EGYEnergy · Oil & Gas E&PThe 4 Wall Street analysts covering VAALCO Energy, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $10 — +62.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 37 of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores VAALCO Energy, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (96): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Growth (6): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on EGY, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +62.9% from it.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan 2026 | Freedom Broker | Initiates | Buy | $7.30 |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Freedom Capital Markets | Initiates | Buy | $7.30 |
| 11 June 2024 | Roth MKM | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 12 Apr 2021 | Roth Capital | Downgrade | Neutral | — |
| 24 Mar 2021 | Roth Capital | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 18 Oct 2019 | Canaccord Genuity | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 23 Sept 2019 | GMP Securities | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 10 Aug 2015 | RBC Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 30 Sept 2014 | GMP Securities | Initiates | Buy | — |
| 6 Dec 2013 | RBC Capital | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. EGY appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 13 Oct 2026, VAALCO Energy, Inc. returned +70.7% against +18.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 37% of US stocks
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 50% of US stocks
Cheaper than 39% of US stocks
Higher than 82% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 36% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 30% of US stocks
Higher than 40% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
VAALCO Energy, Inc. has a market value of $632.2M and an enterprise value of $840.4M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $392.6M. The latest quarter grew 39.5% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$108.8M, a −27.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−1.06.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$134.0M, after $330.1M of capital spending.
VAALCO Energy, Inc. spent $2.0M on share buybacks and $26.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 20.0×; forward P/E: 47.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 4.19%, paying out 93% of earnings.
VAALCO Energy, Inc. employs 281 people — $1.4M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own VAALCO Energy, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Vaalco Energy completed its Gabon drilling campaign with a new well producing 2,000 BOPD. The excerpt also notes its Côte d’Ivoire partnership with Canadian Natural Resources is expected to boost production in fiscal 2027.
Why it matters — The Gabon well adds current production, while the Côte d’Ivoire partnership is cited as a potential source of future production growth.
VAALCO Energy reported successful completion of its offshore Gabon Phase 3 drilling program, with encouraging initial results from the ETSEM-3H well and rig demobilization from the SE Etame platform. The company also provided updates on its recently started Baobab drilling program offshore Côte d’Ivoire.
Why it matters — The update gives EGY watchers information on the company’s drilling progress and initial well results in Gabon, as well as activity in Côte d’Ivoire.
VAALCO Energy outlined its approach to investing in African oil and gas assets, emphasizing established infrastructure, production-sharing contracts, and opportunities arising as major energy companies divest mature positions in favor of ultra-deepwater projects.
Why it matters — EGY watchers would care because this clarifies the company's strategy and the deal-making environment it is targeting as competitors exit mature African assets.
Vaalco Energy reported second-quarter net income of $42.4 million, or $0.39 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDAX of $54.8 million. The company attributed the improvement from the prior quarter to higher sales volumes, improved pricing, and lower exploration expense.
Why it matters — EGY watchers would follow these quarterly results as a key indicator of the company's operating and financial performance.
Seeking Alpha published VAALCO Energy, Inc.'s Q2 2026 earnings call transcript. The transcript covers the company's second-quarter 2026 earnings discussion.
Why it matters — EGY watchers can review management's full commentary on the company's latest quarterly performance.
The 4 Wall Street analysts covering VAALCO Energy, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $9.9 to $11. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 4 analysts covering VAALCO Energy, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks VAALCO Energy, Inc. 37 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Oct 2026, VAALCO Energy, Inc. ranks 37 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (96 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +62.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks VAALCO Energy, Inc. 37 out of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering VAALCO Energy, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for EGY are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $9.9 to $11 over the next 12 months.
VAALCO Energy, Inc. returned +70.7% over the 12 months to 13 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
VAALCO Energy, Inc. is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and operating upstream energy assets.
The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 8 Oct 2026): "Vaalco Energy: Gabon Campaign Closes With A Small Success; Next Campaign Begins". Vaalco Energy completed its Gabon drilling campaign with a new well producing 2,000 BOPD. The excerpt also notes its Côte d’Ivoire partnership with Canadian Natural Resources is expected to boost production in fiscal 2027.
VAALCO Energy, Inc. is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on acquiring, developing, and operating upstream energy assets. The company’s current portfolio spans production, development, and exploration interests across Gabon, Côte d’Ivoire, Equatorial Guinea, and Egypt, with additional activity in Canada. Its operations center on crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids, combining offshore and onshore assets in established hydrocarbon basins. VAALCO Energy emphasizes field development, reserve management, and operational efficiency across its international asset base. As an energy producer with a regional footprint in Africa and North America, VAALCO Energy plays a specialized role in supplying hydrocarbons to global markets through long-life producing assets and targeted development projects.
CEO Mr. George Walter-Mitchell Maxwell · 281 employees · United States · https://www.vaalco.com
