JMSBFinancial Services · Banks - RegionalThe 2 Wall Street analysts covering John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $27 — +14.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 71 of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Growth (85): Sales and profits are climbing, and climbing faster than before.
Accruals (30): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs systematic trader with 15+ years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on JMSB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +14.6% from it.
Of the 8 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sept 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $25 → $26 |
| 27 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $24 → $25 |
| 27 July 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | $23 → $24 |
| 1 May 2026 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 15 Apr 2026 | Raymond James | Initiates | Strong Buy | — |
| 25 July 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Maintains | Outperform | — |
| 21 July 2025 | Keefe, Bruyette & Woods | Initiates | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
JMSB appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.
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Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 4 Nov 2026, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. returned +26.1% against +14.8% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
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Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 51% of US stocks
Cheaper than 25% of US stocks
Cheaper than 65% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 71% of US stocks
Higher than 97% of US stocks
Higher than 94% of US stocks
Higher than 63% of US stocks
Higher than 51% of US stocks
Higher than 69% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. has a market value of $327.8M and an enterprise value of $220.5M.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $68.2M. The latest quarter grew 15.6% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: $24.4M, a 35.8% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.73.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $21.6M.
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. spent $3.1M on share buybacks and $2.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.
Trailing P/E: 12.4×; forward P/E: 8.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.86%, paying out 10% of earnings.
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. employs 138 people — $494K of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
John Marshall Bancorp reported quarterly earnings of $0.55 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.50. Earnings were $0.38 per share in the year-ago quarter.
Why it matters — The results give JMSB watchers an update on quarterly earnings relative to analyst consensus and the prior-year period.
John Marshall Bancorp’s board declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.10 per outstanding common share, payable December 2, 2026, to shareholders of record as of November 10, 2026. The company said the aggregate payment will be approximately $1.4 million based on the current number of shares outstanding.
Why it matters — JMSB watchers may note the dividend amount and the dates relevant to eligibility and payment.
John Marshall Bancorp reported third-quarter 2026 net income of $7.5 million, up 39.5% from $5.4 million a year earlier. Diluted earnings per common share also rose 39.5%, to $0.53 from $0.38.
Why it matters — The results show year-over-year growth in quarterly net income and diluted earnings per share, key measures for JMSB watchers.
Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC is investigating the adequacy of the price and process in Eagle Financial Services’ proposed sale to John Marshall Bancorp. Under the proposed terms, Eagle shareholders would receive 2.0 shares of John Marshall common stock for each Eagle share.
Why it matters — The investigation concerns the proposed transaction between Eagle Financial Services and JMSB, which would involve JMSB issuing shares to Eagle shareholders.
Zacks Investment Research says John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. does not have the combination of two key ingredients associated with a likely earnings beat in its upcoming report. The item points readers to key expectations for the report.
Why it matters — JMSB watchers may note the article’s assessment of the likelihood of an earnings beat ahead of the upcoming report.
The 2 Wall Street analysts covering John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $27, with estimates ranging from $26 to $28. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 2 analysts covering John Marshall Bancorp, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. 71 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 4 Nov 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 4 Nov 2026, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. ranks 71 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Growth (85 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +14.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. 71 out of 100 as at 4 Nov 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for JMSB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $26 to $28 over the next 12 months.
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. returned +26.1% over the 12 months to 4 Nov 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates through John Marshall Bank, providing a range of banking products and financial services.
The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 28 Oct 2026): "John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) Q3 Earnings Surpass Estimates". John Marshall Bancorp reported quarterly earnings of $0.55 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.50. Earnings were $0.38 per share in the year-ago quarter.
John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates through John Marshall Bank, providing a range of banking products and financial services. The company serves small and mid-sized businesses, professional corporations, non-profits, and individual customers with deposit and checking accounts, commercial and personal loans, cash management, credit cards, and related treasury services. Its business is centered on relationship banking and commercial lending, with offerings tailored to clients in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area and surrounding markets. John Marshall Bancorp plays a regional role in commercial banking by supporting day-to-day banking needs, business financing, and liquidity management for local enterprises and organizations.
CEO Mr. Christopher W. Bergstrom · 138 employees · United States · https://www.johnmarshallbank.com
