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STRL Stock Forecast: Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$511
+5.40% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $950 — +85.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 88 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$15.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
88 / 100
Median analyst target
$950
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$1.2B+90.1% y/y
Operating income$234.3M
Net income$168.6M
Free cash flow$112.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+11.1%
1M
−4.1%
YTD
+66.9%
1Y
+61.6%
From 52W high
−48.6%
From 52W low
+80.2%
$284
$994
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

STRL stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
88 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
97
Revisions
96
Growth
90
Issuance
72
Momentum
71
Value
68
Accruals
32
Volatility
31
Size
11

Quality (97): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Volatility (31): The share price moves around a lot.

Size (11): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

STRL stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on STRL, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$200$400$600$800$1,000Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26STRLHigh $1,000Median $950Low $700

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
8 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $700Median $950High $1,000

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +85.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 Aug 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesBuy$700
5 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight$956 → $742
5 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
5 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$922 → $754
5 Aug 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
2 June 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight$889 → $922
2 June 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
28 May 2026OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform$950
28 May 2026OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform—
11 May 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
6 May 2026KeybancMaintainsOverweight—
23 Apr 2026KeybancInitiatesOverweight—
16 Apr 2026Argus ResearchInitiatesBuy—
2 Mar 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsOverweight—
27 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
23 Jan 2026Cantor FitzgeraldInitiatesOverweight—
5 Nov 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
25 Sept 2025Texas Capital SecuritiesInitiatesHold—
6 Aug 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
18 June 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. STRL appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

STRL vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. returned +61.6% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

STRL vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200250300Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26STRLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

STRL analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+11.3%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
36.8×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.5×

Cheaper than 27% of US stocks

Price / book
11.5×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
21.8×

Cheaper than 13% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
90.1%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
119.5%

Higher than 86% of US stocks

Gross margin
24.8%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Operating margin
20.1%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
12.5%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
40.0%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Return on assets
14.6%

Higher than 97% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. has a market value of $15.6B and an enterprise value of $15.5B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $3.4B. The latest quarter grew 90.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $460.4M, a 13.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $13.87.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $482.0M, after $115.7M of capital spending.

  • Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. spent $65.6M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 30.7M.

  • Trailing P/E: 36.8×; forward P/E: 20.1× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. employs 6,200 people — $555K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 14 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

STRL vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEngineering & Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.$15.6B
88
APGAPi Group Corp.$16.6B
71
JJacobs Solutions, Inc.$17.0B
82
IESCIES Holdings, Inc.$13.8B
87
MTZMasTec, Inc.$19.0B
72
TTEKTetra Tech, Inc.$9.3B
91
DYDycom Industries, Inc.$9.3B
71

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest STRL news & analysis

Sterling Infrastructure: Now It's A Compelling Buy Again (Rating Upgrade)

Seeking Alpha · 11 Sept 2026positive

Seeking Alpha upgraded Sterling Infrastructure to 'Buy' following a 51% pullback from June 2026 highs, citing an attractive valuation. STRL's Q2 2026 revenues rose 90% year-over-year, driven by 192% growth in E-Infrastructure Solutions, which now accounts for 78% of total revenue, with signed backlog up 116% to $4.33B and a total addressable work pool above $7B.

Why it matters — A STRL watcher would care because the report highlights strong revenue growth, a shift toward E-Infrastructure Solutions, and robust backlog visibility following a significant share-price decline.

Sterling Infrastructure: Record Backlog Points To More Growth

Seeking Alpha · 11 Sept 2026positive

Sterling Infrastructure reported Q2 revenue up 90% to $1.17B and adjusted EBITDA up 104% to $256.7M, with its E-Infrastructure segment now driving 78% of revenue and up 192% year over year. The company also posted a record $4.33B backlog with strong organic growth.

Why it matters — STRL watchers would care because the record backlog and rapid E-Infrastructure growth signal continued expansion momentum for the company.

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Falls More Steeply Than Broader Market: What Investors Need to Know

Zacks Investment Research · 10 Sept 2026negative

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) closed at $485.18 in the recent trading session, a decline of 2.01% from the prior trading day. The stock fell more steeply than the broader market on that day.

Why it matters — A sharper-than-market decline could prompt STRL watchers to pay closer attention to the stock's recent trading performance and what may be driving it.

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) Declines More Than Market: Some Information for Investors

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026negative

Sterling Infrastructure (STRL) shares declined 1.4% in the most recent trading session, closing at $495.15, underperforming the broader market. The move reflects a single-session price decrease for the stock.

Why it matters — The session's decline, which outpaced the broader market, is a notable price development for STRL watchers tracking the stock's recent trading performance.

Sterling Stock Plunges 35% in 3 Months: Is the Sell-Off Overdone?

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Sept 2026negative

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. shares have fallen 34.8% over the past three months, sharply underperforming the Zacks Engineering - R and D Services industry's 8.3% decline and the Zacks Construction sector's 4.9% decrease, while the S&P 500 gained 5.3% over the same period.

Why it matters — The stock's significant underperformance relative to both its industry and the broader market highlights a pronounced sell-off that STRL watchers would want to monitor.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about STRL stock

What is the STRL stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $950, with estimates ranging from $700 to $1,000. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is STRL stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Sterling Infrastructure, Inc., 8 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. 88 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank STRL?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. ranks 88 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (97 of 100).

Will STRL stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +85.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. 88 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the STRL stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for STRL are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $700 to $1,000 over the next 12 months.

How has STRL stock performed over the past year?

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. returned +61.6% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. do?

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. is a U.S.-based specialty infrastructure services company that provides construction solutions across e-infrastructure, transportation, and building markets.

What is the latest news on STRL?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 11 Sept 2026): "Sterling Infrastructure: Now It's A Compelling Buy Again (Rating Upgrade)". Seeking Alpha upgraded Sterling Infrastructure to 'Buy' following a 51% pullback from June 2026 highs, citing an attractive valuation. STRL's Q2 2026 revenues rose 90% year-over-year, driven by 192% growth in E-Infrastructure Solutions, which now accounts for 78% of total revenue, with signed backlog up 116% to $4.33B and a total addressable work pool above $7B.

Company

About Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.

Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. is a U.S.-based specialty infrastructure services company that provides construction solutions across e-infrastructure, transportation, and building markets. Sterling Infrastructure focuses on large-scale site development for data centers, e-commerce distribution centers, manufacturing facilities, warehousing, and energy-related projects, supporting the physical backbone of modern digital and industrial operations. The company also delivers transportation solutions that include highways, roads, bridges, airports, ports, rail, water, wastewater, and storm drainage infrastructure. In addition, its building solutions segment provides residential and commercial concrete foundations for single-family and multi-family homes, along with parking structures, elevated slabs, and related concrete work. Headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas, and founded in 1955, Sterling Infrastructure serves public and private customers across the United States through a portfolio of specialized subsidiaries.

CEO Mr. Joseph A. Cutillo · 6,200 employees · United States · https://www.strlco.com