TICKERNERD
Menu
GVAGVAIndustrials · Engineering & Construction

GVA Stock Forecast: Granite Construction, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$120
+2.64% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Granite Construction, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $178 — +48.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 75 of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$5.3B
Ticker Nerd rank
75 / 100
Median analyst target
$178
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$1.5B+29.3% y/y
Operating income$125.6M
Net income−$271.6M
Free cash flow$142.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.2%
1M
+0.8%
YTD
+4.2%
1Y
+10.2%
From 52W high
−25.2%
From 52W low
+22.1%
$98
$160
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GVA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Granite Construction, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 3 Oct 2026
75 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
90
Value
85
Quality
78
Accruals
71
Momentum
63
Revisions
61
Growth
60
Issuance
35
Size
22

Volatility (90): The share price has been relatively steady.

Issuance (35): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (22): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GVA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GVA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160$180$200Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GVAHigh $200Median $178Low $119

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
4 Buy0 Hold1 Sell
Low $119Median $178High $200

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +48.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell$139 → $119
31 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$170 → $180
9 July 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeSell$141 → $139
9 July 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeSell—
26 June 2026Stephens & Co.InitiatesOverweight—
28 May 2026OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform—
13 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
28 Jan 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral—
24 Nov 2025Goldman SachsInitiatesNeutral—
11 Nov 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
5 May 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
9 Oct 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
2 Aug 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
16 Apr 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
11 Mar 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
27 Feb 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy—
21 Feb 2023Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
14 Oct 2022Goldman SachsMaintainsSell—
15 Apr 2021DA DavidsonUpgradeBuy—
1 Apr 2020B. Riley FBRMaintainsNeutral—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GVA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

GVA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Granite Construction, Inc. returned +10.2% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GVA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26GVAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GVA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+6.6%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Granite Construction, Inc. (GVA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
30.6×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.1×

Cheaper than 67% of US stocks

Price / book
7.0×

Cheaper than 14% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.4×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
29.3%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
29.3%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Gross margin
16.4%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Operating margin
9.0%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
−3.3%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−14.5%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.7%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.4%

Higher than 8% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Granite Construction, Inc. (GVA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Granite Construction, Inc. has a market value of $5.3B and an enterprise value of $6.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.0B. The latest quarter grew 29.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$139.6M, a −2.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−4.31.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $471.9M.

  • Granite Construction, Inc. spent $51.6M on share buybacks and $22.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 43.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 30.6×; forward P/E: 14.9× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.43%, paying out 14% of earnings.

  • Granite Construction, Inc. employs 2,500 people — $2.0M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 3 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GVA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEngineering & Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GVAGranite Construction, Inc.$5.3B
75
ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.$5.1B
69
AGXArgan, Inc.$5.4B
97
LGNLegence Corp.$5.8B
29
MYRGMYR Group, Inc.$4.7B
99
TPCTutor Perini Corp.$4.6B
99
ECGEverus Construction Group, Inc.$6.3B
89

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Granite Construction, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GVA news & analysis

Granite Joint Venture Awarded $324.8 Million Big Creek Tunnel Project in Ohio

Business Wire · 1 Oct 2026positive

Granite announced that its Granite-Super Joint Venture, formed with Super Excavators, has been awarded a contract valued at approximately $324.8 million by the Northeast Ohio Regional Sewer District for the Big Creek Tunnel project in Cleveland, Ohio. The contract will be included in third quarter CAP and is part of NEORSD's Project Clean Lake program.

Why it matters — A multi-hundred-million-dollar contract award represents a significant addition to Granite's project pipeline and backlog, which investors tracking the company's growth would find notable.

4 Heavy Construction Stocks Riding Higher Infrastructure Investment

Zacks Investment Research · 1 Oct 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research identifies Granite Construction (GVA), along with EME, DY, and TPC, as heavy construction stocks positioned to benefit from growth in telecom, data centers, and energy within the Zacks Building Products - Heavy Construction industry.

Why it matters — This highlights that GVA is expected to be favorably supported by broader infrastructure investment trends across telecom, data center, and energy sectors.

Granite Joint Venture Awarded Guam Defense System Forward Operating Sites Task Order

Business Wire · 29 Sept 2026positive

Granite announced that its GO3JV joint venture was awarded a new task order under the Guam Multiple Award Construction Contract to build key components of the Guam Defense System Forward Operating Sites for NAVFAC. The task order is valued at approximately $165 million and will be included in third quarter CAP, covering site preparation and related work.

Why it matters — This award adds a sizable new contract to Granite's backlog, which is relevant for investors tracking the company's future revenue and project pipeline.

Are Investors Undervaluing Granite Construction (GVA) Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 24 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article asking whether investors are currently undervaluing Granite Construction (GVA). The piece explains that Zacks focuses on its Rank system, which emphasizes earnings estimates and revisions, while also tracking value, growth, and momentum trends.

Why it matters — A GVA watcher would care because the piece signals that analysts are evaluating whether the stock's current valuation underestimates the company's earnings outlook.

Granite Joins Plug and Play to Accelerate Infrastructure Innovation

Business Wire · 17 Sept 2026positive

Granite announced it has joined Plug and Play's Real Estate & Construction program in Silicon Valley. Through the partnership, Granite will collaborate with emerging technology companies, industry leaders, and entrepreneurs to identify innovative solutions for how infrastructure is planned, built, and maintained.

Why it matters — A GVA watcher would care because the partnership positions Granite to explore innovation and new technologies that could help transform its infrastructure operations.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GVA stock

What is the GVA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Granite Construction, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $178, with estimates ranging from $119 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GVA stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Granite Construction, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Granite Construction, Inc. 75 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 3 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GVA?

As at 3 Oct 2026, Granite Construction, Inc. ranks 75 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (90 of 100).

Will GVA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +48.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Granite Construction, Inc. 75 out of 100 as at 3 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GVA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Granite Construction, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GVA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $119 to $200 over the next 12 months.

How has GVA stock performed over the past year?

Granite Construction, Inc. returned +10.2% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Granite Construction, Inc. do?

Granite Construction Incorporated is a U.S. infrastructure solutions and construction materials company.

What is the latest news on GVA?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 1 Oct 2026): "Granite Joint Venture Awarded $324.8 Million Big Creek Tunnel Project in Ohio". Granite announced that its Granite-Super Joint Venture, formed with Super Excavators, has been awarded a contract valued at approximately $324.8 million by the Northeast Ohio Regional Sewer District for the Big Creek Tunnel project in Cleveland, Ohio. The contract will be included in third quarter CAP and is part of NEORSD's Project Clean Lake program.

Company

About Granite Construction, Inc.

Granite Construction Incorporated is a U.S. infrastructure solutions and construction materials company. Granite Construction Incorporated provides heavy civil construction services for transportation, water infrastructure, and other public and private projects, including roads, bridges, highways, airports, rail lines, dams, reservoirs, and site development. The company also produces construction materials such as aggregates, asphalt concrete, liquid asphalt, and recycled materials for use in its own projects and for sale to third parties. Through its Construction and Materials segments, Granite Construction Incorporated serves municipalities, commercial water suppliers, industrial clients, energy companies, and federal agencies, playing a key role in building and maintaining essential infrastructure across the Americas.

CEO Mr. Kyle T. Larkin · 2,500 employees · United States · https://www.graniteconstruction.com