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JMSBJMSBFinancial Services · Banks - Regional

JMSB Stock Forecast: John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 18 Sept 2026
$23
+0.13% on the day

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $26 — +12.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 72 of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$326.7M
Ticker Nerd rank
72 / 100
Median analyst target
$26
Analysts covering
2
Revenue$18.8M+21.7% y/y
Net income$7.0M
Free cash flow$5.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+0.4%
1M
+0.8%
YTD
+17.3%
1Y
+10.4%
From 52W high
−2.6%
From 52W low
+26.3%
$18
$24
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

JMSB stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 19 Sept 2026
72 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Revisions
94
Momentum
78
Issuance
60
Size
60
Growth
60
Volatility
54
Value
44
Quality
44
Accruals
27

Revisions (94): Analysts have, on balance, been raising their forecasts.

Accruals (27): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

JMSB stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on JMSB, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$18$20$22$24$26Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26JMSBHigh $26Median $26Low $26

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says2 analysts
2 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $26Median $26High $26

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 8 most recent actions, 3 moved their price target up and 0 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
14 Sept 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$25 → $26
27 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$24 → $25
27 July 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
1 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform$23 → $24
1 May 2026Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
15 Apr 2026Raymond JamesInitiatesStrong Buy—
25 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
21 July 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsInitiatesOutperform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. JMSB appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

JMSB vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 18 Sept 2026, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. returned +10.4% against +16.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

JMSB vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
859095100105110115120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26JMSBS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

JMSB analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+10.3%
Analysts raising
2
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
13.4×

Cheaper than 49% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.9×

Cheaper than 25% of US stocks

Price / book
1.2×

Cheaper than 67% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
24.3%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
37.5%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
48.8%

Higher than 96% of US stocks

Net margin
36.5%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
9.3%

Higher than 62% of US stocks

Return on assets
1.0%

Higher than 50% of US stocks

Dividend yield
1.7%

Higher than 39% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. has a market value of $326.7M and an enterprise value of $291.3M.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $68.2M. The latest quarter grew 24.3% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $24.4M, a 35.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $1.73.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $21.6M.

  • John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. spent $3.1M on share buybacks and $2.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 14.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 13.4×; forward P/E: 8.7× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 1.73%, paying out 10% of earnings.

  • John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. employs 140 people — $487K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 20 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

JMSB vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBanks - Regional
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
JMSBJohn Marshall Bancorp, Inc.$326.7M
72
COSOCoastalSouth Bancshares, Inc.$326.1M
49
FVCBFVCBankcorp, Inc.$325.5M
83
BCMLBayCom Corp.$328.0M
51
NEWTNewtekOne, Inc.$333.9M
37
FDBCFidelity D&D Bancorp, Inc.$318.3M
44
FCCOFirst Community Corp. (South Carolina)$316.5M
79

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest JMSB news & analysis

Eagle Financial Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Eagle Financial Services, Inc. - EFSI

Business Wire · 10 Sept 2026neutral

Law firm Kahn Swick & Foti announced an investigation into the proposed sale of Eagle Financial Services to John Marshall Bancorp, under which Eagle shareholders would receive 2.0 shares of John Marshall common stock for each Eagle share, to assess the adequacy of the price and process. The investigation aims to determine whether the consideration is fair to Eagle shareholders.

Why it matters — A John Marshall Bancorp watcher would care because the pending acquisition of Eagle Financial Services is now subject to a law-firm investigation that could affect the terms or completion of the deal.

JMSB Stock Alert: Halper Sadeh LLC is Investigating Whether John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. is Obtaining a Fair Price for its Shareholders

Business Wire · 8 Sept 2026negative

Halper Sadeh LLC, an investor rights law firm, announced it is investigating the merger between John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (NASDAQ: JMSB) and Eagle Financial Services, Inc. The investigation concerns whether John Marshall and its board of directors are obtaining a fair price for shareholders, and the firm is encouraging shareholders to learn about their rights and options.

Why it matters — A JMSB watcher would care because the investigation raises questions about whether the merger consideration fairly values the company and its shareholders' interests.

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. and Eagle Financial Services, Inc. Announce Strategic Merger Uniting Two of Virginia's Leading Community Banks

Business Wire · 8 Sept 2026positive

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. (JMSB) and Eagle Financial Services, Inc. (EFSI) jointly announced the signing of a definitive merger agreement to bring together two of Virginia's leading community banking franchises. Under the terms, EFSI will merge with and into John Marshall Bancorp at closing.

Why it matters — This merger would combine John Marshall Bank with Bank of Clarke's franchise, significantly expanding JMSB's community banking presence in Virginia.

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. Announces Extension of Stock Repurchase Program

Business Wire · 19 Aug 2026neutral

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. announced that its Board of Directors authorized extending its stock repurchase program through August 31, 2027, allowing the purchase of up to 700,000 shares of outstanding common stock. To date, the company has repurchased 242,150 shares, or $4.5 million.

Why it matters — JMSB watchers would care because the extension signals continued commitment to returning capital to shareholders through an ongoing buyback program.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about JMSB stock

What is the JMSB stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 2 Wall Street analysts covering John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $26, with estimates ranging from $26 to $26. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is JMSB stock a buy right now?

Of the 2 analysts covering John Marshall Bancorp, Inc., 2 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. 72 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 19 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank JMSB?

As at 19 Sept 2026, John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. ranks 72 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Revisions (94 of 100).

Will JMSB stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 2 analysts implies +12.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. 72 out of 100 as at 19 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the JMSB stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for JMSB are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $26 to $26 over the next 12 months.

How has JMSB stock performed over the past year?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. returned +10.4% over the 12 months to 18 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. do?

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates through John Marshall Bank, providing a range of banking products and financial services.

What is the latest news on JMSB?

The most recent item we track (Business Wire, 10 Sept 2026): "Eagle Financial Investor Alert: Kahn Swick & Foti, LLC Investigates Adequacy of Price and Process in Proposed Sale of Eagle Financial Services, Inc. - EFSI". Law firm Kahn Swick & Foti announced an investigation into the proposed sale of Eagle Financial Services to John Marshall Bancorp, under which Eagle shareholders would receive 2.0 shares of John Marshall common stock for each Eagle share, to assess the adequacy of the price and process. The investigation aims to determine whether the consideration is fair to Eagle shareholders.

Company

About John Marshall Bancorp, Inc.

John Marshall Bancorp, Inc. is a bank holding company that operates through John Marshall Bank, providing a range of banking products and financial services. The company serves small and mid-sized businesses, professional corporations, non-profits, and individual customers with deposit and checking accounts, commercial and personal loans, cash management, credit cards, and related treasury services. Its business is centered on relationship banking and commercial lending, with offerings tailored to clients in the Washington, D.C. metropolitan area and surrounding markets. John Marshall Bancorp plays a regional role in commercial banking by supporting day-to-day banking needs, business financing, and liquidity management for local enterprises and organizations.

CEO Mr. Christopher W. Bergstrom · 140 employees · United States · https://www.johnmarshallbank.com