MARAFinancial Services · Capital MarketsThe 15 Wall Street analysts covering MARA Holdings, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $17 — +52.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 15 of 100 as at 5 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.
Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MARA Holdings, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.
Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested
Accruals (94): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.
Quality (9): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.
Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.
The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MARA, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +52.2% from it.
Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.
| Date | Firm | Action | Rating | Target |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sept 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $6.00 → $11 |
| 14 Sept 2026 | JP Morgan | Downgrade | Underweight | $13 → $11 |
| 11 Sept 2026 | HC Wainwright & Co. | Assumes | Buy | $20 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $5.50 → $6.00 |
| 13 Aug 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | $14 → $12 |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 7 Aug 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy | $15 |
| 17 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 17 July 2026 | Piper Sandler | Maintains | Overweight | $16 → $13 |
| 8 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | $7.00 → $5.50 |
| 8 July 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 24 June 2026 | Citizens | Initiates | Market Outperform | — |
| 1 June 2026 | BTIG | Reiterates | Buy | — |
| 19 May 2026 | Morgan Stanley | Maintains | Underweight | — |
| 1 May 2026 | Rosenblatt | Maintains | Buy | — |
| 9 Apr 2026 | Cantor Fitzgerald | Maintains | Overweight | — |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Clear Street | Maintains | Hold | — |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Macquarie | Maintains | Outperform | — |
Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.
Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MARA appears on the weeks it earns a place.
Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.
Over the twelve months to 5 Oct 2026, MARA Holdings, Inc. returned −40.6% against +17.0% for the S&P 500, dividends included.
Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.
Data provided by Twelve Data
Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.
A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.
Cheaper than 68% of US stocks
Cheaper than 23% of US stocks
Cheaper than 36% of US stocks
Cheaper than 77% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 84% of US stocks
Higher than 10% of US stocks
Higher than 98% of US stocks
Higher than 13% of US stocks
Higher than 16% of US stocks
Higher than 1% of US dividend payers
Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.
The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.
MARA Holdings, Inc. has a market value of $4.3B and an enterprise value of $6.5B.
Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $804.2M. The latest quarter shrank 26.7% year on year.
Net income over the same four quarters: −$3.5B, a −430.3% net margin.
Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−9.16.
Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$1.2B.
Trailing P/E: 3.4×; forward P/E: −53.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.
Forward dividend yield: 0.00%, paying out 0% of earnings.
MARA Holdings, Inc. employs 266 people — $3.0M of revenue per employee.
Data provided by Twelve Data
The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.
Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.
The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MARA Holdings, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →
MARA Holdings shares traded higher Friday morning after Clear Street reiterated its Hold rating and $10 price target, following a meeting with the company's Chief Financial Officer.
Why it matters — The reiteration of a Hold rating and $10 price target provides an updated analyst perspective on MARA based on direct engagement with its CFO.
Marathon Digital Holdings, Inc. (MARA) closed its most recent trading session at $12.11, a decline of -3.51% from the previous day's close, representing a steeper drop than the broader market.
Why it matters — A MARA watcher would care because this price decline signals that the stock underperformed the wider market in the latest session.
ETF Trends reported last week's top performing leveraged and inverse ETFs, noting that because of leverage, these kinds of funds can move quickly. The article provides a general recap of the top-performing funds without focusing on any specific holdings.
Why it matters — A MARA watcher may care because leveraged and inverse ETFs that track bitcoin or technology-related proxies can quickly move the stock's price or its trading environment.
Zacks reports that Marathon Digital (MARA) has drawn close attention from users on Zacks.com, leading the outlet to examine what the stock has in store. The article frames the focus on MARA as noteworthy enough to warrant a closer look.
Why it matters — MARA watchers would care because the stock is receiving significant attention from Zacks users, making it a widely followed name worth monitoring.
MARA Holdings CEO Frederick Thiel sold 27,505 shares with a total value of approximately $315,000 as of the September 17, 2026 transaction date. The shares traded equaled 0.63% of the executive's direct equity holdings before the filing.
Why it matters — A MARA watcher would note the sale because insider transactions by the CEO can reflect changes in executive share ownership, though the amount is small relative to his total holdings.
The 15 Wall Street analysts covering MARA Holdings, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $11 to $30. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.
Of the 15 analysts covering MARA Holdings, Inc., 9 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 2 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MARA Holdings, Inc. 15 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 5 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.
As at 5 Oct 2026, MARA Holdings, Inc. ranks 15 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (94 of 100).
No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 15 analysts implies +52.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MARA Holdings, Inc. 15 out of 100 as at 5 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.
No analyst covering MARA Holdings, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MARA are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $11 to $30 over the next 12 months.
MARA Holdings, Inc. returned -40.6% over the 12 months to 5 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.
MARA Holdings Inc. is an energy and digital infrastructure company focused on Bitcoin mining and compute-intensive workloads.
The most recent item we track (Benzinga, 2 Oct 2026): "MARA Holdings Stock Jumps Friday: What's Going On?". MARA Holdings shares traded higher Friday morning after Clear Street reiterated its Hold rating and $10 price target, following a meeting with the company's Chief Financial Officer.
MARA Holdings Inc. is an energy and digital infrastructure company focused on Bitcoin mining and compute-intensive workloads. The company uses excess and underutilized power to support digital asset operations, while also providing hosting, colocation, and managed services for institutional-scale mining customers. MARA develops and operates data center infrastructure across North America, the Middle East, Europe, and Latin America, with activities that extend into artificial intelligence, high-performance computing, and critical IT applications. Its business model centers on turning energy into digital capital through flexible, energy-responsive workloads and advanced data center operations. MARA Holdings Inc. is based in Hallandale Beach, Florida.
CEO Mr. Frederick G. Thiel · 266 employees · United States · https://www.mara.com
