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HLI Stock Forecast: Houlihan Lokey, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$137
+0.47% on the day

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Houlihan Lokey, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $152 — +11.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 38 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$9.5B
Ticker Nerd rank
38 / 100
Median analyst target
$152
Analysts covering
11
Revenue$511.0M−15.6% y/y
Operating income$92.0M
Net income$78.0M
Free cash flow−$342.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.2%
1M
+9.5%
YTD
−20.5%
1Y
−33.2%
From 52W high
−33.6%
From 52W low
+11.3%
$123
$206
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

HLI stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Houlihan Lokey, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
38 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Quality
97
Volatility
87
Value
78
Issuance
54
Growth
38
Revisions
30
Accruals
27
Momentum
26
Size
16

Quality (97): The business earns solid, repeatable profits on what it owns.

Momentum (26): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Size (16): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

HLI stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on HLI, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$120$140$160$180$200Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HLIHigh $177Median $152Low $145

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says11 analysts
5 Buy6 Hold0 Sell
Low $145Median $152High $177

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +11.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 1 moved their price target up and 7 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
3 Aug 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform$160 → $145
30 July 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy$171 → $148
30 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$160 → $153
30 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$187 → $177
30 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$161 → $147
10 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$172 → $160
10 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
9 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$193 → $187
9 July 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
8 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
8 July 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$160 → $161
7 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
9 Apr 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
1 Apr 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
12 Mar 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
12 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral—
29 Jan 2026BMO CapitalMaintainsOutperform—
29 Jan 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
8 Jan 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
6 Jan 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. HLI appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

HLI vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Houlihan Lokey, Inc. returned −33.2% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

HLI vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
60708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26HLIS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

HLI analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−14.9%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
10
Fundamentals

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
22.9×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / sales
3.8×

Cheaper than 33% of US stocks

Price / book
4.2×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
12.5×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−15.5%

Higher than 13% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−20.4%

Higher than 20% of US stocks

Gross margin
38.6%

Higher than 47% of US stocks

Operating margin
18.4%

Higher than 77% of US stocks

Net margin
16.1%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
17.8%

Higher than 78% of US stocks

Return on assets
11.2%

Higher than 94% of US stocks

Dividend yield
2.0%

Higher than 45% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. (HLI) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Houlihan Lokey, Inc. has a market value of $9.5B and an enterprise value of $9.4B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $2.5B. The latest quarter shrank 15.5% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $404.6M, a 16.0% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $5.95.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $484.8M, after $15.1M of capital spending.

  • Houlihan Lokey, Inc. spent $217.4M on share buybacks and $182.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 69.9M.

  • Trailing P/E: 22.9×; forward P/E: 15.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 2.05%, paying out 42% of earnings.

  • Houlihan Lokey, Inc. employs 2,800 people — $901K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

HLI vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelCapital Markets
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
HLIHoulihan Lokey, Inc.$9.5B
38
VIRTVirtu Financial, Inc.$9.3B
85
XPXP, Inc.$10.3B
71
SNEXStoneX Group, Inc.$8.4B
79
EVREvercore, Inc.$11.1B
70
RIOTRiot Platforms, Inc.$8.1B
26
WULFTeraWulf, Inc.$8.1B
5

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Houlihan Lokey, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest HLI news & analysis

HLI Flags Rising Stress Among Smaller Private-Credit Borrowers

Zacks Investment Research · 11 Sept 2026neutral

Houlihan Lokey flagged rising private-credit stress among smaller borrowers, even as default rates remain low and underlying fundamentals stay supportive. The firm noted increasing strain in that segment of the market.

Why it matters — A Houlihan Lokey watcher would care because rising stress among smaller private-credit borrowers could affect the firm's advisory and restructuring activity, even while overall defaults stay low.

Houlihan Lokey Finds That Stress Among the Smallest Private Credit Borrowers Has Climbed More Than Tenfold Since 2023

Business Wire · 10 Sept 2026neutral

Houlihan Lokey released its Private Credit DataBank insights and analysis for the second quarter of 2026, reporting that stress among the smallest private credit borrowers has increased more than tenfold since 2023.

Why it matters — This data point signals rising distress in the small-borrower segment of private credit, which is relevant to Houlihan Lokey's advisory and restructuring assessment of that market.

Houlihan Lokey Hires Veteran Banker to Lead Coverage Effort in Latin America

Business Wire · 8 Sept 2026positive

Mayra Fregonesi has joined Houlihan Lokey in São Paulo as a Managing Director to lead the firm's coverage efforts in Latin America. The appointment expands the firm's leadership presence in the region.

Why it matters — For HLI watchers, this signals a continued strategic investment in Latin American coverage and can indicate growth in that market.

Houlihan Lokey Down 21% YTD: Buy the Dip or Stay Cautious?

Zacks Investment Research · 7 Sept 2026neutral

Houlihan Lokey's stock is down 21% year-to-date, driven by weaker Corporate Finance and technology deal activity. However, a record backlog and business diversification offer potential support for a recovery.

Why it matters — A Houlihan Lokey watcher would care because this highlights the current headwinds in dealmaking while pointing to the firm's record backlog and diversification as potential sources of future strength.

Houlihan Lokey Continues to Expand European Financial Sponsors Coverage Team With Senior Hire in France

Business Wire · 2 Sept 2026positive

Houlihan Lokey announced that Jean-Baptiste Didier has joined the firm as a Managing Director in its Financial Sponsors Group, based in Paris. Didier will lead financial sponsor coverage activities in France, working with Christian Keller, Head of European Private Equity Coverage, and other senior colleagues.

Why it matters — This hire signals continued expansion of Houlihan Lokey's European financial sponsors coverage team, strengthening its private equity coverage presence in France.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about HLI stock

What is the HLI stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 11 Wall Street analysts covering Houlihan Lokey, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $152, with estimates ranging from $145 to $177. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is HLI stock a buy right now?

Of the 11 analysts covering Houlihan Lokey, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 6 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Houlihan Lokey, Inc. 38 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank HLI?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Houlihan Lokey, Inc. ranks 38 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Quality (97 of 100).

Will HLI stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 11 analysts implies +11.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Houlihan Lokey, Inc. 38 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the HLI stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Houlihan Lokey, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for HLI are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $145 to $177 over the next 12 months.

How has HLI stock performed over the past year?

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. returned -33.2% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Houlihan Lokey, Inc. do?

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. is a global investment bank that provides advisory services to corporations, financial sponsors, and government clients.

What is the latest news on HLI?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 11 Sept 2026): "HLI Flags Rising Stress Among Smaller Private-Credit Borrowers". Houlihan Lokey flagged rising private-credit stress among smaller borrowers, even as default rates remain low and underlying fundamentals stay supportive. The firm noted increasing strain in that segment of the market.

Company

About Houlihan Lokey, Inc.

Houlihan Lokey, Inc. is a global investment bank that provides advisory services to corporations, financial sponsors, and government clients. The company focuses on mergers and acquisitions, capital solutions, financial restructuring, and financial and valuation advisory, with work spanning corporate finance, capital markets, fairness opinions, solvency opinions, and dispute-related consulting. Its services are used across a wide range of industries, including healthcare, technology, industrials, consumer, energy, real estate, and financial services. Houlihan Lokey, Inc. is recognized for its independent, research-driven approach and for serving both public and privately held businesses, as well as institutions involved in complex transactions and balance-sheet challenges. The firm plays an important role in the financial market by supporting strategic decisions, transaction execution, and valuation analysis across domestic and cross-border engagements.

CEO Mr. Scott Joseph Adelson · 2,800 employees · United States · https://hl.com