GVAGVAIndustrials · Engineering & Construction

GVA Stock Forecast: Granite Construction, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 10 Sept 2026
$115
−1.20% on the day

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Granite Construction, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $178 — +54.0% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 76 of 100 as at 9 Sept 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$5.1B
Ticker Nerd rank
76 / 100
Median analyst target
$178
Analysts covering
5
Revenue$1.5B+29.3% y/y
Operating income$125.6M
Net income−$271.6M
Free cash flow$142.7M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.2%
1M
−8.5%
YTD
+0.1%
1Y
+6.7%
From 52W high
−28.1%
From 52W low
+17.4%
$98
$160
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

GVA stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Granite Construction, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 9 Sept 2026
76 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
93
Value
89
Quality
81
Accruals
71
Revisions
62
Growth
61
Momentum
59
Issuance
35
Size
23

Volatility (93): The share price has been relatively steady.

Issuance (35): The company has been issuing shares or taking on financing, diluting existing holders.

Size (23): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

GVA stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on GVA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$100$120$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GVAHigh $200Median $178Low $119

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says5 analysts
4 Buy0 Hold1 Sell
Low $119Median $178High $200

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +54.0% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
31 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsSell$139$119
31 July 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$170$180
9 July 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeSell$141$139
9 July 2026Goldman SachsDowngradeSell
26 June 2026Stephens & Co.InitiatesOverweight
28 May 2026OppenheimerInitiatesOutperform
13 Feb 2026DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
28 Jan 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsNeutral
24 Nov 2025Goldman SachsInitiatesNeutral
11 Nov 2025DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
5 May 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsSell
9 Oct 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsSell
2 Aug 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsSell
16 Apr 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsSell
11 Mar 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
27 Feb 2024DA DavidsonMaintainsBuy
21 Feb 2023Goldman SachsMaintainsSell
14 Oct 2022Goldman SachsMaintainsSell
15 Apr 2021DA DavidsonUpgradeBuy
1 Apr 2020B. Riley FBRMaintainsNeutral

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. GVA appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

GVA vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 10 Sept 2026, Granite Construction, Inc. returned +6.7% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

GVA vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
90100110120130140150Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26GVAS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

GVA analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.1%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Granite Construction, Inc. (GVA) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
30.6×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.0×

Cheaper than 69% of US stocks

Price / book
6.7×

Cheaper than 15% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.1×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
29.3%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
29.3%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Gross margin
16.4%

Higher than 16% of US stocks

Operating margin
9.0%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Net margin
−3.3%

Higher than 26% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−14.5%

Higher than 34% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.7%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.5%

Higher than 8% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Granite Construction, Inc. (GVA) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Granite Construction, Inc. has a market value of $5.1B and an enterprise value of $5.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.0B. The latest quarter grew 29.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$139.6M, a −2.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−4.31.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $471.9M.

  • Granite Construction, Inc. spent $51.6M on share buybacks and $22.7M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 43.8M.

  • Trailing P/E: 30.6×; forward P/E: 14.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.45%, paying out 14% of earnings.

  • Granite Construction, Inc. employs 2,500 people $2.0M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 11 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

GVA vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelEngineering & Construction
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
GVAGranite Construction, Inc.$5.1B
76
ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.$5.5B
76
TPCTutor Perini Corp.$4.6B
99
AGXArgan, Inc.$5.6B
95
KBRKBR, Inc.$4.6B
76
MYRGMYR Group, Inc.$4.5B
99
LGNLegence Corp.$6.0B
29

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Granite Construction, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest GVA news & analysis

Granite Declares Quarterly Dividend

Business Wire · 10 Sept 2026neutral

Granite (NYSE:GVA) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.13 per common share, payable on October 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2026.

Why it matters — This announcement confirms Granite's ongoing return of cash to shareholders through a regular quarterly dividend.

Granite Awarded Two Medicine Road Rehabilitation Project in Glacier National Park

Business Wire · 9 Sept 2026positive

Granite has been awarded a contract by the Federal Highway Administration's Western Federal Lands Highway Division to rehabilitate 7.22 miles of Two Medicine Road in Glacier National Park, Montana. The contract is valued at approximately $23.7 million and will be included in Granite's third quarter CAP.

Why it matters — The project adds a new contract win to Granite's backlog, which will be reflected in its third quarter results.

EMCOR vs. Granite: Which Construction Stock is the Better Buy Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 28 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of construction stocks EMCOR (EME) and Granite Construction (GVA), evaluating which has the stronger growth outlook as infrastructure demand expands across data centers, AI, and public markets. The piece frames the two companies as alternatives for investors considering the sector.

Why it matters — GVA watchers would care because the article assesses Granite's growth prospects relative to a peer within the same expanding infrastructure market, offering context on how the company is positioned.

Wall Street Analysts See a 30.86% Upside in Granite Construction (GVA): Can the Stock Really Move This High?

Zacks Investment Research · 27 Aug 2026positive

Zacks reports that the average of Wall Street analysts' price targets for Granite Construction (GVA) suggests roughly 30.9% potential upside. The article notes that while this price-target metric may be of questionable effectiveness, positive earnings estimate revisions could support the stock.

Why it matters — GVA watchers would care because analyst price targets and improving earnings estimate revisions are indicators of how Wall Street views the company's prospects.

Granite Awarded Burke-Gilman Trail Project in Seattle

Business Wire · 26 Aug 2026positive

Granite announced it has been awarded a progressive design-build contract by the University of Washington for the Burke-Gilman Trail Transit Access, Safety Efficiency Improvements Project in Seattle, with a total construction value of approximately $12.3 million. The project was included in Granite's second quarter 2026 Company Award Pipeline (CAP).

Why it matters — The contract award adds approximately $12.3 million to Granite's construction backlog and demonstrates continued success in securing public infrastructure work in the Seattle area.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about GVA stock

What is the GVA stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 5 Wall Street analysts covering Granite Construction, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $178, with estimates ranging from $119 to $200. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is GVA stock a buy right now?

Of the 5 analysts covering Granite Construction, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Granite Construction, Inc. 76 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 9 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank GVA?

As at 9 Sept 2026, Granite Construction, Inc. ranks 76 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (93 of 100).

Will GVA stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 5 analysts implies +54.0% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Granite Construction, Inc. 76 out of 100 as at 9 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the GVA stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Granite Construction, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for GVA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $119 to $200 over the next 12 months.

How has GVA stock performed over the past year?

Granite Construction, Inc. returned +6.7% over the 12 months to 10 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Granite Construction, Inc. do?

Granite Construction Incorporated is a U.S. infrastructure solutions and construction materials company.

What is the latest news on GVA?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 10 Sept 2026): "Granite Declares Quarterly Dividend". Granite (NYSE:GVA) announced that its Board of Directors has declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.13 per common share, payable on October 15, 2026, to shareholders of record as of September 30, 2026.

Company

About Granite Construction, Inc.

Granite Construction Incorporated is a U.S. infrastructure solutions and construction materials company. Granite Construction Incorporated provides heavy civil construction services for transportation, water infrastructure, and other public and private projects, including roads, bridges, highways, airports, rail lines, dams, reservoirs, and site development. The company also produces construction materials such as aggregates, asphalt concrete, liquid asphalt, and recycled materials for use in its own projects and for sale to third parties. Through its Construction and Materials segments, Granite Construction Incorporated serves municipalities, commercial water suppliers, industrial clients, energy companies, and federal agencies, playing a key role in building and maintaining essential infrastructure across the Americas.

CEO Mr. Kyle T. Larkin · 2,500 employees · United States · https://www.graniteconstruction.com