GVAIndustrials · Engineering & ConstructionThe 5 Wall Street analysts covering Granite Construction, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $178 — +66.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 69 of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026 — in the upper half.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Granite Construction, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Volatility (92): The share price has been relatively steady.
Issuance (35): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.
Size (24): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GVA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +66.7% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | $139 → $119 |
| 31 July 2026 | Oppenheimer | Maintains | Outperform | $170 → $180 |
| 9 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Sell | $141 → $139 |
| 9 July 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Downgrade | Sell | — |
| 26 June 2026 | Stephens & Co. | Initiates | Overweight | — |
| 28 May 2026 | Oppenheimer | Initiates | Outperform | — |
| 13 Feb 2026 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 28 Jan 2026 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 24 Nov 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 11 Nov 2025 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 5 May 2025 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 9 Oct 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 2 Aug 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 16 Apr 2024 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 11 Mar 2024 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 27 Feb 2024 | DA Davidson | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 21 Feb 2023 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 14 Oct 2022 | Goldman Sachs | Maintains | Sell | — |
| 15 Apr 2021 | DA Davidson | Upgrade | Buy | — |
| 1 Apr 2020 | B. Riley FBR | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
GVA appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Granite Construction, Inc. returned +3.3% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Cheaper than 69% of US stocks
Cheaper than 15% of US stocks
Cheaper than 33% of US stocks
Higher than 78% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 62% of US stocks
Higher than 26% of US stocks
Higher than 34% of US stocks
Higher than 75% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Granite Construction, Inc. has a market value of $4.7B and an enterprise value of $5.4B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.0B. The latest quarter grew 29.3% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$139.6M, a −2.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−4.31.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $471.9M.
Granite Construction, Inc. spent $51.6M on share buybacks and $22.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 30.6×; forward P/E: 13.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.49%, paying out 15% of earnings.
Granite Construction, Inc. employs 2,500 people — $2.0M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Granite Construction, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Granite was awarded a U.S. Army Corps of Engineers contract to construct and install a BAK-12/14 aircraft arresting system at Homestead Air Reserve Base in Florida. The project is valued at approximately $11 million and is expected to be included in Granite’s third quarter 2026 CAP.
Why it matters — The contract adds an approximately $11 million project to Granite’s reported work pipeline.
Granite will report financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026, before market open on October 29, 2026. It will make its earnings presentation available on its Investor Relations website and host a conference call with a live audio webcast at 8:00 a.m. PT that day.
Why it matters — GVA watchers can note the scheduled release and call for the company’s quarterly results and discussion.
Seeking Alpha says Granite Construction remains rated Buy, with a revised FY27 price target of $159, citing faster-than-expected EBITDA growth driven by Construction. Its analysis points to FY26 EBITDA guidance of $689 million, 15.3% organic Construction growth, and a $7.4 billion backlog, while applying a 10.3x EV/EBITDA multiple.
Why it matters — The commentary highlights Construction growth and backlog as key factors behind the analysis of Granite’s near-term revenue and EBITDA outlook.
Granite announced that its Granite-Super Joint Venture, formed with Super Excavators, has been awarded a contract valued at approximately $324.8 million by the Northeast Ohio Regional Sewer District for the Big Creek Tunnel project in Cleveland, Ohio. The contract will be included in third quarter CAP and is part of NEORSD's Project Clean Lake program.
Why it matters — A multi-hundred-million-dollar contract award represents a significant addition to Granite's project pipeline and backlog, which investors tracking the company's growth would find notable.
Zacks Investment Research identifies Granite Construction (GVA), along with EME, DY, and TPC, as heavy construction stocks positioned to benefit from growth in telecom, data centers, and energy within the Zacks Building Products - Heavy Construction industry.
Why it matters — This highlights that GVA is expected to be favorably supported by broader infrastructure investment trends across telecom, data center, and energy sectors.
The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Granite Construction, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $178, with estimates ranging from $110 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 5 analysts covering Granite Construction, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Granite Construction, Inc. 69 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 24 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 24 Oct 2026, Granite Construction, Inc. ranks 69 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (92 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +66.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Granite Construction, Inc. 69 out of 100 as at 24 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Granite Construction, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GVA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $110 to $200 over the next 12 months.
Granite Construction, Inc. returned +3.3% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Granite Construction Incorporated is a U.S. infrastructure solutions and construction materials company.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 22 Oct 2026): "Granite Awarded Aircraft Arresting System Project in Florida". Granite was awarded a U.S. Army Corps of Engineers contract to construct and install a BAK-12/14 aircraft arresting system at Homestead Air Reserve Base in Florida. The project is valued at approximately $11 million and is expected to be included in Granite’s third quarter 2026 CAP.
Granite Construction Incorporated is a U.S. infrastructure solutions and construction materials company. Granite Construction Incorporated provides heavy civil construction services for transportation, water infrastructure, and other public and private projects, including roads, bridges, highways, airports, rail lines, dams, reservoirs, and site development. The company also produces construction materials such as aggregates, asphalt concrete, liquid asphalt, and recycled materials for use in its own projects and for sale to third parties. Through its Construction and Materials segments, Granite Construction Incorporated serves municipalities, commercial water suppliers, industrial clients, energy companies, and federal agencies, playing a key role in building and maintaining essential infrastructure across the Americas.
CEO Mr. Kyle T. Larkin · 2,500 employees · United States · https://www.graniteconstruction.com
