SGMLSGMLBasic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

SGML Stock Forecast: Sigma Lithium Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$12
+5.83% on the day

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Sigma Lithium Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $21 — +72.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 46 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$1.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
46 / 100
Median analyst target
$21
Analysts covering
3
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+5.4%
1M
0.0%
YTD
−9.1%
1Y
+112.2%
From 52W high
−49.3%
From 52W low
+156.2%
$5
$24
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SGML stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sigma Lithium Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
46 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
80
Momentum
66
Quality
65
Accruals
61
Growth
59
Size
42
Revisions
33
Issuance
23
Volatility
20

Value (80): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Volatility (20): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SGML stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SGML, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26SGMLHigh $21Median $21Low $20

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says3 analysts
3 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $20Median $21High $21

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +72.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 19 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
2 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy$14$17
2 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy
16 Jan 2026Canaccord GenuityDowngradeHold
8 Jan 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeUnderperform
14 Oct 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
14 Jan 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
19 Aug 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform
20 May 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
10 Apr 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
2 Apr 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
27 Mar 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform
18 Mar 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
23 Jan 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$40$38
6 Dec 2023B of A SecuritiesReinstatesBuy$37
24 Nov 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$44$40
6 Sept 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$50$48
18 Apr 2023Canaccord GenuityUpgradeBuy$65$67
20 Jan 2023BMO CapitalInitiatesOutperform$40
6 Jan 2022B of A SecuritiesInitiatesBuy

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SGML appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

SGML analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+36.9%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Sigma Lithium Corp. (SGML) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
123.5×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

Price / sales
9.4×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

Price / book
18.4×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
38.7×

Cheaper than 7% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
223.9%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−11.2%

Higher than 25% of US stocks

Gross margin
60.4%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Operating margin
24.6%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Net margin
−19.3%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−31.6%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.1%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

SGML vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOther Industrial Metals & Mining
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SGMLSigma Lithium Corp.$1.3B
46
LACLithium Americas Corp.$1.2B
10
CMPCompass Minerals International, Inc.$1.1B
99
ALOYRealloys, Inc.$1.0B
20
CRMLCritical Metals Corp.$978.3M
32
TMCTMC the metals co., Inc.$1.8B
5
EMATEvolution Metals & Technologies Corp.$1.8B
8

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sigma Lithium Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SGML news & analysis

Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026neutral

Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Sigma Lithium Corporation's Q2 2026 earnings call.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides direct insight into Sigma Lithium's financial results and operational commentary from management for the second quarter of 2026.

Sigma Lithium Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 14 Aug 2026positive

Sigma Lithium reported record second-quarter revenue and profitability, supported by higher production volumes and lower costs that improved margins. The company also addressed a temporary suspension of its mining and industrial operations related to negotiations with the state of Minas Gerais.

Why it matters — For SGML watchers, the record financial results and the company's disclosure about the temporary Minas Gerais suspension signal the state of its operations and earnings momentum.

Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) Reports Q2 Loss, Beats Revenue Estimates

Zacks Investment Research · 14 Aug 2026positive

Sigma Lithium Corp. reported a second-quarter loss of $0.02 per share, narrower than the $0.17 per-share loss a year earlier and better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.15. Revenue beat estimates during the quarter.

Why it matters — SGML watchers would note the loss narrowed year over year and came in ahead of analyst expectations, with revenue also exceeding estimates.

Sigma Lithium Announces Record 2Q 26 Results: EBITDA Margin of 47%, Decrease of over 30% in Costs; TAC Agreement Negotiations Underway

Newsfile Corp · 14 Aug 2026positive

Sigma Lithium reported record second-quarter 2026 results, with gross, operating, and EBITDA margins of 60%, 32%, and 47% respectively, the latter up from 39% in Q1 2026. The company also reported over a 30% decrease in costs and noted that negotiations for a TAC agreement are underway.

Why it matters — This marks a record quarter of high profitability for Sigma Lithium, with its highest-ever EBITDA margin and substantially reduced costs, plus an ongoing TAC agreement negotiation that could affect future operations.

Sigma Lithium CEO Keynotes S&P Global Energy Critical Minerals Forum; Joins Sustainable Industry Roundtable at World Climate Summit

Newsfile Corp · 11 Aug 2026positive

Sigma Lithium CEO Ana Cabral keynoted the S&P Global Energy Rio Market Briefing in a conversation with Vale CEO Gustavo Pimenta about critical minerals global supply chains, and joined a sustainable industry roundtable at the World Climate Summit. The presentation highlighted their industrial-mineral operations as examples of capturing high margins within the critical minerals supply chain.

Why it matters — For SGML watchers, this signals that Sigma Lithium's leadership is gaining visibility at major industry forums while having its operations publicly cited as high-margin examples within the critical minerals supply chain.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SGML stock

What is the SGML stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 3 Wall Street analysts covering Sigma Lithium Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $21, with estimates ranging from $20 to $21. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SGML stock a buy right now?

Of the 3 analysts covering Sigma Lithium Corp., 3 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sigma Lithium Corp. 46 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SGML?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Sigma Lithium Corp. ranks 46 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (80 of 100).

Will SGML stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 3 analysts implies +72.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sigma Lithium Corp. 46 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SGML stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Sigma Lithium Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SGML are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $20 to $21 over the next 12 months.

How has SGML stock performed over the past year?

Sigma Lithium Corp. returned +112.2% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Sigma Lithium Corp. do?

Sigma Lithium Corporation is a mining company focused on the exploration, development, and production of lithium deposits in Brazil. It holds a 100% interest in the Grota do Cirilo, Genipapo, Santa Clara, and São José properties, encompassing 29 mineral rights over approximately 185 square kilometers in the Araçuaí and Itinga regions of Minas Gerais state.

What is the latest news on SGML?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 14 Aug 2026): "Sigma Lithium Corporation (SGML) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript". Seeking Alpha published a transcript of Sigma Lithium Corporation's Q2 2026 earnings call.

Company

About Sigma Lithium Corp.

Sigma Lithium Corporation is a mining company focused on the exploration, development, and production of lithium deposits in Brazil. It holds a 100% interest in the Grota do Cirilo, Genipapo, Santa Clara, and São José properties, encompassing 29 mineral rights over approximately 185 square kilometers in the Araçuaí and Itinga regions of Minas Gerais state. The company produces high-purity, environmentally sustainable lithium concentrate, branded as Quintuple Zero Green Lithium, which features zero coal power, zero tailings dams, zero use of potable water, zero hazardous chemicals, and zero accidents. This lithium supports the global electric battery supply chain, particularly for electric vehicles, clean mobility, and green energy storage solutions. Sigma Lithium Corporation emphasizes best-in-class environmental practices to preserve ecosystems and drives social inclusion initiatives. Headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil, it positions Brazil as a key player in the energy transition materials market through responsible sourcing and production.

CEO Ms. Ana Cabral-Gardner · 560 employees · Canada · https://www.sigmalithiumresources.com