MLMMLMBasic Materials · Building Materials

MLM Stock Forecast: Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 9 Oct 2026
$478
−0.67% on the day

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $640 — +33.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 21 of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$34.0B
Ticker Nerd rank
21 / 100
Median analyst target
$640
Analysts covering
24
Revenue$1.9B+7.5% y/y
Operating income$390.0M
Net income$251.0M
Free cash flow−$16.0M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.8%
1M
−4.9%
YTD
−22.8%
1Y
−24.1%
From 52W high
−32.2%
From 52W low
0.0%
$478
$705
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MLM stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 10 Oct 2026
21 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
92
Issuance
54
Growth
53
Revisions
48
Momentum
36
Accruals
33
Quality
30
Value
15
Size
7

Volatility (92): The share price has been relatively steady.

Value (15): The shares cost a lot relative to the profits and assets behind them.

Size (7): Larger than most of the companies we track — more scrutinised, less often mispriced.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MLM stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MLM, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$500$600$700$800Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MLMHigh $800Median $640Low $496

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says24 analysts
16 Buy8 Hold0 Sell
Low $496Median $640High $800

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +33.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 20 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 8 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
9 Oct 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$620 → $530
8 Oct 2026UBSMaintainsBuy$715 → $662
5 Oct 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$730 → $625
5 Oct 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$585 → $579
2 Oct 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$690 → $610
21 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight—
21 Sept 2026Wells FargoMaintainsOverweight$609 → $585
9 Sept 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight$581 → $609
9 Sept 2026Wells FargoUpgradeOverweight—
2 Sept 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight$680
2 Sept 2026JP MorganUpgradeOverweight—
28 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform$610 → $620
28 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—
25 Aug 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesNeutral—
25 Aug 2026DA DavidsonInitiatesNeutral$625
13 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight—
13 Aug 2026Morgan StanleyMaintainsOverweight$664 → $639
3 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy$737 → $690
3 Aug 2026CitigroupMaintainsBuy—
3 Aug 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsSector Perform—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MLM appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MLM vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 9 Oct 2026, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. returned −24.1% against +17.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MLM vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26MLMS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MLM analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−9.4%
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
31.3×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / sales
5.1×

Cheaper than 24% of US stocks

Price / book
2.5×

Cheaper than 37% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
16.4×

Cheaper than 20% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
21.0%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−23.5%

Higher than 19% of US stocks

Gross margin
25.4%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Operating margin
20.2%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Net margin
36.7%

Higher than 93% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
8.9%

Higher than 61% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.6%

Higher than 74% of US stocks

Dividend yield
0.7%

Higher than 68% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. (MLM) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. has a market value of $34.0B and an enterprise value of $35.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $6.7B. The latest quarter grew 21.0% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $2.5B, a 36.7% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $40.70.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $810.0M.

  • Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. spent $200.0M on share buybacks and $202.0M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 60.1M.

  • Trailing P/E: 31.3×; forward P/E: 21.8× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 0.70%, paying out 22% of earnings.

  • Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. employs 9,600 people — $697K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 10 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MLM vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelBuilding Materials
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc.$34.0B
21
VMCVulcan Materials Co.$32.3B
55
CRHCRH Plc$54.7B
35
AMRZAmrize Ltd.$20.0B
17
JHXJames Hardie Industries Plc$14.6B
24
EXPEagle Materials, Inc.$5.3B
33
USLMUnited States Lime & Minerals, Inc.$3.1B
41

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MLM news & analysis

These 2 Construction Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar

Zacks Investment Research · 5 Oct 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published an article highlighting the use of its Earnings ESP tool to identify construction stocks that may beat quarterly earnings estimates. The piece suggests investors look for companies poised to top estimates using this screening approach.

Why it matters — A Martin Marietta Materials investor may find the Earnings ESP methodology relevant for assessing how construction-sector peers are screened for potential earnings performance.

Benzinga's 'Stock Whisper' Index: Five Stocks Investors Secretly Monitor But Don't Talk About Yet

Benzinga · 4 Oct 2026neutral

Benzinga's Stock Whisper Index highlights five stocks each week that are under the surface and merit attention, based on proprietary data and pattern recognition. Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. is mentioned among these stocks that investors are secretly monitoring but not yet talking about.

Why it matters — This item signals that MLM is appearing on investor radar screens as a stock worth watching, which could influence interest and attention in the company.

12 stocks for ‘bottom-fishing' investors looking for cheap growth opportunities

Market Watch · 26 Aug 2026neutral

Market Watch published a piece on "bottom-fishing" for investors seeking cheap growth opportunities, highlighting stocks near 52-week lows that analysts expect to recover, including Dick's Sporting Goods, McDonald's and L3Harris. Martin Marietta Materials is not mentioned in the article.

Why it matters — Since MLM is not referenced, the article has no direct bearing on Martin Marietta Materials investors.

Martin Marietta Completes Combination With Lhoist North America

GlobeNewsWire · 24 Aug 2026positive

Martin Marietta Materials announced the completion of its previously announced combination with Lhoist North America, Inc. on August 21, 2026. LNA is a producer of high calcium lime, dolomitic lime and industrial mineral products serving markets including steel manufacturing, infrastructure, heavy nonresidential construction and environmental solutions.

Why it matters — This completion expands Martin Marietta's product portfolio into lime and industrial minerals, broadening the company's reach across infrastructure and construction-related end markets.

Will Martin Marietta's $13.5B Lhoist Deal Strengthen Long-Term Growth?

Zacks Investment Research · 18 Aug 2026neutral

Martin Marietta Materials announced a $13.5 billion deal to acquire Lhoist, which could expand its limestone platform and earnings base. The report notes that increased leverage and integration risks are potential concerns.

Why it matters — MLM watchers would care because the deal could broaden Martin Marietta's limestone operations and earnings while introducing leverage and integration risks that may affect the company's outlook.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MLM stock

What is the MLM stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 24 Wall Street analysts covering Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $640, with estimates ranging from $496 to $800. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MLM stock a buy right now?

Of the 24 analysts covering Martin Marietta Materials, Inc., 16 rate it a Buy, 8 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. 21 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 10 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MLM?

As at 10 Oct 2026, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. ranks 21 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (92 of 100).

Will MLM stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 24 analysts implies +33.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. 21 out of 100 as at 10 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MLM stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MLM are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $496 to $800 over the next 12 months.

How has MLM stock performed over the past year?

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. returned -24.1% over the 12 months to 9 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. do?

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. is a leading American building materials company that supplies aggregates and other essential construction products.

What is the latest news on MLM?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 5 Oct 2026): "These 2 Construction Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radar". Zacks Investment Research published an article highlighting the use of its Earnings ESP tool to identify construction stocks that may beat quarterly earnings estimates. The piece suggests investors look for companies poised to top estimates using this screening approach.

Company

About Martin Marietta Materials, Inc.

Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. is a leading American building materials company that supplies aggregates and other essential construction products. Its core business centers on crushed stone, sand, and gravel used in infrastructure, commercial, and residential projects, supported by operations across quarries, mines, and distribution yards in the United States and neighboring markets. The company also produces cement, ready-mixed concrete, asphalt, and paving products and services through its building materials operations, serving customers involved in roads, highways, utilities, rail, and site development. In addition, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. operates a specialties business that manufactures magnesia-based products and dolomitic lime for industrial, environmental, agricultural, and steel-related applications. Headquartered in Raleigh, North Carolina, Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. plays a significant role in supplying the foundational materials that support large-scale construction and industrial activity.

CEO Mr. C. Howard Nye J.D. · 9,600 employees · United States · https://www.martinmarietta.com