MRLNIndustrials · Aerospace & Defense

MRLN Stock Forecast: Merlin, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 21 Aug 2026

$3.28

−2.67% on the day

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Merlin, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $9.5 — +189.6% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 5 of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap

$331.5M

Ticker Nerd rank

5 / 100

Median analyst target

$9.50

Analysts covering

Total return, dividends reinvested

−12.6%

−14.4%

From high

−79.6%

From low

0.0%

$16

Range since 17 Mar 2026, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close

Ticker Nerd rank

MRLN stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Merlin, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 22 Aug 2026

5 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals

Size

Revisions

Volatility

Issuance

Value

Momentum

Growth

Quality

Accruals (88): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Quality (4): Profits are thin or unreliable for the size of the business, or they are not turning into cash.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MRLN stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MRLN, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, since 17 Mar 2026Adjusted close, US dollars

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says4 analysts

4 Buy0 Hold0 Sell

Low $8.00Median $9.50High $10.00

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +189.6% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 15 most recent actions, 0 moved their price target up and 4 moved it down.

Date	Firm	Action	Rating	Target
14 Aug 2026	Cantor Fitzgerald	Maintains	Overweight	$11 → $9.00
21 July 2026	Northland Capital Markets	Initiates	Outperform	$10
21 July 2026	Northland Capital Markets	Initiates	Outperform	—
13 July 2026	TD Cowen	Maintains	Buy	$11 → $8.00
13 July 2026	TD Cowen	Maintains	Buy	—
9 July 2026	Cantor Fitzgerald	Initiates	Overweight	$11
9 July 2026	Cantor Fitzgerald	Initiates	Overweight	—
3 June 2026	TD Cowen	Initiates	Buy	—
16 Apr 2026	Roth Capital	Maintains	Buy	—
14 Apr 2026	Roth Capital	Initiates	Buy	—
12 Dec 2017	Keefe, Bruyette & Woods	Initiates	Outperform	$26
3 Feb 2016	William Blair	Downgrade	Market Perform	—
23 Apr 2015	JMP Securities	Maintains	Market Outperform	$27 → $26
22 Apr 2015	Sidoti & Co.	Initiates	Buy	$28
2 May 2014	JMP Securities	Maintains	Market Outperform	$32 → $29

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MRLN appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Estimates

MRLN analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year

Analysts raising

Analysts cutting

Fundamentals

Merlin, Inc. (MRLN) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation

Trailing P/E: 7.5×
Price / sales: 49.0×
Price / book: −1.7×
EV / EBITDA: −3.4×

Growth & margins

Revenue growth (YoY): −29.4%
Earnings growth (YoY): −95.1%
Gross margin: −63.7%
Operating margin: −1528.6%
Net margin: −591.6%

Returns & dividend

Return on equity: 42.0%
Return on assets: −112.3%
Dividend yield: 17.1%

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

MRLN vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAerospace & Defense

Company	Market cap	TKN rank
MRLNMerlin, Inc.	$331.5M	5
AIROAIRO Group Holdings, Inc.	$271.9M	8
IAInnovative Solutions & Support, Inc.	$381.0M	82
POWWOutdoor Holding Co.	$260.2M	77
SIDUSidus Space, Inc.	$238.3M	13
SPCEVirgin Galactic Holdings, Inc.	$466.9M	26
FJETStarfighters Space, Inc.	$214.5M	3

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Merlin, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MRLN news & analysis

Merlin, Inc. Common Stock Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 14 Aug 2026positive

Merlin, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRLN) reported second-quarter revenue of approximately $2.2 million. During the quarter, the aviation-autonomy company advanced its C-130J program, expanded commercial cargo partnerships, and reached a certification milestone with New Zealand's aviation regulator.

Why it matters — MRLN watchers would note reported revenue and material program milestones in certification, partnerships, and its core C-130J program as indicators of the company's operational progress.

Merlin, Inc. Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results

GlobeNewsWire · 13 Aug 2026neutral

Merlin, Inc., an aerospace and defense technology company focused on autonomous flight, announced its operating and financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2026. The company highlighted progress on its USSOCOM C-130J contract.

Why it matters — MRLN watchers would care because the quarterly results and USSOCOM C-130J contract progress offer a window into the company's operational performance and the advancement of its key defense programs.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MRLN stock

What is the MRLN stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 4 Wall Street analysts covering Merlin, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $9.5, with estimates ranging from $8 to $10. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MRLN stock a buy right now?

Of the 4 analysts covering Merlin, Inc., 4 rate it a Buy, 0 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Merlin, Inc. 5 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 22 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MRLN?

As at 22 Aug 2026, Merlin, Inc. ranks 5 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (88 of 100).

Will MRLN stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 4 analysts implies +189.6% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Merlin, Inc. 5 out of 100 as at 22 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MRLN stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Merlin, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MRLN are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $8 to $10 over the next 12 months.

What does Merlin, Inc. do?

Merlin, Inc. develops AI-powered autonomous flight software and systems for aircraft, serving as a leading U.S.-based provider of cost-effective, takeoff-to-touchdown autonomy solutions.

What is the latest news on MRLN?

The most recent item we track (MarketBeat, 14 Aug 2026): "Merlin, Inc. Common Stock Q2 Earnings Call Highlights". Merlin, Inc. (NASDAQ: MRLN) reported second-quarter revenue of approximately $2.2 million. During the quarter, the aviation-autonomy company advanced its C-130J program, expanded commercial cargo partnerships, and reached a certification milestone with New Zealand's aviation regulator.

Company

About Merlin, Inc.

Merlin, Inc. develops AI-powered autonomous flight software and systems for aircraft, serving as a leading U.S.-based provider of cost-effective, takeoff-to-touchdown autonomy solutions. The company offers an aircraft-agnostic software platform designed for both legacy and next-generation airborne systems, supporting military and civil programs across diverse missions. Its flagship product, the Merlin Pilot, integrates hardware and software to handle navigation, air traffic control communication, obstacle avoidance, and real-time decision-making through advanced sensor technologies and natural language processing. Implemented on multiple aircraft types ranging from large platforms to small drones, Merlin's technology has been proven in hundreds of autonomous flights worldwide. Founded in 2018 and headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts, Merlin, Inc. plays a pivotal role in the aerospace and defense sector by advancing assured autonomy for national security and commercial aviation applications.

CEO Mr. Matthew George · 249 employees · United States · https://www.merlinlabs.com