The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Herc Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $176 — +36.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 71 of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Herc Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Revisions (85): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.
Volatility (31): The share price moves around a lot.
Size (25): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HRI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +36.4% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 6 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $175 → $150 |
| 8 Oct 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $218 → $176 |
| 10 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | — |
| 10 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Upgrade | Overweight | $165 → $175 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | $176 → $218 |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 29 July 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 July 2026 | BNP Paribas | Maintains | Neutral | $160 → $165 |
| 29 July 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 29 July 2026 | Keybanc | Maintains | Overweight | $165 → $185 |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | $155 → $175 |
| 14 July 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | $140 → $165 |
| 13 July 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
| 29 June 2026 | BNP Paribas | Initiates | Neutral | — |
| 30 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 29 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Citigroup | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 13 Apr 2026 | Wells Fargo | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 10 Apr 2026 | JP Morgan | Maintains | Neutral | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HRI appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 13 Oct 2026, Herc Holdings, Inc. returned +8.7% against +18.6% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 9% of US stocks
Cheaper than 72% of US stocks
Cheaper than 41% of US stocks
Cheaper than 23% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 36% of US stocks
Higher than 68% of US stocks
Higher than 50% of US stocks
Higher than 49% of US stocks
Higher than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 81% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
Herc Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $4.3B and an enterprise value of $13.8B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $4.9B. The latest quarter grew 20.2% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $49.0M, a 1.0% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.47.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$128.0M, after $159.0M of capital spending.
Herc Holdings, Inc. spent $93.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 84.1×; forward P/E: 11.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 2.18%, paying out 183% of earnings.
Herc Holdings, Inc. employs 9,600 people — $506K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Herc Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
Herc Holdings said it will release third-quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on October 27, 2026, followed by an investor conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET. Management will review the results on the call.
Why it matters — HRI watchers can note when the company plans to report its quarterly results and discuss them with investors.
Zacks Investment Research published an article examining whether investors are currently undervaluing Herc Holdings (HRI). The piece discusses how the Zacks Rank system emphasizes earnings estimates and estimate revisions while also considering value, growth, and momentum trends to identify strong stock picks.
Why it matters — A HRI watcher would care because it highlights how the company is being evaluated on key investment criteria like earnings estimates and valuation trends.
A Zacks Investment Research piece compares United Rentals and Herc Holdings as rental stock picks, noting that both companies raised their 2026 outlooks. The article connects this outlook improvement to mega-project demand, specialty growth, and fleet investments supporting rental growth.
Why it matters — Herc watchers would care because the piece highlights that HRI, alongside United Rentals, raised its 2026 outlook on strong demand drivers and fleet investments.
Zacks Investment Research highlights Herc Holdings' recent share gains, rising earnings estimates, and raised 2026 guidance as factors supporting its outlook. The article presents these developments as strengthening the company's investment case.
Why it matters — A HRI watcher would care because upward earnings revisions and raised forward guidance signal improving near-term expectations for the company.
Herc Holdings (HRI) shares rose 3.8% in the last session on above-average trading volume. The latest trend in earnings estimate revisions, however, does not suggest further strength going forward.
Why it matters — The stock's recent price gain contrasts with the current earnings estimate revision trend, giving HRI watchers insight into the company's momentum and near-term outlook.
The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Herc Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $176, with estimates ranging from $135 to $240. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 11 analysts covering Herc Holdings, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 1 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Herc Holdings, Inc. 71 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 12 Oct 2026, Herc Holdings, Inc. ranks 71 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (85 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +36.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Herc Holdings, Inc. 71 out of 100 as at 12 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering Herc Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HRI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $135 to $240 over the next 12 months.
Herc Holdings, Inc. returned +8.7% over the 12 months to 13 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
Herc Holdings Inc. is an equipment rental company that serves construction, industrial, infrastructure, government, and other commercial customers across North America and selected international markets.
The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 13 Oct 2026): "Herc Holdings Inc. Announces Date for Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call and Webcast". Herc Holdings said it will release third-quarter 2026 financial results before the market opens on October 27, 2026, followed by an investor conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET. Management will review the results on the call.
Herc Holdings Inc. is an equipment rental company that serves construction, industrial, infrastructure, government, and other commercial customers across North America and selected international markets. Through its Herc Rentals subsidiary, the company provides a broad fleet that includes aerial, earthmoving, material handling, trucks and trailers, air compressors, compaction, lighting, power generation, pumps, climate control, trench shoring, remediation, and specialty tools. In addition to rentals, Herc Holdings offers used equipment sales, contractor supplies, repair and maintenance services, equipment management support, safety training, and other on-site services. The company focuses on helping customers access the equipment and support they need without the burden of ownership, maintenance, and fleet management. Herc Holdings is headquartered in Bonita Springs, Florida.
CEO Mr. Lawrence H. Silber · 9,600 employees · United States · https://www.hercrentals.com
