TMCTMCBasic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining

TMC Stock Forecast: TMC the metals co., Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$4.01
−9.07% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering TMC the metals co., Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $11 — +171.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 5 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$2.2B
Ticker Nerd rank
5 / 100
Median analyst target
$11
Analysts covering
6
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−12.3%
1M
−4.1%
YTD
−35.0%
1Y
−25.9%
From 52W high
−62.5%
From 52W low
+16.2%
$3
$11
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

TMC stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores TMC the metals co., Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
5 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
61
Size
38
Revisions
31
Value
30
Volatility
25
Quality
13
Momentum
13
Growth
8
Issuance
8

Accruals (61): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Issuance (8): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

TMC stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on TMC, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$4$6$8$10$12Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26TMCHigh $12Median $11Low $10

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says6 analysts
6 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $10Median $11High $12

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +171.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
4 June 2026Maxim GroupInitiatesBuy$10
2 June 2026HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy$12
4 May 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform
20 Apr 2026WedbushReiteratesOutperform
31 Mar 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform
23 Jan 2026HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy
22 Jan 2026WedbushReiteratesOutperform
14 Nov 2025HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy
18 Aug 2025HC Wainwright & Co.ReiteratesBuy
6 Aug 2025HC Wainwright & Co.MaintainsBuy
25 June 2025WedbushUpgradeOutperform
20 May 2025HC Wainwright & Co.InitiatesBuy
16 May 2025WedbushReiteratesNeutral
28 Mar 2025WedbushReiteratesNeutral
15 Jan 2025Alliance Global PartnersInitiatesBuy
16 May 2024WedbushReiteratesNeutral
15 Aug 2023WedbushReiteratesNeutral
10 July 2023ThinkEquityInitiatesBuy
12 May 2023WedbushReiteratesNeutral
24 Nov 2021WedbushInitiatesNeutral

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. TMC appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

TMC analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

TMC the metals co., Inc. (TMC) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
−4.8×

Cheaper than 89% of US stocks

Price / sales
Price / book
−62.5×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−8.1×

Cheaper than 82% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
Earnings growth (YoY)
Gross margin
Operating margin
0.0%

Higher than 32% of US stocks

Net margin
0.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−1123.2%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Return on assets
−72.5%

Higher than 5% of US stocks

Dividend yield

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

TMC vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelOther Industrial Metals & Mining
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
TMCTMC the metals co., Inc.$2.2B
5
EMATEvolution Metals & Technologies Corp.$1.8B
8
NEXANexa Resources SA$1.9B
96
SSMRSunshine Silver Mining & Refining Co.$2.3B
0
SGMLSigma Lithium Corp.$1.3B
46
LACLithium Americas Corp.$1.2B
10
CMPCompass Minerals International, Inc.$1.1B
99

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own TMC the metals co., Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest TMC news & analysis

The Metals Company's Big Bet Now Comes Down to a License

MarketBeat · 16 Aug 2026neutral

The Metals Company (NASDAQ: TMC), a speculative deep-sea mining play, is advancing its strategy and gaining traction, with its progress now hinging on obtaining a license. The company's shares recently traded at $4.01, down 9.07%.

Why it matters — A TMC watcher would care because the company's entire deep-sea mining strategy now depends on securing the license that would allow it to proceed.

MP Materials vs. The Metals Company: Which Critical-Minerals Stock Is the Smarter Long-Term Buy?

The Motley Fool · 14 Aug 2026negative

The Motley Fool compares The Metals Company with MP Materials as critical-minerals stock investments. The article notes that The Metals Company offers higher upside but also higher risk, while concluding that MP Materials holds the long-term advantage based on commercial execution.

Why it matters — A TMC watcher would care because the analysis positions The Metals Company as a higher-risk option that lags competitor MP Materials on commercial execution in the critical-minerals sector.

TMC the metals Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 14 Aug 2026positive

In its Q2 earnings call, TMC the metals reported that its two U.S. seabed-mining applications are advancing through regulatory milestones, and its offshore collection system is moving into procurement ahead of a targeted commissioning in the fourth quarter of 2027.

Why it matters — TMC watchers would care because the company signaled continued progress on both the regulatory approval process for its seabed-mining applications and the development of its offshore collection system toward its 2027 commissioning target.

TMC the metals company Inc. (TMC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 13 Aug 2026neutral

TMC the metals company Inc. held its Q2 2026 earnings conference call, with the transcript of management's discussion and Q&A with analysts published by Seeking Alpha.

Why it matters — The earnings call transcript provides TMC watchers with direct insight into management's commentary on the company's quarterly performance and outlook.

TMC Provides Second Quarter 2026 Corporate Update

GlobeNewsWire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

TMC the metals company Inc. provided a corporate update and its second quarter 2026 financial results for the period ended June 30, 2026, via a GlobeNewsWire release on August 13, 2026.

Why it matters — TMC watchers would care because the update covers the company's second-quarter financial results and progress, offering insight into its current operational and financial position.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about TMC stock

What is the TMC stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering TMC the metals co., Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $11, with estimates ranging from $10 to $12. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is TMC stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering TMC the metals co., Inc., 6 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks TMC the metals co., Inc. 5 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank TMC?

As at 15 Aug 2026, TMC the metals co., Inc. ranks 5 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (61 of 100).

Will TMC stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +171.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks TMC the metals co., Inc. 5 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the TMC stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering TMC the metals co., Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for TMC are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $12 over the next 12 months.

How has TMC stock performed over the past year?

TMC the metals co., Inc. returned -25.9% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does TMC the metals co., Inc. do?

TMC the metals company Inc. is a deep-sea minerals exploration and development company focused on sourcing critical battery metals from the ocean floor to support the global energy transition.

What is the latest news on TMC?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 16 Aug 2026): "The Metals Company's Big Bet Now Comes Down to a License". The Metals Company (NASDAQ: TMC), a speculative deep-sea mining play, is advancing its strategy and gaining traction, with its progress now hinging on obtaining a license. The company's shares recently traded at $4.01, down 9.07%.

Company

About TMC the metals co., Inc.

TMC the metals company Inc. is a deep-sea minerals exploration and development company focused on sourcing critical battery metals from the ocean floor to support the global energy transition. Headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, the company specializes in the collection, processing, and refining of polymetallic nodules—rich deposits containing nickel, cobalt, copper, and manganese—from the Clarion-Clipperton Zone in the Pacific Ocean. These metals are essential for manufacturing electric vehicle batteries, renewable energy technologies, steel production, and electrical transmission systems. TMC employs both offshore collection operations and onshore metallurgical processing to extract battery-grade materials from nodules, positioning itself as an alternative to traditional land-based mining. The company holds exploration and commercial rights in polymetallic nodule contract areas and pursues a capital-efficient development strategy by partnering with existing offshore and onshore facilities rather than building extensive infrastructure from scratch. As a publicly traded company, TMC aims to provide a sustainable source of metals required for the electrification of transportation and renewable energy infrastructure globally.

CEO Mr. Gerard Barron · 48 employees · Canada · https://metals.co