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REPX Stock Forecast: Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 12 Oct 2026
$46
+1.96% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $46 — -0.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 93 of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. The factors read stronger than the Street's target implies. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$1.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
93 / 100
Median analyst target
$46
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$165.8M+94.2% y/y
Operating income$87.2M
Net income$87.4M
Free cash flow−$7.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+7.8%
1M
+6.3%
YTD
+81.9%
1Y
+85.0%
From 52W high
0.0%
From 52W low
+97.9%
$23
$46
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

REPX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Oct 2026
93 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Momentum
97
Growth
84
Value
83
Quality
76
Revisions
74
Issuance
69
Accruals
51
Size
44
Volatility
30

Momentum (97): The shares have been drifting up relative to others.

Volatility (30): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

REPX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on REPX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$20$25$30$35$40$45$50$55Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26REPXHigh $51Median $46Low $41

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
4 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $41Median $46High $51

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −0.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
12 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
23 July 2026Roth CapitalReiteratesBuy—
24 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
11 Mar 2026Freedom BrokerMaintainsBuy—
21 Nov 2025William BlairInitiatesOutperform—
14 Nov 2025Freedom BrokerMaintainsBuy—
14 Oct 2025Roth CapitalReinstatesBuy$36
13 Jan 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
14 Nov 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
8 Nov 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
30 Sept 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
22 July 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
6 May 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
11 Mar 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
9 Nov 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
11 Apr 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
7 Mar 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
22 Feb 2022Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
1 June 2021Truist SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. REPX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

REPX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 12 Oct 2026, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. returned +85.0% against +20.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

REPX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
80100120140160180Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26REPXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

REPX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+11.1%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
8.2×

Cheaper than 61% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.1×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / book
1.6×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
4.3×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
94.2%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
186.7%

Higher than 89% of US stocks

Gross margin
60.5%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Operating margin
52.6%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Net margin
24.5%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
19.9%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Return on assets
10.3%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.5%

Higher than 88% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. has a market value of $1.0B and an enterprise value of $1.3B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $483.9M. The latest quarter grew 94.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $118.7M, a 24.5% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.52.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $53.0M.

  • Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. spent $9.6M on share buybacks and $34.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 22.2M.

  • Trailing P/E: 8.2×; forward P/E: 5.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.46%, paying out 28% of earnings.

  • Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. employs 122 people — $4.0M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

REPX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.$1.0B
93
INRInfinity Natural Resources, Inc.$858.9M
38
TBNTamboran Resources Corp.$1.2B
7
HPKHighPeak Energy, Inc.$1.2B
41
GPRKGeoPark Ltd.$768.4M
62
VTSVitesse Energy, Inc.$734.3M
39
GFRGreenfire Resources Ltd.$1.5B
40

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest REPX news & analysis

Riley Exploration Permian: Significant FCF Generation Expected In H2 2026

Seeking Alpha · 3 Oct 2026positive

Riley Exploration Permian raised its 2026 capex budget by $26 million and lifted its oil production guidance by 2%, while planning to add about 10 net drilled but uncompleted wells (DUCs) by year-end. The company projects over $100 million in free cash flow for the second half of 2026 before working capital changes and dividends.

Why it matters — The raised production guidance and projected six-figure second-half free cash flow signal growing operational output and potential cash generation for REPX watchers.

Riley Exploration Permian: A Conventional Opportunity In The Best Spot

Seeking Alpha · 2 Oct 2026positive

Riley Exploration Permian has revived conventional San Andreas opportunities. REPX's Northwest Shelf acreage is among the most profitable San Andreas acreage in the Permian, and its rollup strategy benefits from fragmented ownership and low acquisition prices.

Why it matters — A REPX watcher would care because the article highlights the profitability of the company's Permian acreage and the advantages of its acquisition strategy.

Riley Exploration Permian: 30% Oil Growth At Half The Sector's Multiple

Seeking Alpha · 28 Sept 2026positive

Riley Exploration Permian reported a strong Q2 earnings beat, raised its oil production guidance, and increased capital spending to support higher output. The company trades at a steep discount to sector peers despite 30% oil growth and stable, low leverage.

Why it matters — REPX watchers would care because the company reaffirmed robust growth prospects with raised production guidance and a strong balance sheet, while trading at a significant valuation discount to sector peers.

Riley Exploration Permian: An Excellent Growth Prospect With More Room To Run

Seeking Alpha · 20 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha rated Riley Exploration Permian (REPX) a buy, citing robust Q2 results, strong management execution, and an attractive risk/reward profile. The company raised its production guidance to 22,500-23,500 bbl/d (30% year-over-year growth), supported by outperformance at Silverback and upcoming infrastructure catalysts.

Why it matters — REPX watchers would care because the article highlights a raised production outlook, a relative valuation discount, and a superior balance sheet with an attractive dividend yield.

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. (REPX) held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and a transcript of the event was published by Seeking Alpha.

Why it matters — Earnings call transcripts provide REPX watchers with management's full commentary on quarterly results and operations beyond the headline numbers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about REPX stock

What is the REPX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $46, with estimates ranging from $41 to $51. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is REPX stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Riley Exploration Permian, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. 93 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank REPX?

As at 12 Oct 2026, Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. ranks 93 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Momentum (97 of 100).

Will REPX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies -0.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. 93 out of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the REPX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for REPX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $41 to $51 over the next 12 months.

How has REPX stock performed over the past year?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. returned +85.0% over the 12 months to 12 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. do?

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Permian Basin.

What is the latest news on REPX?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 3 Oct 2026): "Riley Exploration Permian: Significant FCF Generation Expected In H2 2026". Riley Exploration Permian raised its 2026 capex budget by $26 million and lifted its oil production guidance by 2%, while planning to add about 10 net drilled but uncompleted wells (DUCs) by year-end. The company projects over $100 million in free cash flow for the second half of 2026 before working capital changes and dividends.

Company

About Riley Exploration Permian, Inc.

Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids in the Permian Basin. The company’s operations are centered on horizontal drilling in conventional, oil-saturated, and liquids-rich formations designed to support long-term cash flows. Its core acreage is concentrated in Yoakum County, Texas, and Eddy County, New Mexico, where it develops producing assets across the Northwest Shelf and related Permian Basin trends. Riley Exploration Permian serves the upstream energy market by converting subsurface resources into marketable hydrocarbons through drilling, completion, and production activities. The company also maintains infrastructure projects that support its field operations and overall asset development strategy.

CEO Mr. Bobby D. Riley · 122 employees · United States · https://www.rileypermian.com