled after an initial thesis centered on valuation, cash, and resilient fundamentals, then retraced to their original levels. It describes the investment debate as shifting from cyclical recovery to engines, distributed power generation, and data-center infrastructure.

Company

About China Yuchai International Ltd.

China Yuchai International Ltd. is a holding company focused on engines and powertrain solutions for commercial and industrial applications. Through its main operating subsidiary, Guangxi Yuchai Machinery Company, the company manufactures, assembles, and distributes diesel and natural gas engines used in trucks, buses, passenger vehicles, construction and agricultural machinery, marine propulsion, and power generation equipment. Its broader business also includes related powertrain technologies and support services, with operations centered in China and additional activity through its HLGE segment in hospitality and property development. China Yuchai International Ltd. serves manufacturers and operators that rely on durable engine systems across transportation, infrastructure, agriculture, marine, and utility markets, making it an important participant in the region’s industrial equipment supply chain.

9,189 employees · Singapore · https://www.cyilimited.com