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PAX Stock Forecast: Patria Investments Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 3 Sept 2026
$11
−0.26% on the day

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Patria Investments Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $15 — +32.7% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 51 of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026 — in the upper half.

Market cap
$1.8B
Ticker Nerd rank
51 / 100
Median analyst target
$15
Analysts covering
7
Revenue$97.1M+22.0% y/y
Operating income$31.7M
Net income$4.6M
Free cash flow$27.3M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−3.0%
1M
+2.6%
YTD
−26.1%
1Y
−13.2%
From 52W high
−33.3%
From 52W low
+7.3%
$11
$17
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

PAX stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Patria Investments Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 2 Sept 2026
51 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Volatility
84
Quality
77
Value
76
Revisions
73
Growth
50
Momentum
46
Size
37
Issuance
24
Accruals
12

Volatility (84): The share price has been relatively steady.

Accruals (12): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

PAX stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on PAX, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$12$14$16$18$20Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PAXHigh $20Median $15Low $12

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says7 analysts
3 Buy4 Hold0 Sell
Low $12Median $15High $20

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +32.7% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
8 Apr 2026JP MorganMaintainsNeutral$17 → $16
28 Jan 2026Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
22 Oct 2024Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
14 June 2023JP MorganMaintainsNeutral—
18 Apr 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
5 Apr 2023B of A SecuritiesMaintainsNeutral—
15 Feb 2023Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
15 Feb 2023Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform—
7 Sept 2022B of A SecuritiesReinstatesNeutral$17
14 Dec 2021Goldman SachsMaintainsBuy—
21 May 2021Credit SuisseMaintainsOutperform—
21 May 2021Itau BBAInitiatesOutperform—
17 Feb 2021Goldman SachsInitiatesBuy—

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. PAX appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

PAX vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 3 Sept 2026, Patria Investments Ltd. returned −13.2% against +21.4% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

PAX vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120130Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26PAXS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

PAX analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
+0.7%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
2
Fundamentals

Patria Investments Ltd. (PAX) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
25.1×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.3×

Cheaper than 29% of US stocks

Price / book
3.2×

Cheaper than 31% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
11.3×

Cheaper than 34% of US stocks

Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
34.9%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−18.3%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Gross margin
80.5%

Higher than 91% of US stocks

Operating margin
22.6%

Higher than 82% of US stocks

Net margin
16.3%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
12.9%

Higher than 70% of US stocks

Return on assets
5.6%

Higher than 79% of US stocks

Dividend yield
5.7%

Higher than 85% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Patria Investments Ltd. (PAX) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Patria Investments Ltd. has a market value of $1.8B and an enterprise value of $2.0B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $399.2M. The latest quarter grew 34.9% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $78.6M, a 19.7% net margin.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026: $182.8M, after $11.4M of capital spending.

  • Patria Investments Ltd. spent $68.9M on share buybacks and $95.6M on dividends in the twelve months to 31 Mar 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 161.4M.

  • Trailing P/E: 25.1×; forward P/E: 7.5× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 5.74%, paying out 135% of earnings.

  • Patria Investments Ltd. employs 548 people — $729K of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 31 Mar 2026 · market figures as at 2 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

PAX vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAsset Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
PAXPatria Investments Ltd.$1.8B
51
ASSTStrive, Inc. (United States)$2.2B
19
MSDLMorgan Stanley Direct Lending Fund$1.3B
69
GCMGGCM Grosvenor, Inc.$2.6B
88
DBRGDigitalBridge Group, Inc.$2.9B
78
VRTSVirtus Investment Partners, Inc.$1.1B
45
AAMIAcadian Asset Management, Inc.$3.2B
97

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Patria Investments Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest PAX news & analysis

Patria Investments Limited (PAX) Discusses Role in Building Data Center Infrastructure in Latin America Transcript

Seeking Alpha · 27 Aug 2026neutral

Patria Investments Limited (PAX) participated in a discussion, published as a transcript by Seeking Alpha, about its role in building data center infrastructure in Latin America. The transcript covers the company's involvement in developing data center capacity in the region.

Why it matters — A PAX watcher would care because it highlights the company's exposure to the growing data center infrastructure opportunity in Latin America.

18 LoPrice/HiYield DiviDogs Rated Buys For August

Seeking Alpha · 27 Aug 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article presents a Dogcatcher screen of 37 Russell 3000 stocks with dividend yields between 5% and 25%, highlighting 18 "LoPrice/HiYield DiviDogs" rated as buys for August. The stocks range in price from $5 to $65 and have shown high yields over five or more years.

Why it matters — The article provides a screening methodology for high-yield dividend stocks that a PAX investor may use as context for evaluating comparable income opportunities, though PAX itself is not mentioned.

The Most Undervalued Dividend Growth Stocks I Am Buying Right Now

Seeking Alpha · 13 Aug 2026neutral

A Seeking Alpha article describes the author's search for undervalued dividend growth stocks with well-covered mid-single-digit dividend yields and strong dividend growth outlooks, detailing two such opportunities and exploring their risks and reward potential.

Why it matters — PAX watchers would care because the article highlights undervalued dividend growth opportunities, a category in which Patria Investments could be considered by income-focused investors.

35 August Ideal 'Safer' Russell Index Buys You May Want To Hold 'Forever'

Seeking Alpha · 12 Aug 2026neutral

The article highlights 35 "safer" dividend-paying stocks in the Russell 2000 and 3000 indexes, projecting average net gains for top ten stocks and noting they are currently "fair-priced" with dividends exceeding their share prices. It presents this as supporting a contrarian "dogcatcher" strategy.

Why it matters — A PAX watcher might find this relevant as general market commentary on contrarian dividend strategies within small-cap indexes, though it does not directly address Patria Investments.

Patria Investments: Record AUM, Dividend Raise As Latin America's Pink Tide Recedes

Seeking Alpha · 7 Aug 2026positive

Patria Investments reported record assets under management, raised its quarterly dividend by 8.3%, and posted a 31% year-over-year increase in second-quarter distributable earnings with 196% dividend coverage. The firm also expects to expand its fee-related earnings margins to 58%-60% next year.

Why it matters — The combination of record AUM, a dividend hike, strong earnings growth, and improving margin forecasts signals operational momentum for PAX, while its valuation remains far below peer averages.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about PAX stock

What is the PAX stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 7 Wall Street analysts covering Patria Investments Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $15, with estimates ranging from $12 to $20. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is PAX stock a buy right now?

Of the 7 analysts covering Patria Investments Ltd., 3 rate it a Buy, 4 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Patria Investments Ltd. 51 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 2 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank PAX?

As at 2 Sept 2026, Patria Investments Ltd. ranks 51 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Volatility (84 of 100).

Will PAX stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 7 analysts implies +32.7% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Patria Investments Ltd. 51 out of 100 as at 2 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the PAX stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Patria Investments Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for PAX are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $12 to $20 over the next 12 months.

How has PAX stock performed over the past year?

Patria Investments Ltd. returned -13.2% over the 12 months to 3 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Patria Investments Ltd. do?

Patria Investments Limited Class A Common Shares represent equity in Patria Investments Limited, a global alternative asset management firm. Patria Investments Limited focuses on managing private equity, infrastructure, real estate, and credit strategies, serving institutional clients and investors across multiple markets.

What is the latest news on PAX?

The most recent item we track (Seeking Alpha, 27 Aug 2026): "Patria Investments Limited (PAX) Discusses Role in Building Data Center Infrastructure in Latin America Transcript". Patria Investments Limited (PAX) participated in a discussion, published as a transcript by Seeking Alpha, about its role in building data center infrastructure in Latin America. The transcript covers the company's involvement in developing data center capacity in the region.

Company

About Patria Investments Ltd.

Patria Investments Limited Class A Common Shares represent equity in Patria Investments Limited, a global alternative asset management firm. Patria Investments Limited focuses on managing private equity, infrastructure, real estate, and credit strategies, serving institutional clients and investors across multiple markets. The company operates as an asset manager that allocates capital, structures investment vehicles, and provides exposure to private market opportunities through a range of funds and mandates. Its business spans investment origination, portfolio management, and advisory services, with activities centered on private markets and alternative assets. Patria Investments Limited Class A Common Shares provide investors with ownership in a company whose core role is to connect capital with specialized investment strategies in sectors that are often less accessible through traditional public market instruments.

CEO Mr. Alexandre Teixeira de Assumpcao Saigh · 548 employees · Cayman Islands · https://www.patria.com