DOWBasic Materials · ChemicalsThe 18 Wall Street analysts covering Dow, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $35 — +12.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 50 of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Dow, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (92): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Issuance (35): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (10): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on DOW, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.6% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Overweight | $42 → $40 |
| 24 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | $29 → $32 |
| 20 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Equal-Weight | $41 → $39 |
| 6 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | $46 → $33 |
| 6 July 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
| 2 July 2026 | Alembic Global | Maintains | Overweight | $50 → $45 |
| 2 July 2026 | Alembic Global | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 1 July 2026 | Mizuho | Maintains | Neutral | $43 → $35 |
| 1 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Downgrade | Sector Perform | — |
| 1 July 2026 | RBC Capital | Downgrade | Sector Perform | $51 → $28 |
| 30 June 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Underperform | $35 → $29 |
| 30 June 2026 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Underperform | — |
| 24 June 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 June 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 27 May 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 May 2026 | Argus Research | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 27 Apr 2026 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 24 Apr 2026 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Market Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. DOW appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 10% of US stocks
Cheaper than 82% of US stocks
Cheaper than 60% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 59% of US stocks
Higher than 18% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 53% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
| Company | Market cap | TKN rank |
|---|---|---|
| DOWDow, Inc. | $22.1B | 50 |
| CECelanese Corp. | $4.9B | 57 |
| OLNOlin Corp. | $2.2B | 49 |
| HUNHuntsman Corp. | $1.8B | 45 |
| REXREX American Resources Corp. | $1.4B | 73 |
| GPREGreen Plains, Inc. | $1.1B | 99 |
| RSReliance, Inc.* | $22.2B | 91 |
* Nearest Basic Materials names by size — few chemicals companies of this scale trade in the US universe.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Dow, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Dow (NYSE: DOW) declared a quarterly dividend of 35 cents per share, payable on September 11, 2026, to shareholders of record as of August 31, 2026.
Why it matters — The dividend declaration signals continued return of cash to shareholders, which is relevant for investors tracking Dow's income payouts.
Seeking Alpha upgraded Dow to "Buy" after a 20% pullback, citing improved fundamentals and a 9% free cash flow yield. The upgrade follows Q2 results showing $1.44 EPS, $12.1 billion in revenue, and $2.3 billion EBITDA, supported by strong pricing, cost reductions, resilient packaging demand, and advantaged U.S. energy costs.
Why it matters — A DOW watcher would care because the upgrade highlights the company's cost-cutting efforts and mid-cycle earnings power as key drivers of its near-term outlook.
On its Q2 earnings call, Dow highlighted $1.3 billion in expected self-help benefits, including cost actions and portfolio moves, as it works to improve earnings durability amid market volatility.
Why it matters — Investors tracking Dow would be interested because the company's cost-cutting and portfolio-shift strategy could affect its earnings stability and performance in uncertain market conditions.
The 18 Wall Street analysts covering Dow, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $35, with estimates ranging from $29 to $48. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 18 analysts covering Dow, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 10 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Dow, Inc. 50 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 13 Aug 2026, Dow, Inc. ranks 50 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 18 analysts implies +12.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Dow, Inc. 50 out of 100 as at 13 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Dow, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for DOW are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $29 to $48 over the next 12 months.
Dow, Inc. returned +39.8% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Dow Inc. is a global materials science company that produces a broad range of chemical and plastic products for industrial and consumer use.
The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 12 Aug 2026): "Dow declares quarterly dividend of 35 cents per share". Dow (NYSE: DOW) declared a quarterly dividend of 35 cents per share, payable on September 11, 2026, to shareholders of record as of August 31, 2026.
Dow Inc. is a global materials science company that produces a broad range of chemical and plastic products for industrial and consumer use. It focuses on providing materials solutions for packaging, infrastructure, mobility, and everyday consumer applications across North America, Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, India, and Latin America. The company operates through three primary segments: Packaging & Specialty Plastics, Industrial Intermediates & Infrastructure, and Performance Materials & Coatings. These businesses supply products such as polyethylene and other specialty plastics for flexible and rigid packaging, industrial chemicals and polyurethanes used in construction and transportation, and coatings and silicone-based materials for protective, decorative, and functional surfaces. Dow Inc. also maintains a smaller property and casualty insurance and reinsurance operation alongside its core manufacturing activities. Founded in 1897 and headquartered in Midland, Michigan, it plays a central role in global supply chains for packaging, building materials, automotive components, and household goods.
CEO Ms. Karen S. Carter · 32,800 employees · United States · https://www.dow.com