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DEC Stock Forecast: Diversified Energy Co. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 24 Aug 2026
$15
+1.16% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Diversified Energy Co. hold a median 12-month price target of $19 — +28.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 5 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
5 / 100
Median analyst target
$19
Analysts covering
10
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.1%
1M
+12.1%
YTD
+6.7%
1Y
−3.4%
From 52W high
−17.4%
From 52W low
+26.1%
$12
$18
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

DEC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Diversified Energy Co. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
5 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
65
Momentum
60
Size
45
Volatility
40
Value
8
Accruals
8
Issuance
1
Growth
1
Quality
0

Revisions (65): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Quality (0): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

DEC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DEC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$15$20$25$30Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26DECHigh $32Median $19Low $15

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says10 analysts
9 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $15Median $19High $32

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +28.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
12 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$17 → $20
22 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$20 → $17
22 July 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
21 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$19 → $16
21 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
16 Apr 2026Stephens & Co.InitiatesOverweight$24
16 Apr 2026Stephens & Co.InitiatesOverweight—
9 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$22 → $20
9 Apr 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
2 Apr 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
24 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
17 Mar 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
4 Feb 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
12 Dec 2025MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—
5 Dec 2025Johnson RiceUpgradeBuy—
25 Nov 2025Clear StreetMaintainsBuy—
18 Nov 2025William BlairInitiatesOutperform—
13 Nov 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
20 Oct 2025CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
15 Sept 2025MizuhoMaintainsOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DEC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

DEC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−1.3%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Diversified Energy Co. (DEC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
2.4×

Cheaper than 69% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.5×

Cheaper than 82% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 71% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.0×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
24.7%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−17.1%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
43.4%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Operating margin
83.7%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Net margin
23.3%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
53.7%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.4%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Dividend yield
7.8%

Higher than 89% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

DEC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas Integrated
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
DECDiversified Energy Co.$1.0B
5
NFGNational Fuel Gas Co.$7.8B
30
SLNGStabilis Solutions, Inc.$103.8M
47
HPKHighPeak Energy, Inc.*$1.1B
37
SOCSable Offshore Corp.*$952.8M
3
INRInfinity Natural Resources, Inc.*$945.3M
31
TKTeekay Corp. Ltd.*$1.1B
41

* Nearest Energy names by size — few oil & gas integrated companies of this scale trade in the US universe.

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Diversified Energy Co. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest DEC news & analysis

Diversified Energy: The Market Is Missing Its Shift Toward Capital-Light Growth

Seeking Alpha · 20 Aug 2026positive

Diversified Energy Company is shifting from a leveraged acquirer to a capital-light, multi-source cash flow platform. Q2 2026 results showed $240M adjusted EBITDA, $115M adjusted FCF, production of 1,253 MMcfepd, and a 2.45x debt/EBITDA ratio within its target range, supported by the Carlyle partnership, an Oklahoma development program, and asset optimization.

Why it matters — The article argues the market is overlooking DEC's strategic move toward capital-light growth that diversifies cash flow and reduces dependence on commodity prices and leverage.

US-based Diversified Energy in early talks to acquire Birch Resources

Reuters · 14 Aug 2026positive

Diversified Energy said on Friday it is in early discussions to acquire privately held Birch Resources, as it looks to further expand into the oil and gas-rich Permian Basin.

Why it matters — A potential acquisition of Birch Resources would mark a further expansion for Diversified Energy into the Permian Basin.

Diversified Energy Response to Media Speculation

GlobeNewsWire · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Diversified Energy Company (NYSE: DEC, LSE: DEC) issued a response to recent media speculation regarding a potential transaction involving the Company. In its statement, Diversified noted that it follows an acquisition strategy driven by discipline, focus, skill, and precision.

Why it matters — A DEC watcher would care because the Company publicly addressed speculation about a potential transaction, offering insight into its strategic approach to acquisitions.

Diversified Energy Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026positive

Diversified Energy reported second-quarter 2026 results, including $240 million of adjusted EBITDA and $115 million of adjusted free cash flow. The company also updated its full-year outlook to incorporate recent acquisitions and a newly announced operated development program.

Why it matters — The updated outlook, acquisitions, and new development program signal expansion and could shape DEC's production and cash-flow trajectory for the year.

DEC Q2 Earnings Call Spotlights New Oklahoma Drilling Plan

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Aug 2026positive

During its Q2 earnings call, Diversified Energy highlighted a new Oklahoma drilling plan intended to offset natural production declines, while keeping free cash flow, M&A activity, and capital flexibility central to its strategy.

Why it matters — A DEC watcher would care because the Oklahoma drilling initiative signals how the company plans to address production declines while preserving the financial flexibility investors monitor.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about DEC stock

What is the DEC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Diversified Energy Co. have a median 12-month price target of $19, with estimates ranging from $15 to $32. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is DEC stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Diversified Energy Co., 9 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Diversified Energy Co. 5 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank DEC?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Diversified Energy Co. ranks 5 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (65 of 100).

Will DEC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +28.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Diversified Energy Co. 5 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the DEC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Diversified Energy Co. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DEC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $15 to $32 over the next 12 months.

How has DEC stock performed over the past year?

Diversified Energy Co. returned -3.4% over the 12 months to 24 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Diversified Energy Co. do?

Diversified Energy Company PLC is an independent energy company specializing in the production, marketing, and transportation of primarily natural gas and related products from mature onshore upstream and midstream assets in the United States. The company focuses on acquiring low-decline, low-risk wells, particularly in the Appalachian Basin and Central regions, including states such as Tennessee, Kentucky, Virginia, West Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Oklahoma, Texas, and Louisiana, while enhancing operational efficiency to maximize shareholder value.

What is the latest news on DEC?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 20 Aug 2026): "Diversified Energy: The Market Is Missing Its Shift Toward Capital-Light Growth". Diversified Energy Company is shifting from a leveraged acquirer to a capital-light, multi-source cash flow platform. Q2 2026 results showed $240M adjusted EBITDA, $115M adjusted FCF, production of 1,253 MMcfepd, and a 2.45x debt/EBITDA ratio within its target range, supported by the Carlyle partnership, an Oklahoma development program, and asset optimization.

Company

About Diversified Energy Co.

Diversified Energy Company PLC is an independent energy company specializing in the production, marketing, and transportation of primarily natural gas and related products from mature onshore upstream and midstream assets in the United States. The company focuses on acquiring low-decline, low-risk wells, particularly in the Appalachian Basin and Central regions, including states such as Tennessee, Kentucky, Virginia, West Virginia, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Oklahoma, Texas, and Louisiana, while enhancing operational efficiency to maximize shareholder value. Its asset portfolio features natural gas wells and gathering systems, with a production mix typically comprising about 74% natural gas, 13% natural gas liquids, and 13% oil. Diversified employs a disciplined investment strategy that includes portfolio optimization through non-core asset divestitures and strategic acquisitions, such as compressor stations for cost savings. Committed to responsible stewardship, the company emphasizes decarbonization, environmental protection, and robust cash flow generation, supported by a debt structure featuring approximately 70% non-recourse amortizing ABS notes. Headquartered in Birmingham, Alabama, and founded in 2001, Diversified Energy Company PLC plays a key role in the U.S. energy market by managing existing assets to deliver reliable natural gas supplies.

CEO Mr. Robert Russell Hutson Jr. · 1,987 employees · United States · https://www.div.energy