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HOMBHOMBFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

HOMB Stock Forecast: Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 22 Sept 2026
$29
−1.59% on the day

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) hold a median 12-month price target of $33 — +13.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 64 of 100 as at 22 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$5.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
64 / 100
Median analyst target
$33
Analysts covering
10
Revenue$291.5M+9.3% y/y
Net income$119.3M
Free cash flow$94.1M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.5%
1M
−3.7%
YTD
+7.3%
1Y
+3.7%
From 52W high
−7.2%
From 52W low
+14.3%
$25
$31
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HOMB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Sept 2026
64 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
88
Volatility
85
Issuance
78
Revisions
75
Growth
59
Momentum
58
Value
31
Accruals
23
Size
21

Quality (88): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Accruals (23): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (21): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HOMB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HOMB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$26$28$30$32$34$36Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HOMBHigh $36Median $33Low $31

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says10 analysts
4 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $31Median $33High $36

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +13.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 5 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Sept 2026Hovde GroupInitiatesOutperform$34
19 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral$30 → $31
19 Aug 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral—
21 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
21 July 2026CitigroupMaintainsNeutral$29 → $32
17 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform$30 → $32
17 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
17 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight$33 → $36
17 July 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
17 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
17 July 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight$32 → $35
25 June 2026BenchmarkInitiatesHold—
19 May 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral—
20 Apr 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsMarket Perform—
17 Apr 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
17 Apr 2026Stephens & Co.MaintainsOverweight—
26 Mar 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
3 Mar 2026Cantor FitzgeraldMaintainsNeutral—
16 Jan 2026Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—
17 Oct 2025Piper SandlerMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HOMB appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

HOMB vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 22 Sept 2026, Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) returned +3.7% against +17.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HOMB vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
859095100105110115120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HOMBS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HOMB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.8%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) (HOMB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.2×

Cheaper than 52% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.4×

Cheaper than 23% of US stocks

Price / book
1.3×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
8.6%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
0.8%

Higher than 37% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
57.6%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Net margin
43.6%

Higher than 95% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
11.1%

Higher than 66% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.0%

Higher than 59% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.1%

Higher than 65% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) (HOMB) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) has a market value of $5.9B and an enterprise value of $5.8B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $1.1B. The latest quarter grew 8.6% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $479.4M, a 43.2% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.42.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $429.9M.

  • Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) spent $79.7M on share buybacks and $164.2M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 200.5M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.2×; forward P/E: 11.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.11%, paying out 34% of earnings.

  • Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) employs 2,543 people — $436K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 22 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HOMB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HOMBHome Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas)$5.9B
64
HWCHancock Whitney Corp.$5.9B
44
GBCIGlacier Bancorp, Inc.$5.7B
23
ABCBAmeris Bancorp$5.6B
32
AUBAtlantic Union Bankshares Corp.$5.5B
58
ASBAssociated Banc-Corp$5.5B
47
FNBF.N.B. Corp. (Pennsylvania)$6.3B
56

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HOMB news & analysis

Home BancShares, Inc. Announces Recognition in Forbes Top-Performing Banks and Bank Director RankingBanking

GlobeNewsWire · 18 Sept 2026positive

Home BancShares, Inc., parent company of Centennial Bank, announced that it has received two recent performance recognitions including inclusion in Forbes' Top-Performing Banks and a Bank Director ranking. The announcement was made on September 18, 2026 from Conway, Arkansas.

Why it matters — These third-party designations serve as external validation of Home BancShares' and Centennial Bank's performance, which shareholders and analysts may view as a positive signal about the company's standing within the banking industry.

Home Bancshares, Inc. Announces Third Quarter Earnings Release Date And Conference Call

GlobeNewsWire · 14 Sept 2026neutral

Home BancShares, Inc. announced it expects to release its Third Quarter 2026 earnings after market close on October 14, 2026, followed by a management conference call at 1:00 p.m. CT on Thursday, October 15, 2026.

Why it matters — A HOMB watcher would care because this sets the schedule for the company's third-quarter financial results and management's conference call.

Home BancShares, Inc. and Centennial Bank Mourn the Passing of Tracy French

GlobeNewsWire · 3 Aug 2026negative

Home BancShares, Inc. and its subsidiary Centennial Bank announced the passing of Tracy French, a longtime director of both companies and former Chairman of Centennial Bank, who died on August 2, 2026, after more than two decades of service to the organization.

Why it matters — HOMB watchers would note the loss of a longtime board member and former Centennial Bank chairman whose leadership shaped the organization for over two decades.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HOMB stock

What is the HOMB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 10 Wall Street analysts covering Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) have a median 12-month price target of $33, with estimates ranging from $31 to $36. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HOMB stock a buy right now?

Of the 10 analysts covering Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas), 4 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) 64 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HOMB?

As at 22 Sept 2026, Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) ranks 64 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (88 of 100).

Will HOMB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 10 analysts implies +13.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) 64 out of 100 as at 22 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HOMB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HOMB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $31 to $36 over the next 12 months.

How has HOMB stock performed over the past year?

Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) returned +3.7% over the 12 months to 22 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas) do?

Home BancShares, Inc. is a bank holding company based in Conway, Arkansas, and the parent of Centennial Bank.

What is the latest news on HOMB?

The most recent item we track (GlobeNewsWire, 18 Sept 2026): "Home BancShares, Inc. Announces Recognition in Forbes Top-Performing Banks and Bank Director RankingBanking". Home BancShares, Inc., parent company of Centennial Bank, announced that it has received two recent performance recognitions including inclusion in Forbes' Top-Performing Banks and a Bank Director ranking. The announcement was made on September 18, 2026 from Conway, Arkansas.

Company

About Home Bancshares, Inc. (Arkansas).

Home BancShares, Inc. is a bank holding company based in Conway, Arkansas, and the parent of Centennial Bank. Through its community banking platform, it provides commercial and retail banking services along with related financial products for businesses, real estate developers and investors, individuals, and municipalities. Its offerings include deposit accounts, loan products, cash management, and online and mobile banking services. The company focuses on serving local and regional markets through community-oriented banking relationships, with operations concentrated in the Southern and Southeastern United States and select metropolitan markets. Home BancShares also acquires and integrates community banks that serve attractive markets, reinforcing its role as a regional banking platform with a broad mix of lending, deposit gathering, and customer service activities.

CEO Mr. John W. Allison · 2,543 employees · United States · https://www.homebancshares.com