STRLSTRLIndustrials · Engineering & Construction

STRL Stock Forecast: Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Oct 2026
$453
−9.13% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $754 — +66.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 86 of 100 as at 13 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$13.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
86 / 100
Median analyst target
$754
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$1.2B+90.1% y/y
Operating income$234.3M
Net income$168.6M
Free cash flow$112.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−15.2%
1M
−4.2%
YTD
+48.0%
1Y
+25.4%
From 52W high
−54.4%
From 52W low
+59.8%
$284
$994
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

STRL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 13 Oct 2026
86 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
99
Quality
97
Growth
90
Issuance
72
Momentum
68
Value
63
Accruals
32
Volatility
25
Size
11

Revisions (99): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Volatility (25): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (11): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

STRL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on STRL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$400$600$800$1,000Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26STRLHigh $1,000Median $754Low $700

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
8 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $700Median $754High $1,000

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +66.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Oct 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight$742
8 Oct 2026StifelMaintainsBuy$804 → $742
30 Sept 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight$742
30 Sept 2026Cantor FitzgeraldReiteratesOverweight—
21 Aug 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy$700
21 Aug 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy—
5 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$956 → $742
5 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
5 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$922 → $754
5 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
2 June 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$889 → $922
2 June 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
28 May 2026OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform$950
28 May 2026OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform—
11 May 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
6 May 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
23 Apr 2026KeybancInitiatesOverweight—
16 Apr 2026Argus ResearchInitiatesBuy—
2 Mar 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
27 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. STRL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

STRL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 14 Oct 2026, Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. returned +25.4% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

STRL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200250300Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26STRLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

STRL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.8%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
32.6×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / book
10.2×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
19.3×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
90.1%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
119.5%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Gross margin
24.8%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Operating margin
20.1%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
12.5%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
40.0%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Return on assets
14.6%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. has a market value of $13.9B and an enterprise value of $13.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.4B. The latest quarter grew 90.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $460.4M, a 13.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $13.87.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $482.0M, after $115.7M of capital spending.

  • Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. spent $65.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 30.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 32.6×; forward P/E: 17.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. employs 6,200 people — $555K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 15 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

STRL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEngineering & Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.$13.9B
86
MTZMasTec, Inc.$16.6B
69
JJacobs Solutions, Inc.$16.6B
84
APGAPi Group Corp.$17.8B
68
IESCIES Holdings, Inc.$11.2B
85
TTEKTetra Tech, Inc.$8.6B
92
DYDycom Industries, Inc.$8.1B
66

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest STRL news & analysis

Sterling Infrastructure: Earnings Can Do All The Work From Here

Seeking Alpha · 14 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha rates Sterling Infrastructure Buy after a sharp pullback, citing backlog-supported 2027 EPS visibility and a robust order engine. It notes a 1.8x book-to-burn over the last three quarters, capacity constraints on growth, and valuation near 20x 2027 EPS.

Why it matters — The article highlights backlog, demand, capacity, and valuation factors that may matter to investors tracking STRL.

Sterling Infrastructure: A Long Growth Runway Ahead

Seeking Alpha · 14 Oct 2026positive

Seeking Alpha describes Sterling Infrastructure's growth outlook as supported by data-center demand, backlog growth, and opportunities across end markets. It highlights CEC's contribution to electrical services and cross-selling, margin improvement initiatives targeting 300–500 bps, and reported backlog growth of 116%.

Why it matters — The article points to backlog visibility, acquisition-related service expansion, and margin initiatives as factors shaping STRL's growth outlook.

Sterling Infrastructure: 50% Pullback, Improving Fundamentals

Seeking Alpha · 14 Oct 2026positive

The article says Sterling Infrastructure has shifted toward higher-growth, higher-margin data center infrastructure and reports strong Q2 2026 results, including higher sales, adjusted EPS, and backlog, alongside raised guidance. It also discusses the stock’s pullback and conditional valuation scenarios.

Why it matters — STRL watchers may care that the article highlights improving operating results and raised guidance, while framing its valuation scenarios around support holding.

Why Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Dipped More Than Broader Market Today

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Oct 2026negative

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) closed at $501.19, down 2.3% from the previous trading session. The headline says the stock dipped more than the broader market.

Why it matters — STRL watchers may note the stock’s session decline relative to the broader market.

Can Sterling's Transportation Margins Improve Despite Lower Revenues?

Zacks Investment Research · 12 Oct 2026neutral

Sterling is shifting its Transportation Solutions business toward higher-margin work while redirecting resources to E-Infrastructure. The more selective project mix is pressuring Transportation revenues but supporting profitability.

Why it matters — STRL watchers may care about the trade-off between lower Transportation revenue and profitability as the business changes its project mix.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about STRL stock

What is the STRL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $754, with estimates ranging from $700 to $1,000. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is STRL stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Sterling Infrastructure, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. 86 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 13 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank STRL?

As at 13 Oct 2026, Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. ranks 86 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (99 of 100).

Will STRL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +66.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. 86 out of 100 as at 13 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the STRL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for STRL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $700 to $1,000 over the next 12 months.

How has STRL stock performed over the past year?

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. returned +25.4% over the 12 months to 14 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. do?

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. is a U.S.-based specialty infrastructure services company that provides construction solutions across e-infrastructure, transportation, and building markets.

What is the latest news on STRL?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 14 Oct 2026): "Sterling Infrastructure: Earnings Can Do All The Work From Here". Seeking Alpha rates Sterling Infrastructure Buy after a sharp pullback, citing backlog-supported 2027 EPS visibility and a robust order engine. It notes a 1.8x book-to-burn over the last three quarters, capacity constraints on growth, and valuation near 20x 2027 EPS.

Company

About Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. is a U.S.-based specialty infrastructure services company that provides construction solutions across e-infrastructure, transportation, and building markets. Sterling Infrastructure focuses on large-scale site development for data centers, e-commerce distribution centers, manufacturing facilities, warehousing, and energy-related projects, supporting the physical backbone of modern digital and industrial operations. The company also delivers transportation solutions that include highways, roads, bridges, airports, ports, rail, water, wastewater, and storm drainage infrastructure. In addition, its building solutions segment provides residential and commercial concrete foundations for single-family and multi-family homes, along with parking structures, elevated slabs, and related concrete work. Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, and founded in 1955, Sterling Infrastructure serves public and private customers across the United States through a portfolio of specialized subsidiaries.

CEO Mr. Joseph A. Cutillo · 6,200 employees · United States · https://www.strlco.com