SDHCSDHCReal Estate · Real Estate - Development

SDHC Stock Forecast: Smith Douglas Homes Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 6 Aug 2026
$14
−9.65% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $14 — -0.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 8 of 100 as at 6 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile.

Market cap
$127.2M
Ticker Nerd rank
8 / 100
Median analyst target
$14
Analysts covering
6
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.0%
1M
−9.5%
YTD
−16.2%
1Y
−27.4%
From 52W high
−36.6%
From 52W low
+29.6%
$11
$22
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SDHC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Smith Douglas Homes Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 6 Aug 2026
8 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Size
49
Issuance
43
Quality
41
Revisions
36
Accruals
25
Growth
24
Momentum
11
Value
11
Volatility
5

Size (49): Smaller than most of the companies we track.

Volatility (5): The share price moves around a lot.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Smith Douglas Homes Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

SDHC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SDHC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$12$14$16$18$20$22Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SDHCHigh $15Median $14Low $12

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says6 analysts
0 Buy5 Hold1 Sell
Low $12Median $14High $15

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits −0.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
6 Apr 2026Zelman & AssocInitiatesNeutral$14
24 Mar 2026CitizensInitiatesMarket Perform
16 Mar 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
12 Mar 2026Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
21 Nov 2025JP MorganAssumesNeutral$17
7 Nov 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform
7 Nov 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
10 Oct 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform
18 Sept 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsUnderperform
21 May 2025JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
20 May 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform
14 Apr 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
13 Mar 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
13 Jan 2025Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
13 Dec 2024JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
25 Nov 2024JP MorganDowngradeNeutral
7 Oct 2024Wells FargoMaintainsEqual-Weight
19 Sept 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral
15 Aug 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral
15 Aug 2024RBC CapitalReiteratesSector Perform

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

SDHC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+8.8%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
15.6×

Cheaper than 46% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.1×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

Price / book
1.6×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
8.8×

Cheaper than 43% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−8.1%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−78.9%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Gross margin
19.6%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Operating margin
2.7%

Higher than 52% of US stocks

Net margin
0.9%

Higher than 49% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.8%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Return on assets
6.4%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

SDHC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelReal Estate - Development
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SDHCSmith Douglas Homes Corp.$127.2M
8
SKYHSky Harbour Group Corp.$841.7M
34
FPHFive Point Holdings LLC$562.5M
51
FORForestar Group, Inc.$1.5B
90
CCSCentury Communities, Inc.$2.0B
43
HHHHoward Hughes Holdings, Inc.$4.1B
34
AXRAMREP Corp.$117.1M
66
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SDHC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

News

Latest SDHC news & analysis

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the transcript of the event covering the company's quarterly results and management commentary.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides SDHC watchers with direct insight into the company's quarterly performance and management's outlook.

Smith Douglas Homes Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

Business Wire · 6 Aug 2026neutral

Smith Douglas Homes reported Q2 2026 results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026. Compared to Q2 2025, home closings rose 25% to 839, home closing revenue rose 22% to $273.0 million, and net new home orders rose 32% to 970, while home closing gross margin fell to 17.6% from 23.2% and pretax income was $1.9 million, which includes $7.6.

Why it matters — The report shows strong growth in closings, revenue, and orders for SDHC, but a significant decline in gross margin and low pretax income indicates compressed profitability that watchers would want to monitor.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SDHC stock

What is the SDHC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $12 to $15. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SDHC stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp., 0 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Smith Douglas Homes Corp. 8 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 6 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SDHC?

As at 6 Aug 2026, Smith Douglas Homes Corp. ranks 8 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Size (49 of 100).

Will SDHC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies -0.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Smith Douglas Homes Corp. 8 out of 100 as at 6 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SDHC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Smith Douglas Homes Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SDHC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $12 to $15 over the next 12 months.

How has SDHC stock performed over the past year?

Smith Douglas Homes Corp. returned -27.4% over the 12 months to 6 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Smith Douglas Homes Corp. do?

Smith Douglas Homes Corporation is a prominent player in the home building industry, specializing in the development of single-family homes. The corporation's primary function is to design and construct high-quality, affordable housing solutions tailored to entry-level buyers and empty nesters.

What is the latest news on SDHC?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 6 Aug 2026): "Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Smith Douglas Homes Corp. (SDHC) held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and Seeking Alpha published the transcript of the event covering the company's quarterly results and management commentary.

Company

About Smith Douglas Homes Corp.

Smith Douglas Homes Corporation is a prominent player in the home building industry, specializing in the development of single-family homes. The corporation's primary function is to design and construct high-quality, affordable housing solutions tailored to entry-level buyers and empty nesters. Operating predominantly in the southeastern United States, Smith Douglas Homes targets markets with significant population growth, providing a strategic advantage in regions with high demand for cost-effective housing. Notable features of Smith Douglas Homes include its focus on efficient construction practices and value-oriented design processes, allowing the company to offer competitive pricing without compromising on quality. The company's homes frequently feature open floor plans, energy-efficient systems, and customizable options to meet the unique preferences of homeowners. Smith Douglas Homes Corporation plays a vital role in addressing the housing affordability gap, contributing to community development and supporting local economies through job creation and resource utilization. In the dynamic real estate market, Smith Douglas Homes is recognized for its commitment to customer satisfaction and long-term sustainable growth.

CEO Mr. Gregory S. Bennett · 510 employees · United States · https://smithdouglas.com