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FPH Stock Forecast: Five Point Holdings LLC Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 4 Nov 2026
$4.61
+2.22% on the day

Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 40 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$668.5M
Ticker Nerd rank
40/ 100
Median analyst target
—
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$13.9M+86.0% y/y
Operating income−$7.6M
Net income$29.9M
Free cash flow−$10.2M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+12.7%
1M
+1.5%
YTD
−17.5%
1Y
−22.3%
From 52W high
−26.8%
From 52W low
+13.0%
$4.08
$6.30
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

FPH stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Five Point Holdings LLC on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 4 Nov 2026
40/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
77
Issuance
73
Value
69
Quality
56
Size
53
Accruals
47
Momentum
34
Revisions
25
Growth
21

Volatility (77): The share price has been relatively steady.

Growth (21): Sales and profits are flat, shrinking, or growing more slowly than they were.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.

Wall Street

FPH stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on FPH, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4.00$4.50$5.00$5.50$6.00$6.50Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FPH

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
4 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
27 Jan 2025Zelman & AssocUpgradeOutperform—
22 May 2020Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight—
8 Apr 2019JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform—
18 Mar 2019Deutsche BankMaintainsHold—
14 Nov 2018CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
23 July 2018CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
5 June 2017Evercore ISI GroupInitiatesOutperform—
5 June 2017JMP SecuritiesInitiatesOutperform—
5 June 2017JP MorganInitiatesNeutral—
5 June 2017RBC CapitalInitiatesOutperform—
5 June 2017Wells FargoInitiatesMarket Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

FPH appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

FPH vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, Five Point Holdings LLC returned −22.3% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

FPH vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26FPHS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

FPH analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Fundamentals

Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
11.5×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.6×

Cheaper than 21% of US stocks

Price / book
0.4×

Cheaper than 85% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
349.8×

Cheaper than 1% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.4%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
86.0%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Gross margin
48.3%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Operating margin
−34.3%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Net margin
24.9%

Higher than 85% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
3.3%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.1%

Higher than 43% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Five Point Holdings LLC (FPH) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Five Point Holdings LLC has a market value of $668.5M and an enterprise value of $2.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $116.9M. The latest quarter grew 8.4% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $139.3M, a 119.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $0.71.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $65.5M.

  • Shares outstanding: 71.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 11.5×; forward P/E: 6.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Five Point Holdings LLC employs 90 people — $1.3M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Nov 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

FPH vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelReal Estate - Development
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
FPHFive Point Holdings LLC$668.5M40
SDHCSmith Douglas Homes Corp.$499.1M9
SKYHSky Harbour Group Corp.$829.5M39
XTNDXtend AI Robotics, Inc.$286.5M14
FORForestar Group, Inc.$1.3B50
CCSCentury Communities, Inc.$1.6B21
OZBelpointe PREP LLC$135.6M23

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Five Point Holdings LLC — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest FPH news & analysis

Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity

Seeking Alpha · 25 Oct 2026neutral

Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund said it saw more favorable valuations in international property companies than in some larger U.S. companies, and initiated positions in Scentre Group and Home Depot. It also trimmed WESCO and Freddie Mac preferred shares, exited D.R. Horton, and extended currency hedges.

Why it matters — The excerpt describes the fund’s broader real estate portfolio activity but does not mention Five Point Holdings, so it offers no company-specific update for FPH watchers.

Five Point Holdings, LLC (FPH) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 23 Oct 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Five Point Holdings, LLC’s Q3 2026 earnings call. The provided excerpt contains only the headline and no details from the call.

Why it matters — FPH watchers may use the transcript to review the company’s Q3 2026 earnings-call discussion; no substantive topics are included in the excerpt.

Five Point Q3 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 22 Oct 2026negative

Five Point reported a $4.4 million third-quarter consolidated net loss and no land sales at its active communities. It cited softer housing demand amid higher mortgage rates and weaker consumer confidence, and said it plans to defer certain land transactions into 2027 rather than accept less favorable conditions.

Why it matters — The loss, lack of land sales, and planned transaction deferrals show how current housing-market conditions are affecting Five Point’s results and timing.

Five Point Holdings, LLC Reports Third Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 22 Oct 2026neutral

Five Point Holdings reported third-quarter 2026 results, including consolidated revenues of $14.6 million and $358.7 million of cash and cash equivalents at quarter-end.

Why it matters — The reported revenue and cash balance provide FPH watchers with a snapshot of the company’s quarterly performance and financial position.

Five Point Holdings, LLC Sets Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Announcement and Investor Conference Call

Business Wire · 15 Oct 2026neutral

Five Point Holdings will hold a conference call to discuss its third quarter 2026 financial results at 5:00 p.m. Eastern Time on Thursday, October 22, 2026. A live webcast will be available on the company's website, and the call can also be accessed by telephone.

Why it matters — The announcement gives FPH watchers the date and access details for the company's third-quarter results discussion.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about FPH stock

Is FPH stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Five Point Holdings LLC, 4 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Five Point Holdings LLC 40 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank FPH?

As at 4 Nov 2026, Five Point Holdings LLC ranks 40 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (77 of 100).

What is the FPH stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Five Point Holdings LLC publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for FPH are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business.

How has FPH stock performed over the past year?

Five Point Holdings LLC returned -22.3% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Five Point Holdings LLC do?

Five Point Holdings LLC Class A Common Shares represent equity in Five Point Holdings, LLC, a real estate development company focused on creating large mixed-use, master-planned communities in California. The company develops and manages communities that combine residential neighborhoods with commercial, retail, office, civic, educational, and recreational spaces, along with parks and open areas.

What is the latest news on FPH?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 25 Oct 2026): "Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund Q3 2026 Portfolio Activity". Third Avenue Real Estate Value Fund said it saw more favorable valuations in international property companies than in some larger U.S. companies, and initiated positions in Scentre Group and Home Depot. It also trimmed WESCO and Freddie Mac preferred shares, exited D.R. Horton, and extended currency hedges.

Company

About Five Point Holdings LLC.

Five Point Holdings LLC Class A Common Shares represent equity in Five Point Holdings, LLC, a real estate development company focused on creating large mixed-use, master-planned communities in California. The company develops and manages communities that combine residential neighborhoods with commercial, retail, office, civic, educational, and recreational spaces, along with parks and open areas. Its work centers on shaping integrated communities designed for long-term use across key California markets. Five Point Holdings, LLC also participates in land planning, infrastructure coordination, and property development activities that support community-scale projects. The Class A Common Shares provide public market exposure to the company’s core business of planning and developing large-scale community assets in one of the country’s most active housing and land development regions.

CEO Mr. Daniel C. Hedigan J.D. · 90 employees · United States · https://www.fivepoint.com