SFSFFinancial Services · Capital Markets

SF Stock Forecast: Stifel Financial Corp. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 2 Oct 2026
$70
−0.09% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Stifel Financial Corp. hold a median 12-month price target of $87 — +23.8% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 85 of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026 — inside the top quartile. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$10.6B
Ticker Nerd rank
85 / 100
Median analyst target
$87
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$1.4B+13.3% y/y
Net income$226.5M
Free cash flow$61.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.1%
1M
−12.2%
YTD
−14.7%
1Y
−4.1%
From 52W high
−19.8%
From 52W low
+3.8%
$68
$88
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

SF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Stifel Financial Corp. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Oct 2026
85 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Growth
94
Value
91
Volatility
84
Quality
83
Revisions
80
Momentum
65
Issuance
60
Accruals
18
Size
15

Growth (94): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.

Accruals (18): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Size (15): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

SF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on SF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$70$80$90$100$110Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SFHigh $103Median $87Low $81

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
3 Buy5 Hold0 Sell
Low $81Median $87High $103

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +23.8% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
23 July 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$80 → $86
8 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
8 July 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$89 → $86
8 Apr 2026UBSMaintainsBuy—
23 Mar 2026TD CowenMaintainsHold—
14 Jan 2026TD CowenDowngradeHold—
12 Jan 2026CitizensMaintainsMarket Outperform—
8 Jan 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
11 Dec 2025UBSAssumesBuy$150
23 Oct 2025JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
9 Oct 2025JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform—
8 Oct 2025TD CowenUpgradeBuy—
3 Oct 2025BMO CapitalInitiatesMarket Perform—
31 July 2025CitigroupUpgradeBuy—
14 July 2025JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform—
11 July 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
7 July 2025CitigroupMaintainsNeutral—
24 Apr 2025Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
11 Apr 2025JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
9 Apr 2025TD CowenMaintainsHold—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. SF appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

SF vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 2 Oct 2026, Stifel Financial Corp. returned −4.1% against +16.2% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

SF vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
95100105110115120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26SFS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

SF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+3.5%
Analysts raising
7
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Stifel Financial Corp. (SF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
12.5×

Cheaper than 51% of US stocks

Price / sales
1.8×

Cheaper than 54% of US stocks

Price / book
2.0×

Cheaper than 44% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
12.7%

Higher than 58% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
46.1%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
21.8%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Net margin
16.3%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
16.4%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Return on assets
2.3%

Higher than 60% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.9%

Higher than 42% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Stifel Financial Corp. (SF) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Stifel Financial Corp. has a market value of $10.6B and an enterprise value of $9.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $5.9B. The latest quarter grew 12.7% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $953.6M, a 16.3% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.59.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $361.0M.

  • Stifel Financial Corp. spent $337.3M on share buybacks and $255.8M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 151.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 12.5×; forward P/E: 9.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.94%, paying out 23% of earnings.

  • Stifel Financial Corp. employs 8,900 people — $658K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 1 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

SF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelCapital Markets
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
SFStifel Financial Corp.$10.6B
85
HUTHut 8 Corp.$11.0B
15
XPXP, Inc.$11.2B
78
JEFJefferies Financial Group, Inc.$10.6B
59
EVREvercore, Inc.$10.4B
65
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.$9.0B
86
HLIHoulihan Lokey, Inc.$8.8B
37

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Stifel Financial Corp. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest SF news & analysis

1919 Investment Counsel Recognized Among Barron's 2026 Top 100 RIA Firms

PRNewsWire · 30 Sept 2026positive

1919 Investment Counsel, a subsidiary of Stifel Financial Corp., announced its inclusion in Barron's 2026 Top 100 RIA Firms list. The recognition highlights the firm's standing among registered investment advisory firms.

Why it matters — This recognition brings positive visibility to a Stifel subsidiary and reflects favorably on the firm's wealth-management capabilities.

Santhera first-half sales double as Stifel keeps ‘buy' rating and CHF25 target

Proactive Investors · 30 Sept 2026neutral

Stifel reiterated its 'buy' rating and CHF25 price target on Santhera Pharmaceuticals after the Swiss neuromuscular drugmaker doubled first-half revenue to CHF48.3 million. Santhera left its 2026 guidance of CHF80 million to CHF90 million unchanged.

Why it matters — The news highlights a Stifel rating and price target affirmation on a covered company following strong revenue growth, which is relevant to followers of Stifel's stock coverage.

Stifel Reports August 2026 Operating Data

GlobeNewsWire · 24 Sept 2026neutral

Stifel Financial Corp. reported selected operating results for August 31, 2026, providing investors with timely information on certain key performance metrics. The company noted that due to the limited nature of the data, a consistent correlation to earnings should not be assumed.

Why it matters — SF watchers would care because the release offers a periodic update on key operating metrics before formal earnings are reported.

Stifel Expands Venture Banking Presence Across East Coast With Senior Hires

GlobeNewsWire · 17 Sept 2026positive

Stifel Financial announced the addition of three senior leaders to its Venture Banking business, expanding and further solidifying its presence across the East Coast. The announcement comes via GlobeNewsWire.

Why it matters — SF watchers would care because the hires signal continued growth and expansion of Stifel's venture banking operations along the East Coast.

KBW Announces Index Rebalancing for Third-Quarter 2026

GlobeNewsWire · 12 Sept 2026neutral

Keefe, Bruyette & Woods, Inc., the specialist investment bank and wholly owned subsidiary of Stifel Financial Corp. (NYSE: SF), announced the upcoming index rebalancing for the third quarter of 2026, as released via GlobeNewsWire.

Why it matters — Since KBW is a wholly owned subsidiary of Stifel Financial Corp., changes to its index rebalancing may affect index constituents and, consequently, Stifel's financial-services and fintech client activity.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about SF stock

What is the SF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering Stifel Financial Corp. have a median 12-month price target of $87, with estimates ranging from $81 to $103. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is SF stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering Stifel Financial Corp., 3 rate it a Buy, 5 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Stifel Financial Corp. 85 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank SF?

As at 2 Oct 2026, Stifel Financial Corp. ranks 85 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (94 of 100).

Will SF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +23.8% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Stifel Financial Corp. 85 out of 100 as at 2 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the SF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Stifel Financial Corp. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for SF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $81 to $103 over the next 12 months.

How has SF stock performed over the past year?

Stifel Financial Corp. returned -4.1% over the 12 months to 2 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Stifel Financial Corp. do?

Stifel Financial Corp. is a diversified financial services holding company that provides wealth management, investment banking, brokerage, trading, lending, and related advisory services.

What is the latest news on SF?

The most recent item we track (PRNewsWire, 30 Sept 2026): "1919 Investment Counsel Recognized Among Barron's 2026 Top 100 RIA Firms". 1919 Investment Counsel, a subsidiary of Stifel Financial Corp., announced its inclusion in Barron's 2026 Top 100 RIA Firms list. The recognition highlights the firm's standing among registered investment advisory firms.

Company

About Stifel Financial Corp.

Stifel Financial Corp. is a diversified financial services holding company that provides wealth management, investment banking, brokerage, trading, lending, and related advisory services. Through its Global Wealth Management, Institutional Group, and Other segments, the company serves individuals, professional money managers, corporations, and municipalities with services that include financial planning, securities execution, research, fixed income and equity sales, municipal finance, capital raising, and private client brokerage. It also offers banking and lending solutions, such as deposit accounts, personal and commercial loans, and trust services, supporting both individual and business clients. Headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, Stifel Financial Corp. plays a broad role in capital markets and client asset management across retail, institutional, and corporate financial services.

CEO Mr. Ronald James Kruszewski · 8,900 employees · United States · https://www.stifel.com