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FPH Stock Forecast: Five Point Holdings LLC Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 17 Aug 2026
$5.12
−0.78% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 50 of 100 as at 17 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$763.2M
Ticker Nerd rank
50 / 100
Median analyst target
—
Analysts covering
8
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−2.3%
1M
−2.3%
YTD
−8.4%
1Y
−5.7%
From 52W high
−21.1%
From 52W low
+8.7%
$4.71
$6.49
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FPH stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Five Point Holdings LLC on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 17 Aug 2026
50 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Issuance
92
Volatility
78
Value
72
Quality
67
Size
52
Accruals
43
Momentum
42
Revisions
25
Growth
22

Issuance (92): The share count has been shrinking and the company is not leaning on new borrowing.

Growth (22): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

FPH stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FPH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5.00$5.50$6.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26FPH

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says8 analysts
4 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 Jan 2025Zelman & AssocUpgradeOutperform—
22 May 2020Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
8 Apr 2019JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform—
18 Mar 2019Deutsche BankMaintainsHold—
14 Nov 2018CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
23 July 2018CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
5 June 2017Evercore ISI GroupInitiatesOutperform—
5 June 2017JMP SecuritiesInitiatesOutperform—
5 June 2017JP MorganInitiatesNeutral—
5 June 2017RBC CapitalInitiatesOutperform—
5 June 2017Wells FargoInitiatesMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. FPH appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

FPH analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.2×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.5×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Price / book
0.4×

Cheaper than 86% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
684.1×

Cheaper than 1% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
86.0%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
227.1%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Gross margin
48.3%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Operating margin
−54.3%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Net margin
45.3%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
6.0%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.1%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Dividend yield
—

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

FPH vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelReal Estate - Development
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FPHFive Point Holdings LLC$763.2M
50
SDHCSmith Douglas Homes Corp.$719.8M
23
SKYHSky Harbour Group Corp.$781.7M
37
FORForestar Group, Inc.$1.5B
90
CCSCentury Communities, Inc.$2.0B
41
AXRAMREP Corp.$120.7M
69
LPALogistic Properties of the Americas$108.4M
42

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Five Point Holdings LLC — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FPH news & analysis

Five Point Holdings: Relatively Cheap, Still In The Way Of Rate Direction

Seeking Alpha · 30 July 2026negative

A Seeking Alpha article discusses Five Point Holdings' land monetization business, noting current results are driven by retirement community ventures, while its Valencia mixed-use community faces headwinds from cost-of-capital trends tied to inflation and likely Federal Reserve policy.

Why it matters — FPH watchers would care because the article highlights how rising capital costs and Fed policy are negatively affecting the company's direction and land-development prospects.

Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 24 July 2026neutral

Five Point Holdings, LLC held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the full transcript of that call.

Why it matters — Earnings call transcripts provide investors with detailed insights into the company's quarterly performance, strategy, and outlook directly from management.

Five Point Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 24 July 2026positive

Five Point (NYSE: FPH) reported second-quarter 2026 net income of $29.9 million, driven by a large commercial land sale at its Great Park Venture and ongoing revenue from management services and asset management platforms.

Why it matters — The earnings highlight a major commercial land sale and sustained platform revenue, key drivers of Five Point's financial performance.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FPH stock

Is FPH stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Five Point Holdings LLC, 4 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Five Point Holdings LLC 50 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 17 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FPH?

As at 17 Aug 2026, Five Point Holdings LLC ranks 50 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Issuance (92 of 100).

What is the FPH stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Five Point Holdings LLC publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FPH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has FPH stock performed over the past year?

Five Point Holdings LLC returned -5.7% over the 12 months to 17 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Five Point Holdings LLC do?

Five Point Holdings LLC is a real estate development company primarily engaged in the design, development, and management of mixed-use planned communities in coastal California. Its main focus is on creating sustainable and vibrant neighborhoods that integrate residential, commercial, and recreational spaces.

What is the latest news on FPH?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 30 July 2026): "Five Point Holdings: Relatively Cheap, Still In The Way Of Rate Direction". A Seeking Alpha article discusses Five Point Holdings' land monetization business, noting current results are driven by retirement community ventures, while its Valencia mixed-use community faces headwinds from cost-of-capital trends tied to inflation and likely Federal Reserve policy.

Company

About Five Point Holdings LLC.

Five Point Holdings LLC is a real estate development company primarily engaged in the design, development, and management of mixed-use planned communities in coastal California. Its main focus is on creating sustainable and vibrant neighborhoods that integrate residential, commercial, and recreational spaces. The company is known for its landmark communities like Newhall Ranch in Los Angeles County, Great Park Neighborhoods in Irvine, and the San Francisco Shipyard and Candlestick Point in San Francisco. Serving both residential and business sectors, Five Point Holdings LLC addresses the growing demand for urban-centric living with amenities that appeal to modern lifestyles. By incorporating public infrastructure and green spaces, it plays a significant role in transforming traditional urban frameworks into inviting spaces conducive to community living. The company is headquartered in Aliso Viejo, California, and holds a critical position in the real estate market as it contributes to the dynamic landscape of Californian urban development.

CEO Mr. Daniel C. Hedigan J.D. · 90 employees · United States · https://www.fivepoint.com