PAXPAXFinancial Services · Asset Management

PAX Stock Forecast: Patria Investments Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$11
−1.21% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Patria Investments Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +41.2% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 49 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the lower half.

Market cap
$1.7B
Ticker Nerd rank
49 / 100
Median analyst target
$15
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$97.1M+22.0% y/y
Operating income$31.7M
Net income$4.6M
Free cash flow$27.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−6.1%
1M
−5.2%
YTD
−30.6%
1Y
−23.1%
From 52W high
−37.3%
From 52W low
+0.9%
$11
$17
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PAX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Patria Investments Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
49 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
83
Quality
77
Value
76
Revisions
70
Growth
50
Momentum
41
Size
38
Issuance
24
Accruals
12

Volatility (83): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (12): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PAX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PAX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$12$14$16$18$20Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PAXHigh $20Median $15Low $10

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
3 Buy3 Hold1 Sell
Low $10Median $15High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +41.2% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
10 Sept 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$15$13
8 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
8 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$17$16
28 Jan 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy
22 Oct 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy
14 June 2023JP MorganMaintainsNeutral
18 Apr 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
5 Apr 2023B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral
15 Feb 2023Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy
15 Feb 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
7 Sept 2022B of A SecuritiesReinstatesNeutral$17
14 Dec 2021Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy
21 May 2021Credit SuisseMaintainsOutperform
21 May 2021Itau BBAInitiatesOutperform
17 Feb 2021Goldman SachsInitiatesBuy

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PAX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PAX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, Patria Investments Ltd. returned −23.1% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PAX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
708090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PAXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PAX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.7%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Patria Investments Ltd. (PAX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
24.1×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / book
3.0×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
10.8×

Cheaper than 35% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
34.9%

Higher than 80% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−18.3%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
80.5%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Operating margin
22.6%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Net margin
16.3%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.9%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.6%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
6.1%

Higher than 86% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Patria Investments Ltd. (PAX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Patria Investments Ltd. has a market value of $1.7B and an enterprise value of $1.9B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $399.2M. The latest quarter grew 34.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $78.6M, a 19.7% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $182.8M, after $11.4M of capital spending.

  • Patria Investments Ltd. spent $68.9M on share buybacks and $95.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 161.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 24.1×; forward P/E: 7.2× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 6.12%, paying out 135% of earnings.

  • Patria Investments Ltd. employs 548 people $729K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PAX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAsset Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PAXPatria Investments Ltd.$1.7B
49
MSDLMorgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund$1.3B
71
ASSTStrive, Inc. (United States)$2.5B
22
GCMGGCM Grosvenor, Inc.$2.6B
89
DBRGDigitalBridge Group, Inc.$2.9B
78
VRTSVirtus Investment Partners, Inc.$995.7M
46
APAMArtisan Partners Asset Management, Inc.$3.1B
80

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Patria Investments Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PAX news & analysis

Patria Investments (PAX) Upgraded to Buy: Here's What You Should Know

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research upgraded Patria Investments (PAX) to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The upgrade could drive the stock higher in the near term.

Why it matters — This upgrade signals improved expectations about PAX's earnings outlook, which may influence investor sentiment and near-term stock performance.

PAX vs. KKR: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026neutral

Zacks Investment Research published a comparison of Patria Investments (PAX) and KKR & Co. Inc. (KKR), two stocks in the Financial - Investment Management sector, examining which presents the better value opportunity for investors at this time.

Why it matters — Patria watchers would be interested in how their company's value metrics stack up against a major industry peer like KKR.

Are Investors Undervaluing Patria Investments Limited (PAX) Right Now?

Zacks Investment Research · 8 Sept 2026positive

Zacks Investment Research published an article asking whether investors are currently undervaluing Patria Investments Limited (PAX). The piece explains that Zacks focuses on its Rank system, which emphasises earnings estimates and estimate revisions to identify strong stocks, while also tracking value, growth, and momentum trends.

Why it matters — A PAX watcher would care because the article signals that analysts are evaluating whether the stock is undervalued based on earnings-estimate and revision trends.

Patria Investments Limited (PAX) Discusses Role in Building Data Center Infrastructure in Latin America Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Patria Investments Limited (PAX) participated in a discussion, published as a transcript by Seeking Alpha, about its role in building data center infrastructure in Latin America. The transcript covers the company's involvement in developing data center capacity in the region.

Why it matters — A PAX watcher would care because it highlights the company's exposure to the growing data center infrastructure opportunity in Latin America.

18 LoPrice/HiYield DiviDogs Rated Buys For August

Seeking Alpha · 27 Aug 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article presents a Dogcatcher screen of 37 Russell 3000 stocks with dividend yields between 5% and 25%, highlighting 18 "LoPrice/HiYield DiviDogs" rated as buys for August. The stocks range in price from $5 to $65 and have shown high yields over five or more years.

Why it matters — The article provides a screening methodology for high-yield dividend stocks that a PAX investor may use as context for evaluating comparable income opportunities, though PAX itself is not mentioned.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PAX stock

What is the PAX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Patria Investments Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $10 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PAX stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Patria Investments Ltd., 3 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 1 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Patria Investments Ltd. 49 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PAX?

As at 12 Sept 2026, Patria Investments Ltd. ranks 49 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (83 of 100).

Will PAX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +41.2% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Patria Investments Ltd. 49 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PAX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Patria Investments Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PAX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $10 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has PAX stock performed over the past year?

Patria Investments Ltd. returned -23.1% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Patria Investments Ltd. do?

Patria Investments Limited Class A Common Shares represent equity in Patria Investments Limited, a global alternative asset management firm. Patria Investments Limited focuses on managing private equity, infrastructure, real estate, and credit strategies, serving institutional clients and investors across multiple markets.

What is the latest news on PAX?

The most recent item we track (Zacks Investment Research, 8 Sept 2026): "Patria Investments (PAX) Upgraded to Buy: Here's What You Should Know". Zacks Investment Research upgraded Patria Investments (PAX) to a Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), reflecting growing optimism about the company's earnings prospects. The upgrade could drive the stock higher in the near term.

Company

About Patria Investments Ltd.

Patria Investments Limited Class A Common Shares represent equity in Patria Investments Limited, a global alternative asset management firm. Patria Investments Limited focuses on managing private equity, infrastructure, real estate, and credit strategies, serving institutional clients and investors across multiple markets. The company operates as an asset manager that allocates capital, structures investment vehicles, and provides exposure to private market opportunities through a range of funds and mandates. Its business spans investment origination, portfolio management, and advisory services, with activities centered on private markets and alternative assets. Patria Investments Limited Class A Common Shares provide investors with ownership in a company whose core role is to connect capital with specialized investment strategies in sectors that are often less accessible through traditional public market instruments.

CEO Mr. Alexandre Teixeira de Assumpcao Saigh · 548 employees · Cayman Islands · https://www.patria.com