MSIFMSIFFinancial Services · Asset Management

MSIF Stock Forecast: MSC Income Fund, Inc. Price Predictions for 2026-2027

Last close, 11 Sept 2026
$12
+0.73% on the day

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering MSC Income Fund, Inc. hold a median 12-month price target of $14 — +12.1% from the last close. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model, run across ~4,600 US stocks, ranks it 72 of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026 — in the upper half. Here, the model and the Street point the same way.

Market cap
$566.4M
Ticker Nerd rank
72 / 100
Median analyst target
$14
Analysts covering
8
Revenue$33.4M+71.2% y/y
Net income$29.3M
Free cash flow$16.9M
Quarterly, 8 quarters to 30 June 2026 · latest quarter's figure shown
Total return, dividends reinvested
1W
−0.8%
1M
+2.6%
YTD
+0.6%
1Y
−2.8%
From 52W high
−5.1%
From 52W low
+16.6%
$11
$13
52-week range, adjusted closes · the dot is the last close
Ticker Nerd rank

MSIF stock analysis: one number for the whole business

Consensus tells you what everyone already believes. The model scores MSC Income Fund, Inc. on its factor families — the same systematic rank behind the Ticker Nerd portfolio.

Where the model ranks itAs at 12 Sept 2026
72 / 100

Percentile across ~4,600 US stocks on Ticker Nerd’s systematic factor model. Higher is better. How the model is built and tested

Value
100
Growth
98
Quality
95
Volatility
85
Size
52
Momentum
46
Issuance
37
Revisions
35
Accruals
19

Value (100): The shares cost little relative to the profits and assets behind them — which can mean the market is too gloomy, or that the business really is in trouble.

Accruals (19): A large share of reported profit has not shown up as cash, or the balance sheet is expanding quickly — both tend to unwind.

Built and run by Aslam Ghouse, an ex-Goldman Sachs quant trader with fourteen years in markets.

Wall Street

MSIF stock forecast 2026-2027: analyst price targets & predictions

The bullish and bearish analyst opinions on MSIF, reported as data — targets and ratings, the market's view beside the model's.

Share price and the analyst range, 12 monthsAdjusted close, US dollars
$10$11$12$13$14$15$16Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MSIFHigh $16Median $14Low $13

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Data provided by Twelve Data

What Wall Street says8 analysts
5 Buy3 Hold0 Sell
Low $13Median $14High $16

The green dot is the last close — the median target sits +12.1% from it.

Recent analyst actionsNewest first
DateFirmActionRatingTarget
1 Sept 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral$14$13
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy$14$15
10 Aug 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
18 June 2026B. Riley SecuritiesInitiatesBuy$13
18 June 2026B. Riley SecuritiesInitiatesBuy
4 June 2026RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform
19 May 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
18 May 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral
13 Mar 2026UBSMaintainsNeutral
12 Mar 2026LUCID CAPITAL MARKETSInitiatesNeutral
4 Mar 2026Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
18 Nov 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsMaintainsOutperform
17 Nov 2025CitizensUpgradeMarket Outperform
17 Nov 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
28 Oct 2025Clear StreetInitiatesBuy
14 Oct 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral
6 Oct 2025Keefe, Bruyette & WoodsUpgradeOutperform
10 Sept 2025RBC CapitalMaintainsOutperform
15 Aug 2025Truist SecuritiesMaintainsBuy
16 July 2025UBSMaintainsNeutral

Price targets and ratings are third-party analyst estimates, reported here as data. They are not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Market Radar

This page is one stock. Monday covers all of them.

Computed off the Friday close and sent before the US open.

Market Radar reports the week’s largest rank changes across roughly 4,600 US stocks, the factor behind each one, and where the market went. MSIF appears on the weeks it earns a place.

Free, every Monday. Unsubscribe any time.

Performance

MSIF vs the S&P 500

Both lines are total return — dividends reinvested — so the comparison is honest on both sides.

Over the twelve months to 11 Sept 2026, MSC Income Fund, Inc. returned −2.8% against +17.5% for the S&P 500, dividends included.

MSIF vs S&P 500, last 12 monthsTotal return, rebased to 100
8090100110120Oct 25Jan 26Apr 26Jul 26MSIFS&P 500

Download this chart as an image — free to reuse; link this page as the source.

Data provided by Twelve Data

Estimates

MSIF analyst estimate revisions

Not the forecast itself — the direction analysts are revising it. Revision direction is one of the model's factor families.

Which way the estimates are movingNext fiscal year
EPS revision, 90 days
−3.4%
Analysts raising
1
Analysts cutting
4
Fundamentals

MSC Income Fund, Inc. (MSIF) financial data

A margin means little on its own. Each bar marks where the figure sits across the whole US universe we score.

Valuation
Trailing P/E
5.8×

Cheaper than 65% of US stocks

Price / sales
4.0×

Cheaper than 30% of US stocks

Price / book
0.8×

Cheaper than 80% of US stocks

EV / EBITDA
Growth & margins
Revenue growth (YoY)
0.2%

Higher than 28% of US stocks

Earnings growth (YoY)
79.7%

Higher than 81% of US stocks

Gross margin
Operating margin
65.1%

Higher than 99% of US stocks

Net margin
70.7%

Higher than 98% of US stocks

Returns & dividend
Return on equity
13.5%

Higher than 71% of US stocks

Return on assets
4.5%

Higher than 73% of US stocks

Dividend yield
3.5%

Higher than 71% of US dividend payers

Bars mark the percentile across the ~4,600 US stocks Ticker Nerd covers, among those reporting the figure.

Key statistics

MSC Income Fund, Inc. (MSIF) statistics: revenue, profit & scale

The headline figures, each with its date. Every row carries its own link — cite it straight from here.

  • MSC Income Fund, Inc. has a market value of $566.4M and an enterprise value of $1.2B.

  • Revenue in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: $110.3M. The latest quarter grew 0.2% year on year.

  • Net income over the same four quarters: $99.1M, a 89.8% net margin.

  • Diluted earnings per share, trailing twelve months: $2.14.

  • Free cash flow in the twelve months to 30 June 2026: −$32.3M.

  • MSC Income Fund, Inc. spent $27.5M on share buybacks and $62.5M on dividends in the twelve months to 30 June 2026.

  • Shares outstanding: 45.3M.

  • Trailing P/E: 5.8×; forward P/E: 8.6× — the forward figure prices analyst consensus estimates, not reported earnings.

  • Forward dividend yield: 3.52%, paying out 55% of earnings.

  • MSC Income Fund, Inc. employs 0 people.

Statement figures: company filings via Twelve Data, four quarters to 30 June 2026 · market figures as at 13 Sept 2026

Data provided by Twelve Data

Peers

MSIF vs competitors

The nearest names by industry and size, scored by the same model — like for like.

Its peer group, ranked by the same modelAsset Management
CompanyMarket capTKN rank
MSIFMSC Income Fund, Inc.$566.4M
72
VINPVinci Compass Investments Ltd.$597.0M
63
TIPTTiptree, Inc.$662.9M
70
ALTIAlTi Global, Inc.$513.1M
66
RPCRidgepost Capital, Inc.$888.1M
46
VRTSVirtus Investment Partners, Inc.$995.7M
46
KWYKingsway Corp.$277.7M
29

Look up any of the roughly 4,600 stocks we score.

The rank is the raw material. Whether the rules would actually own MSC Income Fund, Inc. — and when they’d sell — is the membership. See the Ticker Nerd 20 →

News

Latest MSIF news & analysis

The Fed's Next Move Could Awaken These Big BDC Dividends

Forbes · 13 Sept 2026neutral

The article discusses the possibility that the Federal Reserve may resume raising interest rates, noting that for most investors this development is unwelcome. It frames the potential rate hikes as a factor that could awaken dividends from larger business development companies.

Why it matters — MSIF watchers monitor Federal Reserve interest-rate policy because changes in rates influence the lending environment and dividend outlook for BDCs like MSC Income Fund.

KBRA Assigns Rating to MSC Income Fund, Inc.'s $150 Million Senior Unsecured Notes Due 2029

Business Wire · 1 Sept 2026neutral

KBRA assigned a BBB- rating with a Stable outlook to MSC Income Fund, Inc.'s $150 million, 6.83% senior unsecured notes due September 2029. The notes will be issued in two closings, with an initial $75.0 million issuance closed and the remaining $75.0 million to be issued in October; proceeds will repay existing secured indebtedness and fund general corporate purposes.

Why it matters — The investment-grade credit rating and successful note issuance provide information about MSIF's financing costs and its plans to repay existing secured debt.

MSC Income Fund Announces Completion of $150.0 Million Investment Grade Notes Offering

PRNewsWire · 1 Sept 2026positive

MSC Income Fund, Inc. announced the closing of a private notes offering totaling $150.0 million in aggregate principal amount. The Notes were offered privately, and the transaction has now been completed.

Why it matters — MSIF investors would care because the $150 million notes offering provides the Fund with additional capital to support its investment activities.

MSC Income Fund: Quality BDC At A Bargain Bin Valuation

Seeking Alpha · 10 Aug 2026positive

Seeking Alpha reported on MSC Income Fund (MSIF), describing it as a high-quality BDC trading at roughly a 24% discount to NAV. Recent NAV rose from $15.87 to $16.51, supported by continued positive NAV trends, a first-lien heavy floating-rate portfolio, share repurchases, and a monthly dividend yield of 10.58%.

Why it matters — MSIF watchers would care because the article highlights management alignment, NAV growth, and potential for further dividend increases as leverage rises.

MSC Income Fund Q2 Earnings Call Highlights

MarketBeat · 8 Aug 2026positive

MSC Income Fund reported its second-quarter 2026 results, posting a 15.9% annualized return on equity, a 4% sequential increase in net asset value per share, and $19 million of net fair value appreciation across its investment portfolio.

Why it matters — The sequential increase in NAV per share and portfolio fair value appreciation highlight the fund's recent portfolio performance for MSIF watchers.

FAQ

Frequently asked questions about MSIF stock

What is the MSIF stock price forecast for 2026-2027?

The 8 Wall Street analysts covering MSC Income Fund, Inc. have a median 12-month price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $13 to $16. These are third-party analyst estimates, not Ticker Nerd forecasts, and they are frequently wrong.

Is MSIF stock a buy right now?

Of the 8 analysts covering MSC Income Fund, Inc., 5 rate it a Buy, 3 a Hold and 0 a Sell. Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model ranks MSC Income Fund, Inc. 72 out of 100 across roughly 4,600 US stocks as at 12 Sept 2026. None of this is personal advice — it does not consider your circumstances.

How does Ticker Nerd's model rank MSIF?

As at 12 Sept 2026, MSC Income Fund, Inc. ranks 72 out of 100 on Ticker Nerd's systematic factor model — a percentile across roughly 4,600 US stocks, built from its factor families. Its strongest factor family is Value (100 of 100).

Will MSIF stock go up?

No one can know that. What the data says: the median 12-month target from 8 analysts implies +12.1% from the last close, and Ticker Nerd's factor model ranks MSC Income Fund, Inc. 72 out of 100 as at 12 Sept 2026. Analyst targets are third-party estimates and frequently wrong; none of this is personal advice.

What is the MSIF stock forecast for 2030?

No analyst covering MSC Income Fund, Inc. publishes a 2030 price target — Wall Street targets run 12 to 18 months out. Sites quoting a 2030 price for MSIF are extrapolating price history, which says nothing about the business. The furthest attributed numbers are the current analyst targets: $13 to $16 over the next 12 months.

How has MSIF stock performed over the past year?

MSC Income Fund, Inc. returned -2.8% over the 12 months to 11 Sept 2026, with dividends reinvested. Past performance does not indicate future returns.

What does MSC Income Fund, Inc. do?

MSC Income Fund Inc. is a business development company that provides debt capital and customized debt and equity financing to private companies, particularly those owned by or being acquired by private equity sponsors.

What is the latest news on MSIF?

The most recent item we track (Forbes, 13 Sept 2026): "The Fed's Next Move Could Awaken These Big BDC Dividends". The article discusses the possibility that the Federal Reserve may resume raising interest rates, noting that for most investors this development is unwelcome. It frames the potential rate hikes as a factor that could awaken dividends from larger business development companies.

Company

About MSC Income Fund, Inc.

MSC Income Fund Inc. is a business development company that provides debt capital and customized debt and equity financing to private companies, particularly those owned by or being acquired by private equity sponsors. MSC Income Fund Inc. focuses on lower middle market businesses across a range of industries and supports transactions such as management buyouts, recapitalizations, growth financings, refinancing, and acquisitions. Its portfolio is centered on income-generating investments, including senior secured loans and other private credit instruments, making the company an important provider of flexible financing in the private capital market. The fund serves companies seeking non-bank funding solutions and plays a role in supplying capital to businesses at different stages of expansion or ownership transition. MSC Income Fund Inc. is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

CEO Mr. Dwayne Louis Hyzak CPA · United States · https://www.mscincomefund.com/