JEFJEFFinancial Services · Capital Markets

JEF Stock Forecast: Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026
$52
+1.08% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $63 — +19.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 58 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$10.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
58 / 100
Median analyst target
$63
Analysts covering
6
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−4.4%
1M
−7.1%
YTD
−13.6%
1Y
−8.9%
From 52W high
−23.4%
From 52W low
+47.5%
$35
$68
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

JEF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026
58 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
96
Growth
84
Quality
74
Volatility
71
Issuance
60
Momentum
51
Revisions
43
Accruals
15
Size
14

Value (96): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Accruals (15): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (14): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

JEF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on JEF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$30$40$50$60$70$80$90Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26JEFHigh $83Median $63Low $46

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says6 analysts
2 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $46Median $63High $83

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +19.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 2 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
25 June 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform$87$83
25 June 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$67$65
18 June 2026UBSDowngradeNeutral$59$67
12 June 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform
9 June 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight
8 June 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform
14 Apr 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy
26 Mar 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy
23 Mar 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform
13 Mar 2026OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform
12 Mar 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy
12 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsBuy
11 Dec 2025OppenheimerMaintainsOutperform
11 Dec 2025UBSAssumesBuy$76
8 Dec 2025Morgan StanleyUpgradeOverweight
17 Oct 2025BMO CapitalMaintainsMarket Perform
17 Oct 2025OppenheimerUpgradeOutperform
14 Oct 2025Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy
3 Oct 2025BMO CapitalInitiatesMarket Perform
30 Sept 2025Morgan StanleyMaintainsEqual-Weight

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. JEF appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

JEF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+1.0%
Analysts raising
3
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. (JEF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
14.6×

Cheaper than 48% of US stocks

Price / sales
2.0×

Cheaper than 53% of US stocks

Price / book
1.0×

Cheaper than 74% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−2.6×

Cheaper than 73% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
35.0%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
157.8%

Higher than 88% of US stocks

Gross margin
56.2%

Higher than 69% of US stocks

Operating margin
16.9%

Higher than 75% of US stocks

Net margin
23.0%

Higher than 84% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
5.9%

Higher than 55% of US stocks

Return on assets
0.8%

Higher than 48% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.1%

Higher than 66% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

JEF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelCapital Markets
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
JEFJefferies Financial Group, Inc.$10.6B
58
SFStifel Financial Corp.$12.5B
90
EVREvercore, Inc.$11.6B
73
BMNRBitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc.$13.8B
7
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.$10.4B
87
HUTHut 8 Corp.$10.0B
15
IRENIREN Ltd.$14.9B
12

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest JEF news & analysis

Do Options Traders Know Something About Jefferies Stock We Don't?

Zacks Investment Research · 17 Aug 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research reports that recent movements in the options market for Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) stock warrant investor attention, suggesting unusual activity among options traders.

Why it matters — A JEF watcher would care because unusual options-market activity may signal that investors are positioning for a potential move in the stock.

Dividend Champion, Contender, And Challenger Highlights: Week August 16

Seeking Alpha · 14 Aug 2026neutral

The article provides a weekly summary of dividend activity for Dividend Champions, Contenders, and Challengers, including companies that changed their dividends and those with upcoming ex-dividend dates.

Why it matters — JEF watchers would monitor this dividend activity report for any changes that could affect dividend-focused portfolios or indicate broader trends among dividend-paying companies.

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. Shareholders Are Encouraged to Contact Johnson Fistel Regarding Potential Recovery of Investment Losses

Business Wire · 13 Aug 2026negative

Johnson Fistel, PLLP announced it is investigating whether Jefferies Financial Group Inc. or certain executive officers violated federal securities laws regarding disclosures about the company's exposure to First Brands Group through its asset-management operations. The firm is encouraging shareholders who purchased Jefferies securities and suffered investment losses to contact it regarding a potential recovery.

Why it matters — A securities-law investigation into the accuracy of Jefferies' disclosures about its First Brands Group exposure could signal legal and reputational risk for the company and its shareholders.

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (NYSE:JEF) Is Being Investigated by Abraham, Fruchter & Twersky, LLP

GlobeNewsWire · 13 Aug 2026negative

Abraham, Fruchter & Twersky, LLP announced it is investigating potential violations of federal securities laws by Jefferies Financial Group and its directors and officers. The investigation is examining whether Jefferies or its executives made false or misleading statements or failed to disclose material information to investors.

Why it matters — A JEF watcher would care because the firm is being investigated over potential securities-law violations concerning its disclosures to investors.

RGRD Law Launches Investigation into Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. and Encourages Investors and Potential Witnesses to Contact Firm

GlobeNewsWire · 12 Aug 2026negative

Robbins Geller (RGRD Law) announced it is investigating whether Jefferies Financial Group Inc. and certain of its top executives made materially false and/or misleading statements. The firm is encouraging investors and potential witnesses to contact it regarding the probe.

Why it matters — A securities investigation into possible false or misleading statements by Jefferies and its executives raises legal and reputational scrutiny that JEF watchers would monitor.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about JEF stock

What is the JEF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $63, with estimates ranging from $46 to $83. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is JEF stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Jefferies Financial Group, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. 58 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank JEF?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. ranks 58 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (96 of 100).

Will JEF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +19.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. 58 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the JEF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for JEF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $46 to $83 over the next 12 months.

How has JEF stock performed over the past year?

Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. returned -8.9% over the 12 months to 21 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Jefferies Financial Group, Inc. do?

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is a diversified financial services company headquartered in New York City, focused primarily on investment banking, capital markets, and asset management activities worldwide.

What is the latest news on JEF?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 17 Aug 2026): "Do Options Traders Know Something About Jefferies Stock We Don't?". Zacks Investment Research reports that recent movements in the options market for Jefferies Financial Group (JEF) stock warrant investor attention, suggesting unusual activity among options traders.

Company

About Jefferies Financial Group, Inc.

Jefferies Financial Group Inc. is a diversified financial services company headquartered in New York City, focused primarily on investment banking, capital markets, and asset management activities worldwide. The firm provides a full range of services including corporate finance and advisory for mergers and acquisitions, underwriting of equity and debt offerings, and restructuring advice for corporate clients, financial sponsors, and governments. Its capital markets operations encompass equities and fixed income sales and trading, research, and related financing solutions, including prime brokerage, securities lending, and structured lending through joint ventures such as Jefferies Finance and commercial real estate financing via Berkadia. In asset management, Jefferies Financial Group Inc. offers alternative investment management products and services, managing capital across strategies for institutional and individual investors in the U.S. and internationally. Operating across the Americas, Europe and the Middle East, and Asia-Pacific, the company plays a significant role as a full-service provider connecting issuers and investors, facilitating capital formation, risk transfer, and investment solutions in global financial markets.

CEO Mr. Richard Brian Handler · 7,371 employees · United States · https://www.jefferies.com