FPHReal Estate · Real Estate - DevelopmentTicker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 52 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Five Point Holdings LLC on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Issuance (92): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.
Growth (22): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FPH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2025 | Zelman & Assoc | Upgrade | Outperform | — |
| 22 May 2020 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Equal-Weight | — |
| 8 Apr 2019 | JMP Securities | Maintains | Market Outperform | — |
| 18 Mar 2019 | Deutsche Bank | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 14 Nov 2018 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 23 July 2018 | Citigroup | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 5 June 2017 | Evercore ISI Group | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 5 June 2017 | JMP Securities | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 5 June 2017 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 5 June 2017 | RBC Capital | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 5 June 2017 | Wells Fargo | Initiates | Market Perform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FPH appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, Five Point Holdings LLC returned −24.2% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 63% of US stocks
Cheaper than 20% of US stocks
Cheaper than 86% of US stocks
Cheaper than 1% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 60% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 95% of US stocks
Higher than 54% of US stocks
Higher than 43% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Five Point Holdings LLC has a market value of $727.7M and an enterprise value of $2.0B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $116.9M. The latest quarter grew 86.0% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $139.3M, a 119.2% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.71.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $65.5M.
Trailing P/E: 6.8×; forward P/E: 7.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Five Point Holdings LLC employs 90 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Five Point Holdings LLC — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of land developer stocks AMREP (AXR) and Five Point Holdings (FPH), examining their differing strategies, geographic exposure, and valuations to assess which appears better positioned.
Why it matters — The piece provides a comparative analysis that FPH watchers can use to gauge how the company stacks up against a peer land developer.
A Seeking Alpha article discusses Five Point Holdings' land monetization business, noting current results are driven by retirement community ventures, while its Valencia mixed-use community faces headwinds from cost-of-capital trends tied to inflation and likely Federal Reserve policy.
Why it matters — FPH watchers would care because the article highlights how rising capital costs and Fed policy are negatively affecting the company's direction and land-development prospects.
Five Point Holdings, LLC held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the full transcript of that call.
Why it matters — Earnings call transcripts provide investors with detailed insights into the company's quarterly performance, strategy, and outlook directly from management.
Five Point (NYSE: FPH) reported second-quarter 2026 net income of $29.9 million, driven by a large commercial land sale at its Great Park Venture and ongoing revenue from management services and asset management platforms.
Why it matters — The earnings highlight a major commercial land sale and sustained platform revenue, key drivers of Five Point's financial performance.
Of the 8 analysts covering Five Point Holdings LLC, 4 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Five Point Holdings LLC 52 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 19 Sept 2026, Five Point Holdings LLC ranks 52 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (92 of 100).
No analyst covering Five Point Holdings LLC publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FPH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.
Five Point Holdings LLC returned -24.2% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Five Point Holdings LLC Class A Common Shares represent equity in Five Point Holdings, LLC, a real estate development company focused on creating large mixed-use, master-planned communities in California. The company develops and manages communities that combine residential neighborhoods with commercial, retail, office, civic, educational, and recreational spaces, along with parks and open areas.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 26 Aug 2026): "AMREP vs. Five Point: Which Land Developer Stock Is the Better Buy?". Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of land developer stocks AMREP (AXR) and Five Point Holdings (FPH), examining their differing strategies, geographic exposure, and valuations to assess which appears better positioned.
Five Point Holdings LLC Class A Common Shares represent equity in Five Point Holdings, LLC, a real estate development company focused on creating large mixed-use, master-planned communities in California. The company develops and manages communities that combine residential neighborhoods with commercial, retail, office, civic, educational, and recreational spaces, along with parks and open areas. Its work centers on shaping integrated communities designed for long-term use across key California markets. Five Point Holdings, LLC also participates in land planning, infrastructure coordination, and property development activities that support community-scale projects. The Class A Common Shares provide public market exposure to the company’s core business of planning and developing large-scale community assets in one of the country’s most active housing and land development regions.
CEO Mr. Daniel C. Hedigan J.D. · 90 employees · United States · https://www.fivepoint.com
