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PAX Stock Forecast: Patria Investments Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 14 Aug 2026
$12
−1.12% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Patria Investments Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +30.4% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 50 of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$1.9B
Ticker Nerd rank
50 / 100
Median analyst target
$15
Analysts covering
7
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+1.2%
1M
+5.1%
YTD
−24.8%
1Y
−11.5%
From 52W high
−32.1%
From 52W low
+9.2%
$11
$17
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PAX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Patria Investments Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 15 Aug 2026
50 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
83
Value
77
Quality
76
Revisions
69
Growth
50
Momentum
45
Size
37
Issuance
24
Accruals
12

Volatility (83): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (12): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PAX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PAX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$12$14$16$18$20Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PAXHigh $20Median $15Low $12

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

What Wall Street says7 analysts
3 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $12Median $15High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +30.4% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$17 → $16
28 Jan 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
22 Oct 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
14 June 2023JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
18 Apr 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
5 Apr 2023B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
15 Feb 2023Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
15 Feb 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
7 Sept 2022B of A SecuritiesReinstatesNeutral$17
14 Dec 2021Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
21 May 2021Credit SuisseMaintainsOutperform—
21 May 2021Itau BBAInitiatesOutperform—
17 Feb 2021Goldman SachsInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PAX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Estimates

PAX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−4.4%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
3
Fundamentals

Patria Investments Ltd. (PAX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.6×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.3×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Price / book
3.3×

Cheaper than 32% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.6×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
34.9%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−18.3%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
80.5%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Operating margin
22.6%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Net margin
16.3%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.9%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.6%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.7%

Higher than 85% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Peers

PAX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAsset Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PAXPatria Investments Ltd.$1.9B
50
MSDLMorgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund$1.3B
67
GCMGGCM Grosvenor, Inc.$2.8B
86
DBRGDigitalBridge Group, Inc.$2.9B
78
VRTSVirtus Investment Partners, Inc.$1.1B
46
AAMIAcadian Asset Management, Inc.$3.3B
97
ASSTStrive, Inc. (United States)$1.0B
20

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Patria Investments Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PAX news & analysis

The Most Undervalued Dividend Growth Stocks I Am Buying Right Now

Seeking Alpha · 13 Aug 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article describes the author's search for undervalued dividend growth stocks with well-covered mid-single-digit dividend yields and strong dividend growth outlooks, detailing two such opportunities and exploring their risks and reward potential.

Why it matters — PAX watchers would care because the article highlights undervalued dividend growth opportunities, a category in which Patria Investments could be considered by income-focused investors.

35 August Ideal 'Safer' Russell Index Buys You May Want To Hold 'Forever'

Seeking Alpha · 12 Aug 2026neutral

The article highlights 35 "safer" dividend-paying stocks in the Russell 2000 and 3000 indexes, projecting average net gains for top ten stocks and noting they are currently "fair-priced" with dividends exceeding their share prices. It presents this as supporting a contrarian "dogcatcher" strategy.

Why it matters — A PAX watcher might find this relevant as general market commentary on contrarian dividend strategies within small-cap indexes, though it does not directly address Patria Investments.

Patria Investments: Record AUM, Dividend Raise As Latin America's Pink Tide Recedes

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026positive

Patria Investments reported record assets under management, raised its quarterly dividend by 8.3%, and posted a 31% year-over-year increase in second-quarter distributable earnings with 196% dividend coverage. The firm also expects to expand its fee-related earnings margins to 58%-60% next year.

Why it matters — The combination of record AUM, a dividend hike, strong earnings growth, and improving margin forecasts signals operational momentum for PAX, while its valuation remains far below peer averages.

Patria Investments: Still Too Cheap After Another Outstanding Quarter

Seeking Alpha · 5 Aug 2026positive

Patria Investments reported a 31% year-over-year increase in Distributable Earnings and 28% AUM growth in Q2, while the author maintains a Strong Buy rating based on valuation being at a discount to fair value.

Why it matters — The article highlights continued strong operational performance and AUM growth, supporting confidence in PAX's long-term earnings targets despite macro headwinds in LATAM.

Patria Investments Limited (PAX) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 1 Aug 2026neutral

Patria Investments Limited published the transcript of its Q2 2026 earnings call, as covered by Seeking Alpha. The item provides the full transcript of management's discussion during the call.

Why it matters — Investors following PAX would consult the transcript for management's own comments regarding the company's second-quarter 2026 results.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PAX stock

What is the PAX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Patria Investments Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $12 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PAX stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Patria Investments Ltd., 3 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Patria Investments Ltd. 50 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 15 Aug 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PAX?

As at 15 Aug 2026, Patria Investments Ltd. ranks 50 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (83 of 100).

Will PAX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +30.4% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Patria Investments Ltd. 50 out of 100 as at 15 Aug 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PAX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Patria Investments Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PAX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $12 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has PAX stock performed over the past year?

Patria Investments Ltd. returned -11.5% over the 12 months to 14 Aug 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Patria Investments Ltd. do?

Patria Investments Ltd. is an alternative asset management firm specializing in resilient sectors across Latin America and select global regions.

What is the latest news on PAX?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 13 Aug 2026): "The Most Undervalued Dividend Growth Stocks I Am Buying Right Now". A Seeking Alpha article describes the author's search for undervalued dividend growth stocks with well-covered mid-single-digit dividend yields and strong dividend growth outlooks, detailing two such opportunities and exploring their risks and reward potential.

Company

About Patria Investments Ltd.

Patria Investments Ltd. is an alternative asset management firm specializing in resilient sectors across Latin America and select global regions. Founded in 2001 and headquartered in George Town, Cayman Islands, the company manages investment products in private equity, private equity solutions, credit, real estate, infrastructure, and public equities. It targets key sectors including agribusiness, power and energy, healthcare, logistics and transportation, food and beverage, and digital and tech services. Patria Investments Ltd. serves worldwide and Latin American investors seeking portfolio diversification through these asset classes, which emphasize inclusive and sustainable development. The firm structures its offerings to provide access to high-growth opportunities in emerging markets, focusing on long-term value creation in infrastructure and real assets. As a prominent player in the asset management industry, Patria Investments Ltd. plays a vital role in channeling capital into essential economic sectors, supporting regional development while offering institutional and high-net-worth clients exposure to specialized alternative investments.

CEO Mr. Alexandre Teixeira de Assumpcao Saigh · 548 employees · Cayman Islands · https://www.patria.com