EMEIndustrials · Engineering & ConstructionThe 10 Wall Street analysts covering EMCOR Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $1,047 — +43.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 91 of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026 — among the strongest tenth. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores EMCOR Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (97): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Accruals (27): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on EME, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +43.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 1 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $1,123 → $1,047 |
| 31 July 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 31 July 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $1,100 → $1,200 |
| 31 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 July 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | $975 → $1,065 |
| 16 June 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | $1,123 |
| 16 June 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Reiterates | Overweight | — |
| 28 May 2026 | Oppenheimer | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 10 Mar 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 6 Mar 2026 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 3 Mar 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Baird | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 27 Feb 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 31 Oct 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Oct 2025 | Stifel | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 8 Oct 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 11 Sept 2025 | William Blair | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 1 Aug 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 25 July 2025 | UBS | Maintains | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. EME appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 15 Oct 2026, EMCOR Group, Inc. returned +6.2% against +16.9% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 31% of US stocks
Cheaper than 54% of US stocks
Cheaper than 11% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 67% of US stocks
Higher than 21% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 66% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
EMCOR Group, Inc. has a market value of $34.2B and an enterprise value of $34.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $18.6B. The latest quarter grew 19.8% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $1.4B, a 7.7% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $32.15.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.2B.
EMCOR Group, Inc. spent $422.6M on share buybacks and $58.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 24.2×; forward P/E: 20.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.21%, paying out 4% of earnings.
EMCOR Group, Inc. employs 44,000 people — $423K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own EMCOR Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Emcor Group (EME) closed the latest trading session at $732.53, down 1.72% from the previous day, while the market improved.
Why it matters — EME watchers may note the stock’s decline despite the broader market’s improvement.
EMCOR Group announced it will report third-quarter 2026 financial results before market open on October 29, 2026. The company will hold a conference call and webcast that day at 10:30 a.m. EDT, hosted by Chairman, President and CEO Tony Guzzi.
Why it matters — EME watchers can note the scheduled date and time for the company’s quarterly results and accompanying management discussion.
The Polen Focus Growth Portfolio returned 4.46% net of fees in Q3 2026, compared with 0.92% for its Index. ServiceNow, Shopify and Microsoft were top relative contributors, while Nvidia, Apple (not owned) and Lam Research were the largest relative detractors.
Why it matters — The update does not mention EMCOR Group, so it offers no company-specific information for EME watchers.
EMCOR Group (EME) closed the recent trading session at $745.35, down 3.96% from its previous close. The headline notes that the decline was greater than the broader market’s.
Why it matters — EME watchers may note the session’s decline relative to the broader market.
Zacks highlights EMCOR’s record backlog, rising data center demand and higher 2026 guidance as growth supports, while noting its premium valuation and project execution risks.
Why it matters — EME watchers may weigh the cited growth drivers against valuation and execution considerations.
The 10 Wall Street analysts covering EMCOR Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $1,047, with estimates ranging from $885 to $1,200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 10 analysts covering EMCOR Group, Inc., 7 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks EMCOR Group, Inc. 91 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 14 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 14 Oct 2026, EMCOR Group, Inc. ranks 91 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (97 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +43.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks EMCOR Group, Inc. 91 out of 100 as at 14 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering EMCOR Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for EME are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $885 to $1,200 over the next 12 months.
EMCOR Group, Inc. returned +6.2% over the 12 months to 15 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
EMCOR Group, Inc. is a specialty contractor and facilities services company that provides mechanical and electrical construction, industrial and energy infrastructure, and building services.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 15 Oct 2026): "Emcor Group (EME) Stock Declines While Market Improves: Some Information for Investors". Emcor Group (EME) closed the latest trading session at $732.53, down 1.72% from the previous day, while the market improved.
EMCOR Group, Inc. is a specialty contractor and facilities services company that provides mechanical and electrical construction, industrial and energy infrastructure, and building services. EMCOR Group, Inc. supports the planning, installation, operation, maintenance, and protection of complex systems used in commercial, technology, manufacturing, healthcare, utility, and institutional facilities. Its work includes electrical and lighting systems, HVAC and mechanical equipment, fire protection, security, power distribution, communications infrastructure, and industrial maintenance services. The company serves both private and public-sector clients through a network of operating subsidiaries, making it an important provider of critical infrastructure services across a broad range of end markets. Based in Norwalk, Connecticut, EMCOR Group, Inc. is recognized for helping facilities run safely, efficiently, and reliably in demanding operating environments.
CEO Mr. Anthony J. Guzzi · 44,000 employees · United States · https://emcorgroup.com
