MRLNIndustrials · Aerospace & Defense

MRLN Stock Forecast: Merlin, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Aug 2026
$3.89
+3.18% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Merlin, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $10 — +157.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 7 of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$363.9M
Ticker Nerd rank
7 / 100
Median analyst target
$10
Analysts covering
4
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+4.0%
1M
−26.3%
From high
−75.8%
From low
+17.5%
$3
$16
Range since 17 Mar 2026, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MRLN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Merlin, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 1 Aug 2026
7 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
86
Size
58
Revisions
32
Volatility
24
Issuance
11
Value
10
Momentum
10
Growth
6
Quality
6

Accruals (86): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Quality (6): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Merlin, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership.

Wall Street

MRLN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MRLN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, since 17 Mar 2026Adjusted close, US dollars
$2$4$6$8$10$12$14Apr 26May 26Jun 26Jul 26Aug 26MRLNHigh $11Median $10Low $8

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says4 analysts
4 Buy0 Hold0 Sell
Low $8Median $10High $11

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +157.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 13 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
21 July 2026Northland Capital MarketsInitiatesOutperform$10
13 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy$11$8.00
13 July 2026TD CowenMaintainsBuy
9 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldInitiatesOverweight$11
9 July 2026Cantor FitzgeraldInitiatesOverweight
3 June 2026TD CowenInitiatesBuy
16 Apr 2026Roth CapitalMaintainsBuy
14 Apr 2026Roth CapitalInitiatesBuy
12 Dec 2017Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsInitiatesOutperform$26
3 Feb 2016William BlairDowngradeMarket Perform
23 Apr 2015JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform$27$26
22 Apr 2015Sidoti & Co.InitiatesBuy$28
2 May 2014JMP SecuritiesMaintainsMarket Outperform$32$29

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Estimates

MRLN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
0
Analysts cutting
1
Fundamentals

Merlin, Inc. (MRLN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
7.5×

Cheaper than 63% of US stocks

Price / sales
47.4×

Cheaper than 6% of US stocks

Price / book
−1.9×

Cheaper than 95% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
−6.1×

Cheaper than 80% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
15.4%

Higher than 65% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−95.1%

Higher than 2% of US stocks

Gross margin
−63.7%

Higher than 2% of US stocks

Operating margin
−2695.8%

Higher than 4% of US stocks

Net margin
−591.6%

Higher than 1% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
42.0%

Higher than 92% of US stocks

Return on assets
−112.3%

Higher than 2% of US stocks

Dividend yield
15.0%

Higher than 93% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MRLN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MRLNMerlin, Inc.$363.9M
7
SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.$341.8M
26
ISSCInnovative Solutions & Support, Inc.$324.7M
85
ELMTThe Elmet Group Co.$417.0M
1
TATTTAT Technologies Ltd.$505.0M
54
SATLSatellogic, Inc.$511.5M
30
POWWOutdoor Holding Co.$248.6M
33
Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MRLN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MRLN stock

What is the MRLN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Merlin, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $10, with estimates ranging from $8 to $11. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MRLN stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Merlin, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Merlin, Inc. 7 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 1 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MRLN?

As at 1 Aug 2026, Merlin, Inc. ranks 7 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (86 of 100).

Will MRLN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +157.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Merlin, Inc. 7 out of 100 as at 1 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MRLN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Merlin, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MRLN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $8 to $11 over the next 12 months.

What does Merlin, Inc. do?

Merlin, Inc. develops AI-powered autonomous flight software and systems for aircraft, serving as a leading U.S.-based provider of cost-effective, takeoff-to-touchdown autonomy solutions.

Company

About Merlin, Inc.

Merlin, Inc. develops AI-powered autonomous flight software and systems for aircraft, serving as a leading U.S.-based provider of cost-effective, takeoff-to-touchdown autonomy solutions. The company offers an aircraft-agnostic software platform designed for both legacy and next-generation airborne systems, supporting military and civil programs across diverse missions. Its flagship product, the Merlin Pilot, integrates hardware and software to handle navigation, air traffic control communication, obstacle avoidance, and real-time decision-making through advanced sensor technologies and natural language processing. Implemented on multiple aircraft types ranging from large platforms to small drones, Merlin's technology has been proven in hundreds of autonomous flights worldwide. Founded in 2018 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, Merlin, Inc. plays a pivotal role in the aerospace and defense sector by advancing assured autonomy for national security and commercial aviation applications.

CEO Mr. Matthew George · 249 employees · United States · https://www.merlinlabs.com