BURBURFinancial Services · Asset Management

BUR Stock Forecast: Burford Capital Ltd. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 23 Oct 2026
$3.36
−0.30% on the day

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Burford Capital Ltd. hold a median 12-month price target of $6.4 — +90.3% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 13 of 100 as at 23 Oct 2026 — in the weakest quartile. The Street sees upside; the factor read is a caution. That gap is the story on this page.

Market cap
$737.8M
Ticker Nerd rank
13/ 100
Median analyst target
$6.40
Analysts covering
6
Revenue$54.4M−61.4% y/y
Net income$9.5M
Free cash flow$51.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
+12.0%
1M
−11.8%
YTD
−61.8%
1Y
−67.9%
From 52W high
−69.8%
From 52W low
+12.0%
$3
$11
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

BUR stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores Burford Capital Ltd. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 23 Oct 2026
13/ 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Accruals
92
Size
47
Volatility
33
Revisions
33
Issuance
30
Value
29
Growth
17
Quality
11
Momentum
4

Accruals (92): Reported profit is backed by cash, and the company is not expanding recklessly.

Momentum (4): The shares have been drifting down relative to others.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

BUR stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on BUR, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$0$5$10$15$20Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BURHigh $22.50Median $6.40Low $3.15

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says6 analysts
4 Buy2 Hold0 Sell
Low $3.15Median $6.40High $22.50

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +90.3% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first

Of the 17 most recent actions, 2 moved their price target up and 3 moved it down.

DateFirmActionRatingTarget
11 May 2026WedbushMaintainsNeutral$4.75 → $5.00
30 Mar 2026WedbushDowngradeNeutral—
27 Mar 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform—
20 Feb 2026WedbushMaintainsOutperform—
11 Nov 2025B. Riley SecuritiesReiteratesBuy—
14 Aug 2025WedbushReiteratesOutperform—
11 June 2025WedbushAssumesOutperform$18
6 Sept 2024Deutsche BankInitiatesBuy—
9 Aug 2024WedbushReiteratesOutperform—
2 July 2024JefferiesMaintainsBuy—
10 Nov 2023WedbushMaintainsOutperform$20 → $18
11 Sept 2023B. Riley SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$18 → $20
14 June 2023WedbushMaintainsOutperform$19 → $18
12 Apr 2023WedbushReiteratesOutperform$17
16 Mar 2023WedbushMaintainsOutperform$14 → $13
13 May 2022B. Riley SecuritiesInitiatesBuy$15
4 June 2021WedbushInitiatesOutperform$15

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

BUR appears in the Radar on the weeks it earns a place.

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Performance

BUR vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 23 Oct 2026, Burford Capital Ltd. returned −67.9% against +14.3% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

BUR vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
20406080100120Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26Oct 26BURS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

BUR analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
0
Fundamentals

Burford Capital Ltd. (BUR) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
18.4×

Cheaper than 40% of US stocks

Price / sales
−0.5×

Cheaper than 99% of US stocks

Price / book
0.9×

Cheaper than 73% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
—
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
−37.2%

Higher than 7% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
−97.5%

Higher than 2% of US stocks

Gross margin
—
Operating margin
65.2%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Net margin
0.0%

Higher than 30% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
−72.1%

Higher than 17% of US stocks

Return on assets
−18.2%

Higher than 21% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.8%

Higher than 90% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

Burford Capital Ltd. (BUR) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • Burford Capital Ltd. has a market value of $737.8M and an enterprise value of $3.1B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$1.6B. The latest quarter shrank 37.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: −$1.7B, a 103.9% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $−7.71.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$184.9M.

  • Burford Capital Ltd. spent $3.7M on share buybacks in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 219.6M.

  • Trailing P/E: 18.4×; forward P/E: 5.4× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.77%, paying out 45% of earnings.

  • Burford Capital Ltd. employs 172 people — −$9.5M of revenue per employee.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 24 Oct 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

BUR vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAsset Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
BURBurford Capital Ltd.$737.8M13
VINPVinci Compass Investments Ltd.$726.7M65
VRTSVirtus Investment Partners, Inc.$805.9M40
TIPTTiptree, Inc.$606.6M71
RPCRidgepost Capital, Inc.$950.5M50
MSIFMSC Income Fund, Inc.$541.3M72
FWDIForward Industries, Inc.$507.8M19

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own Burford Capital Ltd. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about BUR stock

What is the BUR stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 6 Wall Street analysts covering Burford Capital Ltd. have a median 12-month price target of $6.4, with estimates ranging from $3.15 to $23. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is BUR stock a buy right now?

Of the 6 analysts covering Burford Capital Ltd., 4 rate it a Buy, 2 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks Burford Capital Ltd. 13 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 23 Oct 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank BUR?

As at 23 Oct 2026, Burford Capital Ltd. ranks 13 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Accruals (92 of 100).

Will BUR stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 6 analysts implies +90.3% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks Burford Capital Ltd. 13 out of 100 as at 23 Oct 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the BUR stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering Burford Capital Ltd. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for BUR are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $3.15 to $23 over the next 12 months.

How has BUR stock performed over the past year?

Burford Capital Ltd. returned -67.9% over the 12 months to 23 Oct 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does Burford Capital Ltd. do?

Burford Capital Limited is a global finance and asset management company focused on law. Burford Capital provides legal finance products and services that support commercial litigation, arbitration, and related dispute-resolution matters through capital provision, risk management, asset recovery, and advisory services.

Company

About Burford Capital Ltd.

Burford Capital Limited is a global finance and asset management company focused on law. Burford Capital provides legal finance products and services that support commercial litigation, arbitration, and related dispute-resolution matters through capital provision, risk management, asset recovery, and advisory services. Its offerings help law firms, corporations, and other claim owners fund legal costs, manage exposure, and monetize legal claims or judgments. The company also manages legal finance assets for third-party investors and provides a range of services to the legal industry, making it an important participant in the broader specialty finance market. Burford Capital operates across major legal and financial centers worldwide, serving clients involved in high-value disputes and complex legal matters.

CEO Mr. Christopher Peter Bogart J.D. · 172 employees · Guernsey · https://www.burfordcapital.com