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MSDL Stock Forecast: Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp. Price Predictions for 2025

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$18.60

-0.66 (-3.43%)

MSDL Stock Forecast 2025-2026

$18.60
Current Price
$1.64B
Market Cap
6 Ratings
Buy 1
Hold 5
Sell 0
Wall St Analyst Ratings

Distance to MSDL Price Targets

+18.3%
To High Target of $22.00
+7.5%
To Median Target of $20.00
+2.2%
To Low Target of $19.00

MSDL Price Momentum

-3.2%
1 Week Change
+0.5%
1 Month Change
-16.4%
1 Year Change
-10.0%
Year-to-Date Change
-23.1%
From 52W High of $24.18
+5.7%
From 52W Low of $17.59
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Latest MSDL Stock Price Targets & Analyst Predictions

Based on our analysis of 7 Wall Street analysts, MSDL has a neutral consensus with a median price target of $20.00 (ranging from $19.00 to $22.00). The overall analyst rating is Buy (6.3/10). Currently trading at $18.60, the median forecast implies a 7.5% upside. This outlook is supported by 1 Buy, 5 Hold, and 0 Sell ratings.

The most optimistic forecast comes from Kenneth Lee at RBC Capital, projecting a 18.3% upside. Conversely, the most conservative target is provided by Finian O'Shea at Wells Fargo, suggesting a 2.2% upside.

Please note that analyst price targets are forward-looking estimates subject to substantial market, economic, and company-specific risks. Past performance does not guarantee future results, and actual stock performance may materially differ from these projections. Investors should conduct their own due diligence and consider their investment objectives and risk tolerance before making investment decisions.

MSDL Analyst Ratings

1
Buy
5
Hold
0
Sell

MSDL Price Target Range

Low
$19.00
Average
$20.00
High
$22.00
Current: $18.60

Latest MSDL Stock Forecasts by Analyst

These are the latest 20 analyst ratings and price targets for MSDL.

Date Firm Analyst Rating Change Price Target
Apr 28, 2025 Wells Fargo Finian O'Shea Equal-Weight Maintains $19.00
Apr 24, 2025 JP Morgan Melissa Wedel Neutral Maintains $19.50
Apr 17, 2025 UBS Doug Harter Neutral Maintains $20.50
Apr 8, 2025 Keefe, Bruyette & Woods Ryan Lynch Market Perform Maintains $20.00
Mar 4, 2025 RBC Capital Kenneth Lee Outperform Reiterates $22.00
Mar 3, 2025 Wells Fargo Finian O'Shea Equal-Weight Maintains $20.00
Jan 29, 2025 Wells Fargo Finian O'Shea Equal-Weight Maintains $21.00
Sep 13, 2024 RBC Capital Kenneth Lee Outperform Reiterates $22.00
Aug 13, 2024 RBC Capital Kenneth Lee Outperform Maintains $22.00
Jul 29, 2024 JP Morgan Melissa Wedel Neutral Maintains $20.00
Jul 26, 2024 Wells Fargo Finian O'Shea Equal-Weight Maintains $20.00
Jul 18, 2024 UBS Doug Harter Neutral Downgrade $23.50
May 23, 2024 RBC Capital Kenneth Lee Outperform Maintains $23.00
May 14, 2024 Wells Fargo Finian O'Shea Equal-Weight Maintains $21.00
May 13, 2024 Raymond James Robert Dodd Market Perform Downgrade $0.00
Apr 12, 2024 JP Morgan Melissa Wedel Neutral Maintains $21.00
Mar 4, 2024 RBC Capital Kenneth Lee Outperform Reiterates $21.00
Feb 20, 2024 Wells Fargo Finian O'Shea Equal-Weight Initiates $21.00
Feb 20, 2024 Raymond James Robert Dodd Outperform Initiates $22.00
Feb 20, 2024 UBS Vilas Abraham Buy Initiates $23.50

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp. (MSDL) Competitors

The following stocks are similar to Morgan Stanley Direct Lending based on their market capitalization and industry sector. These similar stocks potentially provide investors with alternative investment opportunities within the same market segment.

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp. (MSDL) Financial Data

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp. has a market capitalization of $1.64B with a P/E ratio of 7.7x. The company generates $253.06M in trailing twelve-month revenue with a 0.0% profit margin.

Revenue growth is -1.1% quarter-over-quarter, while maintaining an operating margin of 0.0% and return on equity of +11.7%.

Valuation Metrics

Market Cap $1.64B
Enterprise Value $0
P/E Ratio 7.7x
PEG Ratio 8.3x
Price/Sales 6.5x

Growth & Margins

Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.1%
Gross Margin N/A
Operating Margin 0.0%
Net Margin 0.0%
EPS Growth -7.2%

Financial Health

Cash/Price Ratio 0.0%
Current Ratio 0.0x
Debt/Equity 0.0x
ROE +11.7%
ROA +5.5%
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Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp. logo

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp. (MSDL) Business Model

About Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp.

What They Do

Specializes in direct lending to middle-market companies.

Business Model

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp. operates as a business development company that provides customized financing solutions to middle-market firms in the U.S. It generates revenue by offering fixed income and tailored credit solutions, catering to businesses with limited access to traditional bank financing. This business model allows the company to serve as an intermediary between investors seeking stable returns and companies in need of strategic financing.

Additional Information

The company focuses on various sectors, including industrials, healthcare, and technology, contributing to the financial stability and growth of mid-sized enterprises. Its involvement in direct lending highlights a commitment to economic development by fostering entrepreneurship and supporting the expansion of middle-market businesses.

Company Information

Sector

Financial Services

Industry

Asset Management

Employees

0

CEO

Mr. Jeffrey S. Levin

Country

United States

IPO Year

2024

Website

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp. (MSDL) Latest News & Analysis

Featured Analysis
Powered by Zacks Investment Research

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Lag Estimates

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of -7.14% and 1.99%, respectively, for the quarter ended March 2025. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

May 08, 2025 By Zacks Equity Research Tale of the Tape

FS KKR Capital (FSK) Q1 Earnings and Revenues Top Estimates

FS KKR Capital (FSK) delivered earnings and revenue surprises of 1.56% and 0.85%, respectively, for the quarter ended March 2025. Do the numbers hold clues to what lies ahead for the stock?

May 07, 2025 By Zacks Equity Research Tale of the Tape

Latest News

MSDL stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (NYSE:MSDL) will hold its Q1 2025 earnings conference call on May 9, 2025, at 10:00 AM ET. Key executives will participate in the call.

Why It Matters

The earnings call provides insights into Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund's performance, which can influence investor sentiment and stock valuation. Key financial metrics discussed may affect investment decisions.

Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment: Neutral
MSDL stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) reported Q1 2025 net investment income of $46.2M ($0.52/share) vs. $50.7M ($0.57/share) in Q4 2024; net asset value is $20.65/share.

Why It Matters

MSDL's net investment income decline signals potential challenges in profitability, affecting investor confidence and stock valuation. A lower NAV may also influence investment decisions.

Source: Business Wire
Market Sentiment: Neutral
MSDL stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) reported quarterly earnings of $0.52 per share, below the Zacks estimate of $0.56 and down from $0.63 per share year-over-year.

Why It Matters

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund's earnings miss and year-over-year decline may indicate weakening performance, potentially affecting investor confidence and stock valuation.

Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment: Negative
MSDL stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Ten stocks with 10% yields are highlighted for their safety, growth, and potential upside, fully covering dividends with cash flow and currently trading at attractive valuations.

Why It Matters

High-yield stocks with strong cash flow and growth potential can enhance retirement income, while their attractive valuations indicate potential for price appreciation. Risks must be considered.

Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment: Positive
MSDL stock latest news image
Quick Summary

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund (MSDL) may not meet earnings expectations in its upcoming report due to lacking key performance indicators. Investors should prepare accordingly.

Why It Matters

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund's lack of key ingredients for an earnings beat suggests potential underperformance, impacting investor confidence and stock valuation.

Source: Zacks Investment Research
Market Sentiment: Negative
MSDL stock latest news image
Quick Summary

The article discusses a two-month performance review of a Business Development Company (BDC) portfolio, highlighting its clear alpha performance during this period.

Why It Matters

Clear alpha performance indicates outperformance relative to a benchmark, suggesting strong management and investment opportunities, which can enhance returns in a Business Development Company portfolio.

Source: Seeking Alpha
Market Sentiment: Positive

Frequently Asked Questions About MSDL Stock

What is Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp.'s (MSDL) stock forecast for 2025?

Based on our analysis of 7 Wall Street analysts, Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp. (MSDL) has a median price target of $20.00. The highest price target is $22.00 and the lowest is $19.00.

Is MSDL stock a good investment in 2025?

According to current analyst ratings, MSDL has 1 Buy ratings, 5 Hold ratings, and 0 Sell ratings. The stock is currently trading at $18.60. Always conduct your own research and consider your investment goals before making investment decisions.

What is the long-term price prediction for MSDL stock?

Wall Street analysts predict MSDL stock could reach $20.00 in the next 12 months. This represents a 7.5% increase from the current price of $18.60. Please note that this is a projection by Wall Street analysts and not a guarantee.

What is Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp.'s business model?

Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp. operates as a business development company that provides customized financing solutions to middle-market firms in the U.S. It generates revenue by offering fixed income and tailored credit solutions, catering to businesses with limited access to traditional bank financing. This business model allows the company to serve as an intermediary between investors seeking stable returns and companies in need of strategic financing.

What is the highest forecasted price for MSDL Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp.?

The highest price target for MSDL is $22.00 from Kenneth Lee at RBC Capital, which represents a 18.3% increase from the current price of $18.60.

What is the lowest forecasted price for MSDL Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp.?

The lowest price target for MSDL is $19.00 from Finian O'Shea at Wells Fargo, which represents a 2.2% increase from the current price of $18.60.

What is the overall MSDL consensus from analysts for Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp.?

The overall analyst consensus for MSDL is neutral. Out of 7 Wall Street analysts, 1 rate it as Buy, 5 as Hold, and 0 as Sell, with a median price target of $20.00.

How accurate are MSDL stock price projections?

Stock price projections, including those for Morgan Stanley Direct Lending Corp., are based on various factors including financial models, market conditions, and analyst forecasts. While these predictions provide valuable insights, they should be considered alongside your own research and risk tolerance.

Important Disclaimer

The information provided by Ticker Nerd is for educational and informational purposes only. It should not be considered financial or investment advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always conduct your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Analyst ratings and price forecasts are sourced from Wall St analysts and other experts. These projections are speculative and do not guarantee future stock performance.

Last updated: May 12, 2025 9:45 AM UTC
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