SGMLSGMLBasic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

SGML Stock Forecast: Sigma Lithium Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 12 Oct 2026
$8.81
−5.78% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Sigma Lithium Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — +24.9% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 42 of 100 as at 9 Oct 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$881.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
42/ 100
Median analyst target
$11
Analysts covering
4
Revenue$54.7M+223.9% y/y
Operating income$13.0M
Net income−$2.6M
Free cash flow$28.4M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−7.8%
1M
−7.3%
YTD
−33.2%
1Y
+41.2%
From 52W high
−62.7%
From 52W low
+88.2%
$5
$24
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SGML stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Sigma Lithium Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 9 Oct 2026
42/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
77
Quality
66
Accruals
62
Growth
60
Momentum
56
Size
44
Revisions
28
Issuance
23
Volatility
20

Value (77): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Volatility (20): The share price moves around a lot.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SGML stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SGML, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$5$10$15$20Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SGMLHigh $13Median $11Low $10

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says4 analysts
2 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $10Median $11High $13

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +24.9% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
1 Oct 2026BMO CapitalDowngradeMarket Perform$10
18 Sept 2026JP MorganInitiatesOverweight—
18 Sept 2026JP MorganInitiatesOverweight$14
2 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy$14 → $17
2 Apr 2026B of A SecuritiesUpgradeBuy—
16 Jan 2026Canaccord GenuityDowngradeHold—
8 Jan 2026B of A SecuritiesDowngradeUnderperform—
14 Oct 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
14 Jan 2025B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
19 Aug 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
20 May 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
10 Apr 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
2 Apr 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
27 Mar 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
18 Mar 2024B of A SecuritiesMaintainsBuy—
23 Jan 2024BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$40 → $38
6 Dec 2023B of A SecuritiesReinstatesBuy$37
24 Nov 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$44 → $40
6 Sept 2023BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$50 → $48
18 Apr 2023Canaccord GenuityUpgradeBuy$65 → $67

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

SGML appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

  • Market Radar, every Monday: the week's biggest rank moves across ~4,600 US stocks, and the reason for each.
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Performance

SGML vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 12 Oct 2026, Sigma Lithium Corp. returned +41.2% against +20.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SGML vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
100150200250300Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SGMLS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SGML analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−59.5%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Sigma Lithium Corp. (SGML) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
123.5×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

Price / sales
6.3×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Price / book
10.8×

Cheaper than 8% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
26.5×

Cheaper than 10% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
223.9%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
223.9%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Gross margin
60.0%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Operating margin
24.6%

Higher than 83% of US stocks

Net margin
−19.3%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−31.6%

Higher than 27% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.1%

Higher than 72% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.0%

Higher than 1% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Sigma Lithium Corp. (SGML) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Sigma Lithium Corp. has a market value of $881.4M and an enterprise value of $1.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $142.5M. The latest quarter grew 223.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$27.6M, a −19.3% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $29.5M.

  • Shares outstanding: 112.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 123.5×; forward P/E: 4.3× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.

  • Sigma Lithium Corp. employs 560 people — $254K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SGML vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOther Industrial Metals & Mining
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SGMLSigma Lithium Corp.$881.4M42
TMCTMC the metals co., Inc.$1.1B6
CRMLCritical Metals Corp.$934.2M15
EMATEvolution Metals & Technologies Corp.$893.7M8
CMPCompass Minerals International, Inc.$892.9M99
LACLithium Americas Corp.$852.3M—
GSMFerroglobe Plc$745.6M64

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Sigma Lithium Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SGML news & analysis

Sigma Lithium extends debt runway as restart gathers pace

Proactive Investors · 23 Oct 2026positive

Sigma Lithium agreed with Synergy Capital to extend the maturity of its US$100 million senior secured debt by six months, from December 2026 to June 2027. The facility’s interest rate remains SOFR plus 6.95% per year.

Why it matters — The change gives SGML more time before the debt matures while leaving the stated interest rate unchanged.

Implied Volatility Surging for Sigma Lithium Stock Options

Zacks Investment Research · 9 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that implied volatility in Sigma Lithium (SGML) stock options has been surging, citing recent movements in the options market.

Why it matters — SGML watchers may want to note the recent options-market activity.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SGML stock

What is the SGML stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Sigma Lithium Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $10 to $13. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SGML stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Sigma Lithium Corp., 2 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Sigma Lithium Corp. 42 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 9 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SGML?

As at 9 Oct 2026, Sigma Lithium Corp. ranks 42 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (77 of 100).

Will SGML stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +24.9% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Sigma Lithium Corp. 42 out of 100 as at 9 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SGML stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Sigma Lithium Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SGML are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $13 over the next 12 months.

How has SGML stock performed over the past year?

Sigma Lithium Corp. returned +41.2% over the 12 months to 12 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Sigma Lithium Corp. do?

Sigma Lithium Corporation is a lithium producer focused on the exploration, development, and processing of hard-rock lithium deposits in Brazil. Its operations center on the Grota do Cirilo project in Minas Gerais, where the company produces lithium oxide concentrate for use in the lithium-ion battery supply chain.

What is the latest news on SGML?

The most recent item we track (Proactive Investors, 23 Oct 2026): "Sigma Lithium extends debt runway as restart gathers pace". Sigma Lithium agreed with Synergy Capital to extend the maturity of its US$100 million senior secured debt by six months, from December 2026 to June 2027. The facility’s interest rate remains SOFR plus 6.95% per year.

Company

About Sigma Lithium Corp.

Sigma Lithium Corporation is a lithium producer focused on the exploration, development, and processing of hard-rock lithium deposits in Brazil. Its operations center on the Grota do Cirilo project in Minas Gerais, where the company produces lithium oxide concentrate for use in the lithium-ion battery supply chain. Sigma Lithium Corporation supplies materials that support electric vehicle batteries and energy storage applications, making it part of the broader market for critical minerals used in the energy transition. The company emphasizes industrial-scale production, mineral beneficiation, and socially and environmentally sustainable operations across its Brazilian assets. Based in São Paulo, Brazil, Sigma Lithium Corporation plays a specialized role in the global market for battery-grade lithium materials.

CEO Ms. Ana Cabral-Gardner · 560 employees · Canada · https://www.sigmalithiumresources.com