SGMLBasic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & MiningThe 4 Wall Street analysts covering Sigma Lithium Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $14 — +54.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 41 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sigma Lithium Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Value (77): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.
Volatility (16): The share price moves around a lot.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SGML, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +54.0% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Initiates | Overweight | $14 |
| 2 Apr 2026 | B of A Securities | Upgrade | Buy | $14 → $17 |
| 2 Apr 2026 | B of A Securities | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Canaccord Genuity | Downgrade | Hold | — |
| 8 Jan 2026 | B of A Securities | Downgrade | Underperform | — |
| 14 Oct 2025 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 14 Jan 2025 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 19 Aug 2024 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 20 May 2024 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 10 Apr 2024 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 2 Apr 2024 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 27 Mar 2024 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 18 Mar 2024 | B of A Securities | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 23 Jan 2024 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $40 → $38 |
| 6 Dec 2023 | B of A Securities | Reinstates | Buy | $37 |
| 24 Nov 2023 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $44 → $40 |
| 6 Sept 2023 | BMO Capital | Maintains | Outperform | $50 → $48 |
| 18 Apr 2023 | Canaccord Genuity | Upgrade | Buy | $65 → $67 |
| 20 Jan 2023 | BMO Capital | Initiates | Outperform | $40 |
| 6 Jan 2022 | B of A Securities | Initiates | Buy | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SGML appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Sigma Lithium Corp. returned +33.9% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 6% of US stocks
Cheaper than 19% of US stocks
Cheaper than 8% of US stocks
Cheaper than 9% of US stocks
Higher than 96% of US stocks
Higher than 91% of US stocks
Higher than 73% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 27% of US stocks
Higher than 72% of US stocks
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Sigma Lithium Corp. has a market value of $938.3M and an enterprise value of $1.2B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $142.5M. The latest quarter grew 223.9% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$27.6M, a −19.3% net margin.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $29.5M.
Trailing P/E: 123.5×; forward P/E: 4.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Sigma Lithium Corp. employs 560 people — $254K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sigma Lithium Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) closed at $8.34 on the latest trading day, down 11.33% from its previous close, despite broader market gains. The decline stands in contrast to overall market performance.
Why it matters — SGML watchers would care because the stock fell sharply even as the wider market rose, signaling notable underperformance worth tracking.
Sigma Lithium said it still expects to deliver 330,000 tonnes of lithium oxide concentrate in fiscal 2027, despite temporarily suspending mining and industrial production in Brazil. Operations halted on September 30 after a 15-day delay by the Federal Court of Appeals in reviewing the company's emergency motion for suspensive relief.
Why it matters — A SGML watcher would care because the company is reaffirming its fiscal 2027 production target even as it navigates a temporary operational pause tied to a court proceeding in Brazil.
Sigma Lithium announced that all of its mining and industrial production was temporarily suspended on September 30, due to a 15-day delay by the Federal Court of Appeals in reviewing the company's legal defense (an Emergency Motion for Suspensive Relief). The company maintains its 2027 guidance of 330,000 tonnes.
Why it matters — The temporary production suspension could affect the company's near-term operations and output, making this a development for shareholders and market watchers to monitor.
Sigma Lithium reported strong Q2 results, with improved production, lower costs, and a 47% EBITDA margin at its Grota do Cirilo operation, though its 240kt annual production target faces execution and regulatory risks. The realized SC5 concentrate price was $2089/t with AISC of $668/t, yet long-term margin sustainability remains unproven.
Why it matters — SGML watchers would care because the report highlights encouraging operational improvements alongside unresolved execution and regulatory challenges that could affect production and margins.
Sigma Lithium's senior leaders, including CEO Ana Cabral, participated in forums during United Nations General Assembly High-Level Week and UN Climate Week in New York, presenting the company's "Quintuple Zero" approach to producing lithium oxide concentrate. The executives joined UN-Energy members in discussions on the energy transition, industrial transformation, investment, energy access and resilience.
Why it matters — The company is showcasing its sustainability credentials on an international stage, reinforcing its positioning in the energy transition space for investors tracking its environmental profile.
The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Sigma Lithium Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $10 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 4 analysts covering Sigma Lithium Corp., 3 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sigma Lithium Corp. 41 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 2 Oct 2026, Sigma Lithium Corp. ranks 41 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (77 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +54.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sigma Lithium Corp. 41 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Sigma Lithium Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SGML are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $20 over the next 12 months.
Sigma Lithium Corp. returned +33.9% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Sigma Lithium Corporation is a lithium producer focused on the exploration, development, and processing of hard-rock lithium deposits in Brazil. Its operations center on the Grota do Cirilo project in Minas Gerais, where the company produces lithium oxide concentrate for use in the lithium-ion battery supply chain.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 1 Oct 2026): "Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note". Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) closed at $8.34 on the latest trading day, down 11.33% from its previous close, despite broader market gains. The decline stands in contrast to overall market performance.
Sigma Lithium Corporation is a lithium producer focused on the exploration, development, and processing of hard-rock lithium deposits in Brazil. Its operations center on the Grota do Cirilo project in Minas Gerais, where the company produces lithium oxide concentrate for use in the lithium-ion battery supply chain. Sigma Lithium Corporation supplies materials that support electric vehicle batteries and energy storage applications, making it part of the broader market for critical minerals used in the energy transition. The company emphasizes industrial-scale production, mineral beneficiation, and socially and environmentally sustainable operations across its Brazilian assets. Based in São Paulo, Brazil, Sigma Lithium Corporation plays a specialized role in the global market for battery-grade lithium materials.
CEO Ms. Ana Cabral-Gardner · 560 employees · Canada · https://www.sigmalithiumresources.com
