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HPKHPKEnergy · Oil & Gas E&P

HPK Stock Forecast: HighPeak Energy, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$7.85
−1.13% on the day

The 1 Wall Street analysts covering HighPeak Energy, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $10 — +27.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 31 of 100 as at 1 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$992.7M
Ticker Nerd rank
31 / 100
Median analyst target
$10
Analysts covering
1
Revenue$272.4M+35.9% y/y
Operating income$83.2M
Net income$82.3M
Free cash flow$51.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+3.8%
1M
−3.6%
YTD
+65.6%
1Y
+13.7%
From 52W high
−9.1%
From 52W low
+101.8%
$3.89
$8.64
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HPK stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores HighPeak Energy, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Oct 2026
31 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
79
Revisions
63
Momentum
48
Size
44
Value
42
Quality
32
Issuance
30
Volatility
26
Growth
10

Accruals (79): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Growth (10): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HPK stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HPK, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4.00$5.00$6.00$7.00$8.00$9.00$10.00Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HPKHigh $10Median $10Low $10

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says1 analysts
1 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $10Median $10High $10

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +27.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Oct 2025Roth CapitalReinstatesBuy$12
7 Apr 2025B of A SecuritiesInitiatesUnderperform—
13 Mar 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
13 Jan 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
12 Nov 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
30 Sept 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
22 July 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsHold—
23 May 2024Truist SecuritiesUpgradeHold—
5 Apr 2024Truist SecuritiesMaintainsSell—
9 Nov 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsSell—
19 Sept 2023Roth MKMMaintainsBuy—
24 July 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsSell—
20 July 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsSell—
19 July 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsSell—
12 May 2023Truist SecuritiesMaintainsSell—
24 Apr 2023Truist SecuritiesInitiatesSell—
3 Jan 2022Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy—
9 Nov 2021Roth CapitalInitiatesBuy—
22 July 2021Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HPK appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

HPK vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, HighPeak Energy, Inc. returned +13.7% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HPK vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
6080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26HPKS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HPK analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
47.5×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.2×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / book
0.6×

Cheaper than 81% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
3.5×

Cheaper than 55% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
25.8%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
214.3%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Gross margin
35.2%

Higher than 42% of US stocks

Operating margin
29.5%

Higher than 87% of US stocks

Net margin
−10.3%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−5.5%

Higher than 39% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.6%

Higher than 63% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.0%

Higher than 42% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

HighPeak Energy, Inc. (HPK) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • HighPeak Energy, Inc. has a market value of $992.7M and an enterprise value of $2.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $893.8M. The latest quarter grew 25.8% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$88.7M, a −9.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.79.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$7.9M.

  • HighPeak Energy, Inc. spent $12.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 126.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 47.5×; forward P/E: −27.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.03%, paying out 123% of earnings.

  • HighPeak Energy, Inc. employs 50 people — $17.9M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HPK vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOil & Gas E&P
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HPKHighPeak Energy, Inc.$992.7M
31
REPXRiley Exploration Permian, Inc.$890.8M
93
TBNTamboran Resources Corp.$1.2B
6
INRInfinity Natural Resources, Inc.$808.8M
35
GFRGreenfire Resources Ltd.$1.3B
44
VTSVitesse Energy, Inc.$706.1M
32
KOSKosmos Energy Ltd.$1.5B
67

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own HighPeak Energy, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HPK news & analysis

HighPeak Energy Targets Stable Output, Lower Costs and Debt Reduction

MarketBeat · 28 Sept 2026neutral

HighPeak Energy executives stated that the company is prioritizing production stability, lower operating costs, and debt reduction as it works to position its Midland Basin asset base for longer-term shareholder value creation.

Why it matters — HPK watchers would care because the company is signaling a strategic focus on cost efficiency and financial discipline for its core Midland Basin operations.

HighPeak Energy, Inc. to Present at Water Tower Research Insights Conference September 22, 2026

GlobeNewsWire · 21 Sept 2026neutral

HighPeak Energy announced that President and CEO Michael Hollis and Executive Vice President Ryan Hightower will present at the Water Tower Research Insights Conference, a two-day virtual event held September 22-23, 2026. The company's presentation is scheduled for Tuesday, September 22, 2026 at 1:30 p.m. ET.

Why it matters — HPK watchers may be interested as the company's leadership is set to provide a presentation at an investor-focused virtual conference.

Strength Seen in HighPeak Energy (HPK): Can Its 6.0% Jump Turn into More Strength?

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Sept 2026neutral

HighPeak Energy (HPK) saw its share price jump 6.0% in the last session on above-average trading volume. However, the latest trend in earnings estimate revisions for the stock does not suggest further strength ahead.

Why it matters — HPK watchers would care about this report because the recent price jump and estimate-revision trend together signal uncertainty about whether the stock can sustain further gains.

US shale oil producer HighPeak Energy exploring sale, sources say

Reuters · 17 Sept 2026neutral

According to three sources cited by Reuters, US shale oil producer HighPeak Energy is exploring a sale after receiving acquisition interest. The company, which focuses on the Permian Basin, is weighing its options.

Why it matters — HighPeak Energy watchers would care because a potential sale could significantly change the company's ownership and valuation outlook.

HighPeak Energy: Debt Payments Begin

Seeking Alpha · 17 Aug 2026positive

HighPeak Energy has begun debt repayments and initiated a rework strategy, which management expects to improve the company's debt ratio, supported by stronger commodity prices. Year-to-date earnings have been affected by hedging losses, which reflect opportunity costs rather than operational cash flow weakness.

Why it matters — A HPK watcher would care because debt reduction and a rework program signal improving financial positioning, with hedging losses framed as non-operational.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HPK stock

What is the HPK stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 1 Wall Street analysts covering HighPeak Energy, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $10 to $10. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HPK stock a buy right now?

Of the 1 analysts covering HighPeak Energy, Inc., 1 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks HighPeak Energy, Inc. 31 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HPK?

As at 1 Oct 2026, HighPeak Energy, Inc. ranks 31 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (79 of 100).

Will HPK stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 1 analysts implies +27.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks HighPeak Energy, Inc. 31 out of 100 as at 1 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HPK stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering HighPeak Energy, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HPK are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $10 over the next 12 months.

How has HPK stock performed over the past year?

HighPeak Energy, Inc. returned +13.7% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does HighPeak Energy, Inc. do?

HighPeak Energy, Inc. Common Stock represents equity in HighPeak Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company.

What is the latest news on HPK?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 28 Sept 2026): "HighPeak Energy Targets Stable Output, Lower Costs and Debt Reduction". HighPeak Energy executives stated that the company is prioritizing production stability, lower operating costs, and debt reduction as it works to position its Midland Basin asset base for longer-term shareholder value creation.

Company

About HighPeak Energy, Inc.

HighPeak Energy, Inc. Common Stock represents equity in HighPeak Energy, Inc., an independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company. HighPeak Energy focuses on the acquisition, development, and production of crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, with operations concentrated in the Permian Basin of West Texas, especially in Howard and Borden Counties. The company supplies hydrocarbons to industrial and energy markets through a portfolio centered on unconventional reserves and field development activities. Based in Fort Worth, Texas, HighPeak Energy serves as a pure-play upstream energy operator within the U.S. oil and gas sector, where its assets and operating model are closely tied to basin-level drilling, production, and reserve management.

CEO Mr. Jack Dana Hightower · 50 employees · United States · https://www.highpeakenergy.com