TICKERNERD
Menu
GSMGSMBasic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

GSM Stock Forecast: Ferroglobe PLC Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$4.28
−4.04% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Ferroglobe PLC hold a median 12-month price target of $6 — +40.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 55 of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$799.8M
Ticker Nerd rank
55 / 100
Median analyst target
$6.00
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$378.6M−2.1% y/y
Operating income$57.0M
Net income$60.6M
Free cash flow$20.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−5.5%
1M
−6.3%
YTD
−7.1%
1Y
+1.9%
From 52W high
−22.2%
From 52W low
+36.3%
$3.14
$5.50
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GSM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Ferroglobe PLC on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 11 Sept 2026
55 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
74
Accruals
73
Issuance
61
Revisions
60
Momentum
49
Size
47
Value
41
Volatility
33
Quality
32

Growth (74): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Quality (32): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GSM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GSM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$3.00$4.00$5.00$6.00Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GSMHigh $6.00Median $6.00Low $6.00

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
1 Buy1 Hold0 Sell
Low $6.00Median $6.00High $6.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +40.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 Nov 2025B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$8.00 → $6.00
24 Feb 2025Seaport GlobalDowngradeNeutral—
27 Feb 2023B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
14 Sept 2022B. Riley SecuritiesInitiatesBuy—
14 Feb 2022Seaport GlobalInitiatesBuy—
14 Feb 2019JefferiesDowngradeHold—
27 Nov 2018OppenheimerDowngradePerform—
13 July 2018StifelMaintainsBuy—
13 July 2018Stifel NicolausMaintainsBuy—
23 May 2018B. Riley FBRMaintainsBuy—
23 May 2018B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
23 May 2018JP MorganMaintainsOverweight—
5 May 2018B. Riley FBRDowngradeNeutral—
26 Oct 2017StifelMaintainsBuy—
26 Oct 2017Stifel NicolausMaintainsBuy—
18 Aug 2017JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
19 Sept 2016BairdUpgradeBuy—
29 Aug 2016B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
29 Aug 2016StifelMaintainsBuy—
29 Aug 2016Stifel NicolausMaintainsBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GSM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

GSM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Ferroglobe PLC returned +1.9% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GSM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GSMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GSM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
6.4×

Cheaper than 64% of US stocks

Price / sales
0.6×

Cheaper than 79% of US stocks

Price / book
1.1×

Cheaper than 68% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
17.5×

Cheaper than 17% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−2.1%

Higher than 24% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−2.1%

Higher than 33% of US stocks

Gross margin
44.4%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Operating margin
15.0%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Net margin
−3.0%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−6.0%

Higher than 38% of US stocks

Return on assets
−0.8%

Higher than 40% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.4%

Higher than 32% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Ferroglobe PLC has a market value of $799.8M and an enterprise value of $963.6M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.4B. The latest quarter shrank 2.1% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$45.8M, a −3.4% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−0.22.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$12.9M.

  • Ferroglobe PLC spent $20K on share buybacks and $10.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 186.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 6.4×; forward P/E: 10.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.40%, paying out 8% of earnings.

  • Ferroglobe PLC employs 2,920 people — $468K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GSM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOther Industrial Metals & Mining
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GSMFerroglobe PLC$799.8M
55
UAMYUnited States Antimony Corp.$698.2M
15
CRMLCritical Metals Corp.$944.5M
27
CMPCompass Minerals International, Inc.$1.0B
99
SGMLSigma Lithium Corp.$1.0B
43
LACLithium Americas Corp.$1.1B
10
ALOYRealloys, Inc.$573.8M
24

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Ferroglobe PLC — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GSM news & analysis

Ferroglobe PLC: Navigating Metal Uncertainty

Seeking Alpha · 3 Sept 2026positive

Seeking Alpha coverage highlights Ferroglobe's strategic Western silicon position and robust balance sheet as key strengths. The article notes benefits from geopolitical shifts, rising Western demand for strategic materials, and protective trade measures, while acknowledging high cyclicality and electricity costs mitigated by low net debt and disciplined capital allocation.

Why it matters — A GSM watcher would care because the piece emphasises the company's resilience and structural positioning through commodity downcycles, underpinned by its Western operations and financial strength.

Ferroglobe Comments on European Commission's Initiation of Interim Review of Antidumping Measures on Chinese Silicon Metal Imports

GlobeNewsWire · 1 Sept 2026neutral

Ferroglobe confirmed that the European Commission has initiated an interim review of antidumping duties on silicon metal imports from China, covering both dumping and injury, following a request filed by Euroalliages on July 8, 2026. The review concerns duties currently in force on Chinese silicon metal imports into the EU.

Why it matters — Since Ferroglobe operates in the EU silicon metal market, the outcome of this antidumping review could affect competitive conditions for imports against its products.

Ferroglobe Eyes Critical Materials, Venezuela Restart as Europe Struggles

MarketBeat · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Ferroglobe is pursuing expansion into critical materials, cost reductions, and potential production growth in Venezuela as it navigates weak European market conditions and import competition, according to Vice President of Investor Relations Alex Rotonen during a company presentation.

Why it matters — GSM watchers would care because the company's stated strategy points to how it plans to respond to soft European demand and import pressure through new growth avenues and cost controls.

Ferroglobe PLC (GSM) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 5 Aug 2026neutral

Ferroglobe PLC held its Q2 2026 earnings call, and a transcript of the call has been published by Seeking Alpha. The transcript covers the company's quarterly results discussion.

Why it matters — A GSM watcher would care because the earnings call transcript provides the company's own account of its Q2 2026 performance and outlook.

Ferroglobe Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 5 Aug 2026positive

Ferroglobe reported higher shipments, revenue, adjusted EBITDA, and free cash flow in Q2 2026, driven by increased silicon metal volumes and stronger fixed-cost absorption, despite ongoing import pricing pressure.

Why it matters — The improvement in key financial metrics signals that Ferroglobe is managing to grow its business and profitability even in a challenging pricing environment.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GSM stock

What is the GSM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering Ferroglobe PLC have a median 12-month price target of $6, with estimates ranging from $6 to $6. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GSM stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering Ferroglobe PLC, 1 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Ferroglobe PLC 55 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 11 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GSM?

As at 11 Sept 2026, Ferroglobe PLC ranks 55 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (74 of 100).

Will GSM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +40.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Ferroglobe PLC 55 out of 100 as at 11 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GSM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Ferroglobe PLC publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GSM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $6 to $6 over the next 12 months.

How has GSM stock performed over the past year?

Ferroglobe PLC returned +1.9% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Ferroglobe PLC do?

Ferroglobe PLC is a global producer of silicon metal, silicon-based alloys, and manganese-based specialty alloys used across industrial supply chains. The company serves customers in sectors such as aluminum, steel, solar energy, chemicals, electronics, healthcare, personal care, construction, and automotive manufacturing.

What is the latest news on GSM?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 3 Sept 2026): "Ferroglobe PLC: Navigating Metal Uncertainty". Seeking Alpha coverage highlights Ferroglobe's strategic Western silicon position and robust balance sheet as key strengths. The article notes benefits from geopolitical shifts, rising Western demand for strategic materials, and protective trade measures, while acknowledging high cyclicality and electricity costs mitigated by low net debt and disciplined capital allocation.

Company

About Ferroglobe PLC.

Ferroglobe PLC is a global producer of silicon metal, silicon-based alloys, and manganese-based specialty alloys used across industrial supply chains. The company serves customers in sectors such as aluminum, steel, solar energy, chemicals, electronics, healthcare, personal care, construction, and automotive manufacturing. Its products are important inputs for deoxidation, alloying, and performance-enhancing applications in metals processing and specialty materials. Ferroglobe also supports its manufacturing base with quartz mining and other raw-material-related activities tied to silicon and alloy production. As a supplier of advanced metallurgical products, Ferroglobe PLC plays a key role in providing essential materials for widely used industrial and consumer applications worldwide.

CEO Dr. Marco Levi · 2,920 employees · United Kingdom · https://www.ferroglobe.com